{"id":813166,"date":"2026-07-20T23:18:08","date_gmt":"2026-07-20T23:18:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/813166\/"},"modified":"2026-07-20T23:18:08","modified_gmt":"2026-07-20T23:18:08","slug":"aafc-revises-2026-27-estimates-on-statcan-planted-area-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/813166\/","title":{"rendered":"AAFC revises 2026-27 estimates on StatCan planted area report"},"content":{"rendered":"

By Glen Hallick, Reporter<\/p>\n

Production estimates for most crops in 2026-27 will be larger than earlier forecasts, according to updated supply-demand estimates from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada released July 20.<\/p>\n

Those changes followed the planted area report<\/a> issued by Statistics Canada on June 30 as well as the first Canadian Crop Yield Forecast<\/a> for 2026. \u00a0<\/p>\n

Why it matters: Changes to AAFC\u2019s monthly supply and demand estimates can have an effect on futures and cash prices.<\/p>\n

Aside from significant increases for canola, dry peas and lentils 2026-27 ending stocks were adjusted either way depending on the crop.<\/p>\n

Canola<\/p>\n

With a record amount of planted canola acres and expectations of above average yields, canola output for 2026-27 was raised to 21 million tonnes from 19.2 million in June\u2019s report.
\nExports for 2026-27 were bumped up 500,000 tonnes at eight million tonnes. Those for 2025-26 tacked on 100,000 tonnes at 8.5 million tonnes.
\nProjected canola ending stocks for 2026-27 climbed to 2.07 million tonnes from 1.31 million in AAFC\u2019s June report. The 2025-26 canola carryout forecast was relatively steady at 2.7 million tonnes.
\nDomestic usage for 2026-27 rose to 13.75 million tonnes from 13.2 million, while that for 2025-26 was held at 12.3 million.<\/p>\n

All Wheat & Durum<\/p>\n

All Wheat production was upped to 35.26 million tonnes from 34.6 million in June.
\nAll Wheat ending stocks for 2026-27 were trimmed by 100,000 tonnes at 5.5 million, and those for 2025-26 were cut by 300,000 tonnes at 6.5 million.
\nAAFC sliced 150,000 tonnes from its 2026-27 all wheat exports of 28.35 million tonnes and those for 2025-26 were kept at 29 million.
\nDurum production for 2026-27 was increased by more than 245,000 tonnes at 6.04 million and the carryover was eased back 100,000 tonnes at 1.2 million.<\/p>\n

July estimates for Canadian major crops supply and demand in million tonnes. Source: AAFC.<\/p>\n

Grains and oilseeds<\/p>\n

\u00a0
\nProduction
\n\u00a0
\nExports<\/p>\n

\u00a0
\n2026\/27
\n2026\/27
\n2025\/26
\n2026\/27
\n2026\/27
\n2025\/26<\/p>\n

\u00a0
\nJuly
\nJune
\n\u00a0
\nJuly
\nJune
\n\u00a0<\/p>\n

All wheat
\n35.260
\n34.598
\n39.955
\n28.350
\n28.500
\n29.000<\/p>\n

Durum
\n6.042
\n5.796
\n7.135
\n5.150
\n5.300
\n5.600<\/p>\n

Barley
\n9.200
\n8.339
\n9.725
\n3.300
\n2.900
\n4.070<\/p>\n

Corn
\n16.400
\n15.622
\n14.867
\n2.400
\n1.900
\n1.500<\/p>\n

Oats
\n2.940
\n3.379
\n3.920
\n2.350
\n2.350
\n2.350<\/p>\n

Canola
\n21.000
\n19.200
\n21.809
\n8.000
\n7.500
\n8.500<\/p>\n

Flaxseed
\n0.350
\n0.400
\n0.454
\n0.275
\n0.275
\n0.280<\/p>\n

Soybeans
\n7.500
\n7.500
\n6.793
\n5.600
\n5.400
\n5.500<\/p>\n

TOTAL
\n93.249
\n89.661
\n98.321
\n50.457
\n49.007
\n51.352<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0
\nDomestic Usage
\n\u00a0
\nEnding Stocks<\/p>\n

\u00a0
\n2026\/27
\n2026\/27
\n2025\/26
\n2026\/27
\n2026\/27
\n2025\/26<\/p>\n

\u00a0
\nJuly
\nJune
\n\u00a0
\nJuly
\nJune
\n\u00a0<\/p>\n

All wheat
\n8.015
\n7.403
\n8.725
\n5.500
\n5.600
\n6.500<\/p>\n

Durum
\n0.697
\n0.501
\n1.039
\n1.200
\n1.300
\n1.000<\/p>\n

Barley
\n6.090
\n5.909
\n6.054
\n0.900
\n0.700
\n0.900<\/p>\n

Corn
\n15.900
\n15.722
\n15.251
\n2.100
\n2.000
\n1.800<\/p>\n

Oats
\n0.960
\n1.249
\n1.296
\n0.450
\n0.600
\n0.800<\/p>\n

Canola
\n13.751
\n13.201
\n12.301
\n2.074
\n1.306
\n2.707<\/p>\n

Flaxseed
\n0.105
\n0.104
\n0.089
\n0.210
\n0.268
\n0.210<\/p>\n

Soybeans
\n2.200
\n2.300
\n2.050
\n0.386
\n0.378
\n0.286<\/p>\n

TOTAL
\n47.514
\n46.350
\n46.235
\n11.866
\n11.152
\n13.632<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Pulse and Special Crops<\/p>\n

\u00a0
\nProduction
\n\u00a0
\nExports<\/p>\n

\u00a0
\n2026\/27
\n2026\/27
\n2025\/26
\n2026\/27
\n2026\/27
\n2025\/26<\/p>\n

\u00a0
\nJuly
\nJune
\n\u00a0
\nJuly
\nJune
\n\u00a0<\/p>\n

Dry peas
\n3.150
\n2.950
\n3.934
\n2.700
\n2.700
\n2.700<\/p>\n

Lentils
\n2.650
\n2.350
\n3.363
\n2.300
\n2.300
\n2.300<\/p>\n

Dry beans
\n0.450
\n0.310
\n0.438
\n0.380
\n0.370
\n0.405<\/p>\n

Chickpeas
\n0.420
\n0.340
\n0.482
\n0.230
\n0.230
\n0.250<\/p>\n

Mustard
\n0.140
\n0.152
\n0.140
\n0.095
\n0.095
\n0.095<\/p>\n

Canaryseed
\n0.140
\n0.168
\n0.235
\n0.135
\n0.135
\n0.135<\/p>\n

Sunflower
\n0.067
\n0.058
\n0.069
\n0.035
\n0.035
\n0.033<\/p>\n

TOTAL
\n6.917
\n6.328
\n8.661
\n5.875
\n5.865
\n5.920<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0
\nDomestic Usage
\n\u00a0
\nEnding Stocks<\/p>\n

\u00a0
\n2025\/26
\n2025\/26
\n2025\/26
\n2026\/27
\n2026\/27
\n2025\/26<\/p>\n

\u00a0
\nJuly
\nMay
\n\u00a0
\nJuly
\nJune
\n\u00a0<\/p>\n

Dry peas
\n0.650
\n0.650
\n0.746
\n0.810
\n0.710
\n0.990<\/p>\n

Lentils
\n0.300
\n0.300
\n0.254
\n1.540
\n1.240
\n1.415<\/p>\n

Dry beans
\n0.070
\n0.070
\n0.073
\n0.030
\n0.005
\n0.060<\/p>\n

Chickpeas
\n0.090
\n0.090
\n0.089
\n0.380
\n0.315
\n0.240<\/p>\n

Mustard
\n0.053
\n0.051
\n0.051
\n0.145
\n0.160
\n0.145<\/p>\n

Canaryseed
\n0.015
\n0.013
\n0.014
\n0.160
\n0.190
\n0.170<\/p>\n

Sunflower
\n0.067
\n0.068
\n0.056
\n0.145
\n0.135
\n0.155<\/p>\n

TOTAL
\n1.245
\n1.242
\n1.283
\n3.210
\n2.655
\n3.175<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"By Glen Hallick, Reporter Production estimates for most crops in 2026-27 will be larger than earlier forecasts, according…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":813167,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[64,63,99,164],"class_list":["post-813166","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-business","tag-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/813166","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=813166"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/813166\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/813167"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=813166"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=813166"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=813166"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}