BetMGM<\/a>) to make it six straight in 2025. Good news for Bills fans: The preseason favorite has won 20 of the last 21 AFC East titles, including 16 in a row.<\/p>\nMiami Dolphins<\/p>\n
\u2022 Miami\u2019s consensus win total is 7.5. The Dolphins have cleared seven victories each of the last five seasons.<\/p>\n
Advertisement<\/p>\n
\u2022 Going back to Week 4 of the 2023 campaign, the Dolphins are 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS as an underdog. Miami is a consensus 1.5-point underdog in Week 1 at Indianapolis.<\/p>\n
\u2022 Since 2007, Miami has opened the season on the road 11 times. The under cashed in 10 in those contests. Consensus total in Week 1 at Indy: 46.5.<\/p>\n
New England Patriots<\/p>\n
\u2022 New England has failed to beat its win total each of the last three years. Dating back to 1989, the Patriots have never stayed under their win total in four consecutive seasons. Consensus over\/under for New England in 2025: 8.5 wins.<\/p>\n
\u2022 The Patriots open the 2025 campaign as a consensus 3-point home favorite against the Raiders. New England has lost four straight games as chalk (all in 2023) and hasn\u2019t won a game as a favorite of a field goal or more since Week 11 of the 2022 season.<\/p>\n
Advertisement<\/p>\n
\u2022 New England is 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS in its last nine games against the Dolphins. The Pats travel to South Florida in Week 2, then host Miami in the regular-season finale.<\/p>\n
New York Jets<\/p>\n
\u2022 The Jets begin the season with the longest playoff drought in North American professional sports, having not made the postseason since 2010. The chance that streak ends in 2025? Not great. New York\u2019s odds to make the playoffs range from +425 to +520.<\/p>\n
\u2022 New York has exceeded its win-total projection just once in the last seven years. What\u2019s more, Gang Green has hurdled its 2025 consensus win total of 5.5 just four times since 2014 (11 seasons).<\/p>\n
Advertisement<\/p>\n
\u2022 Dating to the start of the 2016 season, the Jets are 11-25 SU and 14-21-1 ATS against AFC East opponents \u2014 including 4-14 SU and 5-12-1 ATS against Miami and New England.<\/p>\n
AFC North<\/p>\n
Baltimore Ravens<\/p>\n
\u2022 Baltimore\u2019s preseason Super Bowl price, which ranges from +600 to +700, is the second shortest in franchise history. (The 2020 squad entered the season as the +500 second choice to win it all.)<\/p>\n
\u2022 The Ravens are coming off back-to-back AFC North titles and are odds-on favorites to win a third straight division crown for the first time since the team was founded in 1996.<\/p>\n
\u2022 Lamar Jackson\u2019s regular-season record as Baltimore\u2019s starting quarterback: 70-24 SU and 52-40-2 ATS. Jackson\u2019s postseason record: 3-5 SU and ATS. On the bright side, the two-time MVP has covered the spread in 12 of 15 games as an underdog in his career.<\/p>\n
Advertisement<\/p>\n
Cincinnati Bengals<\/p>\n
\u2022 Cincinnati, which is projected for 9.5 victories this season, has failed to top its win total in six of the last eight seasons.<\/p>\n
\u2022 Among active quarterbacks who have started at least 20 games, none has a better point-spread winning percentage than the Bengals\u2019 Joe Burrow. He\u2019s 46-29-1 ATS (61.3%).<\/p>\n
\u2022 Cincinnati is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games against the Browns. However, one of the outliers was a 24-3 defeat at Cleveland as a 1-point favorite in the 2023 opener \u2014 one of three consecutive Week 1 losses the Bengals have suffered, all as a favorite. Cincinnati kicks off the 2025 campaign as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Browns.<\/p>\n
Advertisement<\/p>\n
Cleveland Browns<\/p>\n
\u2022 Cleveland tied the New York Giants for the NFL\u2019s second-worst point-spread record in 2024 at 4-13. That dismal mark was punctuated by a season-ending six-game SU and ATS losing streak.<\/p>\n
\u2022 The Browns finished 2-6 SU and ATS at home last year after going 11-2 SU and ATS at home from mid-2022 through 2023.<\/p>\n
\u2022 Cleveland, which has a consensus win total of 5.5 in 2025, has fallen short of expectations 13 times in the last 17 years. However, prior to last season\u2019s 3-14 debacle, the Browns had cleared 5.5 victories six years in a row.<\/p>\n
Pittsburgh Steelers<\/p>\n
\u2022 Pittsburgh has gone 21 consecutive seasons without posting a losing record. During this stretch, the six-time Super Bowl champs have cleared their win-total projection 15 times, including each of the last five years.<\/p>\n
Advertisement<\/p>\n
\u2022 Since 2006, the Steelers are 27-10 SU and 26-11 ATS against division-rival Cincinnati, including 15-4 SU and 14-5 ATS at home.<\/p>\n
\u2022 The under is 8-1 in the last nine Steelers-Ravens meetings (5-0 in Pittsburgh).<\/p>\n
AFC South<\/p>\n
Houston Texans<\/p>\n
\u2022 Since 2006, the Texans are 13-5-1 to the over on their preseason win total.<\/p>\n
\u2022 Houston is coming off back-to-back 10-win seasons, the third time in history the franchise has recorded double-digit victories in consecutive campaigns. The Texans have never won 10 or more games in three successive seasons. This year\u2019s win-total projection: 9.5.<\/p>\n
\u2022 The Texans are 12-5-1 SU and 12-6 ATS against AFC South rivals since the start of the 2021 season.<\/p>\n
Advertisement<\/p>\n
Indianapolis Colts<\/p>\n
\u2022 Indianapolis is a short home favorite against Miami in Week 1. Noteworthy, because since 2010, the Colts are 1-13-1 SU and 2-12-1 ATS in season openers \u2014 including 1-5 SU and ATS at home, and 1-4-1 SU and 0-6 ATS as a favorite. Last time Indy posted a Week 1 victory: 2013.<\/p>\n
\u2022 The Colts have failed to make the playoffs eight times in the last 10 years, including each of the last four. They haven\u2019t had a postseason drought of at least five seasons since 1988-94. Indy\u2019s odds to reach the playoffs in 2025: +170 to +210.<\/p>\n
\u2022 Indianapolis won the AFC South nine times in 12 seasons from 2003-14, but has since gone a full decade without capturing a division crown. This year, the Colts are the third choice on the AFC South futures board, with odds ranging from +300 to +375.<\/p>\n
Advertisement<\/p>\n
Jacksonville Jaguars<\/p>\n
\u2022 Jacksonville cleared its win-total projection in each of the franchise\u2019s first five seasons (1995-99). In 25 years since, the Jaguars have fallen short of their win total 19 times, including 14 of the past 17 seasons.<\/p>\n
\u2022 The Jags have made the playoffs just twice since 2008 (15 seasons). Their odds to qualify for the 2025 postseason range from +165 to +180.<\/p>\n
\u2022 Since the start of 2015, Jacksonville is 16-3-1 ATS against division rival Indianapolis (9-1 ATS at home). This year, the Jaguars and Colts square off in Week 14 (at Jacksonville) and Week 17 (at Indianapolis).<\/p>\n
Tennessee Titans<\/p>\n
\u2022 No team burned bettors more last season than the Tennessee Titans, who were an NFL-worst 2-15 ATS (0-8 ATS at home). Going back to Week 12 of the 2022 season, Tennessee is 10-28-1 ATS (5-14-1 ATS at home).<\/p>\n
Advertisement<\/p>\n
\u2022 The Titans have stayed under their win total for three straight seasons, the first time that\u2019s happened since the franchise relocated from Houston to Tennessee in 1997. In its first 25 seasons (1997-2021), Tennessee went 15-8-2 to the over.<\/p>\n
\u2022 The under has cashed in all five of the Titans\u2019 Week 1 games this decade. In four of those contests, Tennessee and its opponent combined for 41 points or fewer. Consensus total in the 2025 season opener at Denver: 41.5.<\/p>\n
AFC West<\/p>\n
Denver Broncos<\/p>\n
\u2022 Denver went 10-7 last year, easily clearing its preseason win total of 5.5 to halt a 7-0-1 under streak. Prior to that, the Broncos had been on a 10-3 over roll in regard to their win totals (2003-15). This year, Denver is projected for 9.5 wins.<\/p>\n
Advertisement<\/p>\n
\u2022 In posting their first winning record in eight years, the 2024 Broncos also returned to the postseason for the first time since winning Super Bowl 50 in 2015. They begin 2025 as a slight favorite (-118 to -140) to make back-to-back playoff appearances.<\/p>\n
\u2022 Denver\u2019s season-opening game at Seattle last year barely went over the total, snapping a 5-0 Week 1 under streak.<\/p>\n
Kansas City Chiefs<\/p>\n
\u2022 Kansas City has won nine consecutive division titles, which is two shy of the NFL record New England established from 2009-19. It\u2019s no surprise the Chiefs are odds-on favorites to claim the AFC West again in 2025, with a price ranging from -105 to -120.<\/p>\n
Advertisement<\/p>\n
\u2022 The Chiefs have recorded double-digit victories in 10 consecutive years. They also have cleared their win total 10 times in the last 12 seasons.<\/p>\n
\u2022 Since taking over as Kansas City\u2019s starting quarterback, Patrick Mahomes is 34-5 against AFC West opponents \u2014 but just 17-20-2 ATS. Conversely, Mahomes has delivered for bettors on the rare occasion when he\u2019s been an underdog, going 11-2-1 ATS in his career (7-2-1 regular season; 4-0 in playoffs).<\/p>\n
Las Vegas Raiders<\/p>\n
\u2022 Las Vegas enters 2025 with a win-total projection of 6.5. Despite last year\u2019s dreadful 4-13 finish, the franchise has actually registered at least seven victories in six of the last 10 seasons.<\/p>\n
Advertisement<\/p>\n
\u2022 In 22 years since losing Super Bowl XXXVII in January 2003, the Raiders have made the playoffs just twice (2016 and 2021). So of course they\u2019re a long shot to make a rare postseason appearance this year, with odds ranging from +300 to +330.<\/p>\n
\u2022 In three full seasons running Seattle\u2019s offense, new Raiders quarterback Geno Smith went 27-22 SU but just 19-28-2 ATS (5-14-2 ATS as a favorite).<\/p>\n
Los Angeles Chargers<\/p>\n
\u2022 The Chargers had stayed under their win total in five straight seasons before last year\u2019s 11-6 turnaround under first-year coach Jim Harbaugh. Also, their 12-4-1 ATS mark was tops in the NFL in 2024.<\/p>\n
Advertisement<\/p>\n
\u2022 Los Angeles has won five of its last six season openers, going 4-1-1 ATS. The Bolts kick off the 2025 campaign as a consensus 2.5-point underdog against Kansas City in Brazil.<\/p>\n
\u2022 The Chargers are 3-19 against the Chiefs dating back to the start of the 2014 season, including an ongoing seven-game losing skid. Four of those seven defeats were by three points or fewer, while another was in overtime.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The best team against the spread last season. The most bettor-friendly starting quarterback in the NFL. And the…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":68372,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[559],"tags":[54181,33724,54176,64,63,631,1261,1252,6115,1238,54177,54178,3897,1256,1279,1255,934,1246,1237,629,1240,628,2623,481,3052,1233,5384,1231,1242,1235,593,6584,1241,5345,5142,85,1253,54179,54180],"class_list":["post-68371","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nfl","tag-afc","tag-afc-east","tag-ats","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-baltimore-ravens","tag-buffalo-bills","tag-cincinnati-bengals","tag-cleveland","tag-cleveland-browns","tag-consecutive-division-titles","tag-consecutive-seasons","tag-denver","tag-denver-broncos","tag-geno-smith","tag-houston-texans","tag-indianapolis","tag-indianapolis-colts","tag-jacksonville-jaguars","tag-joe-burrow","tag-kansas-city-chiefs","tag-lamar-jackson","tag-las-vegas","tag-los-angeles","tag-los-angeles-chargers","tag-miami-dolphins","tag-new-england","tag-new-england-patriots","tag-new-york-giants","tag-new-york-jets","tag-nfl","tag-patrick-mahomes","tag-pittsburgh-steelers","tag-raiders","tag-seattle","tag-sports","tag-tennessee-titans","tag-the-dolphins","tag-total"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68371","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=68371"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68371\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/68372"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=68371"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=68371"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=68371"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}