{"id":557168,"date":"2026-03-22T14:34:08","date_gmt":"2026-03-22T14:34:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/557168\/"},"modified":"2026-03-22T14:34:08","modified_gmt":"2026-03-22T14:34:08","slug":"australias-six-pathways-to-the-war-with-iran-part-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/557168\/","title":{"rendered":"Australia\u2019s six pathways to the war with Iran: Part 2"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>From military bases to diplomacy and defence manufacturing, Australia\u2019s long-standing ties are drawing it further into the US\u2013Israel war on Iran.<\/p>\n<p>In <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/johnmenadue.com\/post\/2026\/03\/australias-six-pathways-to-the-war-with-iran-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"m_no_class\">Part 1<\/a> of this article I discussed the deep and long running intelligence assistance provided to both countries through the activities at the Joint Defence Facility Pine Gap, the deployment of a critical Australian Air Force airframe and air-to-missiles to the UAE, and Australian personnel aboard a US submarine that sank an Iranian frigate without warning 3,000 kilometres from the conflict zone.<\/p>\n<p>Here I\u2019ll examine three more pathways to war for Australia:<\/p>\n<p>the Middle Eastern military infrastructure in the Middle East ready and waiting after Australia\u2019s last rounds of imperial assistance;<br \/>\nAustralia\u2019s echo chamber of US obstructive diplomacy towards Iran, with its repeated inflation of actual threat, demonisation of Iranian society and culture, and support for the silent murders of sanctions; and<br \/>\nAll the way with Lockheed Martin: Australia\u2019s <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.minister.defence.gov.au\/statements\/2023-02-09\/securing-australias-sovereignty\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"m_no_class\">&#8216;sovereign manufacturing capability&#8217;<\/a> and the war with Iran.<\/p>\n<p>Ready and waiting: Australian Middle Eastern military infrastructure<\/p>\n<p>Australia retains considerable infrastructure in Middle Eastern bases of the US and its regional allies, built over more than two decades of war in Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria. The UAE\u2019s the <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/nautilus.org\/publications\/books\/australian-forces-abroad\/australian-bases-abroad\/mirage\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"m_no_class\">Al Minhad Air Base outside Dubai<\/a> has been the ADF\u2019s Middle Eastern primary home for most of that time, with more than 800 Australian personnel a little more than a decade ago. Numbers are lower today, with about 80 ADF Australians in <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.defence.gov.au\/news-events\/news\/2025-05-09\/home-from-home-adf-middle-east\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"m_no_class\">a regional headquarters and logistics hub<\/a>, with <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.defenceconnect.com.au\/naval\/14629-australia-to-command-combined-task-force-in-red-sea\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"m_no_class\">others<\/a> at the US <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Naval_Support_Activity_Bahrain\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"m_no_class\">base Naval Support Activity Bahrain<\/a>. Even under lower operational activity, Al Minhad has supported Australian naval assets embedded in US-<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/combinedmaritimeforces.com\/about\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"m_no_class\">Combined Maritime Forces<\/a> headquartered in Bahrain, including commanding the CMF\u2019s <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.defence.gov.au\/news-events\/news\/2024-10-25\/australia-takes-weight-combined-task-force#:~:text=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"m_no_class\">Task Force 153 in the Red Sea\/Arabian Sea in 2024<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Unusually, there appear to be no Australian warships or supply ships on station in the region \u2013 a variation from two decades of almost constant Australian navy presence \u2013 though with greatly restricted Defence provision of information about overseas deployments in recent years it is hard to be certain.<\/p>\n<p>One of the most serious next steps to be concerned about is the US request \u2013 or Australian anticipatory offer \u2013 for a resumption of Australian naval deployments to assist with the US operation clearly in preparation to assemble a coalition naval group to force the Straits of Hormuz should Iran make sustained efforts to close them.<\/p>\n<p>The United Kingdom, after a brief flirtation with resistance based on international law, has joined the war, with Trump overtly pressing the UK for its traditional naval contribution to wars of empire. Australia\u2019s navy is small, but long habituated to Middle Eastern deployments.<\/p>\n<p>The Albanese government appears to have resisted the call for Australian deployments \u2013 so far.<\/p>\n<p>Australian support for obstructive diplomacy, inflation of threat, and the silent murder of sanctions<\/p>\n<p>After Pine Gap\u2018s structural role, the second enduring Australian support for the war against Iran has been the consistency and virulence of Australia\u2019s diplomatic support for a US and allied campaign of threat inflation, often blatant exaggeration of the status of Iran\u2019s nuclear program (\u2018just two weeks until Iran gets a nuclear weapon\u2019), demonisation of Iranian society and culture, and the silent murder of sanctions.<\/p>\n<p>Australian diplomacy has been largely an echo chamber of Washington, if in a minor key. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/03\/05\/opinion\/iran-trump-war-foreign-policy.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"m_no_class\">The judgement of Robert O\u2019Malley<\/a>, former lead negotiator on the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, that \u201cthis war is the logical conclusion of how the United States has long dealt with Iran\u201d is equally true of Australia:<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor decades, presidents have depicted the Islamic Republic not just as a pernicious presence in the Middle East but also as an intolerable danger to the United States that no diplomatic deal could redress. When politicians inflate a threat and stigmatise peaceful means of handling it, an enterprising leader will one day reach for a radical solution.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>There may be a risk of casualties from Iranian attacks amongst Australian residents of Dubai and other Gulf cities. And even more so, if the number of ADF personnel in theatre increase on US and Gulf state bases.<\/p>\n<p>The question not asked is simple: why does Australia retain these bases on the other side of the world, other than to serve US interests?<\/p>\n<p>On <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/listen\/programs\/melbourne-mornings\/defence-not-offence-australia-sends-military-support-to-uae\/106436396\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"m_no_class\">10 March the foreign minister<\/a> suggested that one Albanese government objective was to defend Australian citizens in the United Arab Emirates, and in the same breath, participate in and contribute to the \u201ccollective self defence\u201d of Gulf countries, including particularly, the UAE \u2013 a country \u201cwe have a close relationship to.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Another way of protecting Australian citizens would be to follow common practice in other risk zones \u2013 facilitate their exit, temporarily or otherwise.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, the argument that defence of a country\u2019s citizens abroad justifies substantial deployment of that country\u2019s armed forces is in general best avoided \u2013 partly because of the obvious immediate risks involved, but more so because of the risk set by the precedent.<\/p>\n<p>China, for example, has very large numbers of its citizens working abroad, some of them in risk zones. If Australia was taking international law seriously, it may wish to think more carefully.<\/p>\n<p>And lastly, with a clear acknowledgement of the violence of the Iranian state towards a very large number of its citizens, Australia needs to think hard about committing to the defence of the United Arab Emirates. The Labor government seems to have overridden concern about literally supporting despotism \u2013 perhaps the meaning of \u2018absolute monarchy\u2019 has escaped it.<\/p>\n<p>The domestic crimes of the absolute monarchy of the UAE are not hidden from view. Nine tenths of its current inhabitants are foreigners, the vast majority of whom are not well paid western expatriates. The economy of the UAE is existentially dependent on hundreds of thousands of poorly paid, unentitled and frequently violently oppressed foreign workers.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, the UAE is an openly regionally expansive, wannabe regional hegemon, establishing military bases in Yemen, the Red Sea and the coast of the Horn of Africa. In the war in Yemen, UAE forces and those it <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/arena.org.au\/yemen-by-richard-tanter\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"m_no_class\">openly supported carried out serious war crimes<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Quite simply, if there is an alternative way for the Australian government to support Australian citizens in the UAE by offering evacuation assistance, why would it choose the escalation risks and ignominy of military alliance with vicious local despotism and imperialism led by an unhinged president?<\/p>\n<p>The answer is in part incompetence, and in part unassuaged addiction to alliance war.<\/p>\n<p>But more than anything else, the rush to a criminal war with Iran \u2013 though it has been long in preparation \u2013 and the inability, or outright opposition to, distinguishing Australia\u2019s genuine security interests from those of a brazenly imperialist ally led by an unhinged predator.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0All the way with Lockheed Martin \u2013 Australian \u2018sovereign manufacturing capability\u2019 and Iran<\/p>\n<p>The Morrison and Albanese governments have assiduously pursued an expansion of domestic production weapons systems and associated military services, and wherever possible, exports.<\/p>\n<p>While many small and medium sized Australian sub-contractors are involved, with highly active support from the Commonwealth and state and territory governments, almost all of these production activities track back to a very small number of the world\u2019s largest armaments and military services companies.<\/p>\n<p>Lockheed Martin, the largest armament company in the world, epitomises this phenomenon and our industrial involvement in arms for the United States\/Israeli war in Iran. A formal Strategic Partner of the Defence Department in a variety of roles, Lockheed Martin is the lead contractor for the world\u2019s largest armaments production, the F-35 Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter, some 1300 of which have been produced and sold to many air forces, including Australia and Israel.<\/p>\n<p>One of the many unique features of the F-35 program was Lockheed Martin\u2019s extremely <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/nautilus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Richard-Tanter-%E2%80%98WikiLeaks-Australia-and-empire.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"m_no_class\">successful sales pitch for \u2018the arms deal of the century\u2019<\/a>: countries buying the aircraft would be allowed to contribute to a global, just-in-time production chain unprecedented in volume, complexity, and financial reward.<\/p>\n<p>The result of this benign correspondence of the interests of military capital and alliance government in Australia is that the F-35s the United States and Israel have both used to staggering destructive effect in the war in Iran have been, to a significant extent, manufactured in Australia. As part of its contribution to what the Albanese government calls its commitment to a sovereign manufacturing capability for defence of Australia, Lockheed Martin proudly announces that some 70 companies sub-contract for the F-35 program, with \u2018exports\u2019 of over a billion dollars a year.<\/p>\n<p>As recently as September 2025, at the height of the Gaza genocide, the Albanese government <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/declassifiedaus.org\/2025\/10\/01\/secret-cargo-f35-parts-pipeline\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"m_no_class\">secretly approved exports of Lockheed Martin F-35 components to Israel<\/a>. To date the government has ignored F-35 connections to the war in Iran.<\/p>\n<p>Lockheed Martin\u2019s Strategic Partnership with the government\u2019s Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordnance Enterprise was scheduled to begin production in 2025 of Lockheed Martin\u2019s Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System (GMLRS) missiles in Sydney\u2019s <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.australiandefence.com.au\/defence\/land\/details-of-lockheed-martin-missile-manufacturing-deal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"m_no_class\">Defence Establishment Orchard Hills<\/a>. If supplies of US guided missiles for the wars in Ukraine, Gaza, and Iran \u2013 and, <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.freemalaysiatoday.com\/category\/world\/2024\/11\/22\/us-lawmakers-seek-to-halt-weapons-sales-to-uae-citing-sudan\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"m_no_class\">via the UAE, Sudan<\/a> \u2013 have depleted Pentagon stocks as much as has been reported, Australian-assembled Lockheed Martin guided missiles may be on their way abroad.<\/p>\n<p>Read Part 1 of this article:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/johnmenadue.com\/post\/2026\/03\/australias-six-pathways-to-the-war-with-iran-part-1\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/johnmenadue.com\/post\/2026\/03\/australias-six-pathways-to-the-war-with-iran-part-1\/<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"From military bases to diplomacy and defence manufacturing, Australia\u2019s long-standing ties are drawing it further into the US\u2013Israel&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":557169,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[64,63,44],"class_list":{"0":"post-557168","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-australia","8":"tag-au","9":"tag-australia","10":"tag-news"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/557168","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=557168"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/557168\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/557169"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=557168"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=557168"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=557168"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}