{"id":579875,"date":"2026-04-02T03:13:09","date_gmt":"2026-04-02T03:13:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/579875\/"},"modified":"2026-04-02T03:13:09","modified_gmt":"2026-04-02T03:13:09","slug":"2026-valero-texas-open-odds-predictions-field-favorites-pga-picks-best-bets-from-10000-simulations-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/579875\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 Valero Texas Open odds, predictions, field, favorites: PGA picks, best bets from 10,000 simulations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A two-event stop in Texas concludes this week with the 2026 Valero Texas Open beginning on Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET at TPC San Antonio &#8211; The Oaks Course. Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy are both out this week ahead of major play, but there&#8217;s still a strong Valero Texas Open field headlined by top-10 OWGR players such as Tommy Fleetwood and Russell Henley. For many players in the Texas Open, it will be a last chance to qualify for the Masters.<\/p>\n<p>The latest 2026 Valero Texas Open odds via FanDuel list Fleetwood and Ludvig Aberg as the +1500 co-favorites. Russell Henley (+1600), Jordan Spieth (+1800) and Robert MacIntyre (+1800) are among the other favorites. Collin Morikawa and Gary Woodland have both withdrawn from the field.<\/p>\n<p>Before locking in any 2026 Valero Texas Open picks, entering any Texas Open one and done contests, or making any PGA DFS picks on sites like FanDuel or DraftKings, be sure to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-valero-texas-open-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=03302026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_ValeroTexasOpen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>SportsLine&#8217;s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/golf\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">golf betting<\/a> picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This same model has also nailed a whopping 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters &#8212; its fourth Masters in a row &#8212; as well as last year&#8217;s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">sports betting<\/a> picks could have seen massive returns on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/best-betting-apps\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">betting sites<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Visit our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/draftkings-promo-code\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0review to see their latest offers and get started.<\/p>\n<p>Now that the 2026 Valero Texas Open field is locked in, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-valero-texas-open-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=03302026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_ValeroTexasOpen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard<\/a>, which you can use for PGA picks, one and done contests or Texas Open DFS lineups.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>2026 Valero Texas Open predictions\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>One major surprise the model is calling for at the Texas Open 2026: It projects that Henley barely cracks the top 5 despite being one of the favorites. Henley has yet to finish inside the top 5 in any event this year, so the model isn&#8217;t ready to project him near the top of the leaderboard. He finished fourth in this event in 2024, but didn&#8217;t play it in 2025 and he finished T52 and missed the cut in his other two Texas Open appearances.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-valero-texas-open-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=03302026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_ValeroTexasOpen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See who else to fade here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Another surprise: The model projects Sepp Straka as a top-10 contender despite him not being in the top group of favorites at +2200. The 32-year-old Austrian has finished inside the top 20 in four of his last five events, including a strong T8 finish at The Players Championship last time out. He struggled during his first two appearances at this tournament, but turned a corner last year, finishing T22 after a strong weekend, so the model likes his value this week.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-valero-texas-open-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=03302026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_ValeroTexasOpen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See who else to pick here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>New to sports betting? Visit our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/fanduel-promo-code\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">FanDuel promo code<\/a>\u00a0review to see their latest offers and get started.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>How to make 2026 Valero Texas Open picks<\/p>\n<p>The model is also targeting several other longshots, including one at 30-1 who makes a stunning run for the title.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-valero-texas-open-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=03302026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_ValeroTexasOpen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">You can only see the model&#8217;s picks here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Who will win the 2026 Texas Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Texas Open odds below and then <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-valero-texas-open-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=03302026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_ValeroTexasOpen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that&#8217;s nailed 16 golf majors, including three in 2025<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>2026 Valero Texas Open odds, favorites\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/2026-valero-texas-open-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions\/#ttag=03302026_agg_cbssports_picks_golf_pgatour_model_ValeroTexasOpen\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Get full 2026 Valero Texas Open picks, best bets and predictions here<\/a>.<br \/>(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)<\/p>\n<p>Tommy Fleetwood +1500<br \/>Ludvig \u00c5berg +1500<br \/>Russell Henley +1600<br \/>Jordan Spieth +1800<br \/>Robert MacIntyre +1800<br \/>Si Woo Kim +2200<br \/>Sepp Straka +2200<br \/>Hideki Matsuyama +2200<br \/>Maverick McNealy +2700<br \/>Michael Thorbjornsen +3000<br \/>Rickie Fowler +3000<br \/>Denny McCarthy +3300<br \/>Keith Mitchell +3300<br \/>Alex Noren +3300<br \/>J.J. Spaun +3500<br \/>Ryo Hisatsune +3500<br \/>Johnny Keefer +4000<br \/>Sudarshan Yellamaraju +4500<br \/>Thorbj\u00f8rn Olesen +4500<br \/>Nick Taylor +5000<br \/>Marco Penge +5000<br \/>Richard Hoey +5000<br \/>Alex Smalley +6000<br \/>Tony Finau +6000<br \/>Will Zalatoris +6000<br \/>Brian Harman +6000<br \/>Jordan Smith +6500<br \/>Christiaan Bezuidenhout +7000<br \/>Stephan Jaeger +7000<br \/>Davis Thompson +7000<br \/>Matt Wallace +7000<br \/>Andrew Novak +7000<br \/>J.T. Poston +7000<br \/>Mac Meissner +7000<br \/>Austin Smotherman +8000<br \/>Max McGreevy +8000<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A two-event stop in Texas concludes this week with the 2026 Valero Texas Open beginning on Thursday at&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":579876,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[566],"tags":[64,63,755,214854,219107,116917,116918,224663,85,283875,283874,283876],"class_list":{"0":"post-579875","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-golf","8":"tag-au","9":"tag-australia","10":"tag-golf","11":"tag-golf-odds","12":"tag-golf-picks","13":"tag-pga-odds","14":"tag-pga-picks","15":"tag-pga-predictions","16":"tag-sports","17":"tag-valero-texas-open-odds","18":"tag-valero-texas-open-picks","19":"tag-valero-texas-open-predictions"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/579875","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=579875"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/579875\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/579876"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=579875"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=579875"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=579875"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}