{"id":44672,"date":"2025-08-05T06:27:19","date_gmt":"2025-08-05T06:27:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/44672\/"},"modified":"2025-08-05T06:27:19","modified_gmt":"2025-08-05T06:27:19","slug":"australian-manufacturing-is-dying-and-nobody-cares","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/44672\/","title":{"rendered":"Australian manufacturing is dying and nobody cares"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The latest Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) national accounts showed that Australia\u2019s manufacturing sector comprised a record low share of GDP.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Manufacturing-share-of-GDP.png\" width=\"659\" height=\"412\" alt=\"Manufacturing share of GDP\"\/><\/p>\n<p>In Q1 2025, manufacturing\u2019s percentage of GDP decreased to 5.1%, down from 8.9% two decades ago and 15% in the mid-1970s.<\/p>\n<p>Australia has the smallest manufacturing share in the OECD, making it one of the least self-sufficient industrialised economies.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Australian-manufacturing-share.png\" width=\"660\" height=\"396\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Australian manufacturing share\"\/><\/p>\n<p>There are several factors contributing to Australia\u2019s structural loss in manufacturing.<\/p>\n<p>Tariff cuts in the 1980s and 1990s reduced Australian manufacturing\u2019s competitiveness versus imports, shrinking the sector.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>During the 2000s commodity boom, the Australian dollar rose in relation to other currencies, making the local manufacturing sector even less competitive versus imported goods and export markets.<\/p>\n<p>Finally and most importantly, rising energy prices\u2014both electricity and gas\u2014have driven up operating costs, making Australian manufacturing less competitive.<\/p>\n<p>As illustrated below by Vivek Dhar from CBA, \u201cthe decline in the share of manufacturing in Australia\u2019s economy has been faster than advanced economies, reflecting the overall challenges of keeping labour, materials, and energy prices low enough for Australia\u2019s manufacturing sector to remain competitive\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Value-added-from-manufacturing.png\" width=\"767\" height=\"844\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p>\u201cManufacturing, excluding the petroleum refining sector, primarily uses natural gas for its energy consumption\u201d, noted Dhar. \u201cElectricity is the second largest energy source, followed by black coal, petroleum products and then more fossil fuels\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Manufacturing-energy-use.png\" width=\"660\" height=\"530\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Manufacturing energy costs\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Alex Joiner, chief economist at IFM Investors, clearly illustrates these soaring energy costs.<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Energy-input-costs.png\" width=\"660\" height=\"532\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Energy input costs\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Natural gas input costs used in manufacturing have increased by 186% since 2000, whereas electricity costs used in manufacturing have risen by 181%.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>The rise in natural gas costs has been especially brutal since 2022, after Russia invaded Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p>Not surprisingly, then, ASIC insolvency data showed that over 1400 manufacturers nationwide have become insolvent since 2022-23.<\/p>\n<p>Among these, Incitec Pivot, a large fertiliser company, closed its Australian operations due to rising energy costs.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Qenos, Australia\u2019s last major plastics facility, closed in 2024 due to high energy prices, leaving the country fully reliant on polymers supplied from China.<\/p>\n<p>Oceania Glass, Australia\u2019s sole architectural glass firm, closed in February 2025 after 169 years of operation due to soaring energy prices and Chinese dumping.<\/p>\n<p>Orica, the world\u2019s largest manufacturer of mining explosives, chemicals, and agricultural fertilisers, and BlueScope Steel have threatened to shrink their Australian operations and relocate to the United States in response to rising energy costs.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>The reality is that without affordable and reliable energy, Australia\u2019s manufacturing sector will continue to contract and the nation will deindustrialise.<\/p>\n<p>Sadly, it is inevitable that energy will become more expensive in Australia.<\/p>\n<p>East Coast Australia\u2019s refusal to implement a domestic gas reservation program is a major contributor to rising energy prices.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>In 2015, the East Coast began exporting natural gas from Gladstone. Since then, the East Coast has doubled its gas production, yet it has delivered 25% less gas to the domestic market.<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/East-Coast-gas-supply.png\" width=\"660\" height=\"578\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Gas production\"\/><\/p>\n<p>As a result, an artificial shortage of gas has emerged, tripling the East Coast gas price to roughly $12 per gigajoule:<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Gas-prices-tripled.png\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p>East Coast Australia now has the highest gas prices of any exporting jurisdiction in the world. These high gas costs have contributed to higher power prices, as gas is a primary marginal price setter in the wholesale market.<\/p>\n<p>The situation will only worsen if the East Coast begins importing gas into New South Wales, Victoria, and potentially South Australia to alleviate artificial domestic shortages.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Once liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports commence, East Coast gas prices will skyrocket to import-parity levels of roughly $20 per gigajoule, driving up electricity prices.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, implementing a domestic reserve scheme on the East Coast is critical for lowering prices and avoiding the negative impacts of LNG imports.<\/p>\n<p>Second, Australia\u2019s mad pursuit of \u2018net zero\u2019 and the closure of baseload coal generators will drive up electricity costs.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>The many billions of dollars required to build out a web of renewables projects, transmission, and storage will ultimately be capitalised into higher power bills and taxes to pay for subsidies.<\/p>\n<p>Australia leads the world in coal exports and ranks second in natural gas exports. We export around seven times more coal than we as a nation consume and around four times more gas.<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Australian-coal-use-vs-production.png\" width=\"553\" height=\"384\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Australian coal versus consumption\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Australia also has the world\u2019s largest endowment of uranium.<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Global-emissions-change.png\" width=\"576\" height=\"326\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Global emissions change\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Australia, therefore, should have some of the world\u2019s lowest-priced gas and electricity but has instead chosen to deny itself access to this energy while it exports energy security to Asia, including China and India, who are driving the rise in global emissions.<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Change-in-CO2-emissions.png\" width=\"594\" height=\"342\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Change in Co2 emissions\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>While all Australians will pay for our energy policy failures, the energy-dependent manufacturing sector will suffer the most.<\/p>\n<p>Australia will become even more of an industrial wasteland, with a less diversified and complex economy, lower productivity, and lower living standards.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The latest Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) national accounts showed that Australia\u2019s manufacturing sector comprised a record low&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":44673,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[64,63,99,164],"class_list":["post-44672","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-business","tag-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44672","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44672"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44672\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/44673"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44672"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44672"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44672"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}