{"id":538859,"date":"2026-03-14T00:34:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-14T00:34:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/538859\/"},"modified":"2026-03-14T00:34:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-14T00:34:12","slug":"oil-crisis-three-times-as-bad-as-1979-iranian-revolution-shock-amps-chief-economist-shane-oliver-predicts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/538859\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil crisis three times as bad as 1979 Iranian revolution shock, AMP&#8217;s chief economist Shane Oliver predicts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The current oil crisis is three times as bad as the 1979 oil crisis and can cause further price rises that will rattle global markets, a leading economist has warned.<\/p>\n<p>Massive fuel prices have plagued Australians after Iran blocked the Strait of Hormuz, where 20 per cent of the world\u2019s oil is transported.<\/p>\n<p>Unleaded is selling for about $2.20 per litre in Sydney while Diesel is up to about $2.50 per litre.<\/p>\n<p>AMP chief economist Shane Oliver delivered a dire warning that this fuel crisis could be one of the worst in history.<\/p>\n<p>He said humans consume about 100 million barrels of oil a day and estimated about 15 per cent of this is impacted.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSomething like 20 per cent of world oil and gas supplies flow through (the Strait of Hormuz) on a daily basis,\u201d Mr Oliver told Sky News.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cGlobally, we consume about 100 million barrels of oil a day &#8211; so you&#8217;re potentially taking out 20 million barrels.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt&#8217;s probably not that bad because you can divert some of that oil through pipelines that the UAE and Saudi Arabia have. Let&#8217;s call it 15 per cent of global supply or 15 million barrels per day.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Reducing the world\u2019s oil supply by 15 per cent is three times as bad as the oil shock the world experienced during the Iranian Revolution.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe 1979 shock that occurred with the Iranian revolution, that basically took out about 5 per cent of global supply,\u201d Mr Oliver said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis time at present we&#8217;re knocking out about 15 per cent. So it&#8217;s an order of magnitude three times what it was back then.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Oil prices globally rose threefold at the time, sparking concerns Australians could be in for a much larger shock if the Strait remains closed for an elongated period of time.<\/p>\n<p>The price of oil has risen from about US$65 per barrel to US$95 per barrel.<\/p>\n<p>In an attempt to mitigate massive fuel prices rises escalating, Energy Minister Chris Bowen <a class=\"body-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.skynews.com.au\/australia-news\/politics\/labors-dirty-petrol-announcement-shows-energy-minister-chris-bowen-has-been-in-denial-says-liberal-senator-dave-sharma\/news-story\/c70a87b959b34a298624a3f3575ca97f\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" data-tgev=\"event119\" data-tgev-container=\"bodylink\" data-tgev-order=\"c70a87b959b34a298624a3f3575ca97f\" data-tgev-label=\"australia-news\" data-tgev-metric=\"ev\">temporarily lowered Australia\u2019s fuel quality standards<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The government will allow higher sulphur petrol to be sold domestically for 60 days &#8211; a move intended to redirect fuel that would normally be exported back into the local market.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis will allow around 100 million litres a month of new petrol supply that would otherwise have been exported to be blended instead into Australian domestic supply,\u201d the Energy Minister said.<\/p>\n<p>Mr Bowen also announced Australia will <a class=\"body-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.skynews.com.au\/australia-news\/politics\/were-in-crisis-energy-minister-chris-bowen-confirms-australia-will-adjust-minimum-fuel-stock-obligation-during-heated-media-conference\/news-story\/f6f9f640a732318e5e571e270c11fb01\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" data-tgev=\"event119\" data-tgev-container=\"bodylink\" data-tgev-order=\"f6f9f640a732318e5e571e270c11fb01\" data-tgev-label=\"australia-news\" data-tgev-metric=\"ev\">adjust minimum fuel stock obligation for diesel and petrol<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The minimum stock obligation guarantees a baseline level of domestic fuel stocks, increasing Australia&#8217;s capacity to respond to potential fuel supply disruptions.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The obligation for diesel will be reduced from 2.7 billion litres to 2.2 billion litres and for petrol from 1 billion litres to 700 million litres.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The current oil crisis is three times as bad as the 1979 oil crisis and can cause further&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":538860,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[267068,161852,64,63,99,164,5575,50909,19136,267069,5716,143126],"class_list":["post-538859","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-1979-oil-shock","tag-amp","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-iran","tag-iranian-revolution","tag-oil","tag-oil-crisis","tag-shane-oliver","tag-strait-of-hormuz"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/538859","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=538859"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/538859\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/538860"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=538859"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=538859"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=538859"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}