{"id":284345,"date":"2025-11-14T16:48:13","date_gmt":"2025-11-14T16:48:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/284345\/"},"modified":"2025-11-14T16:48:13","modified_gmt":"2025-11-14T16:48:13","slug":"how-australias-renewable-energy-rollout-will-keep-power-costs-elevated-for-years-to-come","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/284345\/","title":{"rendered":"How Australia\u2019s renewable energy rollout will keep power costs elevated for years to come"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">Labor likes to go on and on about how renewables are the cheapest form of energy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">It\u2019s a pity Australians aren\u2019t seeing it in their power bills, with average quarterly electricity charges of $500 hardly unusual now for families. That\u2019s even with the Federal Government\u2019s taxpayer-funded $75 quarterly rebates that run until the end of this year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">When the Liberal Party this week joined their junior Coalition partner the Nationals in dumping the net zero by 2050 target, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese declined to say when power bills would fall under Labor, given the 33.9 per cent increase in the year to September 30.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-3mk41m-StyledText eze0guv9\">Sign up to The Nightly&#8217;s newsletters.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-1r9pdr5-StyledSubText eze0guv8\">Get the first look at the digital newspaper, curated daily stories and breaking headlines delivered to your inbox.<\/p>\n<p>By continuing you agree to our <a href=\"https:\/\/thenightly.com.au\/subscription-terms\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Terms<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/sevenwestmedia.com.au\/privacy-policies\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Privacy Policy<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">Instead, he trotted out the usual political spin.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">\u201cWhat we know is that the investment in renewables is the cheapest form of new energy. We know that that\u2019s the case. Business says that that\u2019s the case,\u201d he told reporters.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">An energy economist who advised the Federal Government on renewable energy has told The Nightly it would be at least 15 years before Australians benefited from cheaper power bills.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">The pain would continue because transmission costs, generated by the need to connect this renewable energy, made up a higher proportion of the dreaded bill in coming decades.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">\u201cThis is going to run through the system for a long, long time for probably 15 years,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">\u201cFifteen years of that capital cost being amortised into the system.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">\u201cUnless there\u2019s some sort of miracle, I can\u2019t see how you can get power bills down with the current configuration and the current spend that we\u2019ve got to have to replace all of those old assets.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ca28b5018ce37f208d9ae38e12bccc49a5b679c4-16x9-x0y208w4000h2250.jpg\" alt=\"NSW\u2019s Eraring Power Station is due to close in August 2027.\" class=\"css-16r7l45-StyledImage en5ut4d0\" loading=\"lazy\" height=\"2250\" width=\"4000\"\/>NSW\u2019s Eraring Power Station is due to close in August 2027. Credit: Brendon Thorne\/Bloomberg<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">The closure of coal-fired power stations means new transmission lines \u2014 which take generated electricity from power stations to individual towns and cities \u2014 are being built to feed solar and wind energy into the grid.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">Labor first went to the 2022 election with a plan to spend $20 billion on its Rewiring the Nation program \u2014 a key plank of their first Budget in office.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">The Albanese Government was re-elected resoundingly in May partly after voters rejected the Coalition\u2019s plan for seven nuclear power plants, which would replace coal-fired power stations and keep existing transmission lines.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">As a result, taxpayers and consumers will now ultimately foot a more expensive bill for the capital costs of installing new renewable energy transmission lines as part of Labor\u2019s green energy transition.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">\u201cThe transmission costs are definitely not coming down because we\u2019re building a lot more transmission to get these remote wind and solar sites into the system,\u201d the economist said. \u201cThat\u2019s happening at the same time as you\u2019ve got a hell of a lot of rooftop solar feeding into the system in the middle of the day.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">Building those transmission lines to distribute that renewable energy is a fraught task, with the issue dividing rural landowners, and potentially slowing down progress.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">Before the Federal election, the Australian Energy Regulator estimated the cost of transmission made up just seven per cent of the overall cost of retail electricity bills.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">The costs, as an overall proportion of quarterly electricity bills, may even rise in order to finance the building of new transmission lines.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">It\u2019s true that wholesale electricity costs have been coming down, as more renewable energy has been fed into the grid.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">Wholesale electricity prices averaged $87 a megawatt hour in the September quarter, marking a 27 per cent annual fall, Australian Energy Market Operator data showed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">These wholesale prices make up about a third of the overall cost of quarterly power bills paid by consumers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">Another third of that bill is through the distribution costs of transferring electricity from a local electricity sub-station to someone\u2019s house or apartment.<\/p>\n<p>Don\u2019t forget Paris<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">A decade ago former Liberal PM Tony Abbott signed on to The Paris Agreement, designed to limit global temperature increases to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels by 2100. But they didn\u2019t commit to net zero until 2021 under Scott Morrison.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">The Coalition\u2019s opposition now to net zero could potentially make power companies less inclined to invest in Australia \u2014 even if the Coalition remains committed to reducing carbon emissions, but without a deadline in 25 years\u2019 time.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">\u201cIt\u2019s probably added a bit more uncertainty into the system,\u201d the economist said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">On the day the Liberal Party dumped net zero, Paris-based OECD secretary-general Mathias Cormann, a former Australian finance minister under three Liberal PMs, suggested Australian super funds could be encouraged to invest \u201cin rapidly evolving sectors such as renewable energy\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">Mr Cormann, a former Liberal senator for Western Australia, told the Australian Securities and Investments Commission forum in Melbourne there were \u201copportunities for Australia to go further in unlocking new institutional investor financing for infrastructure projects\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">He contradicted Liberal shadow treasurer Ted O\u2019Brien, an advocate of scrapping net zero, who earlier that morning said super funds should not be talked into investing in projects designed to fulfil Labor\u2019s economic objectives.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">\u201cOne of Jim Chalmers\u2019 very first acts as Treasurer was to convene a meeting of Australia\u2019s big super funds to discuss how they might be able to help the government pursue its agenda,\u201d Mr O\u2019Brien said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">\u201cIt would be the role of super funds to roll out the government\u2019s energy transition.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">\u201cIf it were in their members\u2019 interests, then they should already be doing it. If it were not in their members\u2019 interests, then they should never be doing it.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">Grattan Institute economist Brendan Coates said super funds needed to focus on maximising returns to their members, without being compelled to invest in any particular asset class.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">\u201cWhat you want is a situation where the super fund is solely basing that decision on the basis of the returns they expect from that investment and not to do so, for example, with any sort of pressure or incentive from outside parties to influence what they invest in,\u201d he told The Nightly.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">\u201cI don\u2019t think we should be in a position of second-guessing funds\u2019 investments in particular activities as long as they\u2019re making them solely on a commercial basis.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Back to the future<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">Under Labor, Australia is going back to a system where the Federal Government heavily regulates an industry.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">In this case, its power generation and transmission as the state intervenes to prop up sectors that fulfil political objectives.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">It would be case of back to the future, where previous heavy-handed regulations during the late 20th century saw Australian consumers suffer so certain vested economic interests could be protected.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">Australians paid more for milk until dairy deregulation scrapped fixed farm gate prices 25 years ago.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">Australians paid more for cars until 57 per cent import tariffs were gradually scrapped from 1988.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">Politics over economic common sense had prevailed, with the state dictating how something could be produced, and history is repeating itself in climate change policy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">Labor is hoping for Commonwealth intervention with renewable energy will help it meet a new goal of reducing carbon emissions by 62 to 70 per cent by 2035 on the way to reaching net zero by 2050.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-9czhig-StyledParagraph e4e0a020\">But history shows that intervention in the electricity sector will only lead to more hip pocket pain for years to come, even if there is a noble goal behind tackling global warming.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Labor likes to go on and on about how renewables are the cheapest form of energy. It\u2019s a&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":284346,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[64,63,75,84,128],"class_list":["post-284345","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-environment","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-environment","tag-politics","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/284345","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=284345"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/284345\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/284346"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=284345"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=284345"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=284345"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}