{"id":664432,"date":"2026-05-11T19:06:11","date_gmt":"2026-05-11T19:06:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/664432\/"},"modified":"2026-05-11T19:06:11","modified_gmt":"2026-05-11T19:06:11","slug":"top-picks-from-the-mlb-betting-splits-for-monday-may-11th","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/664432\/","title":{"rendered":"Top Picks from the MLB Betting Splits for Monday May 11th"},"content":{"rendered":"

Today we kick off a new week with a smaller than usual 6 game<\/a> MLB slate to choose from. Let\u2019s examine where smart money is leaning for a pair of matchups using our VSiN MLB Betting Splits<\/a>, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.<\/p>\n

Become a VSiN Pro subscriber today and get a full year for just $199 PLUS a copy of\u00a0The Everything Guide to Sports Betting\u00a0by\u00a0Josh Appelbaum >> Go here and use promo code BOOK to sign\u00a0up.<\/a><\/p>\n

The Rays (26-13) just took two of three against the Red Sox, winning yesterday\u2019s series finale 4-1 as +125 road dogs. Similarly, the Blue Jays just won two of three against the Angels but failed to complete the sweep, losing 6-1 yesterday as -120 home favorites. <\/p>\n

In tonight\u2019s series opener, the Rays hand the ball to righty Drew Rasmussen (2-1, 2.95 ERA) and the Blue Jays turn to fellow righty Kevin Gausman (2-2, 3.09 ERA).<\/p>\n

This line opened with Toronto listed as a -135 home favorite and Tampa Bay a +115 road dog. <\/p>\n

The public is largely split down the middle and can\u2019t decide who to take. However, despite this roughly 50\/50 ticket split at DraftKings we\u2019ve seen the line fall away from Toronto (-135 to -125) and toward Tampa Bay (+115 to +105).<\/p>\n

Normally, in a vacuum, a line shouldn\u2019t move at all if the bets are even because, theoretically, the oddsmakers have balanced action and no need to adjust the price. So, based on the line 50\/50 line move we can infer that the bigger, sharper and more respected wagers have sided with the Rays getting plus money.<\/p>\n

At DraftKings, Tampa Bay is taking in 51% of moneyline bets but 70% of moneyline dollars, a notable \u201clow bets, higher dollars\u201d sharp split and further evidence of wiseguy support in their favor.<\/p>\n

Tampa Bay has betting system value as a divisional dog, with the built in familiarity leveling the playing field and leading to more upset opportunities. <\/p>\n

The Rays have the better bats, hitting .254 with a .327 OBP and 171 runs scored compared to the Blue Jays hitting .251 with a .313 OBP and 164 runs scored. <\/p>\n

Tampa Bay is 3-0 against Toronto this season and 14-7 in night games. <\/p>\n

The Rays are 4-1 in Rasmussen\u2019s last five starts.<\/p>\n

The Diamondbacks (19-20) just took two of three against the Mets, winning yesterday\u2019s series finale 5-1 as -115 home favorites. Meanwhile, the Rangers (19-21) just won two of three against the Cubs, posting a 3-0 victory yesterday as -125 home favorites. <\/p>\n

In tonight\u2019s Interleague series opener, the Diamondbacks start righty Michael Soroka (4-2, 4.14 ERA) and the Rangers turn to fellow righty Nathan Eovaldi (4-4, 4.15 ERA).<\/p>\n

This line opened with Texas listed as a -140 home favorite and Arizona a +120 road dog.<\/p>\n

The public is all over the Rangers laying modest at chalk at home, as Texas is receiving 69% of moneyline bets at DraftKings.<\/p>\n

However, despite receiving such lopsided support we\u2019ve seen Texas fall from -140 to -130. This indicates sharp reverse line movement on Arizona, as the line has moved in their favor (+120 to +110) despite the public pounding Texas.<\/p>\n

At Circa, the Diamondbacks are only receiving 36% of moneyline bets but a whopping 93% of moneyline dollars, a massive \u201clow bets, higher dollars\u201d sharp split indicating heavy one-way support from the wiseguys in the desert.<\/p>\n

Arizona has the edge at the plate, hitting .236 with a .392 slugging percentage and 169 runs scored compared to Texas hitting .234 with a .370 slugging percentage and 149 runs scored. <\/p>\n

Soroka has a 2.93 ERA at night compared to 6.92 in the day. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Today we kick off a new week with a smaller than usual 6 game MLB slate to choose…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":60619,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[558],"tags":[64,63,12642,7809,952,591,3919,2274,85],"class_list":["post-664432","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mlb","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-blue-jays","tag-diamondbacks","tag-featured","tag-mlb","tag-rangers","tag-rays","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/664432","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=664432"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/664432\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/60619"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=664432"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=664432"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=664432"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}