{"id":744832,"date":"2026-06-18T16:35:13","date_gmt":"2026-06-18T16:35:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/744832\/"},"modified":"2026-06-18T16:35:13","modified_gmt":"2026-06-18T16:35:13","slug":"the-case-for-and-against-buying-spacex-right-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/744832\/","title":{"rendered":"The Case for and Against Buying SpaceX Right Now"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">The ability to calculate wisely in the midst of strong emotions &#8212; fear, greed, excitement, worry &#8212; is one of the hallmark habits of a seasoned investor. To look for the real company beneath the public face, the core of its operations beneath promises, the essential nature of the business &#8212; this kind of clear-eyed analysis, more than anything else, is what&#8217;s needed in a market as richly valued as it is in 2026.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">This is as true for small companies and start-ups as it is for members of the trillion-dollar club, like the newly minted Space Exploration Technologies\u00a0(NASDAQ: SPCX). Now that the most highly anticipated IPO since Facebook (now Meta Platforms) is over, let&#8217;s look closely at SpaceX&#8217;s pros and cons.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again.\u00a0In 2009, a &#8220;Double Down&#8221; signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia.\u00a0For the first time in years, that same &#8220;Total Conviction&#8221; signal is flashing for a company 1\/100th the size of Nvidia.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=b78fe89b-567a-4bc9-a907-d163a356bcd3&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fa-sa-dd-total-conviction%3Faid%3D11123%26source%3Disaediica0000074%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-dd-4%26ftm_veh%3Dtop_incontent_pitch_feed_yahoo%26ftm_pit%3D19375&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=d335fb85-2cd4-4e77-b595-b73c5789d6e0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Continue \u00bb;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Continue \u00bb&quot;}\" class=\"link \">Continue \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n<p>    <img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/44ccffad25e8b22a339f4b56a3fac712.jpeg\" alt=\"A rocket launch above Earth. \" loading=\"eager\" height=\"480\" width=\"960\" class=\"yf-lglytj  loaded\"\/> Image source: Getty Images.         The bull case: Rockets, AI, and the internet beamed from space    <\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">SpaceX is essentially three businesses: space technology, connectivity, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/stock-market\/market-sectors\/information-technology\/ai-stocks\/?utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=d335fb85-2cd4-4e77-b595-b73c5789d6e0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:artificial intelligence;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;artificial intelligence&quot;}\" class=\"link \">artificial intelligence<\/a> (AI). This trinity of tech does not have equal parts, however, and it appears that the most profitable one is connectivity.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">In 2025, the connectivity segment (driven mostly by Starlink) generated over $11 billion in revenue &#8212; roughly three-fifths of SpaceX&#8217;s total &#8212; and left the company with over $4 billion in operating income. Starlink currently has over 10 million subscribers across more than 160 countries, a number it claims will grow to 25 million by the end of 2026.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">The other two businesses &#8212; space and AI &#8212; together generated just over $7 billion of revenue, underscoring the dominance of connectivity. Here&#8217;s another figure that stresses it: Between 2023 and 2025, total revenue grew at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 34%. But connectivity? That segment grew at a whopping 71% CAGR.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Connectivity&#8217;s near-term total addressable market (TAM) &#8212; according to figures from SpaceX&#8217;s IPO roadshow &#8212; is $1.6 trillion, which was roughly the company&#8217;s opening valuation. Together with space and AI, SpaceX claims it can address an enormous $6 trillion market opportunity, about three times more than its current valuation.<\/p>\n<p>      The bear case: A remarkable company with a sky-high valuation     <\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">The bull case for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/how-to-invest\/stocks\/how-to-invest-in-spacex-stock\/?utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=d335fb85-2cd4-4e77-b595-b73c5789d6e0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:SpaceX;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;SpaceX&quot;}\" class=\"link \">SpaceX<\/a> is its potential to become deeply embedded in infrastructure, with all three businesses working together to make it the defining company of the century.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">The bear case, however, centers on the company&#8217;s valuation. We are now entering SpaceX&#8217;s first full week on the market, and the stock is already trading at a steep price. At its current market capitalization of $2.1 trillion, SpaceX trades at 109 times sales and 61 times book value. For comparison, Nvidia, the biggest winner in the AI era thus far and the world&#8217;s most valuable company at $5 trillion, trades at about 20 times sales and 25 times book.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Another illuminating comparison: Nvidia&#8217;s fiscal 2026 revenue (roughly $216 billion) was over 11 times more than SpaceX&#8217;s 2025 revenue (about $19 billion).<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">That said, Elon Musk claims SpaceX could generate $1 trillion in revenue by 2030, a staggering leap from today&#8217;s figures. But if we&#8217;re going off what&#8217;s on paper, this trillion-dollar company is simply too pricey right now to call it a compelling buy. Patient investors may be better off waiting for this space stock to come back down to Earth before buying.<\/p>\n<p>     Should you buy stock in Space Exploration Technologies right now?   <\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Before you buy stock in\u00a0Space Exploration Technologies, consider this:<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">The Motley Fool\u00a0Stock Advisor\u00a0analyst team just identified what they believe are the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=0ee3bee6-5178-47a2-b007-2172499f6288&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fe-sa-bbn-bn%3Faid%3D8867%26source%3Disaeditxt0001213%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-bbn-evergreen%26ftm_veh%3Darticle_pitch_feed_yahoo%26ftm_pit%3D19383&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=d335fb85-2cd4-4e77-b595-b73c5789d6e0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:10 best stocks;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;10 best stocks&quot;}\" class=\"link \">10 best stocks<\/a>\u00a0for investors to buy now\u2026 and\u00a0Space Exploration Technologies\u00a0wasn\u2019t one of them.\u00a0The 10 stocks that made the cut are built for long-term growth and could produce monster returns in the coming years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Consider when\u00a0Netflix\u00a0made this list on December 17, 2004&#8230; if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation,\u00a0you\u2019d have $415,040!*\u00a0Or\u00a0when\u00a0Nvidia\u00a0made this list on April 15, 2005&#8230; if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation,\u00a0you\u2019d have $1,256,076!*<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">That performance is why people listen. With a track record of\u00a0beating the S&amp;P 500 by 4x,\u00a0Stock Advisor\u00a0offers a distinct advantage. Don&#8217;t miss the latest top 10 list, available with\u00a0Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built for the long haul.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><a class=\"link \" href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=0ee3bee6-5178-47a2-b007-2172499f6288&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fe-sa-bbn-bn%3Faid%3D8867%26source%3Disaeditxt0001213%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-bbn-evergreen%26ftm_pit%3D19383%26ftm_veh%3Darticle_pitch_feed_yahoo%26company%3DSpace%2520Exploration%2520Technologies&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=d335fb85-2cd4-4e77-b595-b73c5789d6e0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:See the 10 stocks \u00bb;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;See the 10 stocks \u00bb&quot;}\">See the 10 stocks \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">*Stock Advisor returns as of June 18, 2026. <\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/author\/20599\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Steven Porrello;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Steven Porrello&quot;}\" class=\"link \">Steven Porrello<\/a> has positions in Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Meta Platforms and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/legal\/fool-disclosure-policy\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:disclosure policy;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;disclosure policy&quot;}\" class=\"link \">disclosure policy<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/2026\/06\/18\/the-case-for-and-against-buying-spacex-right-now\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:The Case for and Against Buying SpaceX Right Now;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;The Case for and Against Buying SpaceX Right Now&quot;}\" class=\"link \">The Case for and Against Buying SpaceX Right Now<\/a> was originally published by The Motley Fool<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The ability to calculate wisely in the midst of strong emotions &#8212; fear, greed, excitement, worry &#8212; is&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":744833,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[64,63,2709,128,285,357178],"class_list":["post-744832","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-space","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-connectivity","tag-science","tag-space","tag-space-exploration-technologies"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/744832","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=744832"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/744832\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/744833"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=744832"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=744832"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=744832"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}