{"id":46212,"date":"2025-08-05T21:11:08","date_gmt":"2025-08-05T21:11:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/46212\/"},"modified":"2025-08-05T21:11:08","modified_gmt":"2025-08-05T21:11:08","slug":"free-mlb-home-run-picks-lines-odds-for-aug-5-fernando-tatis-among-best-bets-for-tuesday-hr-player-props","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/46212\/","title":{"rendered":"Free MLB home run picks, lines, odds for Aug. 5: Fernando Tatis among best bets for Tuesday HR player props"},"content":{"rendered":"

All 30 MLB teams<\/a> will be in action on Tuesday, meaning there is a wealth of options for MLB home run bettors. Aaron Judge<\/a> is back in the Yankees lineup after a stint on the IL and is priced as high as +250 in the latest MLB HR odds. Meanwhile, Padres<\/a> outfielder Fernando Tatis<\/a> Jr. hasn’t homered in 10 games, but he’s available for a much juicier price (+425) and has an advantageous matchup against the Diamondbacks<\/a> and Ryne Nelson<\/a>. It’s a solid buy-low opportunity on another of the game’s biggest talents, so we’re including Tatis as one of our top MLB home run picks and looking for value on Judge elsewhere in today’s MLB player props.<\/p>\n

First pitch for Padres vs. Diamondbacks is at 9:40 p.m. ET, and Tatis is sitting on 17 home runs entering Tuesday’s action. The Diamondbacks are set to start right-hander Ryne Nelson (6-3, 3.20 ERA), who has given up four home runs in his last four outings. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various\u00a0sportsbooks<\/a>, and SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value for your\u00a0MLB betting<\/a>\u00a0picks. New users can also use the latest\u00a0DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0to receive\u00a0$200 off NFL Sunday Ticket and get $200 in bonus bets instantly after your first wager of $5 or more<\/a>, and take advantage of one of the\u00a0best sportsbook promos<\/a>:<\/p>\n

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It’s up 52.9 units on its individual MLB HR picks this season after hitting four of its six HR bets on Saturday and Sunday, and has called two three-leg parlays paying at least 80-1 this season. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their\u00a0betting<\/a>\u00a0projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Sunday.\u00a0You can find even more picks in their daily blog<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Best MLB home run picks for Tuesday, August 5:<\/p>\n

MLB Best Home Run Bets 8\/5<\/p>\n

For more real-time, free picks every day:\u00a0Inside the Lines Blog<\/a>\u00a0 \u00a0<\/p>\n

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) +425, bet365<\/p>\n

Tatis doesn’t have a home run against Ryne Nelson yet, but he’s 6-for-13 in his career against the Diamondbacks’ starter. While his in-game power has been quiet lately, he’s still having quality at-bats\u2014walking often and limiting strikeouts. The model doesn’t show a ton of value here, but +425 is still a solid price. We set Tatis’ line at +412 to homer. You can also bet this prop for the same price at bet365, where you can get $150 in bonus bets instantly after your first $5 wager:<\/a><\/p>\n

Francisco Lindor (NYM) +400, FanDuel<\/p>\n

Lindor is facing his former team, and the model sees strong value here. He’s played just 7 games against Cleveland since the trade, but has gone 11-for-33 in those matchups. While he’s struggled against left-handed pitching this season, he’s historically fared better in those splits\u2014suggesting some positive regression could be due. Right-handed batters are hitting .263 against Logan Allen<\/a> and have accounted for 10 of the 14 home runs he’s allowed. We set Lindor’s line at +315 to homer, but you can find the listed price at FanDuel, where you can also sweeten the pot with the latest FanDuel promo code<\/a>, which offers $150 in bonus bets if your first wager of $5 or more wins<\/a>:<\/p>\n

Brent Rooker (ATH) +350, BetMGM<\/p>\n

Rooker has crushed left-handed pitching this season, posting a .971 OPS, and he gets a favorable matchup today. MacKenzie Gore<\/a> has struggled recently, allowing opponents to hit .304 with a .937 OPS over his last four starts. While many East Coast games today have poor home run indexes, this one sits at 6\/10\u2014giving Rooker a decent shot if he barrels one up. We set his line at +298 to homer, but this listed price is available at BetMGM<\/a>, where you can also use the BetMGM promo code<\/a> to get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses:<\/p>\n

Where to bet MLB props on Tuesday<\/p>\n

Here is a look at\u00a0betting sites<\/a>\u00a0that will offer MLB HR props on Tuesday:\u00a0<\/p>\n

More MLB picks for Tuesday\u00a0<\/p>\n

You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop picks for several players on Tuesday. Now,\u00a0get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Need more from SportsLine?\u00a0See today’s best MLB picks from SportsLine’s Bruce Marshall<\/a>, who is on a 79-70-1 roll (+1512) on MLB picks.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"All 30 MLB teams will be in action on Tuesday, meaning there is a wealth of options for…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":43405,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[558],"tags":[5654,64,63,22909,20540,1828,591,1830,1189,85],"class_list":["post-46212","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mlb","tag-athletics","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-brent-rooker","tag-fernando-tatis","tag-francisco-lindor","tag-mlb","tag-new-york-mets","tag-san-diego-padres","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46212","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46212"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46212\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43405"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46212"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46212"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46212"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}