{"id":511236,"date":"2026-03-01T06:25:23","date_gmt":"2026-03-01T06:25:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/511236\/"},"modified":"2026-03-01T06:25:23","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T06:25:23","slug":"victorian-clubs-face-challenges-as-teams-from-other-states-rise-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/511236\/","title":{"rendered":"Victorian clubs face challenges as teams from other states rise"},"content":{"rendered":"

Richmond\u2019s rebuild of their list is among the more uncompromising yet undertaken. It will be years before they compete for the flag again, a scenario their fans accept.<\/p>\n

Carlton, by losing Charlie Curnow and Tom De Koning, have accepted a withdrawal from contention mode to refresh with elite kids (father-sons and Jagga Smith). The Blues have assessed their position astutely. They can aspire to the top 10, not to the top six.<\/p>\n

\"New<\/p>\n

New Blues: Carlton are in a regroup phase after losing some big names in the off-season.Credit: AFL Photos via Getty Images<\/p>\n

Essendon\u2019s road has been bumpy under Brad Scott, who is attempting a cultural rebuild in the face of Zach Merrett\u2019s failed defection. It is a slow process for the Baby-step Bombers. Even if they surprisingly rose to a wildcard final, they\u2019re not upending the best.<\/p>\n

Melbourne have put the post 2021 premiership Demons to bed, as Max Gawn acknowledged<\/a>. Petracca and Oliver\u2019s exits, and new coach Steven King\u2019s pressing of the reset button means they are in a position much like Carlton, ie, regrouping and not contenders.<\/p>\n

The Bulldogs are harder to read than James Joyce\u2019s Ulysses. They smash the weak. They haven\u2019t beaten the strong, despite Marcus Bontempelli and Tom Liberatore\u2019s heroics, Ed Richards\u2019 rise and Sam Darcy\u2019s freakish gifts. Until they defend successfully, they won\u2019t see late September.<\/p>\n

But the Dogs at least have the raw material to challenge.<\/p>\n

\"Ready<\/p>\n

Ready to challenge: Marcus Bontempelli\u2019s Western Bulldogs.Credit: AFL Photos via Getty Images<\/p>\n

Hawthorn, fresh from consecutive finals series under Sam Mitchell, seemed ripe to press for their 14th flag. Will Day\u2019s continued foot and shoulder ailments<\/a>, alas, is a major impediment to a preliminary or grand final berth. Had they somehow landed Merrett \u2013 harder than landing on Mars, in retrospect \u2013 they would have coverage in the middle, where Jai Newcombe is the sole A grader, sans Day.<\/p>\n

By dint of their risqu\u00e9 recruiting,<\/a> when De Koning, Sam Flanders, Liam Ryan and Jack Silvagni landed for near enough to $4 million, the Saints have, unexpectedly, become the most compelling storyline of the Victorian contingent. They have quietly accumulated young talent, and should make the second week of the wildcard system (ie, top eight).<\/p>\n

In the 60th anniversary of that solitary premiership, it would be asking too much for the Saints to take the grail. They\u2019re not ready.<\/p>\n

North Melbourne\u2019s progress has been so laboured that the natives \u2013 and some of the 1990s crew \u2013 are losing patience. This year, the story is about Alastair Clarkson, as he runs out of runway.<\/p>\n

Of the Victorian 10, that leaves the team that has defied the draft\u2019s gravity for so long that we take for granted they\u2019ll hang around: Geelong.<\/p>\n

\"Cats<\/p>\n

Cats captain Patrick Dangerfield with Bailey Smith.Credit: AFL Photos via Getty Images<\/p>\n

The Cats can remain thereabouts, having steadily infused an ageing list with younger players. The difficulty for Chris Scott is that they can\u2019t extract more from Patrick Dangerfield, Jeremy Cameron or Tom Stewart. Bailey Smith\u2019s career season might not be repeated. The growth will need to come from others.<\/p>\n

Compare the Victorian prospectus to what we once called, with unconscious bias, as \u201cthe interstate clubs\u201d.<\/p>\n

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Brisbane\u2019s abundance of talent, maturity and scope for improvement \u2013 aided by recruits Oscar Allen, Sam Draper and Daniel Annable \u2013 puts the Lions in the best spot on the grid. Will Lachie Neale\u2019s personal issues drag them down? Unlikely. They won the grand final and navigated the first half without him.<\/p>\n

Behind the Lions are two other northern state clubs, Sydney and Damien Hardwick\u2019s Suns.<\/p>\n

Sydney are poised for a rebound in Dean Cox\u2019s second year, having returned to the proven playbook of purloining a key forward from the Melbourne fishbowl. Charlie Curnow<\/a> will provide the avenue the Swans have not had since Lance Franklin\u2019s final season. Tom Papley and Callum Mills were injured for much of 2025, and will be de facto recruits, too.<\/p>\n

The Gold Coast midfield of Matt Rowell, Noah Anderson, Touk Miller and the luxury item of Petracca shapes as the competition\u2019s most formidable when Rowell is back after the early rounds. Hardwick has serious talent at his disposal, much of it generated by the academy. An all-Queensland grand final, a fantasy two years ago, is well within the bounds of possibilities.<\/p>\n

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Fremantle have set the table for success, too. They have a core of players moving into their prime, headed by Victorian trio Caleb Serong, Hayden Young and Andrew Brayshaw. They should be inside the top six in \u201926.<\/p>\n

Adelaide\u2019s minor premiership was unwound by dismal finals performances. Yet, they, too, should be a finals team. Midfield quality, outside of Jordan Dawson and (sometimes) Izak Rankine, was their undoing last September.<\/p>\n

GWS have a list with enough quality to compete for the flag. Their pre-season, alas, has included a worrisome toll of injury, headed by Tom Green\u2019s season-ending knee and Sam Taylor\u2019s bothersome hamstring.<\/p>\n

Port Adelaide are another club that has bought time to regenerate by changing coaches. They aren\u2019t in the premiership window. West Coast are perhaps the furthest away of any club.<\/p>\n

The overriding point is that the Victorian teams are either rebuilding (Richmond, Essendon), regrouping (Melbourne, Carlton), overripe (Collingwood), unreliable (the Bulldogs) or have been beset with a critical injury (Hawthorn). Or, as in St Kilda\u2019s case, they\u2019re not as talented yet as the Lions, Suns, Swans or Dockers.<\/p>\n

The fixturing in the final rounds will be a signpost to September, and it would be surprising if Thursday and Friday night slots were again allocated to clubs with fan bases far more powerful than their on-field personnel.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Richmond\u2019s rebuild of their list is among the more uncompromising yet undertaken. It will be years before they…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":511086,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[560],"tags":[638,64,63,55,639,85],"class_list":["post-511236","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-afl","tag-afl","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-australian-football-league","tag-australianfootballleague","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/511236","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=511236"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/511236\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/511086"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=511236"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=511236"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=511236"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}