{"id":643250,"date":"2026-05-01T18:20:11","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T18:20:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/643250\/"},"modified":"2026-05-01T18:20:11","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T18:20:11","slug":"ufc-perth-preview-and-predictions-jack-della-maddalena-or-carlos-prates-who-wins","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/643250\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Perth preview and predictions: Jack Della Maddalena or Carlos Prates \u2014 who wins?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>UFC returns to Australia this Saturday with a thrilling welterweight clash. Perth has cemented itself as the promotion\u2019s go-to spot in the country, and this time former welterweight champion Jack Della Maddalena and Carlos Prates are set to put on a show.<\/p>\n<p>Only a year removed from his crowning moment in Montreal, Della Maddalena\u2019s 170-pound title run already feels like a fever dream. Prates, meanwhile, has remained a reliable deliverer of entertainment, inching closer to his first title opportunity with every knockout.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>UFC Perth\u2019s co-main event is also set up as the clearest potential changing-of-the-guard matchup in recent memory, as longtime contender Beneil Dariush hopes to maintain his spot in the lightweight rankings by spoiling the night of budding hometown star Quillan Salkilld.<\/p>\n<p>Australian UFC events have a very specific formula: Lean heavily on local flair. That rings true with UFC Perth, maintaining 2026\u2019s trend of Fight Nights being top-heavy lineups.<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udc51 UFC Perth\u2019s lineup Crown grade: D+. \ud83d\udc51<\/p>\n<p>Betting odds via <a class=\"link \" href=\"https:\/\/www.tn.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/mma-45\" data-i13n=\"cpos:1;pos:1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:BetMGM;cpos:1;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkPosition&quot;:&quot;1&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yPosition&quot;:&quot;1&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;BetMGM&quot;,&quot;yHasCommerce&quot;:false}\">BetMGM<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"PERTH, AUSTRALIA - APRIL 30: Jack Della Maddalena and Carlos Prates face off after the UFC Perth Fight Night press conference at RAC Arena on April 30, 2026 in Perth, Australia.  (Photo by Ed Mulholland\/Zuffa LLC)\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"960\" height=\"540\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"standard-img\" style=\"color:transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/456cb1e1-d5c7-4ae8-811d-32f3e28c8ea6.jpeg\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Jack Della Maddalena and Carlos Prates hope to push toward a title shot with a UFC Perth win.<\/p>\n<p> (Ed Mulholland via Getty Images)170 pounds: Jack Della Maddalena (-105) vs. Carlos Prates (-115)<\/p>\n<p>Della Maddalena and Prates are doing the heavy lifting at UFC Perth, because welterweight matchups don\u2019t get much better than this one. This fight essentially carries the night, demanding your undivided attention if you\u2019re even the slightest fan of fisticuffs.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Della Maddalena\u2019s stock is sputtering after his one-sided title loss to Islam Makhachev, as is reflected by the odds. While this fight is listed fairly at near-even odds, Prates\u2019 style is nowhere close to that of Makachev\u2019s. Few are, in fact. And for that, the former champ\u2019s latest setback can \u2014 and should \u2014 be almost disregarded entirely.<\/p>\n<p>This will be a kickboxing match in an MMA cage. Plain and simple. Della Maddalena has some of the cleanest, most beautiful boxing in the sport. His performance against Belal Muhammad to win the welterweight title shouldn\u2019t be forgotten. Against Prates, he\u2019ll have to worry about a much more versatile striking offense coming his way.<\/p>\n<p>In his past two fights, Prates has made a name for himself by knocking out those who haven\u2019t been knocked out before. Della Maddalena would make for a third straight.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Whoever dictates the pace faster in this one should gain the advantage. Prates tends to wait patiently and let his incredible highlights develop, and it\u2019s only cost him against Ian Machado Garry, but Della Maddalena has all the tools and durability to replicate a similar \u2014 and potentially more efficient \u2014 game plan.<\/p>\n<p>At its core, UFC Perth\u2019s headliner is a matter of technique against versatility. \u201cJDM\u201d is the sharper of the two, and should be defensively sound enough to deal with any of the Brazilian\u2019s explosive salvos. No matter the outcome, a finish would be a surprise in this one. That means we\u2019re more likely in for an excellent 25-minute firefight.<\/p>\n<p>Pick: Della Maddalena<\/p>\n<p>155 pounds: Beneil Dariush (+360) vs. Quillan Salkilld (-500)<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019ve been riding the Dariush dark horse train as long as anybody. In terms of experience and competition level, this fight shouldn\u2019t even be close. Just stylistically alone, he should be a nightmare for Salkilld. There\u2019s just one issue I can no longer ignore after <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"link  yahoo-link\" href=\"https:\/\/sports.yahoo.com\/mma\/breaking-news\/article\/ufc-322-results-benoit-saint-denis-brutally-knocks-out-beneil-dariush-in-16-seconds-033611319.html\" data-i13n=\"cpos:2;pos:1\" data-ylk=\"slk:Benoit Saint Denis starched him in 16 seconds in November;cpos:2;pos:1;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;outcm:mb_qualified_link;_E:mb_qualified_link;ct:story;\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkPosition&quot;:&quot;2&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yPosition&quot;:&quot;1&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Benoit Saint Denis starched him in 16 seconds in November&quot;,&quot;yHasCommerce&quot;:false}\" target=\"_blank\">Benoit Saint Denis starched him in 16 seconds in November<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Dariush\u2019s chin has degraded to a point that it\u2019s thinner than graphene.<\/p>\n<p>He\u2019s been far too hittable since his 2023 loss to Charles Oliveira. Salkilld is another long, rangy striker, with speed on his side. The oddsmakers may still be showing a hint of disrespect to \u201cBenny,\u201d but his time is up, with his best hopes here being to spam the takedown button within 10 seconds of each round \u2014 if more than one is even needed.<\/p>\n<p>Pick: Salkilld<\/p>\n<p>125 pounds: Tim Elliott (+185) vs. Steve Erceg (-225)<\/p>\n<p>Oddly, Steve Erceg is kind of the Tim Elliott of this generation: The unlikely title contender, who did far better in his bid for gold than anyone anticipated.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Ultimately, the showdown between these two will come down to discipline, specifically in the takedown defense department for Erceg. It\u2019s no secret where Elliott excels, chaining together grappling sequences brilliantly and finding submissions in the process. He\u2019s a gritty, tough veteran unlike any other at 125 pounds. His strikes typically come in awkward patterns \u2014 think akin to the Keith Jardine days, but with a larger wrestling threat.<\/p>\n<p>Erceg offers up clean combinations with his hands and holds the clear striking edge in this fight. He\u2019ll deliver damage that outweighs any volume from Elliott. As long as any bad positions are avoided, this makes for a happy homecoming for \u201cAstro Boy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Pick: Erceg<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - MARCH 13:  Marwan Rahiki of Morocco poses on the scale during the UFC Fight Night official weigh-ins at Meta APEX on March 13, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada.  (Photo by Chris Unger\/Zuffa LLC)\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"960\" height=\"640\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"standard-img\" style=\"color:transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/44600d59-8e99-4554-b575-a33512b301a7.jpeg\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Marwan Rahiki looks to make it two-for-two in the UFC.<\/p>\n<p> (Chris Unger via Getty Images)145 pounds: Marwan Rahiki (-750) vs. Ollie Schmid (+530)<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m starting to annoy myself with how often the term \u201cshowcase fight\u201d gets mentioned every week. Yet, here we are again, talking about an overwhelming favorite.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>An undefeated 8-0 Moroccan, Marwan Rahiki made a dominant UFC debut just a month ago, breaking Harry Hardwick\u2019s jaw in the process. With a meager 4-2 professional record, Schmid seems to be getting thrown to the wolves, far from UFC caliber, especially given that the combined record of his opponents is 11-12-3 \u2014 with just two of them having ever even won a fight. Period.<\/p>\n<p>Rahiki is a killer who does everything better than Schmid. This fight shouldn\u2019t be happening, especially in the premier MMA organization.<\/p>\n<p>Pick: Rahiki<\/p>\n<p>265 pounds: Shamil Gaziev (+110) vs. Brando Peri\u010di\u0107 (-135)<\/p>\n<p>Heavyweight might be an overall dumpster fire in 2026, but Shamil Gaziev has at least been relatively consistent.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>The Bahrainian has been a game striker, throwing down with most of his opponents while also keeping some serviceable wrestling in his back pocket. Competition-wise, he has the edge over Brando Pericic, who\u2019s still finding his footing. The Australian has clear power, so this could come down to who lands first. But most fights in this division right now are almost all coin flips, especially the further down the totem pole you go.<\/p>\n<p>Pick: Gaziev<\/p>\n<p>265 pounds: Tai Tuivasa (-220) vs. Louie Sutherland (+180)<\/p>\n<p>UFC might actually hate its audience by putting two heavyweight bouts on the main card of UFC Perth.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Tai Tuivasa is essentially just being rolled out for fan service at this point, as he attempts to snap his six-fight skid. Clearly, this matchup with Louie Sutherland is his best chance, as the big man was finished in less than two minutes in each of his first two UFC fights.<\/p>\n<p>This has sloppy slugfest written all over it, and that bodes extremely well for Tuivasa. The stank of that Tallison Teixeira fight from February is strong, though. Even in a winnable fight, any faith I may have once had in Tuivasa coming through has been lost.<\/p>\n<p>Pick: Sutherland<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"NEW YORK, NEW YORK - NOVEMBER 15: Gerald Meerschaert enters the Octagon in a middleweight fight during the UFC 322 event at Madison Square Garden on November 15, 2025 in New York City. (Photo by Chris Unger\/Zuffa LLC)\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"960\" height=\"640\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"standard-img\" style=\"color:transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/965d802d-96d5-4818-90c5-a726dde3f012.jpeg\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Gerald Meerschaert can extend his UFC record at UFC Perth.<\/p>\n<p> (Chris Unger via Getty Images)Preliminary Notes<\/p>\n<p>Cameron Rowston remains a promising prospect in the middleweight division. He gets a good step-up against Robert Bryczek in a home game, which could be telling for how far he can go.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p>Elsewhere, Gerald Meerschaert is still hanging around in hopes of snapping a four-fight skid. As one of the best get-or-get-got fighters of the past decade, he can never be counted out, and the odds in favor of an unproven Jacob Malkoun are quite frankly absurd. Meerschaert should rightfully be the underdog in his fight, but the guy is always fun to watch.<\/p>\n<p>Quick picks:<\/p>\n<p>Cameron Rowston (-180) def. Robert Bryczek (+145)<\/p>\n<p>Junior Tafa (-210) def. Kevin Christian (+170)<\/p>\n<p>Gerald Meerschaert (+700) def. Jacob Malkoun (-1100)<\/p>\n<p>Vince Morales (+110) def. Colby Thicknesse (-135)<\/p>\n<p>Ben Johnston (-150) def. Wesley Schultz (+125)<\/p>\n<p>Jonathan Micallef (-250) def. Themba Gorimbo (+200)<\/p>\n<p>Kody Steele (-190) def. Dom Mar Fan (+155)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"UFC returns to Australia this Saturday with a thrilling welterweight clash. Perth has cemented itself as the promotion\u2019s&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":643251,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[570],"tags":[64,63,152484,48142,786,27141,785,46,85,787],"class_list":["post-643250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mma","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-beneil-dariush","tag-carlos-prates","tag-fighting","tag-jack-della-maddalena","tag-mma","tag-perth","tag-sports","tag-ufc"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/643250","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=643250"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/643250\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/643251"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=643250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=643250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=643250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}