{"id":398902,"date":"2026-01-08T03:36:09","date_gmt":"2026-01-08T03:36:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/398902\/"},"modified":"2026-01-08T03:36:09","modified_gmt":"2026-01-08T03:36:09","slug":"reserve-bank-deputy-governor-andrew-hauser-downplays-easing-inflation-ahead-of-february-meeting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/398902\/","title":{"rendered":"Reserve Bank deputy governor Andrew Hauser downplays easing inflation ahead of February meeting"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">The deputy governor of the Reserve Bank has confirmed the news mortgage borrowers would not have wanted to hear \u2014 interest rates are highly unlikely to head lower anytime soon.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">In an exclusive interview with ABC News, Andrew Hauser said it was &#8220;still true&#8221; that Australians had very likely seen the last rate cuts this cycle.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">In December, RBA governor Michele Bullock effectively ruled out a rate cut for the foreseeable future and said the central bank&#8217;s board had only weighed up keeping rates on hold or raising them.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;The governor said \u2026 that the likelihood, at least in the near term, of further rate cuts was probably very low,&#8221; Mr Hauser said on Thursday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;That&#8217;s still true, I think, if I&#8217;m honest with you.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I know that won&#8217;t be the message that everyone watching this will want to hear.&#8221;<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"A portrait shot of Andrew Hauser wearing a suit\" class=\"Image_image__5tFYM ContentImage_image__DQ_cq\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/3107f7a58b24f259405b69cfb34dce1f.jpeg\" loading=\"lazy\" data-component=\"Image\" data-lazy=\"true\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP FigureCaption_text__zDxQ5 Typography_sizeMobile12__w_FPC Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">Andrew Hauser joined the RBA in 2024 from the Bank of England. (ABC News: Adam Wyatt)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">The RBA deputy reiterated that the central bank&#8217;s priority was ensuring inflation remained on target, between 2 and 3 per cent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">The consumer price index (CPI), released yesterday, showed <a class=\"Link_link__kR0xA Link_link__5eL5m ScreenReaderOnly_srLinkHint__OysWz Link_showVisited__C1Fea Link_showFocus__ALyv2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2026-01-07\/inflation-abs-monthly-cpi-for-november\/106205848\" data-component=\"Link\" data-uri=\"coremedia:\/\/article\/106205848\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">headline inflation running at 3.4 per cent in the year to November<\/a>, while the RBA&#8217;s preferred measure of underlying inflation, the trimmed mean, was at 3.2 per cent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;I think we all remember the pain and the difficulty, many of us are still working that through, of that persistent high period of inflation over the last few years,&#8221; Mr Hauser said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;It&#8217;s our job to ensure that doesn&#8217;t happen again.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Inflation too high, but &#8216;not a lot of news&#8217; in this week&#8217;s data<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Reactions to Wednesday&#8217;s inflation data were mixed, after the CPI eased back more than many economists had forecast.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Mr Hauser talked down the significance, however, describing it as &#8220;helpful&#8221; but &#8220;largely as we expected&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Inflation above 3 per cent \u2014 let&#8217;s be clear, it&#8217;s too high,&#8221;  he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;We wish to keep inflation between 2 and 3 per cent, that is currently above that.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Mr Hauser said there &#8220;wasn&#8217;t a lot of news in the data yesterday for us&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">He said inflation coming down partly reflected the Black Friday sales in November, but measures around the costs of housing picked up.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Most of those numbers were broadly in line with our expectations.&#8221;RBA takes one-to-two-year view on inflation: Hauser<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Mr Hauser also emphasised that the RBA did not target inflation as it stood currently.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;We&#8217;re trying to target inflation in a year or two years&#8217; time and judging the outlook for inflation.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">He said that judgement did not just include the current level of inflation, but also &#8220;on the pace of demand and conditions in the labour market, on global conditions \u2026 and five or six other variables&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2026-01-07\/inflation-abs-monthly-cpi-for-november\/106205848\" data-component=\"FullBleedLink\" class=\"RelatedCard_link__rsgR9 FullBleedLink_root__lTw_U interactive_focusContext__yRhc_ interactive_defaults__AKxUU FullBleedLink_showVisited__g3Xvz\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Inflation cools but February &#8216;remains in play&#8217;<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP RelatedCard_synopsis__cFwMW Typography_sizeMobile14__u7TGe Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">Inflation cooled in November, with the consumer price index rising 3.4 per cent over the year, down from 3.8 per cent a month earlier.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">November was just the second set of full monthly CPI data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">The ABS will release the December quarterly CPI data at the end of January, giving the central bank another inflation update before its next meeting.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;We will be waiting for the quarterly inflation number in two or three weeks&#8217; time before we take a view on where we think inflation is today,&#8221; Mr Hauser said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">As for what that number would need to be to prompt a rate rise, Mr Hauser offered a tongue-in-cheek response.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;How rude can I be on the ABC?&#8221; he asked.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;But we are not targeting Q4 2025 inflation \u2026 you can&#8217;t even target inflation a quarter out.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;You&#8217;re targeting the whole time inflation out a year to two years, and that informs making a judgement.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">The deputy governor said if the number was &#8220;spectacularly high or spectacularly low, we&#8217;d have to ask ourselves what was driving that, and that might be an important part of our overall judgement&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;But we don&#8217;t have a rule that says if it&#8217;s 0.9 we hold, and if it&#8217;s 1 we raise and if it&#8217;s 0.7 we cut \u2014 we take a view of the whole economy.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2025-12-10\/no-interest-rate-cuts-on-horizon-rba-december-decision\/106120192\" data-component=\"FullBleedLink\" class=\"RelatedCard_link__rsgR9 FullBleedLink_root__lTw_U interactive_focusContext__yRhc_ interactive_defaults__AKxUU FullBleedLink_showVisited__g3Xvz\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">RBA&#8217;s quandary: To hold or to hike?<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP RelatedCard_synopsis__cFwMW Typography_sizeMobile14__u7TGe Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">The Reserve Bank governor has opened the door to interest rate hikes in 2026, but how soon will she walk through it?<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Asked about market pricing for the February meeting, which currently sits around two-thirds for rates to remain on hold and one-third for a rate hike, Mr Hauser said he would not comment on whether it was &#8220;a sensible estimate of the outcome&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;It&#8217;s true, as you say, that markets are not placing 100 per cent weight increase in February \u2026 you pay your money, you take your choice.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;It&#8217;s what financial markets have assumed.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The deputy governor of the Reserve Bank has confirmed the news mortgage borrowers would not have wanted to&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":398903,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[159594,64,63,99,2610,212413,51500,5465,5626,43014,7054,16776,3281,22474],"class_list":["post-398902","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-andrew-hauser","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-business","tag-cost-of-living","tag-hauser","tag-home-loan-rates","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-rate-hike","tag-rba","tag-reserve-bank","tag-trump","tag-venezuela"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/398902","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=398902"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/398902\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/398903"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=398902"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=398902"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=398902"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}