{"id":740103,"date":"2026-06-16T12:15:10","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T12:15:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/740103\/"},"modified":"2026-06-16T12:15:10","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T12:15:10","slug":"australia-warns-el-nino-weather-pattern-set-to-be-strongest-in-decades-weather-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/740103\/","title":{"rendered":"Australia warns El Nino weather pattern set to be strongest in decades | Weather News"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Bureau of Meteorology says forecasts point towards a \u2018very strong El Nino event\u2019.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Published On 16 Jun 202616 Jun 2026<\/p>\n

Australia\u2019s weather bureau has warned that an El Nino weather pattern<\/a> has formed in the tropical Pacific and could intensify in the second half of the year, becoming one of the strongest in seven decades.<\/p>\n

The Bureau of Meteorology said in a statement on Tuesday that sea surface temperatures in the region had exceeded El Nino thresholds, and atmospheric indicators also suggested the phenomenon has begun.<\/p>\n

Recommended Stories list of 3 itemsend of list<\/p>\n

\u201cForecasts are pointing towards a strong to very strong El Nino event, based on the extent of warming in the central tropical Pacific,\u201d it said.<\/p>\n

\u201cAround half of the models indicate this event could peak at levels among the highest observed since 1950.\u201d<\/p>\n

Forecasters expect the weather to bring excessive rain to the Americas and hot, dry conditions to Asia<\/a>, which is already experiencing crop-planting issues, raising concerns about food supplies.<\/p>\n

\"INTERACTIVE(Al Jazeera)<\/p>\n

According to the bureau, El Nino is linked to reduced rainfall in winter and spring, particularly affecting Australia\u2019s eastern coast and leading to higher daytime temperatures in the south.<\/p>\n

The weather pattern is especially damaging to Australia because it affects agricultural production in the country, which is among the world\u2019s biggest exporters of wheat, sugar and beef.<\/p>\n

Scientists have said climate change \u2060will supercharge the effects of this year\u2019s El Nino.<\/p>\n

The last time Australia experienced an El Nino weather pattern was from 2023 to 2024, and it caused the driest three-month period on record. Before that, one of the strongest events in 2015 and 2016 led to widespread drought and reduced oilseed and grain output.<\/p>\n

Historians say past instances of El Nino have caused famines that killed millions, notably in 1877 and 1878.<\/p>\n

According to the United Nations\u2019 World Meteorological Organization<\/a> (WMO), an El Nino weather pattern is characterised by warming of ocean surface temperatures in the central and eastern Equatorial Pacific and typically occurs every two to seven years, lasting about nine to 12 months.<\/p>\n

In a report on June 2, the WMO found that there was an \u201c80 percent likelihood of an El Nino event during June-August 2026\u2033.<\/p>\n

\u201cProbabilities for this to continue until at least November are near or above 90 percent,\u201d it said, adding that the weather pattern was set to impact global temperature and rainfall patterns, increasing the risk of extreme weather.<\/p>\n

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres also warned in a video message following the publication that the world must treat this as \u201cthe urgent climate warning it is\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe only effective response is climate action equal to the crisis \u2013 ending the addiction to fossil fuels, accelerating the shift to renewables, protecting the most vulnerable, and delivering early warning systems for all,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Bureau of Meteorology says forecasts point towards a \u2018very strong El Nino event\u2019. Published On 16 Jun…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":740104,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[77,64,63,6045,44,1192],"class_list":["post-740103","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-australia","tag-asia-pacific","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-climate","tag-news","tag-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/740103","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=740103"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/740103\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/740104"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=740103"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=740103"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=740103"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}