{"id":356256,"date":"2025-12-18T14:58:29","date_gmt":"2025-12-18T14:58:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/356256\/"},"modified":"2025-12-18T14:58:29","modified_gmt":"2025-12-18T14:58:29","slug":"re-engineering-the-disordered-mind-clinical-experimentation-dynamical-systems-and-ai-for-personalized-psychiatry","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/356256\/","title":{"rendered":"Re-engineering the disordered mind: clinical experimentation, dynamical systems, and AI for personalized psychiatry"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Despite decades of research, progress in neuropsychiatric treatment has plateaued, and efforts to identify reliable biomarkers have often produced inconsistent or non-replicable results [<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 1\" title=\"Hofmann SG, Kasch C, Reis A. Effect sizes of randomized-controlled studies of cognitive behavioral therapy for anxiety disorders over the past 30 years. Clin Psychol Rev. 2025;117:102553.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#ref-CR1\" id=\"ref-link-section-d55467092e738\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a>, <a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 2\" title=\"Winter NR, Blanke J, Leenings R, Ernsting J, Fisch L, Sarink K, et al. A systematic evaluation of machine learning&#x2013;based biomarkers for major depressive disorder. JAMA Psychiat. 2024;81:386&#x2013;95.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#ref-CR2\" id=\"ref-link-section-d55467092e741\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2<\/a>]. This persistent challenge suggests that current conceptual frameworks may be limited, calling for a fundamental rethinking of how we understand and intervene in mental disorders.<\/p>\n<p>Evidence from neuroimaging and AI now points toward a promising alternative: both neural activity and behavior evolve on reproducible low-dimensional manifolds, shaped by interactions across brain, body, and environment [<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 3\" title=\"Perich MG, Narain D, Gallego JA. A neural manifold view of the brain. Nat Neurosci. 2025;1:16.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#ref-CR3\" id=\"ref-link-section-d55467092e747\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">3<\/a>]. These findings motivate a shift from symptom- or network-based models toward a geometry-based framework for psychiatry.<\/p>\n<p>In this framework, mental states are conceived not as static entities but as dynamic trajectories on smooth, embedded manifolds within high-dimensional state space. This marks a key departure from mainstream neuropsychiatric models: we posit that mental states themselves\u2014such as the experience of mental well-being\u2014are time-evolving trajectories in a dynamical systems framework (see Supplementary Table\u00a0<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"supplementary material anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#MOESM1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1<\/a> for definitions of related terminology and their relation to neuropsychiatry). For example, in the simplified linear case (Eqs.\u00a0<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"equation anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#Equ4\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">4<\/a>, <a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"equation anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#Equ5\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">5<\/a>), mental well-being may correspond to an eigenmode with a characteristic time constant governed by the system\u2019s eigenvalue. The geometry of these manifolds, defined by their topology and curvature, thus shapes how cognitive and affective processes evolve over time (Fig.\u00a0<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"figure anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#Fig1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1A<\/a>). Psychopathology, in turn, may not be reducible to localized deficits or isolated dysfunctions; rather, it emerges from maladaptive manifold landscapes. We, therefore, use the term \u201cfeatures of psychopathology\u201d instead of symptoms; a second critical distinction. Unlike the symptom concept, which presupposes an underlying latent disease entity, our manifold perspective does not assume such a hidden substrate. Instead, it treats psychopathology as observable trajectories in cognitive\u2013affective and behavioral state spaces. Features, therefore, refer to measurable expressions of psychopathology without committing to a disease-centered ontology. For example, depressive states may correspond to multiple overlapping basins of attraction whose boundaries do not map neatly onto individual features (and by extension onto symptoms). This perspective aligns with transdiagnostic initiatives such as Research Domain Criteria (RDoC [<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 4\" title=\"Insel T, Cuthbert B, Garvey M, Heinssen R, Pine DS, Quinn K, et al. Research Domain Criteria (RDoC): toward a new classification framework for research on mental disorders. Am J Psychiatry. 2010;167:748&#x2013;51.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#ref-CR4\" id=\"ref-link-section-d55467092e765\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">4<\/a>]), which emphasize mechanisms and processes over categorical checklists.<\/p>\n<p>Fig. 1: From features to manifolds: a dynamical framework for personalized psychiatry.<a class=\"c-article-section__figure-link\" data-test=\"img-link\" data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"image\" data-track-action=\"view figure\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z\/figures\/1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"Fig1\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/41386_2025_2303_Fig1_HTML.png\" alt=\"figure 1\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"685\" height=\"422\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>A Conceptual frameworks for understanding and treating mental disorders. Traditional View (left): Disorders are described as collections of discrete features of psychopathology (which are traditionally conceptualized as symptoms), with interventions targeting each in isolation. Network &amp; Dynamical Systems (center): Features of psychopathology emerge from interacting networks; interventions aim to shift trajectories within an underlying landscape. Manifold Transformation (right): Features of psychopathology reflect trajectories on low-dimensional manifolds shaped by brain\u2013behavior dynamics; interventions reshape the geometry of these manifolds to stabilize healthy states. B Proposed closed-loop framework. N-of-1 clinical designs collect individualized data to train adaptive AI models that learn each patient\u2019s manifold. These models guide and optimize personalized interventions in real time, dynamically aligning treatments to stabilize resilient trajectories.<\/p>\n<p>Importantly, our proposed framework suggests a novel treatment goal: whereas conventional interventions typically aim to shift patients from one state to another, a manifold-based approach would instead target the geometry itself: re-engineering the underlying dynamical landscape to stabilize adaptive trajectories and prevent maladaptive ones. To formalize this engineering perspective, let the intrinsic fluctuations of noise-averaged state space be described by a system of ordinary differential equations:<\/p>\n<p>where \\(x\\in {R}^{n}\\) denotes the system\u2019s state (e.g., neural activity, cognitive load, features of psychopathology), \\(\\dot{x}=\\frac{{dx}}{{dt}}\\) its temporal evolution, and \\(f(x)\\) the intrinsic dynamics. An intervention can then be modeled as a control input \\(u\\), yielding the general form<\/p>\n<p>$$\\dot{x}=f(x)+g(x,u)$$<\/p>\n<p>\n                    (2)\n                <\/p>\n<p>where \\(g(x,u)\\) captures how external perturbations (e.g., therapy, pharmacology, stimulation) modify the system\u2019s trajectories. Such perturbations deform the latent manifold by altering the flow field defined by \\(f(x)\\), thereby reshaping both the local stability and global accessibility of mental states. More concretely, when the system admits a gradient description:<\/p>\n<p>$$\\dot{x}=-\\nabla V(x)-\\nabla W(x,u)$$<\/p>\n<p>\n                    (3)\n                <\/p>\n<p>where \\(V(x)\\) represents the intrinsic energy landscape and \\(W(x,u)\\) its modification under intervention, reshaping \\(V(x)\\) alters the probability and stability of mental states, which mathematically defines our definition of manifold reshaping. This formulation complements network-theoretic models of mental disorders [<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 5\" title=\"Borsboom D. A network theory of mental disorders. World Psychiatry. 2017;16:5&#x2013;13.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#ref-CR5\" id=\"ref-link-section-d55467092e1213\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">5<\/a>] by embedding feature interactions within a dynamical manifold framework. In the linear case where both \\(f\\) and \\(g\\) are linear, the system reduces to<\/p>\n<p>$$\\dot{x}={Ax}+{Bu}$$<\/p>\n<p>\n                    (4)\n                <\/p>\n<p>where \\(A\\) encodes the system structure, and \\(B\\) defines how inputs influence dynamics. With optimal state feedback control \\(u=-{Kx}\\), the closed-loop system becomes:<\/p>\n<p>$$\\dot{x}=(A-{BK})x$$<\/p>\n<p>\n                    (5)\n                <\/p>\n<p>Here, the effective system matrix becomes \\({A}_{{intervened}}=A-{BK}\\), enabling stabilization of desired trajectories through adaptive intervention design.<\/p>\n<p>To enable personalized psychiatry from this framework, we argue for a closed-loop paradigm in which interventions inform models, and models in turn guide subsequent interventions (Fig.\u00a0<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-track-action=\"figure anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#Fig1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1B<\/a>). The value of a model lies not only in its predictive accuracy but in its capacity to regulate and stabilize desired trajectories. According to the Good Regulator Theorem of Conant and Ashby [<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 6\" title=\"Conant RC, Ross Ashby W. Every good regulator of a system must be a model of that system. Int J Syst Sci. 1970;1:89&#x2013;97.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#ref-CR6\" id=\"ref-link-section-d55467092e1439\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">6<\/a>], every effective regulator must embody a model of the system it regulates. Consequently, the focus of modeling attempts shifts from forecasting short-term mood fluctuations to constructing generative models that are sufficiently expressive to stabilize desirable attractors within the cognitive\u2013affective manifold\u2014such as remission, resilience, or relapse prevention. Beyond its theoretical appeal, this approach also provides a practically necessary framework for clinical application and may help address a central problem in neuroscience-based psychiatry: the lack of reproducible and prospective validation. In contrast to conventional approaches, closed-loop designs embed validation directly within the control process. Each adaptive intervention constitutes a prediction about how the system will respond to a defined perturbation, and the subsequent observation of that response provides immediate empirical feedback. This recursive prediction\u2013perturbation\u2013measurement cycle implements adaptive experimental design, ensuring that models are continuously tested, refined, and validated against real-world data.<\/p>\n<p>Active interventions further provide a second key advantage: they dramatically improve sample efficiency: passive observation requires exponentially many samples to approximate the global landscape, \\(n\\sim {e}^{\\triangle V\/T}\\), where \\(n\\) is the number of required samples, \\(\\triangle V\\) denotes the energy barrier separating attractor states, and \\(T\\) is an effective noise or \u201ctemperature\u201d parameter, following the Gibbs distribution \\(\\pi (x)\\propto {e}^{-\\triangle V\/T}\\). In contrast, targeted perturbations can deliberately drive the system into undersampled regions, thereby reducing the sample complexity to \\(n\\gtrsim {klog}(d)\\), for a \\(k\\)-dimensional manifold embedded in \\({R}^{d}\\), where \\(k\\) is the intrinsic dimensionality of the manifold and \\(d\\) is the dimensionality of the ambient space. This formal relationship highlights the importance of interventional closed-loop designs in psychiatry.<\/p>\n<p>Two theoretical and experimental aspects are central to this approach. First, hypotheses within this framework are formulated dynamically, in terms of the geometry and evolution of manifolds. They address properties such as manifold complexity, attractor depth, bifurcation thresholds, and hysteresis during recovery, and are tested through controlled perturbations that probe how the manifold evolves over time. Model validity is evaluated by whether the resulting trajectory changes\u2014such as stabilization or transitions between attractors\u2014align with model predictions and whether these geometric properties correspond to specific features of psychopathology. This approach differs fundamentally from traditional pre\u2013post comparisons, which capture only static snapshots rather than the full trajectories of change. Second, the framework requires longitudinal, densely sampled data. Increasing evidence indicates that neuropsychiatric dynamics unfold on relatively fast timescales, and principles from signal processing show that sparse sampling introduces aliasing, preventing accurate reconstruction of underlying system dynamics [<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 7\" title=\"Durstewitz D, Koppe G, Thurm MI. Reconstructing computational system dynamics from neural data with recurrent neural networks. Nat Rev Neurosci. 2023;1:18.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#ref-CR7\" id=\"ref-link-section-d55467092e1665\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">7<\/a>].<\/p>\n<p>Consequently, our approach prioritizes densely sampled, deeply phenotyped individuals monitored over extended periods (weeks to months) rather than large cross-sectional cohorts with limited temporal resolution. Analyses of thousands of daily ecological momentary assessment (EMA) items suggest that weekly sampling already satisfies Nyquist\u2013Shannon criteria for most clinical purposes; more frequent measurement may be necessary in selected patients or phases, which can be determined adaptively [<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 8\" title=\"Jamalabadi H, et al. Optimizing the frequency of ecological momentary assessments using signal processing. Psychol Med. 2025;55:e358.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#ref-CR8\" id=\"ref-link-section-d55467092e1671\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">8<\/a>]. AI tools can increasingly infer relevant manifold features from wearable passive data streams (e.g., heart-rate variability, activity, sleep), thereby reducing active patient burden to a minimum. When optimized, patient burden remains comparable to\u2014or even lower than\u2014current intensive outpatient or day-clinic programs. Because mobile apps, wearables, and cloud-based clinical platforms already exist at scale [<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 9\" title=\"Emden D, Goltermann J, Dannlowski U, Hahn T, Opel N. Technical feasibility and adherence of the Remote Monitoring Application in Psychiatry (ReMAP) for the assessment of affective symptoms. J Affect Disord. 2021;294:652&#x2013;60.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#ref-CR9\" id=\"ref-link-section-d55467092e1674\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">9<\/a>]; successful implementation therefore hinges primarily on establishing robust data-protection policies and clinical workflows rather than developing entirely new technological systems.<\/p>\n<p>Third, successful implementation depends on the design of interventions. Controlling complex systems is rarely intuitive; it demands simulation and optimization [<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 10\" title=\"D&#x2019;Souza RM, Di Bernardo M, Liu Y-Y. Controlling complex networks with complex nodes. Nat Rev Phys. 2023;5:250&#x2013;62.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#ref-CR10\" id=\"ref-link-section-d55467092e1680\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">10<\/a>]. Translation into clinical practice thus shifts the clinician\u2019s role from symptom-oriented treatment selection toward training and deploying individualized \u201csurrogate\u201d AI models of each patient\u2019s cognitive\u2013affective manifold [<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 11\" title=\"Luo Z, Peng K, Liang Z, Cai S, Xu C, Li D, et al. Mapping effective connectivity by virtually perturbing a surrogate brain. Nat Methods. 2025;22:1376&#x2013;1385.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#ref-CR11\" id=\"ref-link-section-d55467092e1683\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">11<\/a>]. These surrogates can be initialized from foundational models pretrained on population-level data and fine-tuned using a short series of targeted N-of-1 perturbations (e.g., single-session therapy, single-dose pharmacological challenges, or brief neuromodulation combined with dense EMA and neuroimaging). AI-based controllers can model alternative perturbation scenarios, identify optimal interventions, and apply them across modalities such as neuromodulation, pharmacology, or psychotherapy [<a data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"reference anchor\" data-track-label=\"link\" data-test=\"citation-ref\" aria-label=\"Reference 12\" title=\"Fechtelpeter J, Rauschenberg C, Jalalabadi H, Boecking B, van Amelsvoort T, Reininghaus U, et al. A control theoretic approach to evaluate and inform ecological momentary interventions. Int J Methods Psychiatr Res. 2024;33:e70001.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41386-025-02303-z#ref-CR12\" id=\"ref-link-section-d55467092e1686\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">12<\/a>].<\/p>\n<p>We, therefore, propose a recursive framework consisting of: (i) designing N-of-1 longitudinal interventions; (ii) modeling individual brain\u2013behavior dynamics; (iii) using generative AI to simulate perturbations and counterfactuals; and (iv) optimizing the next round of interventions based on model outputs. Within this loop, individualized therapies become a control engineering problem defined over latent manifolds inferred from real-time data.<\/p>\n<p>This adaptive framework enables models to evolve into better regulators over time. Mental health is thus redefined not as the absence of features of psychopathology but as the ability to sustain adaptive trajectories under perturbation \u2014that is, to recover and maintain resilience. The clinical aim thus shifts from feature reduction to stabilizing healthy dynamics within the cognitive\u2013affective landscape, and psychopathology is reconceptualized as a loss of regulatory capacity, manifesting as rigid, maladaptive trajectories.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Despite decades of research, progress in neuropsychiatric treatment has plateaued, and efforts to identify reliable biomarkers have often&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":356257,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[64,63,37016,104905,44639,1325,14262,7407,4011,5566,104904,27393,11428,128],"class_list":["post-356256","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-science","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-behavioral-sciences","tag-biological-psychology","tag-biomarkers","tag-general","tag-medical-research","tag-medicine-public-health","tag-neuroscience","tag-neurosciences","tag-pharmacotherapy","tag-psychiatry","tag-psychology","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/356256","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=356256"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/356256\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/356257"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=356256"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=356256"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=356256"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}