{"id":657798,"date":"2026-05-08T13:35:09","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T13:35:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/657798\/"},"modified":"2026-05-08T13:35:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T13:35:09","slug":"lean-times-tough-choices-can-jim-chalmers-meet-the-moment-australian-budget-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/657798\/","title":{"rendered":"Lean times, tough choices: can Jim Chalmers meet the moment? | Australian budget 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Jim Chalmers cuts a lean figure in his Parliament House office, and, unusually for a man of such apparently limitless energy, a weary one.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">It\u2019s days out from the most consequential Labor budget in a generation, but I open with a remark about how he recently told a journalist that he had shed 17 kilograms \u2013 you can see it in his face.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cI basically just, I woke up after Christmas and just thought, this is the year I\u2019m going to get on top of it,\u201d Chalmers tells Guardian Australia, adding it was mostly about cutting out the late-night work take-away food.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cA lot of people assume wrongly that it was the jab,\u201d he volunteers, sensing the unasked follow-up question. \u201cAnd no judgement at all about that,\u201d he shrugs; people talk, and they may as well have the facts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Our federal treasurer sets himself a punishing pace, and we are down to a final sprint to Tuesday at 7.30pm when he steps up to address the parliament and the Australian people.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">For all the bold talk, the approach to reform under Anthony Albanese\u2019s government has been incremental.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Small but meaningful steps to tweak superannuation concessions for the very wealthiest. Or, famously, taking \u201cbite-sized chunks\u201d with tax reform that are easy for the public to digest.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">This budget will be different, Chalmers reckons.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cThis is is the most ambitious budget of the five that I\u2019ve handed down, also the most responsible and [with] the highest degree of difficulty,\u201d he says \u2013 and not for the first time.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/us-israel-war-on-iran\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">US-Israel war on Iran<\/a> has threatened to overshadow and derail Labor\u2019s second-term agenda, sending fuel prices through the roof in March.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The panicked buying that left petrol stations empty has passed, and the government\u2019s announcement this week of a $10bn plan to expand the nation\u2019s skinny fuel reserves passed with relatively little fan fare.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">But that doesn\u2019t mean the news cycle isn\u2019t dominated by the swings between hope and despair about a peace deal that will open the strait of Hormuz. Donald Trump casts a long shadow over the world.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cEvery day there\u2019s been substantial, substantial volatility in the global oil price. And so in lots of ways, we\u2019re hostage to decisions taken in [Washington] DC and Tehran,\u201d he says.<\/p>\n<p>A reformist legacy at stake<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The Albanese government is keen to sell its reformist agenda amid criticism that it <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/2026\/may\/03\/labor-insiders-anthony-albanese-government-reform-appetite\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">risks wasting a thumping parliamentary majority<\/a> at a time when the public appears desperate for change, if unwilling to pay for it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">There is \u201ca real urgency for economic reform\u201d that has to be responded to, despite the \u201crollercoaster\u201d of news from the Middle East. After all, it seems like we have entered an era of almost perpetual crisis, he says.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cAnd that has made it a much more difficult budget to put together. But the thing that I\u2019m really proud of is we haven\u2019t used those international developments as an excuse not to do some of the bigger, harder reforms in the budget.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The pre-announced \u201chard decisions\u201d include <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/2026\/apr\/25\/todays-bloated-ndis-would-never-have-been-greenlit-its-former-head-says-how-did-we-get-here\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a major overhaul to the NDIS<\/a> that will save an estimated $35bn over four years, and a phased scaling back of the electric vehicle discount.<\/p>\n<p>\u2018We\u2019ll have more to say about housing in the budget, but, overwhelmingly our focus is on supply,\u2019 says Chalmers. Photograph: Lukas Coch\/AAP<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Chalmers repeats the promise of a \u201csubstantial tax reform package\u201d under the banner of intergenerational fairness amid a growing despondency that our kids will be worse off than previous generations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">This tax package is headlined by mooted changes to the capital gains tax discount and negative gearing, and could include some additional income tax relief.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cThese intergenerational anxieties are well founded, and we take them seriously enough to take some difficult decisions to try to address them.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">With unaffordable homes at the heart of these anxieties, Chalmers flags further measures will be revealed on budget night.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cWe are concerned about the long-term decline of owner-occupiers in the market, and particularly the way that that is concentrated among younger people and younger families.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cWe\u2019ll have more to say about housing in the budget; but, overwhelmingly, our focus is on supply, building more homes for more people, making sure that there are more affordable options for people.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Then there\u2019s productivity \u2013 the catch-all word that encapsulates a declining economic vibrancy that is dragging on the country\u2019s prosperity.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">In a pre-budget \u201cdrop\u201d, Chalmers on Friday night announces a raft of pro-growth reforms to slash red tape which he says will deliver a $13bn boost to the economy.<\/p>\n<p>The unsexy stuff<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The \u201cproductivity package\u201d includes a laundry list of measures, like making it easier for migrant trade workers to start work by accelerating occupational licensing, and simplify building regulations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The $20,000 instant asset write-off will be made permanent for small businesses, and the government will make it easier for firms to operate across state lines, including by making more product standards consistent between jurisdictions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The reforms, which respond to many of the reform areas identified in the Productivity Commission\u2019s \u201cfive pillars\u201d inquiries, will together reduce regulatory costs by $10.2bn a year, the government estimates.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The national conversation is often centred around the \u201cbig bang reforms\u201d of previous eras that are now hard to replicate \u2013 as they say, you can only float the dollar once.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">That means the path forward is by taking a myriad, smaller steps, as Jo Masters, the chief economist at Barrenjoey, told a Women in Economics event at the National Press Club this week.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cRed tape and regulation are perhaps not headline grabbing, but can really make such a material difference in our economy\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Still, even moving in the right direction will not be enough to get us where we need to go, so great is the gap between where we feel we are and where we feel we should be.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">There remains the fear that this budget will be \u201cgood\u201d, but not good enough to meet the moment.<\/p>\n<p>Will it be enough?<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Chris Richardson, an independent economist, says he hasn\u2019t seen a political or policy opportunity like this in his lifetime. It\u2019s an opportunity he does not believe the government is seizing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cTo be fair they are doing more than I thought they would do,\u201d Richardson says.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">But \u201cdoing better than the last lot\u201d is too low a benchmark, he says, especially when set against the fact that over the past two decades our living standards have grown by only a third as much as the average in the rest of the rich world.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">\u201cAre we doing a bunch of necessary changes? Yes. Is that better than we have seen for many years? Also yes. Will history judge it enough? No.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">After being hustled out of the treasurer\u2019s suit of offices, I get back to my desk to find an email.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The next morning Chalmers\u2019 media team have organised a photo opportunity from 5:45am for candid shots of our treasurer doing his morning run up and down the hill to Parliament House.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">I check, at that time the sun won\u2019t be up for another hour.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The treasurer is putting in the hard yards. It remains to be seen how his budget will measure up to the challenge.<\/p>\n<p><a data-link-name=\"standard link button Primary\" data-spacefinder-role=\"inline\" data-ignore=\"global-link-styling\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/email-newsletters?CMP=copyembed&amp;CMP=emailbutton\" class=\"dcr-svb9qg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sign up for the Breaking News Australia email<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Jim Chalmers cuts a lean figure in his Parliament House office, and, unusually for a man of such&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":657799,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[64,63,44],"class_list":["post-657798","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-australia","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/657798","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=657798"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/657798\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/657799"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=657798"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=657798"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=657798"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}