{"id":523267,"date":"2026-03-06T21:08:18","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T21:08:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/523267\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T21:08:18","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T21:08:18","slug":"afl-fantasy-historical-statistical-trends-dt-talk-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/523267\/","title":{"rendered":"AFL Fantasy Historical Statistical Trends \u2013 DT TALK 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img width=\"1500\" height=\"900\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/bitinthatlogo.jpg\" class=\"attachment- size- wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"high\"  \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.patreon.com\/posts\/bitinthat-afl-152118882?utm_medium=clipboard_copy&amp;utm_source=copyLink&amp;utm_campaign=postshare_creator&amp;utm_content=join_link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">This article<\/a> exhibits some tables and graphs that are referenced on a podcast I recently was lucky enough to jump on with Warnie and talk about the historical trends of AFL Fantasy. Absolutely loved the chat with him and keen to see what the future holds.<\/p>\n<p>If you have any questions please <a href=\"http:\/\/x.com\/bitinthat\" rel=\"nofollow\">DM us on X @Bitinthat<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>TLDR<\/p>\n<p>AFL Fantasy prices are easier to understand in Fantasy points rather than dollars. The magic number converts a player\u2019s price to a \u201cpriced at\u201d value. The magic number then moves after each round based on how the competition scores in aggregate. Historically the magic number decays as the \u2018market\u2019 is undervalued as discounted and rookie priced players replace retirees and delisted players. Hence decreased the average \u201cpriced at\u201d at the start of the season. However the total points doesn\u2019t materially change from season to season and hence to keep the price changes for each round summing to 0. The magic number falls. This means that the dollars are worth less points as the season goes on. As there are more points in the market then previously priced. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.patreon.com\/posts\/bitinthat-afl-152118882?utm_medium=clipboard_copy&amp;utm_source=copyLink&amp;utm_campaign=postshare_creator&amp;utm_content=join_link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">This article<\/a> aims to highlight how picking players of value has been the blueprint of the successful fantasy coaches.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>To see the full 18-page article, charts and team reveal, <a href=\"http:\/\/patreon.com\/dttalk\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">head to our Patreon<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-del=\"avatar\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/warnieheadshot.jpg\" class=\"avatar pp-user-avatar avatar-60 photo \" height=\"60\" width=\"60\"\/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Co-captain of DT Talk since we started this thing in 2007. Best finish was 13th in 2009&#8230; that was a long time ago. Follow on Twitter: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/WarnieDT\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">@WarnieDT<\/a> and follow on Instagram: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.instagram.com\/warnedawgs\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">@warnedawgs<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/dttalklogo_2026-1.png\"\/><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><script async src=\"\/\/www.instagram.com\/embed.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"This article exhibits some tables and graphs that are referenced on a podcast I recently was lucky enough&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":523268,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[560],"tags":[638,64,63,55,639,85],"class_list":["post-523267","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-afl","tag-afl","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-australian-football-league","tag-australianfootballleague","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/523267","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=523267"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/523267\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/523268"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=523267"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=523267"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=523267"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}