{"id":293268,"date":"2025-11-18T19:50:08","date_gmt":"2025-11-18T19:50:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/293268\/"},"modified":"2025-11-18T19:50:08","modified_gmt":"2025-11-18T19:50:08","slug":"every-clubs-best-and-worst-case-scenarios-picks-bids-trades-analysis-bolters-sliders-order-west-coast-eagles-richmond-tigers-essendon-bombers-melbourne-demons-carlton-blues","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/293268\/","title":{"rendered":"Every club\u2019s best and worst case scenarios, picks, bids, trades, analysis, bolters, sliders, order, West Coast Eagles, Richmond Tigers, Essendon Bombers, Melbourne Demons, Carlton Blues"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The 2025 national draft is finally upon us, as all 18 AFL clubs gain a better understanding of how the two highly-anticipated nights will play out.<\/p>\n<p>A solid draft crop, even if this year\u2019s is compromised, is often the cornerstone of a premiership side. So what recruiters do on draft night can often make or break a club\u2019s future flag hopes.<\/p>\n<p>Foxfooty.com.au breaks down every club\u2019s situation and well and the potential best-case \u2014 and some worst-case \u2014 scenarios they face.<\/p>\n<p>Watch live coverage of the 2025 Telstra AFL Draft on Kayo Sports 19-20 Nov | <a href=\"https:\/\/kayosports.com.au?pg=afl&amp;extcamp=fsaeditoriallinkafl-edt-fsp-lnk-awr-grc-afl-kyo&amp;channel=fsa&amp;campaign=fsacontra&amp;voucher=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">New to Kayo? Join now and get your first month for just $1.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>WHAT&#8217;S GAMBLING REALLY COSTING YOU? Set a deposit limit. For Free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.<\/p>\n<p>ADELAIDE CROWS <\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 16, 48, 55, 64, 73, 75<\/p>\n<p>The 2025 minor premiers go into the draft with one first-round selection at its disposal. But with several exciting South Australian prospects likely to go higher, such as Sam Cumming, Dyson Sharp and Aidan Schubert, could the Crows explore moving up the board from their Pick 16? Adelaide is in fact believed to be keen to move higher up in the first round, with Sharp or Cameron Nairn in their sights. Doing so, and landing Sharp, is probably a best-case-scenario for Adelaide. The midfielder is coming off a massive four-game national carnival, leading his state to a drought-breaking title and winning both the Larke Medal and the SA MVP award as his stocks soared. He could be the perfect emerging on-baller to pair with Sid Draper long-term. But it appears unlikely the Crows will end up moving up the board, for their next pick isn\u2019t until No. 48, and club recruiting manager Hamish Ogilvie told CODE Sports they\u2019d be reluctant to trade a 2026 first-rounder as they \u201cactually like next year\u2019s South Australian group.\u201d It\u2019s more likely local product Mitch Marsh or Victoria\u2019s Archie Ludowyke land in their lap as a long-term replacement for Taylor Walker. If anything, the Crows\u2019 biggest concern involves another draft \u2014 the pre-season draft \u2014 should another club pluck Cal Ah Chee after they couldn&#8217;t strike a deal with Brisbane.<\/p>\n<p>Dyson Sharp of South Australia. Picture: David Mariuz\/AFL Photos via Getty ImagesSource: Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>BRISBANE LIONS <\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 17, 23, 44, 51, 59, 68, 79<\/p>\n<p>It all surrounds Academy prospect Daniel Annable, with the reigning back-to-back premiers are set to get even stronger in a scary prospect for the rest of the league. List manager Dom Ambrogio and his team will be hoping they can get him for the cheapest price possible, but it\u2019s splitting hairs given he\u2019s going to go with one of the early picks. In saying that, the difference between the young gun getting a bid between say Pick 4 and 7 would make a difference. If Annable is the last of the top-tier academy\/father-son prospects to get a bid, which is likely, great. In an even better scenario, he falls past Richmond\u2019s picks and gets nominated by Essendon. The Lions would also be hoping they can find a suitor for Pick 17 as they could split it for later selections and allow them to get another player in the open pool with an earlier pick, instead of it getting entirely swallowed up for Annable. But fail to find a Pick 17 suitor and they\u2019d have leftover picks in the mid-to-late 40s and early 50s after an Annable bid (still, a very good outcome, all things considered, for the best team in the competition).<\/p>\n<p>CARLTON <\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 9, 11, 43, 54, 67, 72<\/p>\n<p>The Blues are set to shake up draft night, with Carlton to trade both its first-round picks \u2014 9 and 11 \u2014 given West Coast is expected to bid on gun father-son prospect Harry Dean as early as Pick 2 or 3. Essendon and North Melbourne are poised to acquire Carlton\u2019s picks in swaps that would effectively see the Blues gather a wider range of selections and draft points, which would largely be used to match bids on Dean and NGA prospect Jack Ison. Prior to the weekend, the Blues would\u2019ve been hoping a Dean bid wouldn\u2019t come until Pick 6 or 7. It would\u2019ve seem the Blues\u2019 Picks 9 and 11 essentially turn into Dean and a pick in the early teens, which they\u2019d use to draft a open-pool player before an Ison bid. But Carlton would now require 2233 points to match a bid at Pick 2 or 1960 points to match a bid at Pick 3, with the latter more likely. Therefore, the worst case scenario is already unravelling, given Dean\u2019s elevated stocks will effectively cost Carlton another first-round player. They\u2019ll hope an Ison bid doesn\u2019t come until, at the earliest, the second round.<\/p>\n<p>Daicos &amp; Warner named in Victoria squad | 01:13<\/p>\n<p>COLLINGWOOD <\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 39, 45, 56, 58, 67<\/p>\n<p>The third-lowest total draft points value of any club. The Pies have just a late second-round pick and several third and fourth-rounders at their disposal in recruiting manager Shane O\u2019Bree\u2019s first draft behind the wheel. The lack of high-end capital makes their draft night a bit of a mystery, outside of their link to key position NGA prospect Zac McCarthy. Though there\u2019s talk Collingwood could look to move up the draft board to get into the first round including links to top South Australian prospect Dyson Sharp. You\u2019d think that would cost them a future first-rounder. So if there\u2019s a first-round talent they really like or a slider in general they want to move up for, doing so could be considered a win. Otherwise, the Pies will be hoping a McCarthy bid comes as a late as possible \u2014 certainly not in the first round \u2014 and Jai Saxena slips through as a rookie. It comes at a crucial time given the void of young talent, outside of Nick Daicos, on their list. Speaking of famous Collingwood names, they opted not to nominate Tom McGuane, son of premiership great Mick McGuane, as a father-son prospect. <\/p>\n<p>ESSENDON <\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 5, 6, 21, 27, 30<\/p>\n<p>If one of Sam Cumming or, more likely, Sullivan Robey, is still on the board at Essendon\u2019s first pick, that\u2019d be a great result for the Bombers. In arguably a perfect world, the best result would be pairing Bombers fan Robey with fellow Eastern Ranges prospects Xavier Taylor and Lachy Dovaston \u2014 less than a week after the trio was seen watching the club\u2019s training session. But South Australian star midfielder Dyson Sharp also looms as a perfect fit both on and off the field, for he could play as early as Round 1 next season, fill an on-ball chasm and help set standards at the club. Keep in the mind the Bombers are set to move up to Pick 9 in a swap with Carlton for selections 21, 27 and 30. That would mean Essendon ends up taking three players in the top 13 to form the crux of their night. They also have two NGA prospects in Adam Sweid, who could get a bid in the first round and force Essendon to go into points deficit, and Hussien El Achkar, who they could get through as a rookie in an ideal situation. So really, when a Sweid bid comes \u2014 and thus how much damage it does by way of points deficit \u2014 is key for a club that doesn\u2019t coming off a bottom four finish.<\/p>\n<p>Lachy Dovaston (left) and Xavier Taylor (right) of the Eastern Ranges. Picture: Michael Willson\/AFL Photos via Getty ImagesSource: Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>FREMANTLE <\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 20, 47<\/p>\n<p>Don\u2019t have much capital in this draft, with the fourth-worst total points value. But they do have a late first-round pick, having effectively split their earlier selection to help them get Judd McVee. That in itself is already good business for a club with no glaring holes and still a very young side across the board. In a perfect world, Freo would love it if South Australian duo Aidan Schubert or Mitch Marsh slipped to their first pick, but it seems an outside chance. They\u2019ve also been linked to club-tied prospects Harry Kyle and Jai Murray, but it seems other teams will get in ahead of them, as well as Beau Addinsall and Lachlan Carmichael. They\u2019d hope NGA prospects Toby Whan and Ryda Luke slip to them as rookies and don\u2019t require using national draft picks.<\/p>\n<p>GEELONG CATS <\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 19, 40, 60, 78<\/p>\n<p>Didn\u2019t plan on having a first-round pick after missing out on Charlie Curnow and Rowan Marshall during the trade window! Best-case scenario is Josh Lindsay, the best Geelong Falcons player in this year\u2019s crop, is still on the board at their natural selection, but it\u2019d be a surprise if he got past the Bulldogs at Pick 20. If they got Lindsay and Ollie Greeves, whose great-great uncle is Cats legend Edward \u2018Carji\u2019 Greeves, that\u2019d be some sort of romantic draft for the Cats. The thing is, they\u2019re one of the most unpredictable clubs on draft night, so they could pull something out of nowhere. The Cats also have two NGA prospects, Jesse Mellor and Ben Rongdit, but neither have huge national draft chances at this stage. Then there\u2019s Hunter Holmes as another player the Cats could consider to pair him with star brother Max. Again, it\u2019s always a bit risky predicting what the Cats will do with, seemingly, a wider range of outcomes than most teams.<\/p>\n<p>Josh Lindsay of Victoria Country. Picture: Rob Lawson\/AFL PhotosSource: AFL Photos<\/p>\n<p>GOLD COAST SUNS <\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 15, 18, 24, 28, 29, 36, 52<\/p>\n<p>Set to further bolster their list after a busy trade period, with five Academy players in their sights. It\u2019s like there\u2019s some sort of factory creating Gold Coast young guns at this point! We know what they need to do on draft night, it\u2019s just a matter of how they manoeuvre it to get all their players in while ideally avoiding going into points deficit. The priorities, clearly, are Zeke Uwland and Dylan Patterson, who are both set to draw bids with the first five picks. From there, the Suns will be crossing their fingers that bids for their other academy prospects \u2014 Jai Murray, Beau Addinsall, and Koby Coulson \u2014 come as late as possible. A Murray bid is likely to come later in the first round, while they\u2019d love Addinsall to push to night two and Coulson late in the draft or even as a rookie pick. A series of pick swaps will give Gold Coast more stock in this draft \u2014 set to be armed with seven picks between No. 15 and 36 \u2014 and increase its points total from 3,773 to 4,299 to help the club land all its players. It\u2019s ideal timing to get all these players in ahead of a tightening of draft rules in 2026, with clubs set to pay a higher price for academy\/father-son-linked bids than ever before. But a West Coast double bid on Murray then Addinsall in the middle of the first round would likely see the latter join the rival club.\ufeff<\/p>\n<p>GWS GIANTS <\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 12, 35<\/p>\n<p>Technically just one selection, No. 12, for the Giants, who\u2019ll complete a pick swap with Gold Coast to add more stock to the Giants\u2019 2026 draft hand. The Giants could go in many different directions with Pick 12, which they moved up two spots to get, so clearly they value a player\/s in that range. But they\u2019re historically difficult to read and aren\u2019t afraid to go against the grain with a bold pick. They\u2019ve been strongly linked to Oskar Taylor, Latrelle Pickett and Sam Grlj as smalls, while Archie Ludowyke could be a tall option. So if all four were available at their spot, that\u2019d be an ideal outcome. The Giants are prepared to trade down the order if their top tier of players are all off the board. When you\u2019re having just one pick at the draft, you\u2019d want the best possible player available to select, so a slide down the other wouldn\u2019t be ideal. Riley Hamilton is the best of the Giants\u2019 top Academy-linked players, so if they could get him through without needing to use a national draft pick, that\u2019d be a win.<\/p>\n<p>Hawks back squad after Merrett chase | 01:09<\/p>\n<p>HAWTHORN <\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 10, 22, 59, 66<\/p>\n<p>The Hawks, whose 10th overall pick will slide back four spots due to earlier matched bids, would be absolutely thrilled if they could land Jacob Farrow as a slider. The rebounding left-footed defender is Western Australia\u2019s top prospect, possessing elite foot skills and the longer-term capability to move into the midfield \u2014 Jordan Dawson-style. He just looks like a Hawks player. In particular, Farrow would be a fruitful addition given Hawthorn saw like-type Changkuoth Jiath leave in the trade window. But even if it\u2019s not Farrow, the Hawks could see someone else slide, such as a Sam Grlj or a Dyson Sharp, and swoop. Sharp could be a like-for-like replacement for the departed James Worpel, who was one of Sharp\u2019s AFL player comparisons as a hard-headed ball-getter. Regardless, Hawthorn can draft for need early on \u2014 an enviable position to be in. Later in the first round, the Hawks could look at a different type of player, such as a potential slider in Ollie Greeves, who the club unsuccessfully tried to gain priority NGA access to this year.<\/p>\n<p>MELBOURNE <\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 7, 8, 37, 63, 65<\/p>\n<p>Mid-sized Eastern Ranges interceptor Xavier Taylor is right in top-10 calculations and is expected to be a strong consideration for the Demons if he\u2019s still available at what\u2019ll end up being Pick 11 after four matched bids in the top 10. Richmond and Essendon both have interest in Taylor ahead of the Dees, but if he slips through, he\u2019s exactly the sort of long-term defensive piece new coach Steven King and company would want to get their hands on \u2014 particularly after the club lost Judd McVee to Fremantle in the trade period and the ageing state of its backline. If one of Sullivan Robey or Sam Cumming slid to Melbourne\u2019s slots, that would also be grand result for the red and blue \u2014 although the likelihood of either of those happening seems less likely than Taylor falling slightly. Otherwise, Lachy Dovaston, Cameron Nairn and Latrelle Pickett \u2014 the cousin of Kysaiah \u2014 should be considerations for the Dees with their second early selection. If the Dees don\u2019t opt for a small forward type with either of their early picks, they could assess the likes of Leon Kickett or the West Coast-tied Tylah Williams with their second-rounder.<\/p>\n<p>Sullivan Robey during the AFL National Combine 2km Time Trial. Picture: Asanka Ratnayake\/AFL Photos\/via Getty ImagesSource: Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>NORTH MELBOURNE <\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 25, 26, 46, 57<\/p>\n<p>Originally without their first-round pick after selling it to Richmond 12 months ago, draft night has become more relevant for the Roos again. A pick swap with Carlton is set to give North Pick 11 \u2014 seven picks after the spot it was originally set to choose from. A best-case could see Alastair Clarkson\u2019s side land small forward Lachy Dovaston, which is an outside chance to secure him at their fresh first-round selection (Pick 11). If they could pair Dovaston with either Blake Thredgold, Aidan Schubert or Archie Ludowyke, if the trio are still on the board with their second pick, that\u2019d cap off a successful night for Brady Rawlings and his recruiting team. You could argue the worst has already played out for North in how it gambled on itself having a better year in 2025 but ultimately finished 16th and, thus, handed Richmond the pick tied to it. But it mightn\u2019t necessarily be a disaster. The Roos will have essentially come away with key defender Matt Whitlock, who\u2019ll take some time to develop, over the likes of Sullivan Robey, Sam Cumming and Xavier Taylor or whoever is available at Richmond\u2019s second pick, which will technically be the fourth chosen player in the open draft.<\/p>\n<p>PORT ADELAIDE<\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 49<\/p>\n<p>Just one pick with some value, No. 49, as things stand, but even that\u2019s going to get pushed into next year in a looming swap with Gold Coast. It\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxsports.com.au\/afl\/afl-trades-2025-in-and-under-column-sydney-carlton-discuss-charlie-curnow-at-trade-meeting-jaxon-binns-on-market-aaron-francis-interest-from-gws-port-adelaide-draft-plans\/news-story\/973167f102a81d0ddc3f2d7ddb83368b\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">part of a wider plan for the Power dating back 12 months ago<\/a> when the Power targeted the 2024 draft and had three picks \u2014 Joe Berry (15), Jack Whitlock (33) and Christian Moraes (38) \u2014 inside the first two rounds. The club is also keen to prioritise the 2026 and 2027 drafts, with academy and father-son ties to Dougie Cochrane (2026), Louis Salopek, Tevita Rodan and Zemes Pilot (all 2027). So think of it as a wider four-year recruiting scheme as Josh Carr takes the reins as senior coach. Based on finishing positions in the season just gone, Port currently has the third-most total draft points value of any club in the 2026 draft. And they\u2019ll need it to ensure they get Cochrane, having recently gotten the green light from the AFL to have NGA access to the young star after he and his family explored their Indigenous heritage, with the tightening of draft rules around matching bids.<\/p>\n<p>Xavier Taylor of the Eastern Ranges, Samuel Grlj of the Oakleigh Chargers and Lachy Dovaston of the Eastern Ranges. Picture: Michael Willson\/AFL Photos via Getty ImagesSource: Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>RICHMOND<\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 3, 4, 38, 68<\/p>\n<p>The Tigers are set to gain two more young guns just one year after snagging seven 18-year-olds in the draft\u2019s first 28 picks. While their third and fourth overall selections are set to slide four spots due to matched bids inside the top 10, Richmond seems likely to pick two of Sam Cumming, Sullivan Robey, Xavier Taylor and Sam Grlj, with rebounder Jacob Farrow linked to one of Richmond\u2019s picks late in the pre-draft process. It\u2019d be hard to go wrong with any of those names. Robey and Cumming are centre-forward types who\u2019ll add a dynamic attacking element wherever they land, while Taylor is a mid-sized interceptor with offensive capability and Grlj is a back-half line-breaker. Regardless, after the Tigers\u2019 first-round involvements, a best-case scenario would see them land father-son prospect Louis Kellaway late in proceedings without having to match a rival bid. On the other hand, having to match a bid wouldn\u2019t be ideal. Richmond would also be absolutely thrilled if it landed small forward Latrelle Pickett with its third choice, having been in on now-Sydney forward Malcolm Rosas ahead of the trade period. <\/p>\n<p>ST KILDA<\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 50, 65<\/p>\n<p>A busy trade period has left the Saints with very limited capital. In fact, they have the lowest total draft points value of any club. It\u2019s unlikely, but the Saints could find a way to get back into the first round. Particularly with the potential to pluck Jevan Phillipou, younger brother of Mattaes, who could be picked up late in the first round at the earliest. Best-case scenario would be Phillipou just slides to that pick! That\u2019d be a cool and romantic story as much as anything. The other watch is when Kye Fincher, who the Saints have NGA links to and is expected to get a bid in the 30s, attracts attention. If it comes after Pick 36, St Kilda could match with its next selection. If not, the club will need to make a call on whether it goes for Fincher. Bearing in mind that could mean going into points deficit in 2026 \u2014 and the Saints are already without their second-round pick next year.<\/p>\n<p>Do Ross Lyon\u2019s Saints have a surprise in mind? Picture: Michael Willson\/AFL Photos via Getty ImagesSource: Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>SYDNEY SWANS<\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 31, 32, 42, 63<\/p>\n<p>Their draft night surrounds navigating a delicate bidding situation with Academy quartet \u2014 Harry Kyle, Lachlan Carmichael, Max King and Noah Chamberlain \u2014 namely the former trio, who could draw bids in the top 35. Or, in an even worse scenario, there\u2019s a chance the trio all draw bids on night one. Kyle, who has interest from cross-town rival GWS with its first pick, is set to receive the earliest bid. Then, the Swans might need to make a hard call on Carmichael or King, depending on when those bids come. A Bulldogs bid on Carmichael at Pick 14 would be far from ideal for the Bulldogs. Meanwhile Chamberlain could be attained with a late pick or even slip through as a rookie. It comes after Sydney\u2019s trade period juggling act where in securing Charlie Curnow while keeping some stock in the draft.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>WEST COAST EAGLES<\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 1, 2, 13, 34, 41, 58<\/p>\n<p>In a perfect world, the Eagles probably land Blues father-son gun Harry Dean, who\u2019d fill a key defender need. But the Blues will be well prepared to match. Outside of that, the Eagles could land top two priorities Willem Duursma and Cooper Duff-Tytler then find a way to move Pick 13 up the order to take Dyson Sharp \u2014 one of the best on-ballers in this year\u2019s draft pool. Ultimately, it\u2019s hard to lose if you have the first two picks (at least, in the open draft), but a bid on top NGA prospect Tylah Williams at, say, Pick 12 from the Giants would leave the Eagles in a tricky spot. Ideally, they\u2019d like Williams to slip to the second round.<\/p>\n<p>Willem Duursma of Vic Country.Source: Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>WESTERN BULLDOGS<\/p>\n<p>Current draft hand: 14, 33, 53, 70, 74<\/p>\n<p>The Dogs have been heavily linked to half-backs at their first selection. So it\u2019d be ideal if one of Josh Lindsay and Oskar Taylor was still on the board at their selection. If both are gone, the Dogs could bid on Swans academy defender Lachlan Carmichael, who they clearly have interest in but, for most rival clubs, is ranked below Lindsay and Taylor. The Dogs would love it if father-son prospect Will Darcy \u2014 the son of Luke and brother of Sam \u2014 didn\u2019t receive a national draft bid, which would allow the club to either select him with their last national draft pick or even rookie him.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The 2025 national draft is finally upon us, as all 18 AFL clubs gain a better understanding 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