{"id":624170,"date":"2026-04-22T19:31:11","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T19:31:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/624170\/"},"modified":"2026-04-22T19:31:11","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T19:31:11","slug":"ufc-vegas-116-betting-picks-today-advice-analysis-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/624170\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Vegas 116 Betting Picks Today: Advice, Analysis &#038; Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>UFC Vegas 116 betting picks for April 25 are live on RotoWire today. Check out predictions for a favorite, an underdog, a prop and a parlay for bettors to consider Saturday.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"lozad \" style=\"aspect-ratio:16 \/ 7\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/zzaoc653keqekknt4dzu.jpg\" alt=\"UFC Best Bets Today: Picks, Odds &amp; Predictions for UFC Vegas 116\" fetchpriority=\"high\" loading=\"eager\" width=\"1500\" data-credit=\"Daniel Dunn-Imagn Images\"\/><\/p>\n<p>The UFC returns to the Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Saturday, April 25 for UFC Vegas 116. In the main event, featherweight contenders throw down, as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/aljamain-sterling-157\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Aljamain Sterling<\/a> takes on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/youssef-zalal-2000\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Youssef Zalal<\/a> with a top-5 spot at 145 pounds on the line.<\/p>\n<p>Below, I&#8217;ll share my UFC Vegas 116 predictions, including my favorite pick, an underdog, a prop and a two-fighter parlay. All <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/mma\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">UFC odds<\/a> are via the DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the post date of this article.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Weight Class: Lightweight<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/alexander-hernandez-1546\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Alexander Hernandez<\/a> (18-8) vs. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/rafa-garcia-2165\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rafa Garcia<\/a> (18-4)<\/p>\n<p>A fun lightweight bout takes place on the main card, and I like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/alexander-hernandez-1546\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Alexander Hernandez<\/a> to get his hand raised against <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/rafa-garcia-2165\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rafa Garcia<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Hernandez is on a four-fight winning streak and has been looking good as of late. Garcia, meanwhile, has won back-to-back fights, but I like the momentum Hernandez is on.<\/p>\n<p>Hernandez is a great striker with legitimate KO power, and he should also have the grappling advantage in this fight. I like Hernandez to land the more damaging shots and also wrestle when needed to control the minutes and likely secure a ground-and-pound TKO win.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 116 Bet: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/alexander-hernandez-1546\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Alexander Hernandez<\/a> (-130)<\/p>\n<p>Weight Class: Welterweight<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/max-griffin-906\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Max Griffin<\/a> (20-12) vs. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/victor-valenzuela-2763\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Victor Valenzuela<\/a> (13-4)<\/p>\n<p>For my underdog pick at UFC Vegas 116, I&#8217;m taking <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/max-griffin-906\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Max Griffin<\/a> to get back into the win column against a UFC newcomer in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/victor-valenzuela-2763\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Victor Valenzuela<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Griffin has lost back-to-back fights, but the level of competition he has been fighting is top-notch. The veteran is also as durable as they come, as he&#8217;s only been finished once in his UFC tenure.<\/p>\n<p>Griffin takes on Valenzuela, who&#8217;s making his UFC debut and lost on the Contender Series. Valenzuela has some talent and skills, but we often see UFC jitters. I think Griffin will be able to win the second and third rounds to edge out a very close decision, which could even be a split.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 116 Bet: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/max-griffin-906\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Max Griffin<\/a> (+124)<\/p>\n<p>Check out DraftKings to bet on<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/college-basketball\/tourney-futures.php\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> <\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/mma\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MMA Odds<\/a> and use the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/fanatics\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> <\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/draftkings\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings promo code<\/a> for a great welcome offer.<\/p>\n<p>Weight Class: Light heavyweight<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/marcus-almeida-2661\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Marcus Almeida<\/a> (5-2-1) vs. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/ryan-spann-1640\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ryan Spann<\/a> (23-11)<\/p>\n<p>For my prop at UFC Vegas 116, I&#8217;m taking <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/marcus-almeida-2661\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Marcus Almeida<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/ryan-spann-1640\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ryan Spann<\/a> to go under 1.5 rounds.<\/p>\n<p>Almeida (aka &#8220;Buchecha&#8221;) has been a bit of a disappointment in the UFC, as he&#8217;s 0-1-1, but gets a favorable matchup here against Spann. Buchecha is a stellar grappler, and Spann has struggled against grapplers as of late.<\/p>\n<p>However, on the feet, Spann has legit KO power, and Buchecha&#8217;s striking defense is a major concern. This is a toss-up fight for me, but the best way to bet it is under 1.5 rounds. I expect Buchecha to win by first-round submission or get TKO&#8217;d in the opening round.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 116 Bet: Marcus Buchecha-<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/ryan-spann-1640\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ryan Spann<\/a> under 1.5 rounds (-175)<\/p>\n<p>Weight Class: Middleweight &amp; Lightweight<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/rodolfo-vieira-1899\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rodolfo Vieira<\/a> (11-4) vs. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/eric-mcconico-2646\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Eric McConico<\/a> (10-4-1)<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/francis-marshall-2316\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Francis Marshall<\/a> (9-3) vs. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/lucas-brennan-1973\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Lucas Brennan<\/a> (11-2)<\/p>\n<p>For my parlay at UFC Vegas 116, I&#8217;m taking <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/rodolfo-vieira-1899\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rodolfo Vieira<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/francis-marshall-2316\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Francis Marshall<\/a> to get their hands raised.<\/p>\n<p>Vieira is taking on McConico, who I&#8217;m not too high on, and should struggle against Vieira. Vieira should be able to get McConico on the ground and get an early submission win, as the American doesn&#8217;t have the best takedown defense, which is an issue against Vieira, who&#8217;s a dominant grappler.<\/p>\n<p>The other leg of the parlay is Marshall to beat Brennan in a fight that was made on short notice. Brennan, to me, isn&#8217;t UFC-caliber. Marshall is someone I&#8217;m high on, and although this fight is on short notice, I expect him to be able to control the pace and likely finish Brennan. Marshall should be able to keep this fight standing and land the more damaging shots to get the win.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 116 Bet: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/rodolfo-vieira-1899\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rodolfo Vieira<\/a> &amp; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/francis-marshall-2316\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Francis Marshall<\/a> parlay (-167)<\/p>\n<p>Cash in on the best<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/promos\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> sportsbook promos<\/a> available for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/mma\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MMA betting<\/a>. The<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/betmgm\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> BetMGM bonus code<\/a> gets new players one of the best welcome bonuses in the industry.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0UFC Best Bets<\/p>\n<p>Here is a recap of my best UFC picks for this weekend&#8217;s UFC Vegas 116 card.<\/p>\n<p>If you prefer to deposit at a sportsbook via PayPal, RotoWire has an up-to-date list of all the top-rated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/paypal-betting-sites\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">PayPal betting sites<\/a> in one place. We also list all major <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/credit-card-betting-sites\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbooks accepting credit card<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"UFC Vegas 116 betting picks for April 25 are live on RotoWire today. Check out predictions for a&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":624171,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[570],"tags":[64,63,786,244002,785,85],"class_list":{"0":"post-624170","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-mma","8":"tag-au","9":"tag-australia","10":"tag-fighting","11":"tag-minor-league-stats","12":"tag-mma","13":"tag-sports"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/624170","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=624170"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/624170\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/624171"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=624170"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=624170"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=624170"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}