{"id":616539,"date":"2026-04-19T06:06:31","date_gmt":"2026-04-19T06:06:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/616539\/"},"modified":"2026-04-19T06:06:31","modified_gmt":"2026-04-19T06:06:31","slug":"mlb-best-home-run-bets-for-april-19-2026-devers-and-harper","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/616539\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB Best Home Run Bets For April 19, 2026\u2014Devers And Harper"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The MLB best home run bet drought continued yesterday, with two more misses. The season ledger sits at a 3-12 record, with one no bet for a player who didn\u2019t start. The skid has eaten away at most of the season\u2019s profits.<\/p>\n<p>Nevertheless, readers who bet $100 on each of the suggested home run props at the listed odds are still up $200. Sunday\u2019s home run bets will decide if the season line dips to $0 or swells.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Fortunately, all 30 teams are playing on Sunday, creating a vast pool of home run props to pick from. The two following home run bets offer the best blend of likelihood of coming to fruition and betting odds offered.<\/p>\n<p>MLB Best Home Run BetsRafael Devers (San Francisco Giants &#8211; 1B)<\/p>\n<p>Over 0.5 Home Runs (+449) at DraftKings Sportsbook<\/p>\n<p>Rafael Devers is off to a forgettable start to his 2026 campaign. He has hit only two homers in 21 games and 90 plate appearances this year, and he hasn\u2019t hit one since April 8.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Devers\u2019 low home run total early in the season mask less discouraging batted-ball data. Among <a href=\"https:\/\/baseballsavant.mlb.com\/leaderboard\/statcast?sort=barrels_per_pa&amp;sortDir=desc\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:277 qualified batters;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;277 qualified batters&quot;}\" class=\"link \">277 qualified batters<\/a> in 2026, Devers is tied for 80th in barrels per plate appearance rate (7.1%), 83rd in barrels per batted-ball event rate (11.3%), tied for 80th in fly-ball and line-drive exit velocity (95.0 mph) and tied for 101st in launch-angle sweet-spot rate (35.8%). Those marks don\u2019t live up to the standard Devers has set to this point in his career. Nevertheless, they\u2019re not dreadful.<\/p>\n<p>Devers has a golden opportunity to get off the schneid today. Among <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders\/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=pit&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;type=8&amp;season=2026&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2026&amp;ind=0&amp;players=11486%2C9803%2C21483%2C17594%2C21846%2C23796%2C31623%2C27768%2C22286%2C23335%2C25377%2C21224%2C22294%2C24728%2C22191%2C21741%2C35323%2C14843%2C32056%2C17677%2C19853%2C27468%2C22201%2C30279%2C14107%2C26253%2C17295%2C27463%2C16944%2C30091&amp;sortcol=10&amp;sortdir=desc&amp;pagenum=1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:today\u2019s probable starters;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;today\u2019s probable starters&quot;}\" class=\"link \">today\u2019s probable starters<\/a>, Miles Mikolas has allowed the most home runs per nine innings (3.45 HR\/9) this season.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/miles-mikolas\/9803\/game-log?position=P\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Mikolas;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Mikolas&quot;}\" class=\"link \">Mikolas<\/a> has allowed at least one home run in three of his four appearances this year, including coughing up four homers to the Dodgers on April 3. He has also permitted <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders\/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=pit&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;ind=0&amp;players=9803&amp;season1=2025&amp;season=2026&amp;type=0&amp;month=13&amp;sortcol=8&amp;sortdir=default\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:19 home runs;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;19 home runs&quot;}\" class=\"link \">19 home runs<\/a> to 403 left-handed batters faced since last year.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Devers has the power-hitting prowess to take homer-prone Mikolas deep. Yet, if he\u2019s unable to hit a homer against Washington\u2019s starter, Devers could get on the board against Washington\u2019s bullpen. Washington\u2019s relievers have allowed the second-most home runs per nine innings (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders\/major-league?pos=all&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;season=2026&amp;season1=2026&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0%2Cts&amp;rost=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;stats=rel&amp;type=8&amp;month=33&amp;sortcol=10&amp;sortdir=desc&amp;pagenum=1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:1.93;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;1.93&quot;}\" class=\"link \">1.93<\/a>) in MLB this season. Devers\u2019 matchup against Mikolas and the relievers for the Nationals is too tasty to overlook his +449 odds to hit a home run offered at DraftKings Sportsbook.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"Bryce Harper reacts to hitting a home run.\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"958\" height=\"492\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"standard-img\" style=\"color:transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/a89e64ff1b9cbae64fc055632eebc29f.jpeg\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Bryce Harper has a track record of hitting home runs against right-handed pitching at Citizens Bank Park.<\/p>\n<p>Getty ImagesBryce Harper (Philadelphia Phillies &#8211; 1B)<\/p>\n<p>Over 0.5 Home Runs (+389) at DraftKings Sportsbook<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Bryce Harper provided us with one of the winning home run props earlier this year, when he launched a home run at +400 odds on April 1. Harper is once again a sweet pick to hit a homer today.<\/p>\n<p>The veteran left-handed-hitting outfielder is a terror for right-handed pitchers in his homer-friendly home ballpark. Harper has crushed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/bryce-harper\/11579\/splits-tool?position=NP&amp;splitArr=2%2C7&amp;splitArrPitch=&amp;autoPt=false&amp;splitTeams=false&amp;statType=player&amp;statgroup=1&amp;startDate=2024-01-01&amp;endDate=2026-11-01&amp;players=&amp;filter=&amp;groupBy=career&amp;wxTemperature=&amp;wxPressure=&amp;wxAirDensity=&amp;wxElevation=&amp;wxWindSpeed=&amp;sort=0%2C1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:25 homers;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;25 homers&quot;}\" class=\"link \">25 homers<\/a> in only 397 plate appearances against righties at home since 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Harper also has pristine batted-ball info. Among 277 qualified batters this year, Harper is tied for 20th in barrels per plate appearance rate (11.4%), 32nd in barrels per batted-ball event rate (15.3%), tied for 70th in fly-ball and line-drive exit velocity (95.4 mph), 39th in maximum exit velocity (112.5 mph) and tied for 62nd in launch-angle sweet-spot rate (39%).<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>His most recent batted-ball data is stellar, too. Among <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders\/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=bat&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=y&amp;season=2026&amp;season1=2026&amp;ind=0&amp;type=24&amp;month=2&amp;sortcol=9&amp;sortdir=default&amp;pagenum=1&amp;pageitems=30\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:185 qualified hitters;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;185 qualified hitters&quot;}\" class=\"link \">185 qualified hitters<\/a> in the previous 14 days, Harper is tied for 28th in barrels rate (16.7%), tied for 39th in hard-hit rate (52.8%) and had a 10.1-degree launch angle.<\/p>\n<p>Harper doesn\u2019t have a great matchup to hit a home run today. Grant Holmes has allowed only two homers this year, coughing up one in two of his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/players\/grant-holmes\/16944\/game-log?position=P\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:four starts;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;four starts&quot;}\" class=\"link \">four starts<\/a>. Still, Holmes has a mediocre <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders\/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=pit&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;ind=0&amp;players=16944&amp;season1=2025&amp;season=2026&amp;type=1&amp;month=13\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:20% strikeout rate;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;20% strikeout rate&quot;}\" class=\"link \">20% strikeout rate<\/a> against the 290 left-handed batters he\u2019s faced since last season.<\/p>\n<p>Holmes isn\u2019t the caliber of righty to fade Harper\u2019s +389 odds to homer against a right-handed pitcher at homer-friendly Citizens Bank Park. The <a href=\"https:\/\/baseballsavant.mlb.com\/leaderboard\/statcast-park-factors?type=year&amp;year=2026&amp;batSide=&amp;stat=index_wOBA&amp;condition=All&amp;rolling=3&amp;parks=mlb\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:115 park factor for home runs;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;115 park factor for home runs&quot;}\" class=\"link \">115 park factor for home runs<\/a> at Citizens Bank Park is the fourth-highest in MLB from 2024 through 2026.<\/p>\n<p>This article was originally published on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/joshshepardson\/2026\/04\/19\/mlb-best-home-run-bets-for-april-19-2026-devers-and-harper\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Forbes.com;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Forbes.com&quot;}\" class=\"link \">Forbes.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The MLB best home run bet drought continued yesterday, with two more misses. The season ledger sits at&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":616540,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[558],"tags":[64,63,17856,5138,36670,34111,48722,591,2365,294069,5148,5157,85],"class_list":{"0":"post-616539","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-mlb","8":"tag-au","9":"tag-australia","10":"tag-bryce-harper","11":"tag-dodgers","12":"tag-draftkings-sportsbook","13":"tag-grant-holmes","14":"tag-miles-mikolas","15":"tag-mlb","16":"tag-philadelphia-phillies","17":"tag-plate-appearances","18":"tag-rafael-devers","19":"tag-san-francisco-giants","20":"tag-sports"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/616539","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=616539"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/616539\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/616540"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=616539"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=616539"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=616539"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}