{"id":396040,"date":"2026-01-06T20:48:08","date_gmt":"2026-01-06T20:48:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/396040\/"},"modified":"2026-01-06T20:48:08","modified_gmt":"2026-01-06T20:48:08","slug":"nba-overreactions-joel-embiid-back-boston-celtics-title-contenders-thunder-curse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/396040\/","title":{"rendered":"NBA overreactions: Joel Embiid back, Boston Celtics title contenders, Thunder curse?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-paragraph=\"main\">We\u2019re nearing the halfway point of the NBA season, and it\u2019s time to establish what\u2019s real and what\u2019s not in a given week.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">The season seemed like it was going chalk: The Thunder were going to run away with a championship, the Knicks were running away with the East, and the Nuggets\u2019 Nikola Jokic was back in the MVP mix. These things could still be true, but the paths are much more unpredictable than we\u2019d originally thought.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">With the various turns of the season, I\u2019m here to help you filter through what\u2019s a sustainable trend and what\u2019s just a hot stretch of games. Which is why we\u2019re introducing this column asking: Is this cap or no cap? <\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">This week, we ask about some recent streaks and the possible return of an MVP candidate.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\" class=\"has-text-align-center\">MVP Embiid is back<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">This season looked like a changing of the guard in <a href=\"https:\/\/andscape.com\/?s=Philadelphia+76ers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Philly<\/a>. Tyrese Maxey was putting up real MVP numbers and rookie VJ Edgecombe looked like he\u2019d end up as part of the best backcourt in the league in the near future. Meanwhile, <a href=\"https:\/\/andscape.com\/?s=Joel+Embiid\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Joel Embiid<\/a> (and his contract) felt like an albatross for that roster. He didn\u2019t look healthy, had no lift, and slowed down the offense. He\u2019d played just nine out of the team\u2019s first 23 games and averaged just 25 minutes a game with career lows in points (18.2), field-goal percentage (40.7), 3-point percentage (21.4), rebounds (5.6), and pretty much every other stat across the board.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">After an abysmal 4-for-21 game against the Lakers on Dec. 7, though, Embiid has found a new gear. His next game, a 10-point win against the Pacers, saw him hit his season high of 39 points in a season-high 32 minutes. Since then, he\u2019s averaged 29 points, eight rebounds and four assists. Most importantly, they\u2019ve won three out of their last four with Embiid, Maxey and Paul George all in the lineup. (It should have been four in a row if not for Monday\u2019s loss to the Denver Nuggets\u2019 bench).<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Verdict: Cap<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Look, we all know the East is wide open, but I\u2019m not sure it\u2019s open enough for me to believe Embiid will lead the 76ers to a deep run. I\u2019m not even sure what he\u2019s doing is sustainable. We\u2019ve had too much of a sample size of Embiid\u2019s health issues to believe the past seven games are what we\u2019ll get for the rest of the year.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\" class=\"has-text-align-center\">The Celtics are legitimate contenders\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"683\" width=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Bulls-Celtics-Basketball_135146434.jpg\" alt=\"Jaylen Brown (left) drives to the basket against Matas Buzelis\" class=\"wp-image-380951\"  \/>Guard Jaylen Brown (left) and the Boston Celtics once again find themselves near the top of the Eastern Conference.<\/p>\n<p class=\"photo-credit credits\">AP Photo\/Charles Krupa<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Ever since Jayson Tatum tore his Achilles last May in the playoffs and the <a href=\"https:\/\/andscape.com\/?s=Boston+Celtics\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Celtics<\/a> followed up by gutting much of their championship roster, there was a belief that this season would just be a gap year. Yet here they are near the top of the East. They\u2019re second in 3-pointers made per game, second in offensive rating, third in net rating, and have put up multiple 140-point games.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">A lot of this is due to the leap from one <a href=\"https:\/\/andscape.com\/?s=Jaylen+Brown\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Jaylen Brown<\/a>, who is just coming off of an historic feat of being the first player ever to conduct a campaign where he complained about being snubbed for player of the month. Yes, it was nonsensical to care that much about an award that not many people care about, but it did motivate him to have his best game of the season \u2013 a 50-point domination of the Clippers, where he also locked up Kawhi Leonard. But can Brown carry the Celtics to the Finals?<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Verdict: No cap <\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">OK, this is a bit of a copout because I actually don\u2019t think Brown is enough. First of all, he\u2019s shooting out of his mind right now, nailing nearly 60% of his long 2s. Eventually, that\u2019ll come back to earth. Second, the Celtics are cobbling together young bigs who are playing well, but I\u2019d be concerned with team rebounding come playoff time. <\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">So why don\u2019t I think it\u2019s cap? Easy: Tatum. If Tatum can return and be somewhat what he was at this point last year, that gives the Celtics a real shot. I still think the Knicks and Pistons are at the top of the conference. But if Tatum makes a miraculous return, that changes everything. <\/p>\n<p><a class=\"single-recirc-link\" href=\"https:\/\/andscape.com\/features\/nba-overreactions-vol-1-an-absurdly-early-look-at-the-mvp-race\/?source=single-recirc\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"single-recirc-image\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/GettyImages-2243702008-e1762283516163.jpg\"\/>NBA overreactions Vol. 1: An absurdly early look at the MVP race \u2013 AndscapeRead now<\/a><\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\" class=\"has-text-align-center\">The 65-game rule needs to change<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Everybody who loves the NBA held their breaths last week when Jokic went down in a heap from what looked like a pretty devastating knee injury. He was not too far removed from the greatest game in Christmas history with 56 points, 16 rebounds and 15 assists against the Timberwolves. As well as the Thunder and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander were playing, Jokic was really solidifying another MVP season and was making the Nuggets real contenders despite injuries. While the injury wasn\u2019t a season-ender, the bone bruise will keep him out of action for at least a month.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">This means he\u2019ll return at risk of playing fewer than 65 games \u2013 the threshold the NBA established for a chance to win its awards. So, Jokic may come back and finish the season as the leading rebounder, leader in assists, and having maybe his best year ever \u2026 and he would immediately be disqualified from MVP. <\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">So should that rule change?<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Verdict: No cap<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">I think the rule is nonsensical. First of all, if Jokic ends up playing fewer than 65 games and someone like SGA plays 80 or so, SGA is going to win the award. That\u2019s pretty much how all of the awards have gone, especially when you have great players like you have this year. The problem is the arbitrary ruling robs Jokic of the chance of being top 2 or top 3, which is something that bolsters a Hall of Fame resume. <\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">The rule actually should have been changed last year when the San Antonio Spurs\u2019 Victor Wembanyama was disqualified for going out with an injury and only playing 46 games. But he was so clearly the best defender. He still led the league in blocks by a wide margin and should have been rewarded for it. The rule should be abolished because voters are smart enough to rule out people who don\u2019t play enough games on their own.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\" class=\"has-text-align-center\">The Oklahoma City Thunder are victims of the David Dennis Curse<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">A few weeks ago, I was on \u201cSportsCenter\u201d and was asked if anyone was going to dethrone the <a href=\"https:\/\/andscape.com\/?s=Oklahoma+City+Thunder\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Thunder<\/a>. The team was 24-1 and on its way to the NBA Cup championship (so I thought), the record for most wins in a season (so I thought), and the first back-to-back title in seven years.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">So my answer was pretty firm:\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">A \u201clock!\u201d I said.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Since then, the team is barely above .500! They\u2019ve been owned by the Spurs three times in a row, lost to the Minnesota Timberwolves, lost to the Phoenix Suns thanks to a Devin Booker game-winner, and on Monday night they got destroyed by the lowly Hornets at home, which should count as two losses. The team is 30-7, but chances are its shot at being historically great is out of the window.<\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Verdict: Cap! <\/p>\n<p data-paragraph=\"main\">Why? Because I said so, damnit. I take no responsibility for what has happened to the Thunder. Have a good day.<\/p>\n<p>David Dennis Jr. is a senior writer at Andscape, and the author of the award-winning book &#8220;The Movement Made Us: A Father, a Son, and the Legacy of a Freedom Ride.&#8221; David is a graduate of Davidson College.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"We\u2019re nearing the halfway point of the NBA season, and it\u2019s time to establish what\u2019s real and what\u2019s&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":396041,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[557],"tags":[64,63,590,85],"class_list":{"0":"post-396040","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nba","8":"tag-au","9":"tag-australia","10":"tag-nba","11":"tag-sports"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/396040","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=396040"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/396040\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/396041"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=396040"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=396040"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=396040"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}