{"id":605248,"date":"2026-04-14T01:24:10","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T01:24:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/605248\/"},"modified":"2026-04-14T01:24:10","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T01:24:10","slug":"lottery-odds-after-the-regular-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/605248\/","title":{"rendered":"Lottery Odds After the Regular Season"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"inline-text-0\" class=\"mt-[18px] md:mt-0 mb-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5e\">The NBA regular season is now over, and with the Play-In Tournament starting on Tuesday and ending Friday, the lottery dwellers are turning their attention toward the 2026 NBA Draft. The full order isn&#8217;t official yet, but six of the 14 teams know exactly where they are in the lottery standings.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-1\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5h\">Four of the 14 spots have to be determined with a coin flip, while the final four will be decided with the Play-In Tournament. With the regular season over, here are the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tankathon.com\/pick_odds\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">current odds<\/a> entering the postseason:<\/p>\n<p>Lottery Odds After the NBA Regular Season<\/p>\n<p>Seed<\/p>\n<p>Team (Based on Standings<\/p>\n<p>No. 1 Pick Odds<\/p>\n<p>Top-Four Pick Odds<\/p>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<p>Washington Wizards<\/p>\n<p>14.0%<\/p>\n<p>52.1%<\/p>\n<p>2<\/p>\n<p>Indiana Pacers<\/p>\n<p>14.0%<\/p>\n<p>52.1%<\/p>\n<p>3<\/p>\n<p>Brooklyn Nets<\/p>\n<p>14.0%<\/p>\n<p>52.1%<\/p>\n<p>4<\/p>\n<p>Utah Jazz or Sacramento Kings<\/p>\n<p>12.5%<\/p>\n<p>48.1%<\/p>\n<p>5<\/p>\n<p>Utah Jazz or Sacramento Kings<\/p>\n<p>10.5%<\/p>\n<p>42.1%<\/p>\n<p>6<\/p>\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies<\/p>\n<p>9.0%<\/p>\n<p>37.2%<\/p>\n<p>7<\/p>\n<p>Atlanta Hawks (via New Orleans Pelicans) or Dallas Mavericks<\/p>\n<p>7.5%<\/p>\n<p>31.9%<\/p>\n<p>8<\/p>\n<p>Atlanta Hawks (via New Orleans Pelicans) or Dallas Mavericks<\/p>\n<p>6.0%<\/p>\n<p>26.3%<\/p>\n<p>9<\/p>\n<p>Chicago Bulls<\/p>\n<p>4.5%<\/p>\n<p>20.3%<\/p>\n<p>10<\/p>\n<p>Milwaukee Bucks<\/p>\n<p>3.0%<\/p>\n<p>13.9%<\/p>\n<p>11<\/p>\n<p>Play-In Tournament Loser<\/p>\n<p>2.0%<\/p>\n<p>9.4%<\/p>\n<p>12<\/p>\n<p>Play-In Tournament Loser<\/p>\n<p>1.5%<\/p>\n<p>7.1%<\/p>\n<p>13<\/p>\n<p>Play-In Tournament Loser<\/p>\n<p>1.0%<\/p>\n<p>4.7%<\/p>\n<p>14<\/p>\n<p>Play-In Tournament Loser<\/p>\n<p>0.5%<\/p>\n<p>2.4%<\/p>\n<p>Play-In Tournament, Protections and Swaps<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-5\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5s\">The Jazz and Kings are awaiting who will slide in at No. 4 and No. 5, while the Hawks (via Pelicans) and Mavericks are also waiting on No. 7 and No. 8. The coin flip will determine those, but there are other protections to watch out for aside from Atlanta owning New Orleans&#8217; selection.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-6\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5v\">The Wizards&#8217; first-round pick is officially their own, as Washington can&#8217;t fall out of the protected range. Had they been better, it could have landed with the New York Knicks.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-7\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"5y\">The Pacers are in a unique situation after acquiring Ivica Zubac from the LA Clippers. If Indiana lands between picks No. 1 and No. 4, it will keep its selection. But if the Pacers fall to No. 5 or No. 6, the Clippers own their pick. Indiana can&#8217;t fall any lower in the lottery.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-8\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"61\">The Milwaukee Bucks will receive the lower pick between them and the Pelicans, but New Orleans&#8217; selection goes to the Hawks. Based on the possible odds, Milwaukee has a chance to land between No. 1 and No. 4, as well as No. 7 and No. 11.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-9\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"64\">The Play-In losers will fill out the final four spots, determined by order. Something to note is that the Oklahoma City Thunder owns LA&#8217;s pick. If the Clippers end up in the lottery, the Thunder have a small shot to land the No. 1 selection, bolstering an already-loaded roster.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-10\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"67\">Oklahoma City also owns the Philadelphia 76ers&#8217; first-round pick, protected between No. 1 and No. 4. If the 76ers lose in the Play-In Tournament, the Thunder could have another selection as high as No. 5.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-11\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6a\">If the Portland Trail Blazers make the playoffs, their first-round pick goes to the Chicago Bulls, who would then have two in the 2026 draft. The 1-14 protection would then get pushed to 2027.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-12\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6d\">The Grizzlies, Charlotte Hornets, Phoenix Suns and Orlando Magic are in a sticky swap situation that can be <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reddit.com\/r\/nba\/comments\/1lc3axz\/some_clarification_on_that_suns_2026_pick_in_the\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">explained here<\/a>. If the Magic and Suns make the playoffs, as expected, then Memphis would get another first-round pick via Orlando, and the Hornets would get one as well via Phoenix.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The NBA regular season is now over, and with the Play-In Tournament starting on Tuesday and ending Friday,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":605249,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[557],"tags":[64,63,590,85],"class_list":["post-605248","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nba","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-nba","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/605248","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=605248"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/605248\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/605249"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=605248"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=605248"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=605248"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}