{"id":709728,"date":"2026-06-02T05:24:12","date_gmt":"2026-06-02T05:24:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/709728\/"},"modified":"2026-06-02T05:24:12","modified_gmt":"2026-06-02T05:24:12","slug":"boxing-keith-thurman-calls-tszyu-vs-spence-jr-a-50-50-fight-fight-prediction-analysis-australians-key-weight-edge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/709728\/","title":{"rendered":"Boxing: Keith Thurman calls Tszyu vs Spence Jr a \u201850-50 fight\u2019, fight prediction, analysis, Australian\u2019s key weight edge"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>American superstar Keith Thurman has declared Tim Tszyu\u2019s blockbuster showdown with Errol Spence Jr. a genuine \u201c50-50 fight\u201d, while also revealing a key area where he believes the Aussie star holds an advantage.<\/p>\n<p>With Tszyu and Spence set to collide in one of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxsports.com.au\/boxing\/boxing-2026-tim-tszyu-vs-errol-spence-jr-fight-confirmed-for-australia-date-venue-latest-news\/news-story\/1736e4b01d503a25a456e1ff632f5b5c\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">biggest bouts in Australian boxing history<\/a> in just under eight weeks, debate continues over what version of the former welterweight king will show up.<\/p>\n<p>Paro v Crocker | Wednesday June 24 from 7pm AEST | Liam Paro gets his long awaited title shot against IBF welterweight champion, Lewis Crocker. | <a href=\"https:\/\/kayosports.com.au\/en-AU\/welcome\/ppv\/paro-v-crocker?extcamp=fsaeditoriallinkboxing-edt-fsp-lnk-awr-grc-box-kyo&amp;channel=fsa&amp;campaign=fsacontra\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Order Now with Main Event on Kayo Sports.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img class=\"i-amphtml-fill-content i-amphtml-replaced-content\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1779017096_680_poster-fallback.png\"\/><\/p>\n<p>And according to Thurman \u2013 himself a former world champ at 147 pounds \u2013 that uncertainty is part of why it\u2019s such a good matchup.<\/p>\n<p>Speaking as anticipation builds for the blockbuster, Thurman said both men go into it with a few question marks.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSpence has had just too big of a layoff,\u201d Thurman told <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=66zIi7fCcRg\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">MillCity Boxing.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat\u2019s the biggest question mark, you know, when your layoff is long, no one\u2019s seen you, they don\u2019t know what version of you that they\u2019re going to get, and of course they\u2019re going to analyse you off of your last performance.\u201d <\/p>\n<p>\u201cYour last performance was not that good, so what version of you are we going to see? <\/p>\n<p>Errol Spence and Tim TszyuSource: FOX SPORTS<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTim Tszyu, he\u2019s been having some little tune-up fights, he\u2019s trying to work with new trainers and you know enhance his overall ability in the ring as a boxer, so it\u2019s going to be interesting.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBut we know he\u2019s vulnerable \u2013 he\u2019s been dropped a lot, he\u2019s been hit, and he\u2019s been stopped, so both of them have some battle scars.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Yet there was one extra detail that appeared to nudge Thurman slightly towards Tszyu.<\/p>\n<p>During the interview, the former world champ was informed the fight had been agreed at a 158-pound catchweight.<\/p>\n<p>Visibly surprised by the number, Thurman suggested the extra weight would favour Tszyu, who has spent his career campaigning at junior middleweight (154 pounds) while Spence has been fighting at 147 pounds.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHe [Tszyu] is coming from a higher division,\u201d said Thurman.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhen welterweights are adding more weight a lot of times they\u2019re just giving themselves an excuse to be slower, in my opinion. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cBecause let\u2019s say the fight\u2019s at 158 pounds, and then they\u2019re going to rehydrate, so he\u2019s going to be 168-173 by the time he gets in the ring\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou put a solid 10-13 pounds on rehydrating.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The American also pointed to activity as another factor working in Tszyu\u2019s favour. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cI think Tim Tszyu has the advantage of activity, and then Spence has the advantage of pedigree,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHe\u2019s been at another level, he\u2019s achieved more. Even though it\u2019s at 147, I just feel like he\u2019s really done more, been in the ring with more world-class fighters, and had some victories against solid world-class fighters. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhere Tim Tszyu has not been as victorious when the opposition really hits that AA class\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s a solid 50-50 because they both just have some questions that need answers.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAnd we\u2019ll get our answer come July, for sure.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>READ MORE:<\/p>\n<p>American superstar Jermall Charlo <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxsports.com.au\/boxing\/theyre-looking-for-opponents-now-american-stars-shock-push-to-join-tszyuspence-card\/news-story\/8420153795957a78396e242d52728579\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">added to blockbuster Tszyu-Spence card<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2018Fight of the Year\u2019: Aussie boxing queen <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxsports.com.au\/boxing\/fight-of-the-year-aussie-boxing-queen-locks-in-mega-showdown-against-unbeaten-superstar\/news-story\/0113f86534721e8f4c84710d3c50ce63\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">locks in showdown against unbeaten superstar<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Twice linked to a fight with Tszyu himself, the fighter known as \u201cOne Time\u201d admitted he would still welcome a showdown with either man.<\/p>\n<p>Yet putting his own ambitions aside, the American said the contest is outstanding matchmaking.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI like this fight for these two fighters. I\u2019m not mad at it,\u201d he said. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cI want Thurman-Spence. I want Thurman-Tszyu. I was semi-told about these fights for many years, you know. So, it is what it is. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cBut when I take myself out of the picture, I like this fight for these fighters. I like this fight for the fans, too.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI think you know it\u2019s just where they are both at, someone [the loser] is really gonna not be that relevant, and someone\u2019s gonna reestablish their relevancy.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI think that\u2019s what this matchup is really all about. So they both got a lot on the table.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Thurman also warned that while Tszyu will always remain a major drawcard at home, a defeat could significantly hurt his standing internationally. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cTim, if he stays busy, he\u2019ll always be relevant in Australia,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBut on the world scene, if he doesn\u2019t get a win here, his overall relevancy really diminishes, in my opinion.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Tszyu previews mega-clash with Spence Jr | 14:08<\/p>\n<p>The comments come only weeks after Thurman declared himself <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxsports.com.au\/boxing\/boxing-2026-keith-thurman-open-to-fighting-nikita-tszyu-after-oscar-diaz-victory-who-will-he-fight-next-video-highlights-news\/news-story\/13202d958eeaab0bd806e39d214e97ca\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">open to a showdown with Nikita Tszyu<\/a>, revealing he would have no hesitation fighting Tim\u2019s younger brother should the opportunity arise. <\/p>\n<p>While the undefeated Sydneysider is currently enjoying a holiday following his recent victory over Oscar Diaz, Code Sports has reported discussions are underway about adding him to the Tszyu-Spence undercard. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"American superstar Keith Thurman has declared Tim Tszyu\u2019s blockbuster showdown with Errol Spence Jr. a genuine \u201c50-50 fight\u201d,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":709729,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[571],"tags":[64,63,802,85],"class_list":["post-709728","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-boxing","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-boxing","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/709728","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=709728"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/709728\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/709729"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=709728"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=709728"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=709728"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}