{"id":366507,"date":"2025-12-23T10:54:10","date_gmt":"2025-12-23T10:54:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/366507\/"},"modified":"2025-12-23T10:54:10","modified_gmt":"2025-12-23T10:54:10","slug":"why-jannik-sinner-will-win-australian-open-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/366507\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Jannik Sinner will win Australian Open 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>He may slot in at No.2, but metrics suggest Sinner was the game\u2019s true benchmark, finishing the year No.1 in the ATP\u2019s serve, return and pressure metrics. In his eighth year on tour, he refined his return positioning and grew more composed in long, high-stakes rallies.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Despite averaging a modest six aces a match, Sinner\u2019s serve is unforgiving. His bendy frame coils, then snaps open, winning nearly 80% of points behind first delivery, 59% behind his second, and closes out a whopping 92% of service games.<\/p>\n<p>At the other end, Alcaraz\u2019s gifted anticipation gives him a slight edge on first-serve reads. But nobody punishes a missed first serve more ruthlessly than Sinner, who wins a tour-best 58% of second-serve points.<\/p>\n<p>There are fleeting pockets of opportunity when facing Sinner. Nobody understands that better than Zverev, whose matches with the world No.2 are always tense.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHe had two chances to break me, and he used both of them. I had a lot of chances, and I didn&#8217;t use any,\u201d Zverev said after the ATP Finals, his third defeat to Sinner in less than a month.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI felt like the match was closer than the score maybe says. I thought it was a very high-level match\u2026 Don\u2019t always judge it by the score.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Sinner erased 72% of the break points he faced in 2025, perhaps the clearest reason behind the hollow stares his opponents routinely carried into press conferences.<\/p>\n<p>Yet it was Sinner himself whose blank expression after the Roland Garros final captured the year\u2019s deepest heartbreak.<\/p>\n<p>Up 5\u20133, 40\u20130 in the fourth set of a back-and-forth epic against Alcaraz, Sinner failed to convert, and the Spaniard rode a wave of momentum to claim his fifth Grand Slam title.<\/p>\n<p>A lesser player might have let that moment haunt him, but a month later at Wimbledon Sinner returned unchanged, bludgeoning his way to the final and beating Alcaraz in four sets.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"He may slot in at No.2, but metrics suggest Sinner was the game\u2019s true benchmark, finishing the year&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":366508,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[565],"tags":[64,63,85,747],"class_list":{"0":"post-366507","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-tennis","8":"tag-au","9":"tag-australia","10":"tag-sports","11":"tag-tennis"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/366507","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=366507"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/366507\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/366508"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=366507"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=366507"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=366507"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}