{"id":704313,"date":"2026-05-30T12:57:11","date_gmt":"2026-05-30T12:57:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/704313\/"},"modified":"2026-05-30T12:57:11","modified_gmt":"2026-05-30T12:57:11","slug":"peters-points-nba-best-bets-today-predictions-prop-bets-for-spurs-vs-thunder-game-7-sga-deaaron-fox","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/704313\/","title":{"rendered":"Peter\u2019s Points: NBA Best Bets Today (Predictions, Prop Bets for Spurs vs. Thunder Game 7, SGA, De\u2019Aaron Fox)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"inline-text-0\" class=\"mt-[18px] md:mt-0 mb-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"83\">It was always going to come down to a Game 7.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-1\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"86\">The two top teams in the NBA all season long \u2013 the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder \u2013 are going the distance in the Western Conference Finals.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-2\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"89\">San Antonio picked up a blowout win on Thursday night at home in Game 6, extending the series to another meeting in OKC on Saturday night. In NBA history, teams that won Game 5 in a best-of-seven series that was tied 2-2 went on to win the series 82% of the time (198-44 series record), which still favors the Thunder.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-3\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8c\">Oddsmakers have OKC set as a 3.5-point favorite at home after it was a 6.5-point favorite in Games 1 and 2 and a 5.5-point favorite in Game 5.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-4\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8f\">I\u2019ll be honest \u2013 and we\u2019re always transparent with our records here at SI Betting \u2013 this series has crushed me. I have been on the wrong side several times, and multiple Spurs blowout wins in Games 4 and 6 and have tanked my player prop picks as well.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-5\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8i\">So, I\u2019m looking to bounce back on Saturday with a trip to the NBA Finals on the line for both of these teams.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-6\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8l\">Here\u2019s a full breakdown of my best bets for Spur vs. Thunder Game 7, and hopefully I\u2019ll turn this cold streak around!\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>1 Season, 600 Bets: NBA Betting Record2025-26 season record: 315-283 (-9.94 units)2024-25 season record: 281-293-5 (-4.94 units)OVERALL (since 2021-22 season): 1606-1519-27 (+23.21 units)<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-9\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8u\">Find Peter Dewey&#8217;s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1BIvWO-S-TFepu-8DBiXfx10kJJ4Zi7ctpMBVYK9oCZQ\/edit?usp=sharing\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting record here<\/a>\u00a0(futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/betstamp.app\/u\/peter2dewey\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetStamp here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>NBA Best Bets Today<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-11\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"90\"><a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/4kJjtBu\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook<\/a><\/p>\n<p>De\u2019Aaron Fox UNDER 1.5 3-Pointers Made (-152)San Antonio Spurs-Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 212.5 (-110)Shai Gilgeous-Alexander UNDER 30.5 Points (-111)De\u2019Aaron Fox UNDER 1.5 3-Pointers Made (-152)<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-14\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"99\">Spurs guard De\u2019Aaron Fox is shooting just 29.9 percent from 3-point range in the NBA Playoffs, and he\u2019s 2-for-15 from beyond the arc in this series.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-15\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9c\">Fox hasn\u2019t cleared this line in any game in the Western Conference Finals, and he only has five games this postseason (out of 15) with two or more made 3-pointers.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-16\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9f\">During the regular season, Fox had two games against OKC where he failed to make a 3-pointer, though he cleared this line in three of five games. Still, with the star guard nursing an ankle injury in this series, he hasn\u2019t had the the same lift and impact on the offensive end.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-17\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9i\">I expect him to fall short of this number, especially since he\u2019s taken four or fewer 3-pointers in each of the last three games.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>San Antonio Spurs-Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 212.5 (-110)<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-19\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9o\">If you\u2019re looking to bet on the game, I think the UNDER is the play in Game 7.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-20\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9r\">Historically, Game 7s are a little more low-scoring and slower paced, and two of the last three games (Games 4 and 6) fell short of this total. Game 1 would have also fallen short of this number had it not gone to double overtime.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-21\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9u\">These are two of the best defenses in the NBA, ranking No. 1 (OKC) and No. 3 (San Antonio) in defensive rating during the regular season. In the playoffs, the Spurs are even better, posting a defensive rating just over 104.0.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-22\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9x\">We\u2019ve seen both sides sell out to stop the superstars \u2013 Wembanyama and Gilgeous-Alexander \u2013 in this series, and the Thunder\u2019s offense has looked disjointed in two of the last three games.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-23\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"a0\">When set as road underdogs in the 2025-26 season, San Antonio has hit the UNDER in 11 of 18 games.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-24\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"a3\">With Jalen Williams (10 minutes in Game 6) ruled out for Game 7, I\u2019m not sold on the OKC offense dominating the game. It took an amazing shooting performance in Game 5 for the Thunder to score over 120 points, and I think both teams will lean on their defenses in the half court on Saturday.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Shai Gilgeous-Alexander UNDER 30.5 Points (-111)<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-26\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"a9\">Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has just two 30-point games in this series, and he needed 16 free throws in Game 5 to clear this line.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-27\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ac\">So, I\u2019m taking the UNDER for the two-time MVP in Game 7, especially since the Spurs have sent different coverages at home all series to keep him from scoring at a high level.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-28\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"af\">In this matchup, SGA is shooting just 37.9 percent from the field and 26.1 percent from 3-point range. Overall in the playoffs, the star guard is shooting 45.5 percent from the field, 10 percent worse than he did in the regular season.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-29\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ai\">Teams have really forced other players on the Thunder to beat them, and SGA only has 30 or more points in three of his last 10 playoff games.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-30\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"al\">If this ends up being a low-scoring Game 7, I think this points total is a touch too high against the No. 2 defense in the playoffs. <\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-32\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"aq\">Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-33\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"at\">If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-34\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"aw\">Claim the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/betting\/sportsbook-promos\/draftkings-promo-code\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings promo code<\/a> offer today. 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