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, and all fantasy advice is geared toward ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring<\/a>.<\/p>\nNote: All information is accurate as of the time of publication. For updates, including what you might have missed from last night, as well as any breaking news that might impact today’s MLB slate, be sure to check out the latest fantasy baseball news<\/a>.<\/p>\n Jump to: Pitching notes<\/a> | Hitting notes<\/a> | Betting tips<\/a> Pitchers to stream on Wednesday<\/p>\n Jose Soriano<\/a> emerged from the break with two quality starts, albeit with just 10 strikeouts over those 13 frames. With the Los Angeles Angels<\/a> hosting the Texas Rangers<\/a>, the right-hander enjoys a favorable matchup to maintain his momentum. The Rangers’ offense sports the sixth lowest wOBA with a righty on the hill. <\/p>\n Brayan Bello<\/a> is credited with eight quality starts, though he deserves another for completing six innings while allowing just three runs after coming in to resume a suspended game last month. The Boston Red Sox<\/a> wrap up a three-game road set with the Minnesota Twins<\/a>, giving Bello a solid shot at another quality start as he’ll square off with a below average offense that could be playing without Byron Buxton<\/a>.<\/p>\n Zack Littell<\/a> is No. 5 on Wednesday’s starting pitcher rankings for the Tampa Bay Rays<\/a> in their road date with the New York Yankees<\/a>. Part of the favorable listing is due to the Yankees being without slugger Aaron Judge<\/a>, but even without his power, the club still ranks sixth in the league in home run rate. The long ball is Littell’s Achilles heel as he’s surrendered a career-high 26 homers in only 128 1\/3 innings, though only five have occurred over his last 41 2\/3 frames.<\/p>\n Pitchers to avoid on Wednesday<\/p>\n Shohei Ohtani<\/a> is getting closer, but he’s still not ready to be deployed as a conventional starter, limiting his utility as a pitcher in most formats. He completed three frames in each of his prior two outings, logging 46 pitches in his most recent effort. He’s likely going to add another inning (around 15 pitches), but that’s still not enough to qualify for a possible win when the Los Angeles Dodgers<\/a> wrap up a series in the Great American Ballpark against the Cincinnati Reds<\/a>.<\/p>\n Today’s best matchups for pitchers<\/p>\n Washington Nationals<\/a> pitchers vs. Astros hitters San Francisco Giants<\/a> pitchers vs. Pirates hitters Cleveland Guardians<\/a> pitchers vs. Rockies hitters Today’s worst matchups for pitchers<\/p>\n Cincinnati Reds<\/a> pitchers vs. Dodgers hitters Toronto Blue Jays<\/a> pitchers vs. Orioles hitters Chicago White Sox<\/a> pitchers vs. Phillies hitters Hitters to stream on WednesdayToday’s best matchups for hitters<\/p>\n Baltimore Orioles<\/a> LHB vs. Blue Jays pitchers Los Angeles Dodgers<\/a> RHB vs. Reds pitchers Chicago White Sox RHB vs. Phillies pitchers Today’s worst matchups for hitters<\/p>\n Pittsburgh Pirates<\/a> batters vs. Giants pitchers Chicago Cubs<\/a> RHB vs. Brewers pitchers Athletics Athletics<\/a> RHB vs. Mariners pitchers Betting tips<\/p>\n Best\/worst pitcher\/hitter matchups and betting projections are generated by THE BAT X, a system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing, and lots more. Betting projections for every player, team, and game can be found at EV Analytics.<\/p>\n Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to wager $1.00 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.<\/p>\n Today’s top HR prop bets<\/p>\n Brenton Doyle<\/a> | OVER 0.5 HR (+800) Taylor Ward<\/a> | OVER 0.5 HR (+475) Lawrence Butler<\/a> | OVER 0.5 HR (+425) Today’s top pitcher prop bets<\/p>\n Ryan Gusto<\/a> | OVER 4.5 K (-105) Joey Wentz<\/a> | OVER 3.5 K (-115)
Reliever depth chart<\/a> | Start a new league<\/a><\/p>\n
Offense: B | Park: B | Umpire: C | Temperature: C+ | Wind: C | Away
The average pitcher would post a 3.88 ERA in this matchup.<\/p>\n
Offense: C | Park: C | Umpire: B | Temperature: B+ | Wind: F | Home
The average pitcher would post a 3.92 ERA in this matchup.<\/p>\n
Offense: A | Park: D | Umpire: C | Temperature: D | Wind: B | Home
The average pitcher would post a 3.92 ERA in this matchup.<\/p>\n
Offense: F | Park: F | Umpire: B | Temperature: D- | Wind: C | Home
The average pitcher would post a 5.80 ERA in this matchup.<\/p>\n
Offense: F | Park: D | Umpire: B | Temperature: F | Wind: D | Away
The average pitcher would post a 5.62 ERA in this matchup.<\/p>\n
Offense: F | Park: D | Umpire: D | Temperature: D+ | Wind: C | Home
The average pitcher would post a 5.15 ERA in this matchup.<\/p>\n
SP: B | Bullpen: D | Park: B | Umpire: D | Framing: D | Temperature: A+ | Wind: B | Home
The average hitter would post a .348 wOBA in this matchup.<\/p>\n
SP: C | Bullpen: C | Park: A | Umpire: D | Framing: B | Temperature: A | Wind: C | Away
The average hitter would post a .347 wOBA in this matchup.<\/p>\n
SP: A | Bullpen: C | Park: B | Umpire: A | Framing: C | Temperature: C | Wind: C | Home
The average hitter would post a .346 wOBA in this matchup.<\/p>\n
SP: F | Bullpen: F | Park: C | Umpire: F | Framing: F | Temperature: D | Wind: A | Away
The average hitter would post a .277 wOBA in this matchup.<\/p>\n
SP: F | Bullpen: C | Park: F | Umpire: B | Framing: D | Temperature: C | Wind: C | Away
The average hitter would post a .278 wOBA in this matchup.<\/p>\n
SP: F | Bullpen: C | Park: B | Umpire: D | Framing: B | Temperature: B | Wind: A | Home
The average hitter would post a .288 wOBA in this matchup.<\/p>\n
Projection: 13% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.12 EV
One reason to bet this: Doyle has a ton of pop (77th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28.2 K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kolby Allard<\/a> has a pitch-to-contact profile (16th percentile K%), which is great news for Doyle.<\/p>\n
Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $7.58 EV
One reason to bet this: Extreme flyball hitters like Ward tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi<\/a>.<\/p>\n
Projection: 20% chance of this bet hitting, with a $3.95 EV
One reason to bet this: Over the past week, Butler’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 21.4%.<\/p>\n
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.09 EV
One reason to bet this: Gusto’s fastball spin rate of 2,427 rpm grades out in the 82nd percentile this year.<\/p>\n
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $3.29 EV
One reason to bet this: The Royals have three bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per my projections) (John Rave<\/a>, Tyler Tolbert<\/a>, Luke Maile<\/a>).<\/p>\n