{"id":486007,"date":"2026-02-17T15:44:13","date_gmt":"2026-02-17T15:44:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/486007\/"},"modified":"2026-02-17T15:44:13","modified_gmt":"2026-02-17T15:44:13","slug":"new-zealands-housing-crash-restores-affordability","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/486007\/","title":{"rendered":"New Zealand&#8217;s housing crash restores affordability"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has reduced the official cash rate (OCR) by 3.25% since mid-2024, which has driven a sharp decline in mortgage rates to around pre-pandemic levels and a significant improvement in mortgage affordability:<\/p>\n<p>Normally, such a sharp reduction in mortgage rates would deliver a strong rebound in home values. However, no such rebound has eventuated.<\/p>\n<p>The latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reinz.co.nz\/libraryviewer?ResourceID=805\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">house price index<\/a> from the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ) revealed that values fell by 0.6% compared to December and were down 0.7% compared to January last year.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/NZ-house-price-index.png\" width=\"660\" height=\"421\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"NZ House Price Index\"\/><\/p>\n<p>The REINZ HPI is now down 16.2% from its previous market peak in early 2022. And when adjusted for CPI inflation, New Zealand home values have crashed by more than 30% back to 2019 levels:<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>The REINZ also reported a sharp reduction in the number of property sales. There were only 3837 residential sales across the nation in January 2026, down 5.4% from January last year.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, the stock of properties listed for sale increased by 2.3% from January 2025 to 33,149.<\/p>\n<p>A sharp slowing in population growth is behind the weaker housing market conditions, despite improving mortgage affordability.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>New Zealand\u2019s net migration fell to its lowest level in more than a decade, excluding the COVID-19 pandemic, as arrivals slowed and Kiwis sought better opportunities in Australia.<\/p>\n<p>In 2025, New Zealand registered a net migration gain of only 14,200, down 9,600 from the previous year.<\/p>\n<p>This was a stark contrast to a record net gain of 135,500 in the year ended October 2023 and less than half the yearly average of 30,600 during the previous 25 years.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/NZ-net-migration.png\" width=\"660\" height=\"540\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"NZ net migration gain\"\/><\/p>\n<p>As a result, New Zealand\u2019s population growth is tracking well below new dwelling supply, contributing to a surplus of homes that is placing downward pressure on prices and rents.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Median rents in newly lodged rental bonds have outright declined across New Zealand:<\/p>\n<p>The stock of rents, as measured by the CPI rents, has also experienced a sharp slowing of growth:<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>The upshot is that housing affordability in New Zealand is rapidly improving courtesy of falling immigration, house prices, rents, and mortgage rates.<\/p>\n<p>Regrettably, the same things cannot be said for Australia, where home prices, rents, and mortgage rates are all on the rise and immigration remains historically strong.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has reduced the official cash rate (OCR) by 3.25% since mid-2024, which&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":486008,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[64,63,99,164],"class_list":["post-486007","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-business","tag-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/486007","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=486007"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/486007\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/486008"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=486007"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=486007"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=486007"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}