{"id":616955,"date":"2026-04-19T11:09:14","date_gmt":"2026-04-19T11:09:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/616955\/"},"modified":"2026-04-19T11:09:14","modified_gmt":"2026-04-19T11:09:14","slug":"voters-return-to-labor-coalition-as-one-nation-support-dips-resolve-political-monitor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/616955\/","title":{"rendered":"Voters return to Labor, Coalition as One Nation support dips: Resolve Political Monitor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Shane Wright\" data-testid=\"author-avatar-image\" height=\"64\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/057daa8f1b51682d1d002d4c2720328233762dc5.png\"  width=\"64\" class=\"sc-9a01536c-0 libeSR\"\/><\/p>\n<p data-testid=\"article-datetime\" class=\"sc-5cbbddda-5 hxoHkT\">April 19, 2026 \u2014 6:00pm<\/p>\n<p>Save<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-d1b14060-4 JmUoF\">You have reached your maximum number of saved items.<\/p>\n<p>Remove items from your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theage.com.au\/goodfood\/saved\" class=\"sc-3f16ee48-12 sc-d1b14060-2 jyLmZI iQLtAb\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">saved list<\/a> to add more.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-369d9219-1 bOiPYX\">Save this article for later<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-369d9219-2 bufJxo\">Add articles to your saved list and come back to them anytime.<\/p>\n<p>Got it<\/p>\n<p>AAA<\/p>\n<p>Pauline Hanson\u2019s political surge may have peaked, with her likeability falling and primary support for One Nation edging down to its lowest level in three months even though a growing number believe the right-wing party could win the next election.<\/p>\n<p>The exclusive Resolve Political Monitor shows that through April, as America and Israel launched their war against Iran, support for One Nation dropped by two points as voters made a small return to the major parties.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Anthony Albanese and Angus Taylor\u2019s parties have gained votes in April\u2019s RPM, while after months on the rise Pauline Hanson and One Nation have stalled.\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/7ff67757b9df0f76405059c1f8641eff7d39945e.jpeg\"  class=\"sc-d34e428-1 ldCIuB\"\/>Anthony Albanese and Angus Taylor\u2019s parties have gained votes in April\u2019s RPM, while after months on the rise Pauline Hanson and One Nation have stalled.Aresna Villanueva<\/p>\n<p>The same poll also reveals the changes Australians are making because of the war\u2019s impact on petrol prices with almost four-in-five adjusting their driving habits or abandoning trips. More than one in four people also said the cost-of-living crunch meant they were changing their spending patterns.<\/p>\n<p>Conducted by <a class=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.smh.com.au\/national\/resolve-political-monitor-20210322-p57cvx.html\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Resolve<\/a> from April 13 to 18, the poll of 1807 people showed primary support for One Nation eased to 22 per cent. It was the lowest support for the party since January when it was 18 per cent. Despite the decline, it is still sharply up on the 6.4 per cent that One Nation achieved at last year\u2019s election.<\/p>\n<p>Support for the Coalition lifted one point to 23 per cent, the level it was soon after Angus Taylor replaced Sussan Ley as Liberal leader in February. The Coalition once again edges One Nation on primary support, but the one-point lead is within the poll\u2019s margin of error.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the improvement, the Coalition\u2019s primary vote is down almost nine points from last year\u2019s disastrous election result.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>Labor\u2019s primary vote has returned to 32 per cent, after dipping to 29 per cent in March. It remains short of the 34.6 per cent that Anthony Albanese achieved at the May election.<\/p>\n<p>Pollster Jim Reed said the failure for a big lift in One Nation\u2019s support may be due to voters looking at issues that are not traditional drivers of interest for Hanson, such as the economy and international affairs.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe may have reached \u2018peak Pauline\u2019, at least for the time being,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>While the Coalition\u2019s support has barely changed since Taylor took over as leader, he remains positive with voters with a net likeability rating of plus 16. By contrast, Anthony Albanese has a rating of minus 12, a level that has been constant since February.<\/p>\n<p>Albanese has just a single-point lead over Taylor as preferred prime minister, 33 to 32 per cent, with 34 per cent undecided.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>Thirty-seven per cent of those surveyed rate Albanese\u2019s performance as good, his highest level since the start of the year, while 52 per cent rated it poor. Taylor\u2019s performance was rated as good by 41 per cent, well above the 26 per cent who rated it poor. But a third of voters are still unsure about the Liberal leader, while just 10 per cent are unsure about the prime minister.<\/p>\n<p>There are positive signs for new Nationals leader Matt Canavan. He registered a plus eight likeability rating, putting him only behind Taylor, Liberal frontbencher Andrew Hastie and One Nation convert Barnaby Joyce (both at plus 10).<\/p>\n<p>His popularity has helped the overall standing of the Nationals. Its net popularity has shot up from minus five in February to plus seven in this most recent poll.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>Pauline Hanson suffered a four-point drop in her net likeability to plus six. She registered plus 15 in January.<\/p>\n<p>Highlighting the impact of the fight on the right of politics between the Coalition and One Nation, at a two-party preferred level Labor maintains a 55-45 lead, which is what it achieved at last year\u2019s election.<\/p>\n<p>But the survey also revealed voters believe One Nation will be an electoral force at the next election, which is due by May 2028.<\/p>\n<p>Asked who they expect will win the election, 38 per cent believe it will be Labor, 22 per cent said it will be the Coalition while 16 per cent expect it to be \u201csomeone else\u201d. That someone else is One Nation.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>The increase in support for the government came despite cost-of-living pressures unleashed by the war against Iran, which has pushed global oil prices to almost $US120 a barrel.<\/p>\n<p>Keeping the cost of living low was rated by 42 per cent as the single most important policy priority, easily eclipsing every other issue, such as housing (8 per cent), immigration (6 per cent) and healthcare (7 per cent).<\/p>\n<p>Australians are taking their own actions to ease the cost pressures caused by the surge in petrol prices, with 79 per cent saying they had changed their driving habits.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>The most common adjustment has been for people to drive less (58 per cent of those surveyed). Low- income earners (67 per cent), retirees and people in rural or regional areas (both 64 per cent) were the most common groups to put away their car keys.<\/p>\n<p>One in five said they did not make a trip over the Easter holidays they otherwise would have, while 19 per cent said they were using public transport, walking or riding a bicycle to work. On Sunday, t<a class=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theage.com.au\/politics\/victoria\/public-transport-free-for-another-month-and-half-price-until-2027-20260418-p5zp0e.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">he Victorian state government announced<\/a> it was extending free public transport for another month and then halving prices for the rest of the year.<\/p>\n<p>In an important indication to the Reserve Bank that high petrol prices are having a broad impact on consumers, more than a quarter of people (27 per cent) said they had reduced purchases on other goods and services.<\/p>\n<p>Related Article<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theage.com.au\/politics\/federal\/bigger-fuel-reserves-ev-trucks-on-labor-s-agenda-after-major-shock-prompts-rethink-20260416-p5zog0.html\" tabindex=\"-1\" class=\"sc-cba76dee-0 hdiTqm\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Climate Change and Energy Minister Chris Bowen in Sydney on Thursday.\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/1776596953_937_59b91142ecfc8e23218996e17d5472b2d34db162.jpeg\"  class=\"sc-d34e428-1 ioInpc\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Just 21 per cent said they had not changed, of which the most likely were high-income earners (25 per cent).<\/p>\n<p>Reed said there had also been an increase in people varying their work habits.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe do find more people can work from home than was the case during COVID, suggesting the world of work has changed somewhat in recent years,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Cut through the noise of federal politics with news, views and expert analysis. <a class=\"inline-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theage.com.au\/newsletter-signup?newsletter=inside-politics&amp;utm_source=EditorialArticle&amp;utm_medium=ArticleText&amp;utm_campaign=Newsletters\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Subscribers can sign up to our weekly Inside Politics newsletter<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Save<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-d1b14060-4 JmUoF\">You have reached your maximum number of saved items.<\/p>\n<p>Remove items from your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theage.com.au\/goodfood\/saved\" class=\"sc-3f16ee48-12 sc-d1b14060-2 jyLmZI iQLtAb\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">saved list<\/a> to add more.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Shane Wright\" data-testid=\"author-avatar-image\" height=\"40\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1765797314_589_057daa8f1b51682d1d002d4c2720328233762dc5.png\"  width=\"40\" class=\"sc-9a01536c-0 libeSR\"\/><a class=\"sc-cba76dee-0 hdiTqm sc-b5b9fd03-2 jcGta-D\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theage.com.au\/by\/shane-wright-h170pw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Shane Wright<\/a> is a senior economics correspondent for The Age and The Sydney Morning Herald.Connect via <a class=\"sc-cba76dee-0 hdiTqm sc-b5b9fd03-5 czsZcI\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/swrighteconomy?lang=en\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">X<\/a> or <a class=\"sc-cba76dee-0 hdiTqm sc-b5b9fd03-5 czsZcI\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theage.com.au\/politics\/federal\/mailto:shane.wright@smh.com.au\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">email<\/a>.From our partners<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"April 19, 2026 \u2014 6:00pm Save You have reached your maximum number of saved items. Remove items from&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":542293,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[64,63,44],"class_list":{"0":"post-616955","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-australia","8":"tag-au","9":"tag-australia","10":"tag-news"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/616955","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=616955"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/616955\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/542293"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=616955"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=616955"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=616955"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}