{"id":742853,"date":"2026-06-17T18:43:14","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T18:43:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/742853\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T18:43:14","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T18:43:14","slug":"ufc-vegas-119-betting-picks-today-advice-analysis-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/742853\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Vegas 119 Betting Picks Today: Advice, Analysis & Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"

The UFC returns to the Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Saturday, June 20, for UFC Vegas 119. In the main event, flyweight contenders have a rematch nearly nine years in the making, as Manel Kape<\/a> takes on Kyoji Horiguchi<\/a>. The two fought in RIZIN in December of 2017, and it was Horiguchi who won by third-round submission.<\/p>\n

Below, I’ll share my UFC Vegas 119 predictions, including my favorite pick, an underdog, a prop, and a two-fighter parlay. All UFC odds<\/a> are via the DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the post date of this article.\u00a0<\/p>\n

UFC Vegas 119 Betting Favorite<\/p>\n

Manel Kape<\/a> (22-7) vs. Kyoji Horiguchi<\/a> (36-5) – Flyweight<\/p>\n

In the main event of UFC Vegas 119 on Saturday, I like Manel Kape<\/a> to avenge his loss to Kyoji Horiguchi<\/a> and get a big win.<\/p>\n

Kape has won three straight fights and is coming off a first-round knockout win over Brandon Royval<\/a>, which was impressive. Horiguchi, meanwhile, is 2-0 since returning to the UFC, but I think Kape’s striking will be the difference.<\/p>\n

I like Kape to be able to keep this fight standing and land the better shots, and even possibly score a TKO win in the third or fourth round. We’ve seen Horiguchi get rocked before, and Kape has insane power at flyweight, so he should get a win to secure the next title shot.<\/p>\n

UFC Vegas 119 Bet: Manel Kape<\/a> (-162)<\/p>\n

UFC Vegas 119 Underdog<\/p>\n

Andre Fili<\/a> (25-13) vs. Vinicius Oliveira<\/a> (23-4) – Featherweight<\/p>\n

For my underdog play at UFC Vegas 119, I’m taking a shot on Andre Fili<\/a>, as I believe the odds are too high on Oliveira, whom I haven’t been sold on.<\/p>\n

Fili is a tough out, as he arguably should’ve beaten Jose Delgado<\/a> last time out, which would have been a big upset. Oliveira, meanwhile, is moving up to featherweight after he was dominated by Mario Bautista<\/a> last time out.<\/p>\n

If Fili can survive the early onslaught by Oliveira, I believe he can win the second and third rounds to edge out a decision. There is a chance Oliveira can catch him early, but I trust Fili and his veteran savviness to avoid the power shots and be able to grind this fight out and edge out a decision.<\/p>\n

At +230, the odds make this worth a shot. To me, Oliveira should only be around a -170 favorite (and not -285).<\/p>\n

UFC Vegas 119 Bet: Andre Fili<\/a> (+230)<\/p>\n

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UFC Vegas 119 Prop Bet<\/p>\n

Christian Rodriguez<\/a> (12-4) vs. Hyder Amil<\/a> (11-2) – Featherweight<\/p>\n

Also on the main card of UFC Vegas 119, I’m taking Christian Rodriguez<\/a> to defeat Hyder Amil<\/a> by decision.<\/p>\n

Rodriguez has lost back-to-back fights and is 1-3 in his last four, but this is a good matchup for him to get back on track. Amil has a so-so takedown defense of 65 percent, so I expect Rodriguez to wrestle early and often, especially in the first round, to avoid the power shots and wear out Amil.<\/p>\n

Rodriguez isn’t much of a finisher, as four of his five UFC wins have come by decision. Meanwhile, in Amil’s last fight, he dropped a decision to Jamall Emmers<\/a> in a fight in which he was taken down seven times.<\/p>\n

I expect Rodriguez to be able to take Amil down at will and be able to grind out a clear-cut decision. I don’t think he’ll take many risks here, as with a loss, he could be cut.<\/p>\n

UFC Vegas 119 Bet: Christian Rodriguez<\/a> by decision (+125)<\/p>\n

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UFC Vegas 119 Parlay<\/p>\n

Navajo Stirling<\/a> (9-0) vs. Ion Cutelaba<\/a> (20-11-1) – Light heavyweight
Michael Aswell<\/a> Jr. (11-4) vs. Gaston Bolanos<\/a> (8-5) – Featherweight<\/p>\n

For my parlay at UFC Vegas 119, I’m taking Navajo Stirling<\/a> and Michael Aswell<\/a> Jr. to get their hands raised.<\/p>\n

In the co-main event, Stirling takes on Cutelaba at light heavyweight, in what appears to be a bit of a set-up fight for the Kiwi. Although Stirling is 4-0 in the UFC, he hasn’t impressed me. I will fade him when he gets a better opponent, but Cutelaba isn’t that. Stirling is a technical striker who should be able to pick Cutelaba apart for three rounds or until he gets a TKO win to keep his perfect record intact.<\/p>\n

In the other leg, I like Aswell to beat Gaston Bolanos<\/a> on the prelims. I’m not that high on Aswell, or Bolanos, as I’m not sure either is UFC-caliber. Yet, this is a good matchup for Aswell to edge out a decision win. Aswell throws more volume on the feet, and that should be the difference. He’ll be more active and land more damaging shots to win a decision.<\/p>\n

UFC Vegas 119 Bet: Navajo Stirling<\/a> & Michael Aswell<\/a> Jr. parlay (-164)<\/p>\n

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\u00a0UFC Best Bets<\/p>\n

Here is a recap of my best UFC picks for this weekend’s UFC Vegas 119 card.<\/p>\n

If you prefer to deposit at a sportsbook via PayPal, RotoWire has an up-to-date list of all the top-rated PayPal betting sites<\/a> in one place. We also list all major sportsbooks accepting credit card<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The UFC returns to the Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Saturday, June 20, for UFC Vegas 119.…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":742854,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[570],"tags":[64,63,786,244002,785,85],"class_list":["post-742853","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mma","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-fighting","tag-minor-league-stats","tag-mma","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/742853","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=742853"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/742853\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/742854"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=742853"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=742853"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=742853"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}