{"id":30800,"date":"2025-07-29T20:33:09","date_gmt":"2025-07-29T20:33:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/30800\/"},"modified":"2025-07-29T20:33:09","modified_gmt":"2025-07-29T20:33:09","slug":"free-mlb-home-run-picks-odds-lines-for-july-29-alex-bregman-among-best-bets-for-tuesday-hr-player-props","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/30800\/","title":{"rendered":"Free MLB home run picks, odds, lines for July 29: Alex Bregman among best bets for Tuesday HR player props"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Boston Red Sox<\/a> signed Alex Bregman<\/a> to a three-year, $120 million contract this offseason, and he’s been producing like a $40M per year player outside of a seven-week stretch where he was out because of a quad injury. Bregman is slashing .300\/.374\/.554 with 14 home runs and 44 RBI in 63 games this season, and he’s homered in each of his last two games entering a Tuesday matchup with the Minnesota Twins<\/a>. However, you can still find Bregman priced as high as +450 in the Tuesday MLB home run odds, and we’re riding the hot hand with him as one of our top MLB HR picks. Boston’s third baseman has posted at least one hit in 10 of his last 12 outings and is +225 to record 2+ hits on Tuesday.\u00a0<\/p>\n

MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various\u00a0sportsbooks<\/a>, and SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value for your MLB betting<\/a> picks. New users can also use the latest FanDuel promo code<\/a> to receive $150 in bonus bets if their first wager of $5 or more wins<\/a>\u00a0and take advantage of one of the top\u00a0sportsbook promos<\/a>:<\/p>\n

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It’s up 45.85 units on its individual MLB HR picks this season and has called two three-leg parlays paying at least 80-1 this season. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their betting<\/a>\u00a0projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Tuesday.\u00a0You can find even more picks in their daily blog<\/a>. You can also check out our MLB longshot picks<\/a> for Orioles vs. Blue Jays<\/a> (Game 1) and Mets vs. Padres<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Best MLB home run picks for Tuesday, July 29: <\/p>\n

Alex Bregman, Red Sox (+450)<\/p>\n

The 31-year-old made his third MLB All-Star team this season, and he’s having the best statistical year of his career since finishing as the AL MVP runner-up in 2019. He returned from the IL on July 11, and he’s starting to find his power stroke of late, going 10-for-27 with three home runs over his last eight games.<\/p>\n

“Bregman has nine HRs in just 31 road games this season, and he has 12 of his 14 HRs on the season against right-handed pitchers,” SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner said. “We set Bregman’s line to homer at +350.” You can find the best price on Bregman to homer at BetMGM, where new users can get up to $1,500 in bonus bets<\/a> if their first bet loses with the latest BetMGM promo code<\/a>:<\/p>\n

Ketel Marte, Diamondbacks (+450)<\/p>\n

The Diamondbacks are in sell mode, but Marte is locked into a relatively team-friendly deal through 2030 and there’s no indication that he’ll be going anywhere at the MLB trade deadline. That’s good news for Marte, who has transformed into one of the best switch-hitters in baseball after beginning his career as a light-hitting utility man in Seattle. He’s been a staple of our MLB home run picks this season, and we’re going back to the well on Tuesday.<\/p>\n

“Marte has a 1.021 OPS and 15 of his 20 HRs against right-handed pitchers. He’s also raking on the road, where he has 11 HRs in just 39 games,” Fetner said. “Casey Mize<\/a> is coming off back-to-back rough starts. He has allowed 10 earned runs over seven innings in his last two starts.” The model sets Marte’s line at +310, but you can find this price now at BetMGM<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Matt Wallner, Twins (+425)<\/p>\n

The left-handed hitting Wallner has platooned against right-handed pitching in recent years and had incredible success in doing so. He’s hit 35 of his 41 career home runs off of righties and done so in only 557 at-bats while posting a .891 career OPS against them compared to a .591 OPS against lefties. He’ll take on a struggling righty on Tuesday in Lucas Giolito<\/a>.<\/p>\n

“Giolito has allowed five HRs over his last two starts, including four in his most recent start,” Fetner said. “Wallner is having a decent July with five HRs in 21 games, and we set his line at +368 to hit a HR today.” DraftKings is offering the best price here<\/a>, and you can also get $150 in bonus bets instantly after your first $5 wager with this DraftKings promo code<\/a>:<\/p>\n

Where to bet MLB props on Tuesday<\/p>\n

Here is a look at betting sites<\/a> that will offer MLB HR props on Tuesday: <\/p>\n

More MLB picks for Tuesday <\/p>\n

You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop picks for several players on Tuesday. Now,\u00a0get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine<\/a>. <\/p>\n

Need more from SportsLine? See today’s best MLB picks from SportsLine’s Bruce Marshall<\/a>, who is on a 67-58-1 roll (+1460) on MLB picks.\u00a0 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Boston Red Sox signed Alex Bregman to a three-year, $120 million contract this offseason, and he’s been…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":30801,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[558],"tags":[5154,592,64,63,615,5156,7815,28971,2364,591,85],"class_list":["post-30800","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mlb","tag-alex-bregman","tag-arizona-diamondbacks","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-betting","tag-boston-red-sox","tag-ketel-marte","tag-matt-wallner","tag-minnesota-twins","tag-mlb","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30800","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30800"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30800\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/30801"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30800"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30800"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30800"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}