{"id":45556,"date":"2025-08-05T14:52:09","date_gmt":"2025-08-05T14:52:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/45556\/"},"modified":"2025-08-05T14:52:09","modified_gmt":"2025-08-05T14:52:09","slug":"afl-expert-tips-and-predictions-for-round-22-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/45556\/","title":{"rendered":"AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 22, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>To give you an advantage with your AFL tips for Round 22, we have AFL Round 22 tips 2025 for every match this weekend.<\/p>\n<p>Gain an edge in your AFL tipping competitions thanks to our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 22 of the 2025 AFL season, the result of simulating each AFL match-up thousands of times.<\/p>\n<p>As we are now in the concluding weeks of the 2025 AFL season, these expert tips are becoming even more important. Make the most of the below Round 22 AFL tips to give yourself a chance of securing the best possible finish in this year&#8217;s footy tipping.<\/p>\n<p>AFL Round 22 Expert Tips 2025<\/p>\n<p>There are nine games in Round 22 of the 2025 AFL season, starting with Hawthorn vs Collingwood on Thursday and finishing with West Coast vs Adelaide on Sunday.<\/p>\n<p>These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by cutting-edge data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 22 2025 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters across the country.<\/p>\n<p>AFL Tips Round 22 2025: Who Will Win<\/p>\n<p>Listed below are our predictions for each AFL clash in Round 22, based on 10,000 simulations per match.<\/p>\n<p>Hawthorn vs Collingwood<\/p>\n<p>Round 22 AFL action kicks off with Hawthorn taking on Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday night. Our model projects Collingwood as having a 56% chance of winning, while Hawthorn has a 44% projected win chance.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/statsinsider.com.au\/sport-hub\/AFL\/schedule\/2025_22_HAW_COL\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Hawthorn vs Collingwood<\/a> is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, August 7 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).<\/p>\n<p>Geelong vs Essendon<\/p>\n<p>In this week&#8217;s game between Geelong and Essendon, the Cats are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 99% chance for Geelong. On the other hand, Essendon has a 1% chance of pulling off an upset win.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/statsinsider.com.au\/sport-hub\/AFL\/schedule\/2025_22_GEE_ESS\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Geelong vs Essendon<\/a> is at GMHBA Stadium on Friday, August 8 at 7:40pm.<\/p>\n<p>More: <a href=\"https:\/\/statsinsider.com.au\/sport-hub\/AFL\/futures\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">AFL Premiership 2025 Tips<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Richmond vs St Kilda<\/p>\n<p>We are tipping St Kilda to win its game against Richmond this week, with our model projecting a 77% win probability for the Saints. Richmond has a 23% chance of winning.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/statsinsider.com.au\/sport-hub\/AFL\/schedule\/2025_22_RIC_STK\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Richmond vs St Kilda<\/a> is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, August 9 at 1:20pm.<\/p>\n<p>Brisbane vs Sydney<\/p>\n<p>With a win probability of 84%, our tip for this match is Brisbane, while its opponent, Sydney, has a projected win chance of 16%. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.statsinsider.com.au\/sport-hub\/AFL\/schedule\/2025_22_BRI_SYD\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Brisbane vs Sydney<\/a> is at The Gabba on Saturday, August 9 at 4:15pm.<\/p>\n<p>More: <a href=\"https:\/\/statsinsider.com.au\/sport-hub\/afl\/player-ratings\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">AFL Player Ratings<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Carlton vs Gold Coast<\/p>\n<p>The Suns have a 74% chance of winning this week, compared to Carlton&#8217;s 26% chance of victory. This makes Gold Coast the team to tip at Marvel Stadium.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.statsinsider.com.au\/sport-hub\/afl\/schedule\/2025_22_CAR_GCS\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Carlton vs Gold Coast<\/a> is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, August 9 at 7:35pm.<\/p>\n<p>Port Adelaide vs Fremantle<\/p>\n<p>Fremantle is favoured to win here, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 78% chance, while Port Adelaide enters the weekend with a 22% chance of winning at Adelaide Oval.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.statsinsider.com.au\/sport-hub\/AFL\/schedule\/2025_22_POR_FRE\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Port Adelaide vs Fremantle<\/a> is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, August 9 at 8:10pm.<\/p>\n<p>More: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statsinsider.com.au\/sport-hub\/afl\/sos\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">AFL Strength of Schedule<\/a><\/p>\n<p>GWS vs North Melbourne<\/p>\n<p>According to our predictive analytics model, GWS is the team to beat in this game, with the Giants&#8217; win probability at 95%. North Melbourne, on the other hand, has a 5% chance of winning.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.statsinsider.com.au\/sport-hub\/AFL\/schedule\/2025_22_GWS_NME\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">GWS vs North Melbourne<\/a> is at Giants Stadium on Sunday, August 10 at 1:40pm.<\/p>\n<p>Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs<\/p>\n<p>We are tipping the Bulldogs in this game, with the Western Bulldogs given a 79% chance of winning, while Melbourne has a 21% win probability.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.statsinsider.com.au\/sport-hub\/AFL\/schedule\/2025_22_MEL_WBD\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs<\/a> is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, August 10 at 3:20pm.<\/p>\n<p>West Coast vs Adelaide<\/p>\n<p>The last game of Round 22 sees West Coast take on Adelaide at Optus Stadium.<\/p>\n<p>We are tipping Adelaide with a win probability of 98%, while West Coast is projected to have a win chance of just 2%.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.statsinsider.com.au\/sport-hub\/AFL\/schedule\/2025_22_WCE_ADE\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">West Coast vs Adelaide<\/a> is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, August 10 at 5:10pm.<\/p>\n<p>AFL Tipping Round 22 2025: Who to Tip<\/p>\n<p>Collingwood<br \/>\nGeelong<br \/>\nSt Kilda<br \/>\nBrisbane<br \/>\nGold Coast<br \/>\nFremantle<br \/>\nGWS<br \/>\nBulldogs<br \/>\nAdelaide<\/p>\n<p>Related: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statsinsider.com.au\/sport-hub\/AFL\/schedule\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Predictions for Every AFL Game<\/a><\/p>\n<p>AFL Round 22 Games to Tip On<\/p>\n<p>Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies<br \/>\nGeelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers<br \/>\nRichmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints<br \/>\nBrisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans<br \/>\nCarlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns<br \/>\nPort Adelaide Power vs Fremantle Dockers<br \/>\nGWS Giants vs North Melbourne Kangaroos<br \/>\nMelbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs<br \/>\nWest Coast Eagles vs Adelaide Crows<\/p>\n<p>The AFL footy tips Round 22 2025 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.<\/p>\n<p>Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2025 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statsinsider.com.au\/about-us\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">simulate each game 10,000 times<\/a> and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.<\/p>\n<p>If you choose to use our tips for betting purposes, it&#8217;s important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gamblinghelponline.org.au\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">gamblinghelponline.org.au<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>More on the AFL<\/p>\n<p>As well as being your expert resource for AFL footy tips, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statsinsider.com.au\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Stats Insider<\/a> is your go-to site for AFL betting information, with the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statsinsider.com.au\/news?sport=AFL\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">AFL betting news<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statsinsider.com.au\/sport-hub\/AFL\/schedule\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">predictions for every AFL game<\/a>, weekly <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statsinsider.com.au\/best-bets\/AFL\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">AFL best bets<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statsinsider.com.au\/sport-hub\/AFL\/futures\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">AFL premiership odds<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"To give you an advantage with your AFL tips for Round 22, we have AFL Round 22 tips&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":45557,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[560],"tags":[638,64,63,55,639,85],"class_list":["post-45556","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-afl","tag-afl","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-australian-football-league","tag-australianfootballleague","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45556","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45556"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45556\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/45557"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45556"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45556"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45556"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}