{"id":684511,"date":"2026-05-21T05:13:14","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T05:13:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/684511\/"},"modified":"2026-05-21T05:13:14","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T05:13:14","slug":"star-on-track-for-historic-whitewash-as-auto-giants-dire-reliability-laid-bare-f1-trends","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/684511\/","title":{"rendered":"Star on track for historic whitewash as auto giant\u2019s dire reliability laid bare \u2014 F1 trends"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As highly unusual as it is for Formula 1 to have completed just four rounds by late May, this weekend\u2019s Canadian Grand Prix will get underway with some clear trends already prevalent.<\/p>\n<p>A combination of circuits and the bedding-in of F1\u2019s 2026 tech has been part of the story.<\/p>\n<p>The other has been how quickly some drivers have adapted to their new reality \u2014 and how some others are still coming to terms with their new cars.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"i-amphtml-fill-content i-amphtml-replaced-content\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1779017096_680_poster-fallback.png\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Fox Sports, available on Kayo Sports, is the only place to watch every practice, qualifying session and race in the 2026 FIA Formula One World Championship\u2122 LIVE in 4K. <a href=\"https:\/\/kayosports.com.au\/en-AU\/welcome\/f1?pg=default&amp;extcamp=fsaeditoriallinkmotorsport-edt-fsp-lnk-awr-grc-mtr-kyo&amp;channel=fsa&amp;campaign=fsacontra&amp;voucher=\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">New to Kayo? Join now and get your first month for just $1.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>With just this weekend\u2019s race remaining before the frenetic European leg of the campaign begins, the time is now to arrest the negative trends \u2014 or try to extend the positive ones.<\/p>\n<p>TWO DRIVERS SET FOR QUALI WHITEWASH<\/p>\n<p>While there\u2019s plenty of debate around the challenge of qualifying in 2026, the fact we\u2019re seeing some clear storylines tells us the results aren\u2019t random and that some drivers remain better qualifiers than others.<\/p>\n<p>Fernando Alonso, who whitewashed teammate Lance Stroll 23-0 when both drivers qualified last year, is so far on track to repeat the demoralising feat.<\/p>\n<p>The trend, in fact, is common for Spaniards, with Carlos Sainz having also outqualified Alex Albon in every grand prix qualifying session so far this year, following on from him outqualifying his Williams teammate 10-3 over the last 13 weekends of 2025.<\/p>\n<p>Most one-sided head-to-head qualifying results (grands prix only)<\/p>\n<p>1. Fernando Alsono: ahead of Lance Stroll 100 per cent of the time<\/p>\n<p>2. Carlos Sainz: ahead of Alex Albon 100 per cent of the time<\/p>\n<p>3. Pierre Gasly: ahead of Franco Colapinto 75 per cent of the time<\/p>\n<p>Though five other drivers also have 75 per cent records against their teammates, none of the others enjoy a qualifying margin of more than 0.2 seconds.<\/p>\n<p>Five drivers in total, however, are beating their teammates by at least that margin on average.<\/p>\n<p>Qualifying dominance (grands prix only)<\/p>\n<p>1. Pierre Gasly: 0.439 seconds ahead of Franco Colapinto<\/p>\n<p>2. Fernando Alsono: 0.377 seconds ahead of Lance Stroll<\/p>\n<p>3. Carlos Sainz: 0.265 seconds ahead of Alex Albon<\/p>\n<p>4. Max Verstappen: 0.262 seconds ahead of Isack Hadjar<\/p>\n<p>5. Valtteri Bottas: 0.261 seconds ahead of Sergio P\u00e9rez<\/p>\n<p>Gasly\u2019s record over Colapinto is mighty considering he was outqualified by the Argentine once \u2014 in Miami, by 0.048 seconds. His average margin when qualifying ahead of Colapinto is 0.602 seconds.<\/p>\n<p>But Verstappen\u2019s margin is the one to watch. Though he and Isack Hadjar were closely matched in China and Japan, in Miami the margin blew out to an alarming 0.825 seconds, reminiscent of some of Verstappen\u2019s big intrateam results over Yuki Tsunoda, Liam Lawson and Sergio P\u00e9rez. It\u2019s a trend we\u2019ve seen before, especially as Red Bull Racing upgrades its car.<\/p>\n<p>Closest teammates in qualifying (grands prix only)<\/p>\n<p>1. Liam Lawson: 0.061 seconds ahead of Arvid Lindblad<\/p>\n<p>2. Oscar Piastri: 0.070 seconds ahead of Lando Norris<\/p>\n<p>3. Gabriel Bortoleto: 0.085 seconds ahead of Nico H\u00fclkenberg<\/p>\n<p>Lawson, now at Racing Bulls, is in the closest qualifying battle of any driver on the grid, heading rookie teammate Arvid Lindblad by practically nothing. The Kiwi has been the more dependable driver at the Italian team, but he\u2019ll want to extend that margin given his experience advantage to state his case beyond this year.<\/p>\n<p>The McLaren battle continues to be finely poised, with Oscar Piastri only fractionally ahead of reigning champion Lando Norris after outqualifying him 3-1 in grands prix so far this year.<\/p>\n<p>Gabriel Bortoleto has picked up where he left of last year by leading the more experienced Nico H\u00fclkenberg in qualifying, albeit not by much.<\/p>\n<p>(AP Photo\/Rebecca Blackwell)Source: AP<\/p>\n<p>YOUNG GUN MAKING BIG RACE-DAY IMPRESSION<\/p>\n<p>Just as in qualifying, there\u2019s a group of drivers with a firm handle on their teammates in races.<\/p>\n<p>Gasly was beaten only five times in 16 races both he and Colapinto finished last year, and that power dynamic is continuing this year.<\/p>\n<p>He heads the list of five drivers currently enjoying complete domination over their teammates in grands prix.<\/p>\n<p>Most one-sided head-to-head race results (grands prix only)<\/p>\n<p>1. Pierre Gasly: ahead of Franco Colapinto 100 per cent of the time<\/p>\n<p>2. Oliver Bearman: ahead of Esteban Ocon 100 per cent of the time<\/p>\n<p>3. Max Verstappen: ahead of Isack Hadjar 100 per cent of the time*<\/p>\n<p>4. Fernando Alonso: ahead of Lance Stroll 100 per cent of the time*<\/p>\n<p>5. Nico H\u00fclkenberg: ahead of Gabriel Bortoleto 100 per cent of the time*<\/p>\n<p>*Verstappen, Alonso and Nico H\u00fclkenberg\u2019s 100 per cent records are based on only a single race apiece \u2014 that\u2019s because both them and their respective teammates have finished only one race, with one or the other (or both) retiring from the three others.<\/p>\n<p>Note Oliver Bearman\u2019s impressive record ahead of Esteban Ocon. Bearman had a very strong end to 2025, beating the more experienced Ocon 11-2 in the final 13 races both of them finished.<\/p>\n<p>He so far has a perfect record against Ocon that seems to suggest he\u2019s only strengthening his position at the team \u2014 as the below data further demonstrates.<\/p>\n<p>Race dominance (grands prix only)<\/p>\n<p>1. Pierre Gasly: 5.7 places ahead of Franco Colapinto<\/p>\n<p>2. Oliver Bearman: 5.0 places ahead of Esteban Ocon<\/p>\n<p>3. Max Verstappen: 4.0 places ahead of Isack Hadjar*<\/p>\n<p>*As was the case above, Verstappen\u2019s record over Hadjar is based on only one grand prix.<\/p>\n<p>Gasly and Bearman, however, have ensured Alpine and Haas are the most one-sided teams on the grid so far this season.<\/p>\n<p>Closest teammates in races (grands prix only)<\/p>\n<p>1. Charles Leclerc: 0.3 places ahead of Lewis Hamilton<\/p>\n<p>2. Sergio P\u00e9rez: 0.7 places ahead of Valtteri Bottas<\/p>\n<p>3. Oscar Piastri: 1.0 places ahead of Lando Norris<\/p>\n<p>4. Carlos Sainz: 1.0 places ahead of Alex Albon<\/p>\n<p>The battle at Ferrari is much closer so far this year, suggesting Lewis Hamilton has taken a step thanks to both the new regulations and the year of working at Maranello under this belt. Just don\u2019t mention that, on average, neither Ferrari driver is getting near the podium.<\/p>\n<p>Sergio P\u00e9rez\u2019s close battle with Valtteri Bottas is more a function of Cadillac being stuck at the back of the field, with that margin unlikely to grow this year.<\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s a similar explanation to Sainz and Albon finishing nearby in races, with the Williams team having started the year adrift of the midfield but in Miami moving to the head of the pack, albeit behind Alpine, which appears to have broken clear.<\/p>\n<p>Piastri and Norris continue to fight at close quarters, albeit this statistic is based on just two comparable finishes.<\/p>\n<p>(AP Photo\/Rebecca Blackwell)Source: AP<\/p>\n<p>TO FINISH FIRST, FIRST YOU MUST FINISH<\/p>\n<p>The sweeping technical changes, encompassing both the engine and the chassis, have challenged the teams on reliability.<\/p>\n<p>So far this year, across both grands prix and sprint sessions, drivers have already accumulated 23 failures to start or finish races, more than one per driver.<\/p>\n<p>It took more than 10 rounds to rack up that number of failures last year. This year it\u2019s taken just four.<\/p>\n<p>Most failures to start or finish (grands prix and sprints)<\/p>\n<p>1. Audi: 5 failures (3 non-starts, 2 non-finishes)<\/p>\n<p>2. Aston Martin: 4 failures (4 non-finishes)*<\/p>\n<p>3. McLaren: 3 failures (3 non-starts)<\/p>\n<p>4. Red Bull Racing: 3 failures (3 non-finishes)<\/p>\n<p>5. Racing Bulls: 3 failures (1 non-start, 2 non-finishes)<\/p>\n<p>*Aston Martin also has one non-classified finish after Lance Stroll took the chequered flag in Australia 15 laps down, which is less than the required minimum 90 per cent race distance.<\/p>\n<p>Audi\u2019s reliability record has been woeful so far this season. Though the German marque\u2019s first attempt at a Formula 1 engine has been competitive enough, it\u2019s struggled to even start race sessions, never mind finish them.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s a double blow for the brand, leaving Audi with less data with which to make development decisions \u2014 and it doesn\u2019t supply any customer teams to work with either.<\/p>\n<p>Aston Martin\u2019s vibrating Honda engine meant it took until the Japanese Grand Prix to have one car complete a full grand prix distance, and it wasn\u2019t until Miami, where the vibration problem had been solved, that both cars saw the flag.<\/p>\n<p>The challenge for the green team now is pace \u2014 though Alonso says mechanically the car isn\u2019t in great shape either.<\/p>\n<p>The pain of McLaren\u2019s three non-starts is that two of them came in China, where the team failed to enter the grand prix due to a Mercedes-side problem \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxsports.com.au\/motorsport\/formula-one\/behind-piastris-unprecedented-stuttering-start-and-why-mclaren-can-still-turn-it-around\/news-story\/e943568556b7c1f9bfeddd153aa6652e\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">a historic low<\/a>. That followed Piastri\u2019s painful crash on the reconnaissance lap in Melbourne, which was also triggered by unexpected engine behaviour.<\/p>\n<p>The tally for Red Bull Racing and Racing Bulls, both using the same Red Bull Powertrains engine, is mixed, with a combination of crash damage and technical failures.<\/p>\n<p>(Photo by Peter Fox \/ GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA \/ Getty Images via AFP)Source: AFP<\/p>\n<p>LIGHTS OUT AND AWAY THEY GO (SOMETIMES)<\/p>\n<p>For those cars who do make the grid, the start of races this season has been chaotic, with far more variation between the quality of getaway between the drivers and especially the teams.<\/p>\n<p>Note that the below stats account for cars that didn\u2019t make the start \u2014 that is, a driver is not considered to have gained a place if the driver ahead of them had already been wheeled off the grid and left an empty space.<\/p>\n<p>There has been one clear standout so far this season.<\/p>\n<p>Ferrari\u2019s lightning starts \u2014 thanks to its smaller turbo design, built precisely with the launch in mind \u2014 have made it the only team yet to lose any places at lights-out in either a grand prix or a sprint. The team\u2019s worst start was Hamilton\u2019s Miami getaway, where he held his position.<\/p>\n<p>Best starters (grands prix and sprints)<\/p>\n<p>1. Ferrari: 21 places gained<\/p>\n<p>1. Williams: 18 places gained<\/p>\n<p>3. Aston Martin: 15 places gained<\/p>\n<p>Williams, though, deserves a note here. Only once \u2014 Sainz in the Miami sprint \u2014 has one of its cars lost places off the line. Sainz, despite that one blip, is doing most of the heavy lifting, with a cumulative 11 places gained on the first lap.<\/p>\n<p>Part of the reason for that, though \u2014 and what makes Ferrari\u2019s stat even more impressive \u2014 is that Williams is starting further back, from where more passes are possible. Ferrari\u2019s drivers are starting on average between fourth and fifth.<\/p>\n<p>That also puts into context Aston Martin\u2019s considerable gains from the very back of the grid \u2014 though Alonso\u2019s first-lap onboards continue to be a sight to behold.<\/p>\n<p>Worst starters (grands prix and sprints)<\/p>\n<p>1. Audi: 34 places lost<\/p>\n<p>2. Red Bull Racing: 32 places lost<\/p>\n<p>3. Mercedes: 24 places lost<\/p>\n<p>Conversely, there\u2019s a clear first-lap loser this year.<\/p>\n<p>Audi\u2019s starts have been dreadful, with the drivers losing an average of 3.4 places per getaway. It\u2019s tied directly to the team\u2019s engine concept, with reports suggesting Audi has the largest turbocharger on the grid, which takes too long to spin up to speed.<\/p>\n<p>Red Bull Racing\u2019s starts are a little more mixed, with some big losses combined with more usual getaways. Verstappen has lost seven places three times this year, while Hadjar suffered an 11-place loss at the Chinese Grand Prix.<\/p>\n<p>Mercedes\u2019s poor starts have been well chronicled. Andrea Kimi Antonelli has lost places at every start. George Russell has fared a little better, holding his position twice and gaining once.<\/p>\n<p>However, with Antonelli having started every grand prix and sprint from the front row and Russell having done likewise before Miami, both drivers have had more to lose, meaning the team is unlikely to move into positive territory so long as it continues qualifying so well.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"As highly unusual as it is for Formula 1 to have completed just four rounds by late May,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":684512,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[573],"tags":[2095,12295,14212,1724,64,63,689,309932,4971,13275,512,329965,329980,329971,329968,329975,329992,329985,329974,9239,329991,817,845,329966,329990,2755,813,816,329982,3875,2093,841,102392,18901,14211,329967,2101,941,1737,825,647,5140,2041,2067,677,5242,329969,329988,329979,329977,329987,265275,329986,329983,163497,2072,329989,85,329981,329976,329973,329970,329978,167545,329972,2614,329984,660,9020],"class_list":["post-684511","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-formula-1","tag-america","tag-andrea-kimi-antonelli","tag-arvid-lindblad","tag-asia","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-australia-and-new-zealand","tag-auto-giant","tag-carlos-sainz","tag-charles-leclerc","tag-china","tag-clear-first-lap-loser","tag-clear-storylines","tag-clear-trends","tag-close-quarters","tag-closest-qualifying-battle","tag-closest-teammates","tag-development-decisions","tag-dire-reliability","tag-eastern-asia","tag-engine-concept","tag-f1","tag-fernando-alonso","tag-finish-races","tag-first-lap-onboards","tag-florida","tag-formula-1","tag-formula1","tag-frenetic-european-leg","tag-george-russell","tag-german-marque","tag-grand-prix","tag-grand-prix-distance","tag-grand-prix-qualifying","tag-grands-prix","tag-historic-whitewash","tag-italian-team","tag-japan","tag-lando-norris","tag-max-verstappen","tag-melbourne","tag-miami","tag-north-america","tag-northern-america","tag-oceania","tag-oliver-bearman","tag-out-and-away","tag-positive-territory","tag-power-dynamic","tag-prix-qualifying-session","tag-race-dominance","tag-reconnaissance-lap","tag-reliability-record","tag-respective-teammates","tag-rookie-teammate","tag-sergio-perez","tag-single-race","tag-sports","tag-sprint-sessions","tag-start-race-sessions","tag-stats-account","tag-sweeping-technical-changes","tag-turbo-design","tag-two-drivers","tag-unexpected-engine-behaviour","tag-united-states-of-america","tag-vibration-problem","tag-victoria","tag-young-gun"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/684511","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=684511"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/684511\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/684512"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=684511"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=684511"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=684511"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}