{"id":675696,"date":"2026-05-17T00:15:10","date_gmt":"2026-05-17T00:15:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/675696\/"},"modified":"2026-05-17T00:15:10","modified_gmt":"2026-05-17T00:15:10","slug":"australia-news-live-queensland-labor-ahead-in-stafford-byelection-despite-large-swing-australia-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/675696\/","title":{"rendered":"Australia news live: Queensland Labor ahead in Stafford byelection despite large swing | Australia news"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Key events<\/p>\n<p>Show key events only<\/p>\n<p>Please turn on JavaScript to use this feature<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Some style for your Sunday: Guardian Australia\u2019s lifestyle team have captured the bright colours, homemade garments and vintage gems worn by the crowd in Sydney at this year\u2019s Australian fashion week.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:?subject=Australia news live: Queensland Labor ahead in Stafford byelection despite large swing&amp;body=https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/live\/2026\/may\/17\/australia-news-live-stafford-queensland-labor-lnp-jim-chalmers-federal-budget-anthony-albanese-angus-taylor-aukus-coalition-ntwnfb?CMP=share_btn_url&amp;page=with%3Ablock-6a0907598f0854b7b87db553#block-6a0907598f0854b7b87db553\" type=\"button\" class=\"dcr-1mulgdf\">Share<\/a>Chalmers says Labor returning bracket creep in a \u2018responsible way\u2019<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1778976910_257_Krishani_Dhanji.png\" alt=\"Krishani Dhanji\" class=\"dcr-lysqes\"\/>Krishani Dhanji<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Jim Chalmers says the opposition\u2019s policy to index tax brackets would cost the budget a quarter of a trillion dollars over ten years, while claiming that the government is returning bracket creep to taxpayers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">It\u2019s a slightly tricky position, as Angus Taylor argues that Labor is \u201cbetraying\u201d itself because the high figure is actually how much the government is keeping and spending through bracket creep ever year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Bracket creep is where inflation and wage rises push taxpayers into higher tax brackets, so they get taxed more but are still paying more for goods, so end up going backwards.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Chalmers told the ABC\u2019s Insiders program that the government is \u201centhusiastic\u201d about returning bracket creep but is doing it in a responsible way.<\/p>\n<p>double quotation markThis is a Government that returns bracket creep when it is responsible to do that.<\/p>\n<p>That [policy] would cost tens of billions of dollars in extra debt interest, because he\u2019s got these uncosted, unfunded, tax announcements that he [Taylor] made in his Budget reply, which was all about trying to stave off One Nation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Host, David Speers, kept pushing Chalmers on the figure, and whether Labor is returning all of the bracket creep accrued by the government. Chalmers skirted the question and says that it\u2019s being returned in a \u201cresponsible and affordable\u201d way.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Chalmers added that Taylor\u2019s proposed measure would stoke inflation in Australia:<\/p>\n<p>double quotation markWhat Angus Taylor is proposing to do is to pump the most money into the economy when inflation is already at its highest.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:?subject=Australia news live: Queensland Labor ahead in Stafford byelection despite large swing&amp;body=https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/live\/2026\/may\/17\/australia-news-live-stafford-queensland-labor-lnp-jim-chalmers-federal-budget-anthony-albanese-angus-taylor-aukus-coalition-ntwnfb?CMP=share_btn_url&amp;page=with%3Ablock-6a0900958f0854b7b87db530#block-6a0900958f0854b7b87db530\" type=\"button\" class=\"dcr-1mulgdf\">Share<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Updated at\u00a019.49 EDT<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1778976910_257_Krishani_Dhanji.png\" alt=\"Krishani Dhanji\" class=\"dcr-lysqes\"\/>Krishani Dhanji<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Taylor rebukes claims his tax bracket indexation will cost $250bn over ten years<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Angus Taylor says claims by Labor that his commitment to index tax brackets will cost $250bn over ten years \u201cbetrays\u201d how much the government will be claiming in income tax over that period.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Taylor committed to indexing tax brackets to inflation in his budget reply, which he says will cost about $22.5bn over four years, not $35bn as the government has claimed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The measures would begin for the first two tax brackets from 2028-29 and then for the higher two brackets from 2031-32.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Taylor says:<\/p>\n<p>double quotation mark\u201cThis betrays the fact that the government plans to raise income tax rates to the tune of $35 billion This says more about their plan than our plan &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>If Labor\u2019s saying that they plan to raise income taxes to the tune of $250 billion in the next 10 years &#8230; [if] that is their tax hike, that\u2019s their planned income tax increases.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:?subject=Australia news live: Queensland Labor ahead in Stafford byelection despite large swing&amp;body=https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/live\/2026\/may\/17\/australia-news-live-stafford-queensland-labor-lnp-jim-chalmers-federal-budget-anthony-albanese-angus-taylor-aukus-coalition-ntwnfb?CMP=share_btn_url&amp;page=with%3Ablock-6a09006a8f0854b7b87db52f#block-6a09006a8f0854b7b87db52f\" type=\"button\" class=\"dcr-1mulgdf\">Share<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Treasurer Jim Chalmers says the government is not contemplating changing its position on the introduction of an export tax on gas.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Labor had been u<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/2026\/apr\/21\/labor-under-internal-pressure-on-gas-tax-as-influencer-says-government-stopped-working-for-the-punters\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">nder pressure internally and externally<\/a> to introduce a 25% export levy as part of the budget, which would have produced an estimated $17bn revenue.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Asked whether they\u2019d change their position on that tax, Chalmers said:<\/p>\n<p>double quotation markWell, not something that we\u2019ve been contemplating.<\/p>\n<p>Obviously, that\u2019s been a lot of public debate about that and a lot of strong views about that but we\u2019ve made it clear that there are good reasons to prioritise our gas reservation policy and the two-way supply arrangements with Asian partners.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:?subject=Australia news live: Queensland Labor ahead in Stafford byelection despite large swing&amp;body=https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/live\/2026\/may\/17\/australia-news-live-stafford-queensland-labor-lnp-jim-chalmers-federal-budget-anthony-albanese-angus-taylor-aukus-coalition-ntwnfb?CMP=share_btn_url&amp;page=with%3Ablock-6a08fefc8f0854b7b87db515#block-6a08fefc8f0854b7b87db515\" type=\"button\" class=\"dcr-1mulgdf\">Share<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Jim Chalmers says the changes to capital gains taxes for property and non-property investments are designed to \u201c[take] one of the big distortions out of the market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Chalmers said:<\/p>\n<p>double quotation markA really big mistake was made in 1999 and it introduced this massive distortion in the way that Australians invest in our economy. It made fixed housing much more attractive and it made other kinds of investment less attractive.<\/p>\n<p>So by taking that distortion out of the system, it is a fairer, more neutral treatment of investment, capital gains in particular, and if you look at the average over a couple of decades, since that policy mistake was made by Howard and Costello, what you can see on average is that established housing was overcompensated. Shares were under-compensated. That\u2019s one of the reasons we had this big spike in prices.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s one of the reasons why so many people, particularly young people, have been locked out of the housing market and also why shares over time have become relatively less attractive.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">In response to polling this week that suggested voters weren\u2019t particularly thrilled with the economic outlook, Chalmers said:<\/p>\n<p>double quotation markWe didn\u2019t do this to get a bounce in the polls.<\/p>\n<p>We did it to get a boost in first home-ownership, particularly among younger Australians who have been locked out.<\/p>\n<p>If you think about it, you know, we\u2019ve got this Budget full hard decisions, not handouts.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:?subject=Australia news live: Queensland Labor ahead in Stafford byelection despite large swing&amp;body=https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/live\/2026\/may\/17\/australia-news-live-stafford-queensland-labor-lnp-jim-chalmers-federal-budget-anthony-albanese-angus-taylor-aukus-coalition-ntwnfb?CMP=share_btn_url&amp;page=with%3Ablock-6a08fd0d8f0854b7b87db50c#block-6a08fd0d8f0854b7b87db50c\" type=\"button\" class=\"dcr-1mulgdf\">Share<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Jim Chalmers claims the tax reform elements of this week\u2019s budget are \u201cbroadly neutral\u201d over the forward estimates.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Asked by Insiders host David Speers how much extra tax the changes to negative gearing, capital gains tax and trusts actually raise, Chalmers said the changes would also \u201c[return] what we are raising to workers and businesses, principally small businesses.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Chalmers continued:<\/p>\n<p>double quotation markNow, over the 10-year period, the capital gains and negative gearing changes are a little bit over $40bn and the trust changes are also a little bit over $40bn.<\/p>\n<p>But there\u2019s also the tax cuts in there, the working Australian tax offset, over the course of the next 10 years, there\u2019s loss-carryback tax cuts for business.<\/p>\n<p>So, overall, we\u2019ve pointed out, David, that if you look at that 10-year period, there\u2019s about three times as much savings as there is tax changes in net terms but those two specific categories are a little bit over $40bn each.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:?subject=Australia news live: Queensland Labor ahead in Stafford byelection despite large swing&amp;body=https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/live\/2026\/may\/17\/australia-news-live-stafford-queensland-labor-lnp-jim-chalmers-federal-budget-anthony-albanese-angus-taylor-aukus-coalition-ntwnfb?CMP=share_btn_url&amp;page=with%3Ablock-6a08fb5e8f08679a6ea03ce7#block-6a08fb5e8f08679a6ea03ce7\" type=\"button\" class=\"dcr-1mulgdf\">Share<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Updated at\u00a019.53 EDT<\/p>\n<p>\u2018Many billions of savings\u2019 from stripping welfare from non-citizens, Taylor says<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1778976910_257_Krishani_Dhanji.png\" alt=\"Krishani Dhanji\" class=\"dcr-lysqes\"\/>Krishani Dhanji<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The opposition leader, Angus Taylor, says \u201cbillions\u201d could be saved from removing social welfare entitlements from non-citizens \u2013 including permanent residents \u2013 but refuses to say how much.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Speaking to Sky News this morning, Taylor says the costings will be released ahead of the next election.<\/p>\n<p>double quotation markThere\u2019s many billions of savings. There\u2019s no doubt about that. We\u2019ll put all our costings out, as is the convention, in the lead up to the election, but it\u2019s many billions of savings in this. And this is all about making sure Australian taxpayers\u2019 dollars are well spent, are focused on the benefits of Australians and making Australians better off.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">There\u2019s a few key costings and numbers that the opposition\u2019s plan is missing. Taylor also still won\u2019t confirm how much the Coalition would cut the net overseas migration (NOM) target to, after announcing that he would tie immigration intake to new housing construction.<\/p>\n<p>Angus Taylor. Photograph: Lukas Coch\/AAP<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">When probed on Thursday night after his budget reply, Taylor said that the number would be about 40% below current levels and under 200,000. The NOM for the last financial year 2024-25 was 306,000.<\/p>\n<p>double quotation markWhat we\u2019re proposing here is each year the housing minister would say we\u2019ve built this many houses, and so the immigration number, the net overseas migration number, can be X.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:?subject=Australia news live: Queensland Labor ahead in Stafford byelection despite large swing&amp;body=https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/live\/2026\/may\/17\/australia-news-live-stafford-queensland-labor-lnp-jim-chalmers-federal-budget-anthony-albanese-angus-taylor-aukus-coalition-ntwnfb?CMP=share_btn_url&amp;page=with%3Ablock-6a08fbbd8f08679a6ea03cef#block-6a08fbbd8f08679a6ea03cef\" type=\"button\" class=\"dcr-1mulgdf\">Share<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Updated at\u00a019.36 EDT<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The opposition leader Angus Taylor was on Sky News this morning suggesting Labor\u2019s plan to index tax thresholds might cost the budget as much as $250bn over a decade.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Jim Chalmers, responding to Taylor\u2019s comments on ABC\u2019s Insiders, said Taylor\u2019s proposed budget approach was \u201cirresponsible\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>double quotation markLast time we cut income taxes, Angus Taylor voted against it and said he would repeal it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Chalmers continued:<\/p>\n<p>double quotation markAngus Taylor would be adding a quarter of a trillion dollars to national debt. That would cost tens of billions of dollars in extra debt interest, because he\u2019s got these uncosted, unfunded, tax announcements that he made in his Budget reply, which was all about trying to stave off One Nation.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:?subject=Australia news live: Queensland Labor ahead in Stafford byelection despite large swing&amp;body=https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/live\/2026\/may\/17\/australia-news-live-stafford-queensland-labor-lnp-jim-chalmers-federal-budget-anthony-albanese-angus-taylor-aukus-coalition-ntwnfb?CMP=share_btn_url&amp;page=with%3Ablock-6a08fa5e8f0854b7b87db4f2#block-6a08fa5e8f0854b7b87db4f2\" type=\"button\" class=\"dcr-1mulgdf\">Share<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Some federal politics for you coming up: we\u2019re expecting to hear the treasurer, Jim Chalmers, speaking on ABC\u2019s Insiders shortly \u2013 we\u2019ll bring you that when it happens.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The prime minister, Anthony Albanese, is in Melbourne today and doing a press conference at about the same time as his treasurer is speaking on the telly. We\u2019ll let you know what comes out of that presser too.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:?subject=Australia news live: Queensland Labor ahead in Stafford byelection despite large swing&amp;body=https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/live\/2026\/may\/17\/australia-news-live-stafford-queensland-labor-lnp-jim-chalmers-federal-budget-anthony-albanese-angus-taylor-aukus-coalition-ntwnfb?CMP=share_btn_url&amp;page=with%3Ablock-6a08f9ac8f0854b7b87db4ec#block-6a08f9ac8f0854b7b87db4ec\" type=\"button\" class=\"dcr-1mulgdf\">Share<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Updated at\u00a019.16 EDT<\/p>\n<p>LNP concedes Stafford byelection<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/queensland\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Queensland<\/a> premier, David Crisafulli, has conceded the inner-northern Brisbane seat of Stafford to Labor after a tight byelection race.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">While the final result was not declared on Saturday night and the outcome could come down to postal votes, Crisafulli acknowledged the Liberal National party candidate, Fiona Hammond, was unlikely to win, but claimed his party had received a substantial swing towards it:<\/p>\n<p>double quotation markI do think we\u2019re going to fall agonisingly short, guys. I think we\u2019re going to fall agonisingly short, but boy, oh boy, what an incredible campaign from an incredible, incredible candidate.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">With almost 80% of ballots counted on Saturday evening, Labor\u2019s Luke Richmond was ahead by 768 votes on late Saturday night. Labor was likely to retain the seat despite a 4.1% swing against them, chief ABC analyst Casey Briggs said on X:<\/p>\n<p>double quotation markLabor is likely to retain Stafford. There has been a 4.1 per cent swing against Labor with additional postal votes still to be counted. But for the LNP to win from here, those postal votes would need to break very strongly in its favour. That is very unlikely to happen.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Polls closed at 6pm, with more than 14,000 people casting ballots on the day. Almost 42% of people chose to vote early, 13,530 in person and 3,860 by post.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The byelection in the marginal electorate was called after the sudden death of former independent MP Jimmy Sullivan on 9 April. Sullivan was expelled from Labor in May 2025 over medical concerns.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The opposition leader, Steven Miles, told Labor\u2019s packed election night party last night:<\/p>\n<p>double quotation markI am so thrilled to tell you that Luke Richmond is the new member for Stafford.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">The byelection was widely seen as a test of former premier Miles\u2019 leadership. He has led the party since taking over from Annastacia Palaszczuk in December 2023.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Asked if Labor would do better if it were led by someone else, Miles said on Saturday night that would be \u201ca decision for the caucus, but I have the support of the caucus right now to be leader\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:?subject=Australia news live: Queensland Labor ahead in Stafford byelection despite large swing&amp;body=https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/live\/2026\/may\/17\/australia-news-live-stafford-queensland-labor-lnp-jim-chalmers-federal-budget-anthony-albanese-angus-taylor-aukus-coalition-ntwnfb?CMP=share_btn_url&amp;page=with%3Ablock-6a08f0f08f08679a6ea03cbf#block-6a08f0f08f08679a6ea03cbf\" type=\"button\" class=\"dcr-1mulgdf\">Share<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Updated at\u00a019.18 EDT<\/p>\n<p>Welcome<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Good morning and welcome to our Sunday live news blog. I\u2019m Stephanie Convery and I\u2019ll be bringing you all the top stories today.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">First up, Labor has likely won a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/queensland\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Queensland<\/a> byelection despite a 4.1% swing against them. The party was ahead with almost 80% of ballots counted for the inner northern Brisbane seat of Stafford late on Saturday evening, but the final determination could come down to postal votes. More on that shortly.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">And five men have now been charged by the Australian federal police as part of an investigation into the alleged access and distribution of extremist material online.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-130mj7b\">Grab yourself a coffee, and I\u2019ll bring you more on all these events shortly.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:?subject=Australia news live: Queensland Labor ahead in Stafford byelection despite large swing&amp;body=https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/live\/2026\/may\/17\/australia-news-live-stafford-queensland-labor-lnp-jim-chalmers-federal-budget-anthony-albanese-angus-taylor-aukus-coalition-ntwnfb?CMP=share_btn_url&amp;page=with%3Ablock-6a08f05d8f080104b7fb9910#block-6a08f05d8f080104b7fb9910\" type=\"button\" class=\"dcr-1mulgdf\">Share<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Key events Show key events only Please turn on JavaScript to use this feature Some style for your&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":675697,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[64,63,44],"class_list":["post-675696","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-australia","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/675696","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=675696"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/675696\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/675697"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=675696"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=675696"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=675696"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}