{"id":596148,"date":"2026-04-09T17:54:12","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T17:54:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/596148\/"},"modified":"2026-04-09T17:54:12","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T17:54:12","slug":"adelaide-crows-vs-carlton-blues-whats-real-and-whats-not-michael-voss-coach-second-half-failures-adelaide-oval-record-analysis-reactions-latest-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/596148\/","title":{"rendered":"Adelaide Crows vs Carlton Blues, what\u2019s real and what\u2019s not, Michael Voss coach, second half failures, Adelaide Oval record, analysis, reactions, latest news"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>No club wants to be 1-3 to start a season. But as the opening month of the 2026 home-and-away campaign has already shown, not all win-loss records are built the same.<\/p>\n<p>Adelaide and Carlton enter Thursday night\u2019s Gather Round opener under pressure, but for very different reasons. On paper, they sit alongside each other in the bottom third of the ladder. In reality, their paths to get there couldn\u2019t be much different.<\/p>\n<p>Watch every match of every round of the AFL Premiership Season LIVE and ad-break free during play on FOX FOOTY, available on Kayo Sports | New to Kayo? <a href=\"https:\/\/kayosports.com.au\/en-AU\/welcome\/afl?pg=default&amp;extcamp=fsaeditoriallinkafl-edt-fsp-lnk-awr-grc-afl-kyo&amp;channel=fsa&amp;campaign=fsacontra&amp;voucher=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Join now and get your first month for just $1.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img class=\"i-amphtml-fill-content i-amphtml-replaced-content\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/poster-fallback.png\"\/><\/p>\n<p>The Crows\u2019 sole win for the first month of football comes with some context, but it\u2019s not without its frustrations.<\/p>\n<p>Matthew Nicks\u2019 side has had a tough early run, having faced all of Collingwood, the Western Bulldogs, Geelong and Fremantle. They jagged a rare away win against the former, but have since had three consecutive single-digit losses \u2014 most recently a heartbreaking two-point defeat to the latter at home last week.<\/p>\n<p>As last year\u2019s minor premiers, the expectation is as high as it\u2019s been for the best part of a decade at West Lakes. That being said, Adelaide\u2019s issues feel more about execution than alarm. They\u2019ve started slow, then gotten red-hot, and then faded late when the match is truly on the line.<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately, the same can\u2019t be said about Carlton.<\/p>\n<p>Their own 1-3 start hasn\u2019t been about narrow misses or a tough draw, and has instead been overwhelmed by a distressing inability to sustain their first-half output.<\/p>\n<p>Voss brushes off questions about future | 02:40<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s seen them relinquish three half time leads already this season, and oh so nearly a fourth against Richmond, where they held on for dear life to win by four points after conceding four of the last five goals for the match.<\/p>\n<p>Head coach Michael Voss was already under more pressure than any of his counterparts heading into 2026, but now \u2014 rightly or wrongly \u2014 it feels like it\u2019s reached boiling point.<\/p>\n<p>Like the Crows, it\u2019s so far been hard to distinguish what\u2019s real and what\u2019s not; which makes separating signal from noise all the more important ahead of a defining prime time night clash at Adelaide Oval.<\/p>\n<p>REAL: \u2018REACTIVE\u2019 SECOND-HALF FADES BLUES CAN\u2019T SHAKE OFF<\/p>\n<p>As has already been so well documented, this is the realest of reals at Ikon Park.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s borderline unfathomable to think, but there is a world right now where Carlton are 4-0. Granted, Sydney\u2019s 75-point third quarter against them in Opening Round was simply insane, but it\u2019s easy to remember the Blues led by 22 points in the early stages of that second half.<\/p>\n<p>Obviously there\u2019s no one simple fix to their second-half woes, but as four-time premiership Hawk Jordan Lewis tells foxfooty.com.au, there are noticeable changes in the way they\u2019re playing that are bound to make a difference.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhen I watch them closely \u2026 it\u2019s the will to run, the will to compete, be creative and be proactive,\u201d Lewis said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn the second half, they\u2019re too reactive to the scoreboard and mistakes \u2014 they can\u2019t move on from mistakes. All these little things creep into your head and create doubt, which means you stop playing.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhenever a side\u2019s not playing well, you look to the leaders and see how they\u2019re performing. If they\u2019re not performing to their own standards, it\u2019s really hard to keep the others accountable.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere\u2019s no doubt that if the non-A-graders aren\u2019t confident in the fundamentals of the game, their game falls apart. There\u2019s a little bit on the leaders, but I also look to the bottom end to see if they\u2019re confident in playing at the level.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Their A-grade players in Patrick Cripps, Jacob Weitering, Harry McKay and Sam Walsh have all had so-so starts to the season, while it\u2019s naturally taking a little while for the club\u2019s new recruits to integrate into their system \u2014 not too dissimilarly to St Kilda. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxsports.com.au\/afl\/afl-2026-patrick-cripps-potential-trade-to-help-carlton-blues-do-you-trade-your-captain-michael-voss-future-tasmania-draft-picks-on-the-couch-discussion\/news-story\/16837a9ff5d606394d2d8a457429a4c9\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Lewis has even floated the idea of trading Cripps<\/a> to accelerate a rebuild, highlighting how entrenched the leadership and mentality issues feel.<\/p>\n<p>Cripps and new recruit Ollie Florent walk off after Carlton\u2019s Good Friday loss to North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium, on April 3, 2026, in Melbourne, Australia (Photo by Josh Chadwick via Getty Images)Source: Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>NOT REAL: THE PANIC STATIONS AT WEST LAKES<\/p>\n<p>After finishing top of the AFL ladder less than eight months ago, it\u2019s fair to say Adelaide\u2019s start on paper looks sub-par. But in the opinion of Jordan Lewis, it\u2019s still at this stage no more than a slow start.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey\u2019re just slowly getting into form. You look at the third quarter last week (vs Fremantle); that\u2019s Adelaide at their best,\u201d Lewis told foxfooty.com.au.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s certainly not panic stations, I still think they\u2019ve got the fire power. It\u2019s probably just the product of playing a couple of extra games last year in finals, and a slower start to pre-season before getting going again.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf they play three quarters like that, they\u2019ll win 95% of their games, but it\u2019s a challenge. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cOnce you\u2019ve felt what it\u2019s like to play like that in a new season \u2026 that\u2019s the standard now. They didn\u2019t get across the line against a really good Fremantle team, but now you feel it, and that you can prove it.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>A loss tonight would change this narrative considerably, but for now, the general consensus isn\u2019t that they\u2019ve lost their mojo indefinitely.<\/p>\n<p>A loss tonight would change this narrative considerably, but for now, the general consensus isn\u2019t that they\u2019ve lost their mojo indefinitely. Their percentage sits near 100%, the losses have been by small margins against quality sides, and key personnel are only just returning to full fitness.<\/p>\n<p>A loss this Thursday night to Carlton would turn a pair of common variables in recent games into a genuine concern (Photo by James Elsby via Getty Images)Source: Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>REAL: THE \u2018CROW-VAL\u2019 HAS BEEN BREACHED&#8230; KIND OF<\/p>\n<p>This concern is a little more real than their slow start to 2026, but it\u2019s still not totally there yet.<\/p>\n<p>Adelaide had a near-formidable home record at Adelaide Oval during last year\u2019s home-and-away season; ironically only losing to Geelong during Gather Round to hold a 12-1 record at the venue heading into finals.<\/p>\n<p>That being said, they have begun to show cracks at the \u2018Crow-val\u2019 \u2014 losing their last four matches there. Again, their defeats have come against quality opposition, but the expectation is that they\u2019re now good enough to combat that on their home turf.<\/p>\n<p>Their ball movement (specifically regarding handballs and metres gained) has ranked towards the lower of the league so far, in a game that is continuing to evolve rapidly. Defensively they remain elite, but when the Crows go sideways or reactive instead of penetrating, sides like the Dockers can punish them at contest.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s not a total collapse of their castle, but it\u2019s certainly no longer the fortress that it was 12 months ago. A big watch in the next two home games against the Blues, and then St Kilda next Saturday night.<\/p>\n<p>Why Blues should trade Patrick Cripps | 02:01<\/p>\n<p>NOT REAL: THAT 2026 IS ALREADY A WRITE-OFF FOR THE BLUES<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s still too early to slam the lid on Carlton\u2019s season.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, the second-half trend is alarming, and the pressure on Michael Voss is very real. But four games into a 23-match season is nowhere near enough to draw a line through them; particularly given the level of list turnover last off-season.<\/p>\n<p>Even if the integration of new faces is taking time, the Blues still have talent, and importantly, their first halves show they can match it with most sides when their intensity is up.<\/p>\n<p>One or two wins in the coming weeks \u2014 starting with Thursday night \u2014 could quickly shift the narrative and buy Voss some much-needed breathing room.<\/p>\n<p>Writing them off now ignores how volatile early-season ladders can be, and how quickly confidence can swing in football. Moving on from Voss this early would point to broader instability at the club, rather than simply laying blame at the coach\u2019s feet.<\/p>\n<p>Essendon\u2019s response against the Western Bulldogs last Sunday night, where a largely competitive performance helped ease the pressure, is a reminder of just how quickly the narrative can change for a week.<\/p>\n<p>A heavy loss this weekend has the capacity to change this narrative, but for now, their season still has a heartbeat.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"No club wants to be 1-3 to start a season. But as the opening month of the 2026&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":596149,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[9126,2095,63,689,16716,3239,291016,291021,1818,241957,26521,2105,291023,43,64029,25174,78911,27723,19080,33330,16712,647,291011,3257,291022,291018,44,2041,2067,677,80471,7800,183079,668,770,291013,47923,291015,6858,1138,291017,291014,291019,146122,1124,1122,30690,291020,41,39,42,40,2614,291012,660,4899,16710,698,28958],"class_list":{"0":"post-596148","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-headlines","8":"tag-adelaide-crows","9":"tag-america","10":"tag-australia","11":"tag-australia-and-new-zealand","12":"tag-ball-movement","13":"tag-carlton-blues","14":"tag-consecutive-single-digit-losses","15":"tag-counterparts-heading","16":"tag-david-king","17":"tag-fire-power","18":"tag-four-time-premiership","19":"tag-getty-images-inc","20":"tag-halves-show","21":"tag-headlines","22":"tag-home-games","23":"tag-home-turf","24":"tag-home-and-away-campaign","25":"tag-home-and-away-season","26":"tag-jordan-lewis","27":"tag-josh-chadwick","28":"tag-matthew-nicks","29":"tag-melbourne","30":"tag-mentality-issues","31":"tag-michael-voss","32":"tag-much-needed-breathing-room","33":"tag-near-formidable-home","34":"tag-news","35":"tag-north-america","36":"tag-northern-america","37":"tag-oceania","38":"tag-panic-stations","39":"tag-patrick-cripps","40":"tag-percentage-sits","41":"tag-press-conference","42":"tag-pressure-mounts","43":"tag-prime-time-night","44":"tag-quality-opposition","45":"tag-quality-sides","46":"tag-richmond","47":"tag-sam-walsh","48":"tag-second-half-fades-blues","49":"tag-second-half-trend","50":"tag-second-half-woes","51":"tag-slow-start","52":"tag-south-australia","53":"tag-st-kilda","54":"tag-superstar-player","55":"tag-time-leads","56":"tag-top-news","57":"tag-top-stories","58":"tag-topnews","59":"tag-topstories","60":"tag-united-states-of-america","61":"tag-venue-heading","62":"tag-victoria","63":"tag-virginia","64":"tag-west-lakes","65":"tag-western-bulldogs","66":"tag-win-loss-records"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/596148","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=596148"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/596148\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/596149"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=596148"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=596148"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=596148"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}