{"id":536759,"date":"2026-03-13T01:43:09","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T01:43:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/536759\/"},"modified":"2026-03-13T01:43:09","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T01:43:09","slug":"ufc-predictions-preview-picks-props-for-ufc-vegas-114-emmett-vs-vallejos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/536759\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Predictions: Preview, Picks &#038; Props for UFC Vegas 114 &#8211; Emmett vs Vallejos"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The best UFC bets, top DFS picks across multiple sites, and predictions for this weekend&#8217;s UFC Vegas 114 card are live on RotoWire before Saturday&#8217;s international event<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"lozad \" style=\"aspect-ratio:16 \/ 7\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/it42hhyzng18ympluwer.png\" alt=\"UFC Predictions: Preview, Picks &amp; Props for UFC Vegas 114: The MMA Mashup\" fetchpriority=\"high\" loading=\"eager\" width=\"1500\" data-credit=\"Gillian Robertson Instagram (@savage_ufc)\" data-creditlink=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/p\/CHMIXSRpHH-\/\"\/><br \/>\n\t\tUFC Predictions: Preview, Picks &amp; Props for UFC Vegas 114 &#8211; Emmett vs Vallejos<\/p>\n<p>The UFC returns to the Apex for a card stuffed with matchups for us to consider. We&#8217;ll break down every fight on the 14-bout slate, including a slick boxer positioned as a significant underdog, and a submission expert looking to snatch another neck. Our betting lines this week come from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/mma\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">RotoWire MMA betting page<\/a> and are accurate to the post date of this article.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>UFC Predictions to Consider on DraftKings<\/p>\n<p>We open with yet another rematch between fighters who have recently fought in the organization, forcing me to wonder if the UFC matchmakers are forgetting which fights have already happened. While <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/sam-hughes-2146\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sam Hughes<\/a> is on a three-fight win streak, it has been less than four years since Rodriguez took a comprehensive decision from &#8220;Sampage,&#8221; in which she banked five takedowns and landed 83 significant strikes. Hughes showed great scrambling ability in that matchup, but she has historically found it tough to win when her opponent controls the wrestling exchanges.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Sosa should be able to use his aggressiveness and wrestling to put up a big score at this price, as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/luan-lacerda-2387\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Luan Lacerda<\/a> is content to hang back and hit his opponents with big counter shots. It must be noted here that the Brazilian is an opportunistic grappler in scrambles, so a sprinkle on his submission prop (+650) is worth some consideration.<\/p>\n<p>This feels like an easy read, as so much of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/montserrat-rendon-2447\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Montserrat Rendon<\/a>&#8216;s success hinges on her wrestling. She may be competent enough to avoid being submitted on the ground by the BJJ ace but expect Mesquita to pile up the points with takedowns, ground and pound, and control time.<\/p>\n<p>Athleticism and power should be enough to take this home for Anders, as every part of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/brad-tavares-512\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Brad Tavares<\/a>&#8216;s game seems to be falling apart. Once lauded for his durability, the Hawian fighter has been TKO&#8217;d in two of his last four fights and seems more hesitant than ever to pull the trigger. Anders appears to be on the back end of his career as well, but he is still able to take the fight to his opponent.<\/p>\n<p>Smith&#8217;s game is pure power, which includes his wrestling. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/su-young-you-2634\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Su Young You<\/a> fights in a style that yields ground to his opponents, and Smith is not the kind of fighter you want to let dictate terms. We have seen Smith get tired in fights before, but it&#8217;s difficult to expect fatigue if he is able to fight at his own tempo.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/oumar-sy-2544\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Oumar Sy<\/a> looked lost when he was unable to get his wrestling game going against <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/alonzo-menifield-1634\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Alonzo Menifield<\/a>, squeaking by with a decision victory on the strength of just 34 significant strikes. Wrestling hasn&#8217;t often been the path to beat Cutelaba, as he hasn&#8217;t been taken down more than twice in a fight since 2018. &#8220;The Hulk&#8221; is perpetually aggressive and should be able to get out ahead of his French counterpart.<\/p>\n<p>My Read on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/steven-asplund-2706\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Steven Asplund<\/a> hasn&#8217;t changed since picking against him as a favorite in his UFC debut. While his strong boxing was on display, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/sean-sharaf-2621\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sean Sharaf<\/a> didn&#8217;t do much to test his wrestling defense, which left a lot to be desired on the regional scene. Petrino&#8217;s strength will play just fine at heavyweight, and I see him as a sneaky option to score points as a decent favorite.<\/p>\n<p>I have sung the praises of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/charles-johnson-2291\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Charles Johnson<\/a> in the past, but it is impossible for me to trust him against a powerful and aggressive flyweight not even three months removed from a brutal KO at the hands of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/alex-perez-1291\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Alex Perez<\/a>. Silva will mix his targets and can do a bit of everything in the cage. I expect him to simply overwhelm Johnson, who generally needs to work his way into fights.<\/p>\n<p>Try out these recommended fighters with different lineup combinations on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/daily\/mma\/optimizer.php\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings UFC Lineup Optimizer<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Predictions to Consider on Prize Picks<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/marwan-rahiki-2736\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Marwan Rahiki<\/a> OVER 38.5 Significant Strikes, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/andre-fili-186\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Andre Fili<\/a> UNDER 27.5 Significant Strikes, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/josh-emmett-866\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Josh Emmett<\/a> UNDER 40.5 Significant Strikes<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/harry-hardwick-2697\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Harry Hardwick<\/a> got his legs blasted apart in his UFC debut, but Rahiki doesn&#8217;t throw many kicks, focusing instead on his boxing game. Harwick will be in the debutant&#8217;s face from the opening bell, which should generate more than enough action to clear this total.<\/p>\n<p>The KO\/TKO line for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/jose-delgado-2578\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jose Delgado<\/a> is a little thin (+114), but we should be able to easily incorporate that logic here, as Fili spends far too much time admiring his work in the pocket. Against someone with an identical height and reach, I don&#8217;t expect &#8220;Touchy&#8221; to keep himself safe, and it&#8217;s far too much to hope that he will be able to stand up to such explosive power shots.<\/p>\n<p>Emmett seems to know that his durability is failing him, as he secured four takedowns in his fight against <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/lerone-murphy-1957\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Lerone Murphy<\/a>, landing just 41 significant strikes across five rounds. I expect a similar path for &#8220;CC0&#8221; this time around, as he will not want to strike with someone as fast as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/kevin-vallejos-2612\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Kevin Vallejos<\/a>. If he can avoid being knocked out, I expect that Emmett will prioritize defense in this one.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Interested in backing these or other selections on sites like DraftKings Pick6? Check out the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/picks\/mma\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Best MMA Picks &amp; Prop Bets<\/a>\u00a0by comparing lines to our projections using the RotoWire Picks &amp; Props tool<\/p>\n<p>UFC Bets to Consider\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Sousa hits incredibly hard and can throw in combination, but we have seen him get frozen at range for long stretches of time. This should be exacerbated by Oki&#8217;s wrestling threat and his three-inch reach advantage. While any one big shot could spell the end for Oki, I like him to manage range and turn this into a slow kickboxing match with wrestling mixed in.<\/p>\n<p>The movement and athleticism of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/amanda-lemos-1239\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Amanda Lemos<\/a>\u00a0may give Robertson problems initially, but &#8220;The Savage&#8221; seems to have finally turned a corner on her striking, as she can work behind a jab and corral opponents to the side of the Octagon with her footwork. Lemos will still be the superior kickboxer here, but we can&#8217;t forget that she was controlled for a whopping 9:34 in her fight with\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/tatiana-suarez-1316\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Tatiana Suarez<\/a>\u00a0in September and was submitted by\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/virna-jandiroba-1193\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Virna Jandiroba<\/a>\u00a0in July 2024.<\/p>\n<p>I don&#8217;t quite understand the width of this line, as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/myktybek-orolbai-2517\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Myktybek Orolbai<\/a>&#8216;s only real experience at welterweight is a quick knockout against an aging out <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/jack-hermansson-875\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jack Hermansson<\/a>. Curtis has always been difficult to take down (82 percent defense rate) and will be the best boxer Orolbai has faced by a country mile. He has also been knocked out just twice in 44 career MMA bouts.<\/p>\n<p>For more UFC wagers to consider,\u00a0check out our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/article\/ufc-vegas-114-emmett-vs-vallejos-dfs-analysis-drakes-takes-107738\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MMA Best Bets for UFC Vegas 114\u00a0this weekend<\/a>. For the latest in\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/mma\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">UFC odds<\/a>, head to the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/mma\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">RotoWire MMA Betting<\/a>\u00a0section.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including \u2013 but not limited to \u2013 games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it&#8217;s possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Christopher Olson plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: Sommerset, FanDuel: Christop, Yahoo: Martins. <\/p>\n<p><script async src=\"\/\/www.instagram.com\/embed.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The best UFC bets, top DFS picks across multiple sites, and predictions for this weekend&#8217;s UFC Vegas 114&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":536760,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[570],"tags":[64,63,786,244002,785,85],"class_list":["post-536759","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mma","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-fighting","tag-minor-league-stats","tag-mma","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/536759","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=536759"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/536759\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/536760"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=536759"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=536759"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=536759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}