{"id":73224,"date":"2025-08-16T17:55:16","date_gmt":"2025-08-16T17:55:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/73224\/"},"modified":"2025-08-16T17:55:16","modified_gmt":"2025-08-16T17:55:16","slug":"70-years-of-data-show-extreme-heat-is-already-wiping-out-tropical-bird-populations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/73224\/","title":{"rendered":"70 years of data show extreme heat is already wiping out tropical bird populations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Human-driven climate change threatens many species, including birds. Most studies on this topic focus on long-term climate trends, such as gradual rises in average temperatures or shifts in rainfall patterns. But extreme weather events are becoming more common and intense, so they warrant further attention. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41559-025-02811-7\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Our new research<\/a> shows extreme heat is having a particularly severe effect on tropical birds. We found increased exposure to extreme heat has reduced bird populations in tropical regions by 25\u201338% since 1950. <\/p>\n<p>This is not just a temporary dip \u2013 it\u2019s a long-term, cumulative effect that continues to build as the planet warms.<\/p>\n<p>Our research helps explain why <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/ele.13628\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bird numbers are falling<\/a> even in wild places relatively <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S2351989424001069\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">untouched by humans<\/a>, such as some very remote <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/abs\/10.1073\/pnas.2108731119\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">protected tropical forests<\/a>. It underscores the urgent need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, to conserve the remaining biodiversity. <\/p>\n<p>            <a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/684818\/original\/file-20250811-56-knis7u.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Two brightly coloured birds, Gouldian finches, resting on green grasses or reeds\" class=\"lazyload\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/file-20250811-56-knis7u.jpg\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>              The critically endangered Gouldian finch is a colorful tropical bird endemic to the northern Australia.<br \/>\n              <a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/photos.aap.com.au\/search\/20240807156460804131\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">AAP Image\/Supplied by Bruce Thomson<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Digging into huge global datasets<\/p>\n<p>We analysed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livingplanetindex.org\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">data from long-term monitoring<\/a> of more than 3,000 bird populations worldwide between 1950 and 2020. This dataset captures more than 90,000 scientific observations.<\/p>\n<p>Although there are some gaps, the dataset offers an unmatched view of how bird populations have changed over time. Some parts of the world such as western Europe and North America were better represented than others, but all continents were covered.  <\/p>\n<p>We matched this bird data with detailed daily weather records from a <a href=\"https:\/\/cds.climate.copernicus.eu\/datasets\/reanalysis-era5-single-levels?tab=overview\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">global climate database<\/a> that stretches back to 1940. This allowed us to track how bird populations responded to specific changes in daily temperatures and rainfall, including extreme heat.<\/p>\n<p>We also looked at average yearly temperatures, total annual rainfall, and episodes of unusually heavy rainfall. <\/p>\n<p>Using another dataset <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S2590332219300715\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">that reflects human industrial activity over time<\/a>, we accounted for human pressures such as land development and human population density. <\/p>\n<p>By combining all these sources of data, we created computer models to evaluate how climate factors and human impacts influence bird population growth.<\/p>\n<p>Our research confirmed the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/abs\/10.1073\/pnas.1618082114\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">work of other climate scientists<\/a> showing extreme heat events have increased dramatically over the past 70 years, especially near the equator. <\/p>\n<p>Birds in tropical regions are now experiencing dangerously hot days about ten times more often than they did in the past.<\/p>\n<p>            <a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/683860\/original\/file-20250805-56-3pky0.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"A chart showing the number of very hot days per year over time for the tropics (steep increase), subtropics and extratropics\" class=\"lazyload\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/file-20250805-56-3pky0.png\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>              Tropical birds have experienced a 10-fold increase in exposure to extreme heat over the past 60 years.<br \/>\n              <a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41559-025-02811-7\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Kotz, M. et al. (2025) Nature Ecology &amp; Evolution<\/a><\/p>\n<p>What we found: extreme heat is the biggest climate threat to birds<\/p>\n<p>While changes in average temperature and rainfall do affect birds, we found the increasing number of dangerously hot days had the greatest effect \u2013 especially in tropical regions.<\/p>\n<p>This is a major concern because tropical birds often have small home ranges and are highly specialised in terms of the habitats and climates they persist in. In many cases <a href=\"https:\/\/besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1111\/1365-2435.13693\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">tropical birds exist within a small range of heat tolerance<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>At temperatures beyond a bird\u2019s limit of endurance, they go into hyperthermia, where their body temperature rises uncontrollably. In this state, birds may adopt a drooped-wing posture to expose more skin for heat loss, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/abs\/pii\/0300962989901126?via%3Dihub\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">hold their beaks open and pant rapidly<\/a>, spread their feathers, and become lethargic or disoriented. In severe cases, they lose coordination, fall from perches, or even collapse unconscious. <\/p>\n<p>            <a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/683859\/original\/file-20250805-56-g0yofv.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Side profile of a black-collared barbet (_Lybius torquatus_) resting on a branch, The Panhandle, Okavango Delta, Botswana.\" class=\"lazyload\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/file-20250805-56-g0yofv.png\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>              A black-collared barbet (Lybius torquatus) from Botswana.<br \/>\n              <a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scimex.org\/newsfeed\/as-the-climate-warms-extreme-heat-is-killing-tropical-birds\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sergey Dereliev<\/a><\/p>\n<p>If they survive the experience, they can suffer long-term damage such as heat-induced organ failure and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.science.org\/doi\/10.1126\/science.add2915\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">reduced reproductive capacity<\/a>. Heat exposure reduces breeding success by lowering adult body condition and reducing time spent foraging \u2013 because the birds must rest or seek shade during the hottest hours.<\/p>\n<p>It also causes heat stress in eggs and nestlings. In extreme events, nestlings may die from hyperthermia, or parents may abandon nests to save themselves.<\/p>\n<p>Heat also increases a bird\u2019s demand for water \u2014 not because they sweat (birds lack sweat glands) but because they lose water rapidly through evaporative cooling. This happens mainly via panting (respiratory evaporation) and, in some species, gular fluttering (rapid vibration of throat skin to increase airflow), as well as evaporation through the skin. As temperatures climb, these processes accelerate, causing significant dehydration unless birds can drink more frequently or access moister food.<\/p>\n<p>Our study found that across tropical areas, the impact of climate change on birds is perhaps even greater now than the impact of direct human activities such as logging, mining or farming. This is not to say habitat destruction due to these activities is not a serious issue \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/ravaged-jungle-just-25-of-the-worlds-surviving-tropical-rainforests-are-in-good-condition-245475\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">it clearly is a major concern to tropical biodiversity<\/a>. But our study highlights the challenges climate change is already bringing to birds in tropical regions. <\/p>\n<p>            <a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/683861\/original\/file-20250805-56-daxo5r.png?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Infographic describing how birds are impacted by heat extremes\" class=\"lazyload\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/file-20250805-56-daxo5r.png\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>              Extreme heat is bad for birds in more than one way.<br \/>\n              James Watson, Maximilian Kotz and Tatsuya Amano with icons from Flaticon, design by Canva.<\/p>\n<p>A clear warning<\/p>\n<p>Our research highlights the importance of focusing not just on average climate trends, but also on extreme events. Heatwaves are no longer rare, isolated incidents \u2013 they are becoming a regular part of life in many parts of the world. <\/p>\n<p>If climate change continues unchecked, tropical birds \u2013 and likely many other animals and plants \u2013 will face increasing threats to their survival. Change may be too fast and too extreme for many species to adapt.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full\/10.1002\/fee.2420\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">And as tropical regions host a huge share of the world\u2019s biodiversity,<\/a> including nearly half of all bird species, the ripple effects could be far-reaching.<\/p>\n<p>Conservation strategies must take this into account. Protecting habitats from human industrial development remains important, but it\u2019s no longer enough on its own. Proactive action to help species adapt to climate change needs to be part of wildlife protection plans \u2013 especially in the tropics.<\/p>\n<p>Ultimately if we are to preserve global biodiversity, slowing down and eventually reversing climate change is essential. That means cutting greenhouse gas emissions, investing in ways to draw down existing carbon dioxide levels, and supporting policies that reduce our impact on the planet. The fate of tropical birds \u2013 and countless other species \u2013 depends on it.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>            Tropical bird population declined by one-third since 1980 due to climate change, featuring the study\u2019s lead author Maximilian Kotz (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Human-driven climate change threatens many species, including birds. Most studies on this topic focus on long-term climate trends,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":73225,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[64,63,75,128],"class_list":["post-73224","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-environment","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-environment","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73224","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=73224"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73224\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/73225"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=73224"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=73224"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=73224"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}