{"id":649804,"date":"2026-05-04T21:36:09","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T21:36:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/649804\/"},"modified":"2026-05-04T21:36:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T21:36:09","slug":"victoria-state-budget-2026-state-back-in-black-forecasting-two-back-to-back-surpluses-victorian-politics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/649804\/","title":{"rendered":"Victoria state budget 2026: state back in black forecasting two back-to-back surpluses | Victorian politics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Victoria is back in black for the first time since the start of the pandemic, with Tuesday\u2019s state budget to deliver an operating surplus and forecasting another next financial year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The 2026-27 budget, to be handed down on Tuesday afternoon, will show the state recorded a $700m surplus in 2025-26, largely in line with December\u2019s pre-budget update of $710m and an improvement on the $611m <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/2025\/may\/20\/victoria-state-budget-2025-treasurer-uses-public-service-cuts-and-gst-windfall-to-fund-cash-splash\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">forecast last May<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">It marks Victoria\u2019s first surplus since before the Covid-19 pandemic in 2018-19, when the state\u2019s finances were $1bn in the black.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The treasurer, Jaclyn Symes, has also projected a $1bn surplus in 2026-27, down by $943m on December\u2019s forecast.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The government has said the budget \u2013 its final before the November state election \u2013 would show average surpluses of $1.7bn projected across the forward estimates period.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cLabor\u2019s budget is in surplus while continuing to invest in the frontline services Victorians rely on,\u201d Symes said in a statement.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cJess Wilson\u2019s Liberals will do what they always do \u2013 they will cut funding, close hospitals and sack workers.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">However, like other states, Victoria\u2019s headline operating surplus does not include infrastructure and other capital spending. The government did not release the figures that include this spending before Tuesday\u2019s budget, but the December update had estimated a cash deficit of $9.68bn in 2025-26, decreasing to $7.3bn in 2026-27 and $6.8bn in 2027-28 before widening again to $8.1bn in 2028-29.<\/p>\n<p><a data-link-name=\"standard link button Primary\" data-spacefinder-role=\"inline\" data-ignore=\"global-link-styling\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/email-newsletters?CMP=copyembed&amp;CMP=emailbutton\" class=\"dcr-svb9qg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sign up for the Breaking News Australia email<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The opposition leader and shadow treasurer, Jess Wilson, has seized on the cash deficit figures to claim the government hasn\u2019t delivered a \u201creal\u201d surplus.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cThis doesn\u2019t take into account the billions of dollars that is going into infrastructure spend \u2013 into roads, into schools, into hospitals,\u201d Wilson told reporters on Monday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cIt\u2019s all well and good for the premier and the treasurer to stand up and talk about a $700m operating surplus, but it does nothing to manage the debt bomb that is running under this government.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">December\u2019s budget update showed net debt was expected to be $165.8bn at June 2026, rising to $192.6bn by 2028\u201329. However, it will stabilise as a proportion of the economy to about 25%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The premier, Jacinta Allan, said the state\u2019s economic growth \u2013 averaging 2.6% annually over the decade \u2013 has allowed the government to pay down debt and providing cost-of-living relief in the budget.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cWe understand that it is important to drive down the percentage of debt as a share of the economy. We also understand in these uncertain times that it\u2019s really important to help people,\u201d she said on Monday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Allan said if the government were to reduce debt \u201chard and fast\u201d it would hurt households \u201cat a time when they need this support more than ever before\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cNow is not the time to make life even harder for working people and families,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Prior to Tuesday, the government had announced more than $6bn worth of funding commitments as part of the budget, including $750m to provide a 20% refund on car registrations and $432m to extend <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/2026\/mar\/29\/victoria-free-public-transport-april-petrol-prices\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">free public transport<\/a> until the end of May and then half-price fares for the rest of 2026.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">It also announced $1.6bn for school infrastructure, including $762m over the next four years for new and expanded schools and $294m for upgrades of existing facilities.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Health was also a focus with $95m to open the upgraded Werribee Mercy hospital emergency department, $87.2m to open, maintain and expand services at several community hospitals, $50.1m for an additional 4,000 surgeries for children and $43.4m to boost the state-funded public fertility program.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The government will also expand its stamp duty concession off-the-plan apartments, townhouses and units for a further six months, until 21 April 2027.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Victoria is back in black for the first time since the start of the pandemic, with Tuesday\u2019s state&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":649805,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[64,63,44],"class_list":["post-649804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-australia","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/649804","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=649804"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/649804\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/649805"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=649804"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=649804"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=649804"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}