{"id":624839,"date":"2026-04-23T02:48:12","date_gmt":"2026-04-23T02:48:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/624839\/"},"modified":"2026-04-23T02:48:12","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T02:48:12","slug":"supercomputer-predicts-premier-league-table-after-man-city-leapfrog-arsenal-to-go-top","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/624839\/","title":{"rendered":"Supercomputer Predicts Premier League Table After Man City Leapfrog Arsenal to Go Top"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"inline-text-0\" class=\"mt-[18px] md:mt-0 mb-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6w\">For the first time since August, Manchester City sit at the summit of the Premier League, ending Arsenal\u2019s reign atop the table.  <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-1\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6z\">Pep Guardiola\u2019s men extended their winning streak to five matches across all competitions on Wednesday with a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/man-city-player-ratings-vs-burnley-4-22-26\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">1\u20130 victory over Burnley<\/a> at Turf Moor. It wasn\u2019t exactly a vintage City performance, but all that matters is the three points they collected to snatch first place from the Gunners.  <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-2\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"72\">The two title-contenders now sit level at 70 points atop the table, each with a goal difference of +37. But the Citizens have scored 66 goals to Arsenal\u2019s 63, which is enough to put the Sky Blues in pole position for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/premier-league\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Premier League<\/a> title, a feat that looked nearly impossible just four months ago. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-3\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"75\">City\u2019s midweek win also officially sent Burnley down to the Championship, leaving the relegation race down to just four clubs: Leeds United, who snatched a point against Bournemouth on Wednesday evening, Nottingham Forest, West Ham United and Tottenham Hotspur.  <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-4\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"78\">As the Premier League enters its final month of fixtures, here\u2019s how <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/competition\/premier-league\/table\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Opta\u2019s<\/a> supercomputer predicts the final table to shake out after City\u2019s latest win.  <\/p>\n<p>Supercomputer Predicts 2025\u201326 Premier League Title Winner<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/01kpvkp2t3pn2x08c81a.jpg\" alt=\"Kai Havertz\" title=\"Kai Havertz\" width=\"1024\" height=\"682\" class=\"undefined w-full w-full blur-[5px]\" q:id=\"7q\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Arsenal are still the favorites to win the Premier League.  | Stuart MacFarlane\/Arsenal FC\/Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Position<\/p>\n<p>Team<\/p>\n<p>Current Points<\/p>\n<p>Expected Points<\/p>\n<p>Title Chances<\/p>\n<p>1.<\/p>\n<p>Arsenal <\/p>\n<p>70<\/p>\n<p>80.75<\/p>\n<p>66.38%<\/p>\n<p>2.<\/p>\n<p>Man City<\/p>\n<p>70<\/p>\n<p>79.17<\/p>\n<p>33.62%<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-10\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7w\">Opta still backs <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/team\/arsenal\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Arsenal<\/a> to win the Premier League title, but with each passing week, the supercomputer lowers the Gunners\u2019 chances. After blowing a nine-point lead, Mikel Arteta\u2019s men now only have 66.38% odds to end their nearly 22-year wait for the English crown. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-11\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7z\">The odds are still in their favor upon first glance. After all, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/team\/manchester-city\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Man City<\/a> have just a 33.62% chance to claim their 11th league title. But the predicted points are far closer than the percentages. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-12\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"82\">Arsenal are expected to finish with near 81 points, while the Citizens stand to collect around 79. The projected 1.58-point gap leaves little room for error for either side; one slip up could decide the title race.<\/p>\n<p>Supercomputer Predicts 2025\u201326 Champions League Race<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/01kph65xsd3mmkm310an.jpg\" alt=\"Matheus Cunha, Bruno Fernandes\" title=\"Matheus Cunha, Bruno Fernandes\" width=\"1024\" height=\"682\" class=\"undefined w-full w-full blur-[5px]\" q:id=\"8k\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Manchester United are eyeing a return to the Champions League. | Ash Donelon\/Manchester United\/Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Position<\/p>\n<p>Team<\/p>\n<p>Current Points<\/p>\n<p>Expected Points<\/p>\n<p>Champions League Chances<\/p>\n<p>3.<\/p>\n<p>Aston Villa<\/p>\n<p>58<\/p>\n<p>65.91<\/p>\n<p>98.92%<\/p>\n<p>4.<\/p>\n<p>Man Utd<\/p>\n<p>58<\/p>\n<p>65.75<\/p>\n<p>98.60%<\/p>\n<p>5.<\/p>\n<p>Liverpool<\/p>\n<p>55<\/p>\n<p>62.83<\/p>\n<p>91.04%<\/p>\n<p>6.<\/p>\n<p>Brighton<\/p>\n<p>50<\/p>\n<p>56.42<\/p>\n<p>6.42%<\/p>\n<p>7.<\/p>\n<p>Bournemouth<\/p>\n<p>49<\/p>\n<p>54.63<\/p>\n<p>0.96%<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-18\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8q\">In Opta\u2019s eyes, the race for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/champions-league\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Champions League<\/a> places is all but wrapped up. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/team\/aston-villa\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Aston Villa<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/team\/manchester-united\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Manchester United<\/a> lead the way in third and fourth respectively, each with over 98% odds to qualify for Europe\u2019s premier club competition with around 65 points. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-19\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8t\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/team\/liverpool\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Liverpool<\/a>, who currently sit just three points behind the Villans and Red Devils, are the last and final English team expected to compete in the 2026\u201327 Champions League. Despite the Reds\u2019 troubling campaign, the defending Premier League champions are projected to collect around 63 points, enough to secure a place among Europe\u2019s elite next season. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-21\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8z\">The supercomputer favors <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/team\/brighton-hove-albion\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Brighton &amp; Hove Albion<\/a> as the only other team with any sort of hope to crack the Champions League places, though a 6.42% chance is rather bleak. The Seagulls will be more than happy, though, to settle for the Europa League, a competition they previously qualified for in 2023 for the first time in history. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-22\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"92\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/team\/bournemouth\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bournemouth<\/a> are clinging to the final European spot as it stands with 49 points. Opta has the club collecting just five more points to close out the season, but it thinks that will be enough to secure a place in the Conference League. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-23\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"95\">Looking for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/team\/chelsea\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Chelsea<\/a>? The Blues are slated to finish ninth with just 53.83 points, missing out completely on European competition next season. The prediction is no surprise considering the Blues have lost their last five league matches and just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/liam-rosenior-fired-chelsea-114-year-low\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">cut ties with Liam Rosenior<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Supercomputer Predicts 2025\u201326 Relegation Battle<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/01kpvrjt5w8ats77dtnb.jpg\" alt=\"Xavi Simons\" title=\"Xavi Simons\" width=\"1024\" height=\"682\" class=\"undefined w-full w-full blur-[5px]\" q:id=\"9k\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Tottenham have yet to win a league game in 2026. | Ben Stansall\/AFP\/Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Position<\/p>\n<p>Team<\/p>\n<p>Current Points<\/p>\n<p>Expected Points<\/p>\n<p>Relegation Chances<\/p>\n<p>15.<\/p>\n<p>Leeds<\/p>\n<p>40<\/p>\n<p>45.68<\/p>\n<p>0.21%<\/p>\n<p>16.<\/p>\n<p>Nottingham Forest<\/p>\n<p>36<\/p>\n<p>42.06<\/p>\n<p>4.27%<\/p>\n<p>17.<\/p>\n<p>West Ham<\/p>\n<p>33<\/p>\n<p>38.44<\/p>\n<p>38.58%<\/p>\n<p>18.<\/p>\n<p>Tottenham<\/p>\n<p>31<\/p>\n<p>36.91<\/p>\n<p>56.93%<\/p>\n<p>19.<\/p>\n<p>Burnley<\/p>\n<p>20<\/p>\n<p>23.47<\/p>\n<p>100%<\/p>\n<p>20.<\/p>\n<p>Wolves<\/p>\n<p>17<\/p>\n<p>22.81<\/p>\n<p>100%<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-28\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9q\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/leeds-united\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Leeds United<\/a> are well on their way to safety with 40 points through 34 games. Their chances of falling to the drop zone are a minuscule 0.21%, essentially nonexistent. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-29\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9t\">Not far behind are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/team\/nottingham-forest\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nottingham Forest<\/a>, who are projected to finish in 16th place with around 42 points. Two massive wins over Spurs and Burnley put the Tricky Trees in a prime position to fend off relegation despite losing nearly half of their league matches this season. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-30\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9w\">The real battle is between <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/team\/west-ham-united\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">West Ham United<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/team\/tottenham-hotspur\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Tottenham Hotspur<\/a>. The Hammers sit in 17th, just two points above Roberto De Zerbi\u2019s men in 18th place. According to Opta, it will still be two points separating the two sides come the final matchday, with Spurs dropping to the Championship for the first time since 1977. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-31\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9z\">Tottenham have a staggering 56.93% chance of relegation, a number that would have sounded ridiculous at the start of the season. Yet the team has yet to win a league match in 2026 and are running out of time to save themselves. In fact, the supercomputer deems them incapable of doing so.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-32\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"a2\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/burnley\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Burnley<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/soccer\/team\/wolverhampton-wanderers\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Wolverhampton Wanderers<\/a>, meanwhile, have already been officially relegated. <\/p>\n<p>READ THE LATEST PREMIER LEAGUE NEWS, ANALYSIS AND INSIGHT FROM SI FC<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.minutemediacdn.com\/platform\/google_discover_icon.svg\" class=\"shrink-0\"\/>Add us as a preferred source on Google<a aria-label=\"Follow si.com on Google News\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=si.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"flex h-[30px] w-[30px] shrink-0 items-center justify-center rounded-full bg-primary font-group-large text-sm font-medium text-white transition-colors hover:bg-secondary focus:bg-secondary md:w-auto md:gap-2.5 md:px-4 md:py-[5px]\">Follow<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"For the first time since August, Manchester City sit at the summit of the Premier League, ending Arsenal\u2019s&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":624840,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[563],"tags":[64,63,596,85],"class_list":["post-624839","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-football","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-football","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/624839","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=624839"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/624839\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/624840"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=624839"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=624839"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=624839"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}