{"id":456487,"date":"2026-02-03T21:48:31","date_gmt":"2026-02-03T21:48:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/456487\/"},"modified":"2026-02-03T21:48:31","modified_gmt":"2026-02-03T21:48:31","slug":"treasurer-jim-chalmers-says-politics-not-spending-driving-inflation-debate-among-economists","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/456487\/","title":{"rendered":"Treasurer Jim Chalmers says politics, not spending driving inflation debate among economists"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Treasurer Jim Chalmers has rejected claims that government spending has fuelled inflation, saying such criticism was \u201cmotivated by politics\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>It comes after several of the nation\u2019s leading economists questioned the Albanese government\u2019s fiscal settings ahead of the central bank\u2019s rate decision on Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>Government spending as a percentage of GDP has sat at an average of 22 per cent since the 1960s.<\/p>\n<p>But this has ballooned out to about 28 per cent since the high levels of government spending during the pandemic, which did not abate following lockdowns.<\/p>\n<p>Mr Chalmers told Sky News he would take responsibility for his economic record but denied suggestions that public spending was driving inflation.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI see that commentary. Often that commentary is more motivated by politics than it is founded in facts,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe will continue to play our part in managing the budget and the economy as responsibly as we can, recognising these inflationary pressures have been hanging around.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>It comes after AMP chief economist Shane Oliver said \u201cthe best thing\u201d for the government to do to bring down inflation would be to \u201ccut government spending\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Mr Oliver told Sky News he was not motivated by politics, like Mr Chalmers said, and pointed to high public spending as a percentage of GDP.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I&#8217;m not motivated by politics, I am not favouring one side or the other here, I&#8217;m just analysing the situation as it is,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I&#8217;m not saying that government spending has boomed in the last six months. It&#8217;s really the fact that it&#8217;s boomed over the last six or seven years.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;You&#8217;ve got to go back to World War II to see public spending as a share of the economy around these levels.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"poster-img\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/949daad6f35d1dbf8340c40d1c383ee2.jpeg\" data-sctrack=\"op-poster-img\" alt=\"Business Weekend | 1 February\" fetchpriority=\"high\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Mr Chalmers blamed private spending &#8211; not public spending &#8211; as the big driver in the uptick of inflation.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"body-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.skynews.com.au\/business\/finance\/interest-rate-hike-in-february-almost-a-certainty-after-inflation-surges-38-per-cent-in-the-year-to-december\/news-story\/31d59b46e54a73cd9a1431f1da1fba0f\" data-tgev=\"event119\" data-tgev-container=\"bodylink\" data-tgev-order=\"31d59b46e54a73cd9a1431f1da1fba0f\" data-tgev-label=\"business\" data-tgev-metric=\"ev\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Inflation lifted 3.8 per cent<\/a>\u00a0in the 12 months to December and the\u00a0<a class=\"body-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.skynews.com.au\/business\/finance\/unemployment-comes-in-below-market-expectations-in-december-fuelling-interest-rate-hike-fears\/news-story\/a8927e7fadadb51909293463f86a1fb7\" data-tgev=\"event119\" data-tgev-container=\"bodylink\" data-tgev-order=\"a8927e7fadadb51909293463f86a1fb7\" data-tgev-label=\"business\" data-tgev-metric=\"ev\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">unemployment rate sits near historic lows<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Markets have priced about a 73 per cent chance of a rate rise on Tuesday following a period of already-high interest rates.<\/p>\n<p>Australians saw rates increase 12 times under the Albanese government and only fall three times.<\/p>\n<p>IFM Investors chief economist Alex Joiner warned that \u201cthe fiscal guard rails have come off\u201d the government\u2019s budget.<\/p>\n<p>EQ Economics managing director Warren Hogan said that the government needed to \u201ctighten up fiscal policy just a little bit\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, shadow employment minister Tim Wilson told Sky News that Mr Chalmers was not in control of his portfolio.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere are a number of drivers of inflation and they&#8217;re all backed up by excessive government spending because he can&#8217;t manage his budget,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHe&#8217;s borrowing from the future to pay for today. What that&#8217;s doing is driving inflation\u2026 to try and cover for their overall economic mismanagement.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou just need to look at the employment data. Eight out of 10 jobs are created directly or indirectly by government expenditure. And that is what is driving inflation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>AMP\u2019s Diana Mousina told Sky News she <a class=\"body-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.skynews.com.au\/business\/finance\/reserve-bank-of-australia-likely-to-be-divided-on-closely-watch-interest-rates-decision-amps-diana-mousina-predicts\/news-story\/d06b9d4fc2359633c2cb9bd5d5843b49\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" data-tgev=\"event119\" data-tgev-container=\"bodylink\" data-tgev-order=\"d06b9d4fc2359633c2cb9bd5d5843b49\" data-tgev-label=\"business\" data-tgev-metric=\"ev\">expected the RBA\u2019s board would be divided<\/a> when it handed down its rate decision on Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>The RBA board has only been split once in the past 12 months and it was when the central bank delivered a shock rate hold in July last year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Treasurer Jim Chalmers has rejected claims that government spending has fuelled inflation, saying such criticism was \u201cmotivated by&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":456488,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[16169,64,8931,63,99,5693,164,20309,5465,5626,42086,235164,121546,7054,227430,37652],"class_list":["post-456487","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-albanese-government","tag-au","tag-auspol","tag-australia","tag-business","tag-economics","tag-economy","tag-government-spending","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-jim-chalmers","tag-leading-economists","tag-public-spending","tag-rba","tag-shadow-treasurer-ted-obrien","tag-treasurer"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/456487","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=456487"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/456487\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/456488"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=456487"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=456487"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=456487"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}