{"id":660511,"date":"2026-05-09T20:50:12","date_gmt":"2026-05-09T20:50:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/660511\/"},"modified":"2026-05-09T20:50:12","modified_gmt":"2026-05-09T20:50:12","slug":"aztecs-navigate-headwinds-of-exploding-basketball-payrolls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/660511\/","title":{"rendered":"Aztecs navigate headwinds of exploding basketball payrolls"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>UC Irvine\u2019s two best players entered the transfer portal last month, 6-foot-10 center Kyle Evans and 6-4 guard Jurian Dixon.<\/p>\n<p>A few years ago, San Diego State would have been an obvious destination for both, able to play at a higher level while remaining close to home. Evans is from south Orange County. Dixon attended Saint Augustine High School, just down the street from SDSU, and remained close with the coaches from his initial recruitment.<\/p>\n<p>SDSU spoke with both. Then the conversation turned to money.<\/p>\n<p>Both went 2,200 miles east to the Atlantic Coast Conference, Evans to North Carolina State, Dixon to Virginia. Evans, who averaged 12.1 points, 8.7 rebounds and a nation-leading 3.3 blocks per game, was known to be asking for $2 million; Dixon, who averaged 15.0 points while shooting 38.5% on 3s, was receiving offers for only slightly less.<\/p>\n<p>Together, that\u2019s close to SDSU\u2019s entire revenue-sharing budget for the 13-man roster next season.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere\u2019s a lot of money available out there,\u201d Aztecs coach Brian Dutcher said, \u201cand power conference schools have more money than anybody. \u2026 That\u2019s just the reality of college basketball now. We all know that.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The Aztecs are caught in the middle. They are, in essence, a program with power-conference pedigree and a mid-major budget, doing more with less, panning for gold in nearby streams instead of operating mines with excavation machinery, the basketball version of the Tampa Bay Rays competing with the New York Yankees in the AL East.<\/p>\n<p>It has forced them to shift their recruiting philosophy, from the years of being a landing spot for high-major transfers to regularly losing players to the big boys and having to unearth gems elsewhere.<\/p>\n<p>In the first 23 years of the Steve Fisher\/Dutcher era, SDSU got 26 transfers from power conference programs and lost only one to them. In the last four years, with exploding NIL payouts and now revenue-sharing, the traffic pattern has reversed: only one power conference transfer in \u2014 Reese Dixon-Waters from USC in 2023 \u2014 and 11 out.<\/p>\n<p>Six of those came this spring: Miles Byrd to Providence, Magoon Gwath to DePaul, BJ Davis to Creighton, Pharaoh Compton to Oregon, Taj DeGourville to Nebraska and Miles Heide to Virginia Tech. Combined, they\u2019re expected to receive between $9 million to $10 million before incentive bonuses.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe had a $12 million roster last year,\u201d Dutcher said of the six departees plus the value of others on the team, \u201cbut we didn\u2019t have to pay $12 million, because we\u2019re good evaluators and we know what players have upside, have work ethic, are culture guys. We will continue to find players like that.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>They\u2019ve just had to look in different places, knowing they\u2019re not going to outbid most and perhaps all power conference programs for Evans, Dixon and other enticing entries in the transfer portal.<\/p>\n<p>Instead, they got a physical 6-11 center coming off knee surgery who wanted to return to his childhood hometown \u2026 and a 6-4 guard who spent two years in Division III \u2026 and a two-time all-state guard from basketball-rich North Carolina who somehow ended up in the Patriot League \u2026<\/p>\n<p>And 23-year-old Crotian pro with a unique skill set who averages 6.1 points per game \u2026<\/p>\n<p>And 20-year-old Italian guard also hiding in plain sight, playing on a pro team where every starter is in their 30s and no other rotation player is under 26.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019ve dealt with a lot of eras of basketball,\u201d the 66-year-old Dutcher said. \u201cI dealt with an era where if a kid left a program, it was: What\u2019s wrong with that kid? Then there was an era where if two kids left a program: What\u2019s wrong with the coaches?<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019ve dealt with it all. I\u2019ve adapted to whatever this is going to be. \u2026 I\u2019m embracing it, I\u2019m good at it, I always have been. I will put a team together next year that Aztec fans will be proud of.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>When the MESA Foundation, SDSU\u2019s NIL collective for basketball, was launched for the 2022-23 season, its total budget was $350,000 and the Aztecs reached the national championship game.<\/p>\n<p>MESA\u2019s budget doubled the following season, and doubled again in 2024-25. Last season, according to information provided in a public records request, the school distributed $2.7 million in revenue sharing to its men\u2019s basketball players.<\/p>\n<p>Next season? They are expected to be between $4 million and $5 million, with roughly $3 million from donors or Players Era Festival payouts and the rest presumably coming from an athletic department that, by all accounts, is running eight-figure annual deficits.<\/p>\n<p>The problem: The more money they get, the further away the goal posts move.<\/p>\n<p>Texas coach Sean Miller recently <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TheFieldOf68\/status\/2051358157448880148\" rel=\"nofollow\">made an \u201ceducated guess\u201d<\/a> that 20 to 25 men\u2019s basketball programs will have payrolls in excess of $20 million next season. Every team in this year\u2019s Sweet 16 was believed to have a payroll of at least $10 million.<\/p>\n<p>Evan Miyakawa, a college basketball analytics guru who tracks transfer portal spending, initially estimated the market had increased 35% over last year. A few weeks later, he <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.evanmiya.com\/p\/nil-market-trends-you-need-to-know\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">adjusted his projections to 65%<\/a>. A player worth $1 million last spring is now worth $1.65 million.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7198289\/2026\/04\/15\/college-basketball-transfer-portal-roster-cost-2026\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">The Athletic polled<\/a> power conference coaches and general managers about going rates. One GM estimated $1.5 million for a borderline starter, $2.5 million for a definite starter, $3 million-plus for an all-league performer.<\/p>\n<p>The results are predictable: The power conferences, which have access to richer TV contracts, have the most money, and players are following it.<\/p>\n<p>Ninety-seven players on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/mens-college-basketball\/story\/_\/id\/48424179\/mens-college-basketball-transfer-portal-player-rankings-commitments-2026\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ESPN\u2019s list of the top 100 transfers<\/a> have committed to new schools. Ninety-five went to power conferences, which in college basketball are football\u2019s big four plus the Big East. Two went to Gonzaga, which has a power conference budget, thanks to the Pac-12 offering it a full media rights share despite not playing football.<\/p>\n<p>An analysis by SB Unfurled using OVR player ratings showed similar migration patterns.<\/p>\n<p>The average rating of transfers from one power conference program to another is 73.0, while the average for those transferring down to a mid-major (or below) is 60.3. The average rating of players transferring \u201cup\u201d to power conferences is 75.9 while those making lateral moves within non-power conferences is 61.8.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe math is brutal for mid-majors,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SBUnfurled\/status\/2051491847491514580\" rel=\"nofollow\">SB Unfurled writes<\/a>, \u201cbleeding top 20% talent upward while absorbing below-average players in return. With (power conference) programs stockpiling portal talent at scale, the gap between college basketball\u2019s haves and have-nots is only accelerating.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>These are the headwinds Dutcher and his veteran staff must navigate. Their solution is to trim the sails and mine undervalued, overlooked players, trusting their evaluation instincts, staying quiet to avoid the prying eyes of rival programs that are wondering whom the Aztecs are targeting, ignoring the urge to engage in portal combat bidding wars.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" lazyautosizes lazyload\" alt=\"Sacramento State forward Jeremiah Cherry (9) plays against UCLA in a Nov. 18 game at Pauley Pavilion. (AP Photo\/Jessie Alcheh)\" width=\"4281\" data- src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/AP25323323637178.jpg\" data-attachment-id=\"9671449\" \/>Sacramento State forward Jeremiah Cherry (9) plays against UCLA in a Nov. 18 game at Pauley Pavilion. (AP Photo\/Jessie Alcheh)<\/p>\n<p>Instead, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sandiegouniontribune.com\/2026\/04\/11\/aztecs-land-6-foot-11-transfer-with-local-ties\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">they got 6-11 Jeremiah \u201cBear\u201d Cherry<\/a>, who started for UNLV two seasons ago but was almost a forgotten figure after transferring to Sacramento State, then suffering a season-ending knee injury six games into the season. He grew up in San Diego, wanted to return home and ended his recruitment before the market for the portal\u2019s most coveted commodity \u2014 space-eating centers \u2014 soared to preposterous proportions.<\/p>\n<p>Nick Anderson, a 6-4 guard <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sandiegouniontribune.com\/2026\/04\/14\/aztecs-land-guard-in-transfer-portal-as-new-roster-continues-to-take-shape\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">who averaged 15.5 points per game at Rice<\/a> last season, spent the first two years of his college career at Division III University of St. Thomas in Houston after getting no other offers, followed by a year at Prairie View A&amp;M at the bottom of Division I.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHe\u2019s made the step at every level, came up to college, played well, made the next step, played well,\u201d Dutcher said. \u201cNow he\u2019s making the next step, and I think he\u2019s ready for it. He\u2019s been a really good player no matter what level he\u2019s played.<\/p>\n<p>Chance Gladden, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sandiegouniontribune.com\/2026\/04\/20\/sdsu-basketball-adds-highly-decorated-point-guard-from-east-coast\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a 6-4 guard from Boston University<\/a>, brings a comparable boulder-on-the-shoulder mentality, forced to prove himself in a low-major conference after being bypassed by bigger programs. He responded by averaging 14.4 points and 4.5 assists per game while twice winning games with buzzer-beaters.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe had known about him, we studied him, we made some calls, and we just felt we were going to make a push,\u201d Dutcher said. \u201cI talked to their coaches, I talked to coaches who played against him, and the consensus was he\u2019s ready for that jump.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" lazyautosizes lazyload\" alt=\"San Diego State has added Italy's David Torresani to its men's basketball roster for the 2026-27 season. (FIBA basketball)\" width=\"2400\" data- src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SUT-L-azhoop-0505-04.jpg\" data-attachment-id=\"9890993\" \/>San Diego State has added Italy\u2019s David Torresani to its men\u2019s basketball roster for the 2026-27 season. (FIBA basketball)<\/p>\n<p>The Aztecs looked even farther east for two more players, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sandiegouniontribune.com\/2026\/04\/27\/in-sign-of-changing-times-aztecs-add-croatian-pro-to-recruiting-class\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Luka Skoric from Croatia<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sandiegouniontribune.com\/2026\/05\/05\/newest-aztecs-basketball-player-is-from-the-rare-italian-family-that-doesnt-worship-soccer\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">David Torresani from Italy<\/a>. And Dutcher says they\u2019re close to landing a third European pro in what amounts to a radical departure from the days of almost exclusively recruiting Southern California.<\/p>\n<p>Skoric and Torresani have similar career arcs: rising stars with modest statistics because they\u2019re coming off the bench on high-level pro teams loaded with former U.S. college stars and grizzled European vets. Skoric is a skilled 6-9 forward who can shoot the 3 and attack the rim from the perimeter. Torresani is a speedy point guard who led Italy to the under-20 European Championship title last summer.<\/p>\n<p>Both have been pros for years.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhen they come to the States to play college basketball, it will not be a big step up,\u201d Dutcher said. \u201cIt will be lateral, if anything, and maybe, based on the guys they\u2019re playing with, it will be a step down from their current competition.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou just look at the guys they\u2019re playing with and the level of players they\u2019re playing against every night.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>They\u2019ll join a modest core of returning players, just four from last season and only two \u2014 freshmen Elzie Harrington and Tae Simmons \u2014 who were part of the 11-man rotation.<\/p>\n<p>A year ago, Dutcher had the bulk of the roster back after losing only guard Nick Boyd in the transfer portal. This year, he lost three seniors and six more to the portal.<\/p>\n<p>It becomes a chemistry experiment, then, seeing whether he can coalesce such disparate ingredients into a functioning whole, and do it by November. The nonconference schedule is loaded with power conference foes and could be the most ambitious in school history.<\/p>\n<p>The Rays, after all, are currently tied with the Yankees for first place in the AL East despite a fraction of the payroll.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTime will tell,\u201d Dutcher said. \u201cIt always looks good on paper, but we have to get them all here and see what they\u2019re really about. You think you have a good team, but until you get them all here and put them on the same page, you don\u2019t really know.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat\u2019s the nature of the business now.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"UC Irvine\u2019s two best players entered the transfer portal last month, 6-foot-10 center Kyle Evans and 6-4 guard&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":660512,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[574],"tags":[64,63,726,4762,3914,119756,85,55723],"class_list":["post-660511","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-basketball","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-basketball","tag-college-sports","tag-latest-headlines","tag-sdsu-aztecs","tag-sports","tag-top-stories-sdut"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/660511","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=660511"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/660511\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/660512"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=660511"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=660511"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=660511"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}