{"id":279441,"date":"2025-11-12T09:16:23","date_gmt":"2025-11-12T09:16:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/279441\/"},"modified":"2025-11-12T09:16:23","modified_gmt":"2025-11-12T09:16:23","slug":"what-scotland-need-to-be-2027-rugby-world-cup-top-seeds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/279441\/","title":{"rendered":"What Scotland need to be 2027 Rugby World Cup top seeds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n  To get there, they must be ranked sixth in the world when the Autumn Nations Series concludes at the end of this month.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  If Scotland do achieve a top seeding it will maximise their chances of avoiding the five strongest nations (almost certain to be South Africa, New Zealand, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scotlandrugbynews.com\/topics\/ireland-national-rugby-union-team\/?ref=au\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Ireland<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scotlandrugbynews.com\/topics\/england-national-rugby-union-team\/?ref=au\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">England<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scotlandrugbynews.com\/topics\/france-national-rugby-union-team\/?ref=au\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">France<\/a>) until the RWC\u2019s knockout stages \u2013 and theoretically even until as late as the semi-finals.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  Read more:\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  The target\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  82.73 \u2013 it\u2019s the magic number. That\u2019s the maximum possible world rankings point tally that Scotland can achieve across their remaining two fixtures this Autumn.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  They must hit that highest possible goal as it represents the only remaining potential route to overtaking the current sixth placed side in the world rankings, Argentina.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  With that number in mind, and with just 13 Test matches involving top 10 nations remaining this year, here is how Scotland finish ahead of enough teams to make the top six.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  The big five\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  There is currently a significant gap between the top five in the world and those below them.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  As things stand, it is mathematically impossible for Scotland to overtake South Africa, New Zealand, Ireland or England by the end of November.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  <img   width=\"100%\"\/>Scotland cannot overtake New Zealand in the world rankings (Image: Andrew Milligan\/PA Wire)\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  While there is a hypothetical route for France\u2019s points tally to fall below that of the Scots, there is no route for this to happen without another side passing the dark blues instead.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  In fact, Scotland will need the other half of the Auld Alliance to come up with wins if they are to stay ahead of their competition in the lower half of the world\u2019s top ten.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  Tenth and below\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  Even after an excellent result against Australia, there is still a large difference between <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scotlandrugbynews.com\/topics\/italy-national-rugby-union-team\/?ref=au\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Italy<\/a> and Scotland in the rankings.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  If Scotland do hit their goal of 82.73 points, they cannot be overtaken by the Azzurri or any of the sides further down the charts.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  Fiji\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  The only way that Fiji could throw a spanner in the works would be with a win in Bordeaux against France.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  <img   width=\"100%\"\/>Fiji lost to England at Twickenham on Saturday (Image: Andrew Matthews\/PA Wire)\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  This result would propel the Flying Fijians over the 83 points mark and they would then just need to ensure they followed that up with a win versus Spain the following week.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  What Scotland need: Fiji to lose to either France or Spain. A draw with France would also do the trick.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  Australia\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  An Australian win over Italy last weekend would have extinguished any remaining hope Scotland had of finishing sixth in the world as they would have been unable to catch the Wallabies.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  <img   width=\"100%\"\/>Australia have endured a tough autumn so far, losing to England and Italy (Image: Mike Egerton\/PA Wire)\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  After a big favour from one of their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scotlandrugbynews.com\/topics\/six-nations-championship\/?ref=au\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Six Nations<\/a>\u2019 rivals, it will come down to two more of those sides to keep the Australians out of the running.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  What Scotland need: Australia to lose to both Ireland and France (or draw one and lose one).\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  Argentina\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  This is the trickiest part of the equation \u2013 but also the one that Scotland themselves will have the most input on.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  Argentina have a sizeable advantage of 3.09 points as things stand. With the maximum points exchange from a single game being 3.00, even a Scottish victory by a margin of 16 points or more at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scotlandrugbynews.com\/topics\/scottish-gas-murrayfield\/?ref=au\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Murrayfield<\/a> on Sunday would not take the dark blues ahead of the Pumas.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  <img   width=\"100%\"\/>Argentina were big winners over Wales in Cardiff (Image: Kieran McManus\/Shutterstock)\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  That would need to wait until the following week. Scotland would have to ensure no slip ups versus Tonga to avoid losing points and hope that their oldest rivals, England, are able to turn over Argentina, removing enough from the South American side\u2019s world ranking points to drop them below the Scots.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  One wrinkle to add here &#8211; if the English were to beat the All Blacks by a margin of 16 or more in their encounter this weekend then England would no longer be able to take enough points off Argentina to move them beneath Scotland.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  Any result other than a Scotland victory by 16 or more points against the Pumas will end Scottish chances of being top seeds in the RWC draw.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  What Scotland need: Two wins in their remaining games, including defeating Argentina by at least 16 points; any result in England v New Zealand other than an English victory by 16 or more; and Argentina to lose to England.\n<\/p>\n<p>  All the results Scotland need<\/p>\n<p>\n  Setting aside draws for just now, these are the results that Scotland will be looking for over the next two weekends.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  Saturday, November 15:\n<\/p>\n<p>England not to beat New Zealand by 16 or more points<\/p>\n<p>  France to beat Fiji<\/p>\n<p>  Ireland to beat Australia<\/p>\n<p>\n  Sunday, November 16\n<\/p>\n<p>Scotland to beat Argentina by 16 or more points<\/p>\n<p>\n  Saturday, November 22\n<\/p>\n<p>Spain to beat Fiji (backup plan if Fiji beat France)<\/p>\n<p>  France to beat Australia<\/p>\n<p>\n  Sunday, November 23\n<\/p>\n<p>Scotland to beat Tonga<\/p>\n<p>  England to beat Argentina<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"To get there, they must be ranked sixth in the world when the Autumn Nations Series concludes at&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":279442,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[567],"tags":[64,63,760,85],"class_list":{"0":"post-279441","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-rugby","8":"tag-au","9":"tag-australia","10":"tag-rugby","11":"tag-sports"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/279441","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=279441"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/279441\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/279442"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=279441"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=279441"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=279441"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}