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How does The Run Home work?<\/p>\n
We\u2019re trying to predict who makes the top 10, but it\u2019s more complicated than just running a ladder predictor.<\/p>\n
The below projections predict each game on a percentage chance basis, and then use those percentages to give each team a projected win total.<\/p>\n
For example, we might say two teams have a 50 per cent chance each of winning a very even game. So they\u2019d each get 0.5 projected wins for their total. But if it\u2019s an almost certain blowout, it might be 90-10, so the favourite gets 0.9 projected wins. That\u2019s why almost all teams have a projection that\u2019s not a round number.<\/p>\n
It\u2019s all about probability, and it\u2019s more accurate than trying to simply tip wins and losses, because no-one can tip nine every round.<\/p>\n
It also means the predicted win totals are naturally conservative at the top, and optimistic at the bottom – and it\u2019s hard for teams to catch up to sides who are multiple wins ahead of them (which is a fair reflection of reality). If you\u2019re able to win a bunch of 50-50s, you\u2019ll make these projections look silly, but that\u2019s not something anyone can accurately predict anyway.<\/p>\n
At least one team will end up much higher or lower than we\u2019re predicting. But think of the projected win totals as the average result if you played the season out 1000 times.<\/p>\n
Blues stun the Lions | 02:36<\/p>\n
PROJECTED FINALS BRACKET<\/p>\n
First Qualifying Final (1st hosts 4th): Fremantle vs Brisbane Lions at Optus Stadium<\/p>\n
First Elimination Final (5th hosts Lowest Ranked Wildcard Winner): Adelaide Crows vs TBC at Adelaide Oval<\/p>\n
First Wildcard Final (7th hosts 10th): Melbourne vs Carlton at the MCG<\/p>\n
Second Wildcard Final (8th hosts 9th): Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood at the MCG<\/p>\n
Second Elimination Final (6th hosts Highest Ranked Wildcard Winner): Geelong vs TBC at the MCG<\/p>\n
Second Qualifying Final (2nd hosts 3rd): Sydney Swans vs Hawthorn at the SCG<\/p>\n
The wildcard finals are played the week after the home and away season ends, with the top six teams getting a bye.<\/p>\n
PROJECTED FINAL LADDER<\/p>\n
1. Fremantle (20.05 projected wins)<\/p>\n
2. Sydney Swans (17.55)<\/p>\n
3. Hawthorn (16.3)<\/p>\n
4. Brisbane Lions (15)<\/p>\n
5. Adelaide Crows (14.75)<\/p>\n
6. Geelong (14.6)<\/p>\n
7. Melbourne (14.6)<\/p>\n
8. Western Bulldogs (13.5)<\/p>\n
9. Collingwood (12.95)<\/p>\n
10. Carlton (11.2)<\/p>\n
11. St Kilda (11.05)<\/p>\n
12. GWS Giants (10.9)<\/p>\n
13. North Melbourne (8.85)<\/p>\n
14. Gold Coast Suns (7.95)<\/p>\n
15. Port Adelaide (7.4)<\/p>\n
16. West Coast Eagles (4.65)<\/p>\n
17. Richmond (3.3)<\/p>\n
18. Essendon (2.4)<\/p>\n
Australia too strong for Ireland | 01:28<\/p>\n
Key Talking Points<\/p>\n
– Carlton, the AFL thanks you for your service in making sure this finals race doesn\u2019t get predictable.<\/p>\n
– The top three looks kinda locked in. Fremantle is just chilling for the next month, while Hawthorn (currently 3rd) would need to beat Brisbane in Brisbane next week AND see Sydney drop one of their three easy remaining games to nab 2nd. Even if the Hawks lose to the Lions, they\u2019ll still get the favourable qualifying final match-up with the Swans if they win their last two (Magpies, Eagles);<\/p>\n
– Brisbane\u2019s shock loss to the Blues has opened the door for 4th, and could even see them slump to 7th. The premiers are still our favourites for the double chance, because they\u2019re more likely to win out, but if they lose once they\u2019re likely to be passed (the Hawks game next week is huge, but don\u2019t count out the Pies game in Round 24). Geelong is the biggest threat to catch Brisbane because they have three simple games left and will keep building percentage; Adelaide and Melbourne each have two tricky games left, including both playing Fremantle, and even if they go 2-1 will risk sliding into the wildcard… this race is nowhere near over, though the Crows were big winners due to their new-found percentage lead;<\/p>\n
– Then there\u2019s no man\u2019s land. The Western Bulldogs and Collingwood look destined to play each other in the 8th vs 9th wildcard final, and the game would be at the MCG whoever is \u2018hosting\u2019. They each need one more to win to be absolutely certain they\u2019re playing finals, which should come next week (vs Kangaroos and Eagles respectively), but they\u2019re very unlikely to crack the top six due to their percentage and tough draw respectively;<\/p>\n
– Carlton vs St Kilda will come close to deciding 10th; at the very least the winner is the clear favourite. The Blues need to win it, because their percentage means they probably need 12 wins to avoid losing the tiebreaker. But the Saints also need to win it, because otherwise they\u2019ll be two wins out of 10th with two games left. They\u2019ll very likely finish 10th if they win out. GWS is lurking but will find it tough to reach 12 wins (their last game is Adelaide in Adelaide), so to finish 10th they probably need the Blues to beat the Saints, but then get stuck on 11 wins too (at which point the Giants sneak in on percentage).<\/p>\n
GWS Giants keep wildcard hopes alive | 01:00<\/p>\n
Below, all 18 clubs are listed and analysed in the current ladder order. All times AEST.<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty is calculated using the average percentage of remaining opponents. This somewhat advantages teams with a strong percentage themselves (because they can\u2019t play themselves) and vice versa, and does not take into account the location of the game, but is a basic metric of how tough a fixture is.<\/p>\n
1. FREMANTLE (18-2, 147.3%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: Melbourne at the MCG, Saturday 1:15pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: Adelaide at Optus Stadium, Friday 8:10pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: Carlton at Marvel Stadium, Saturday 1:15pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: 8th-hardest<\/p>\n
To be clear, they have not clinched the minor premiership. But the Dockers would need to lose three straight games by reasonable margins, while the Swans win three straight games by reasonable margins, to not be minor premiers. Even though none of their remaining games are easy, we reckon they\u2019ll be alright.<\/p>\n
Realistic best-case finish: 1st<\/p>\n
Realistic worst-case finish: 1st<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 20.05 wins, finishing 1st<\/p>\n
Longmuir: “There’s bigger fish to fry” | 09:21<\/p>\n
2. SYDNEY SWANS (15-5, 129.5%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: Port Adelaide at the SCG, Saturday 4:15pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: Essendon at the MCG, Sunday 4:40pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: North Melbourne at the SCG, Sunday 3:20pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: 2nd-easiest<\/p>\n
It should be a relatively smooth ride from here. Even if the Swans lose twice, they\u2019d probably still finish third on percentage; the only team that can realistically catch them is Hawthorn, and they play Brisbane in Brisbane next week. The most likely scenario is Sydney just winning its last three games and guaranteeing a home qualifying final but, even if things go a bit pear-shaped, they\u2019d have to be very unlucky to fall below third.<\/p>\n
Realistic best-case finish: 2nd<\/p>\n
Realistic worst-case finish: 3rd<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 17.55 wins, finishing 2nd<\/p>\n
Cox: “We’ll support him all the way” | 07:11<\/p>\n
3. HAWTHORN (14-5-1, 123.7%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: Brisbane at the Gabba, Friday 7:40pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: Collingwood at the MCG, Saturday 7:40pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: West Coast at Optus Stadium, Sunday 7:20pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: 5th-easiest<\/p>\n
Hawks fans, thank a Carlton supporter in your life, because the Blues\u2019 upset over Brisbane has given your boys a clear path to a winnable qualifying final. If Hawthorn beats Brisbane next week, they\u2019re set to finish second or third, depending on whether Sydney drops one. And even if the Hawks lose to Brisbane… they should probably still finish third, because they\u2019ve now got a six-point gap on the reigning premiers. They\u2019d need to drop two games to drop out of the top four, and even then, they\u2019d probably remain above at least one of Adelaide or Melbourne. As long as Sam Mitchell\u2019s men win two of their next three games, they\u2019ll have the double chance and a real shot at the Grand Final – either through a winnable qualifying final (almost certainly vs Sydney) and home prelim, or a tough qualifying final (vs Freo) and a slightly-easier-but-interstate prelim.<\/p>\n
Realistic best-case finish: 2nd<\/p>\n
Realistic worst-case finish: 5th<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 16.3 wins, finishing 3rd<\/p>\n
Mitchell Pleased After Hawks Win | 03:33<\/p>\n
4. ADELAIDE CROWS (13-7, 117.6%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: Richmond at Adelaide Oval, Saturday 7:35pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: Fremantle at Optus Stadium, Friday 8:10pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: GWS at Adelaide Oval, Saturday 8:10pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: 8th-easiest<\/p>\n
If the Crows wanted one result out of the weekend, other than their own win, it was Brisbane losing to Carlton. And not only did the Lions lose, they got pumped, and after Adelaide thrashed Essendon the percentage situation has flipped. If the Crows go 3-0 they should finish 4th… though playing the flag favourites interstate will make going 3-0 difficult. The good news is Freo will have likely clinched the minor premiership, so they may start managing players; but throw in that tricky Round 24 clash with the Giants and we suspect Adelaide will lose at least one of their last three games. Going 2-1 could be enough, especially if Hawthorn beats Brisbane, but then Geelong could still catch them… and they\u2019ll still need to hope they stay above Melbourne to avoid falling into 7th and the wildcard round. There\u2019s a lot going on here! As long as they beat Richmond next week, they should host at least one final.<\/p>\n
Realistic best-case finish: 3rd<\/p>\n
Realistic worst-case finish: 7th<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 14.75 wins, finishing 5th<\/p>\n
Stengle and Hill officially depart clubs | 00:57<\/p>\n
5. BRISBANE LIONS (13-7, 114.8%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: Hawthorn at the Gabba, Friday 7:40pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: Gold Coast at the Gabba, Saturday 4:15pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: Collingwood at the MCG, Friday 7:40pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: 7th-hardest<\/p>\n
If they don\u2019t win the flag, defence will be why – it cost them a bunch of games during the first half of the season, and now a woeful night against Carlton could cost them a top-four spot. The premiers are still narrow favourites for fourth (despite Adelaide\u2019s percentage lead, because we think Brisbane is more likely to go 3-0) but need to beat Hawthorn, and probably Gold Coast and Collingwood too, to be sure of it. They\u2019d then need the Hawks to lose again to nab third. The most likely team to catch them from below is probably Geelong, who have three easy games left; Adelaide and Melbourne both have to play Freo though they\u2019re both good enough to go 2-1. So if the Lions lose twice, they\u2019re a good chance of dropping into the wildcard round. If they only lose once they should be top six, but probably not top four.<\/p>\n
Realistic best-case finish: 3rd<\/p>\n
Realistic worst-case finish: 7th<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 15 wins, finishing 4th<\/p>\n
Fagan: Lions “off the boil tonight” | 06:51<\/p>\n
6. MELBOURNE (13-7, 107.8%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: Fremantle at the MCG, Saturday 1:15pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval, Saturday 8:10pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: Western Bulldogs at the MCG, Saturday 4:15pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: 5th-hardest<\/p>\n
Their top-four chances were boosted by Brisbane\u2019s upset loss to Carlton, though the Demons will still need some help to pinch the double chance, given their percentage deficit to the teams around them. Going 3-0 will be hard enough but they\u2019d also need Brisbane and Adelaide to lose once each – which isn\u2019t crazy, but it\u2019s quite a few things all going right. The bigger problem is Geelong, lurking right behind them with three easy games left on their fixture. If the Demons drop one of their last three games we expect they\u2019ll finish 7th, unless Adelaide loses twice (presumably to Freo and GWS). All three games are loseable but as long as they win once, they should get a home final.<\/p>\n
Realistic best-case finish: 4th<\/p>\n
Realistic worst-case finish: 8th<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 14.6 wins, finishing 7th<\/p>\n
“Best thing for all parties” | 08:37<\/p>\n
7. GEELONG (12-8, 117.2%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: Essendon at GMHBA Stadium, Saturday 4:35pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium, Saturday 3:45pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: Richmond at GMHBA Stadium, Saturday 7:45pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: Easiest<\/p>\n
Geelong\u2019s season was going to be determined by whether they could survive their tough draw and be in a position to make the top four once it got easy. They\u2019ve done just enough – juuuuuuuuust enough. If the Cats win their last three games, they will make the top six as long as Adelaide or Melbourne loses once, and both sides have to play Fremantle (admittedly, a Fremantle side playing for basically nothing, which may change things). And Brisbane\u2019s shock loss to Carlton means they\u2019re a real chance of sneaking into fourth; the Lions would probably have to lose to either Hawthorn or Collingwood (so it\u2019s plausible!). That extra loss on their record still hurts them if they slip up, though – if the Cats go 2-1 they\u2019re probably looking at 7th place and an extra wildcard final, though there\u2019s some chance the Crows or Demons could lose twice and save them.<\/p>\n
Realistic best-case finish: 4th<\/p>\n
Realistic worst-case finish: 8th<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 14.6 wins, finishing 6th<\/p>\n
Scott praises Cats strength in depth | 15:09<\/p>\n
8. WESTERN BULLDOGS (12-8, 94.8%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium, Thursday 7:30pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: Carlton at Marvel Stadium, Sunday 3:15pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: Melbourne at the MCG, Saturday 4:15pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: 6th-easiest<\/p>\n
They still need one more win to be absolutely certain they\u2019ll play finals; their percentage stinks, Carlton can plausibly catch them (especially if they win their Round 23 meeting), and maybe one of GWS or St Kilda can too. Should the Dogs get that additional win they look pretty locked into the 8th-9th wildcard final; it\u2019s hard to see them catching any of the top seven teams because of their percentage, and equally hard to see anyone below them reaching 13 wins. Best-case would be playing Melbourne for 7th in the final round.<\/p>\n
Realistic best-case finish: 7th<\/p>\n
Realistic worst-case finish: 11th<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 13.5 wins, finishing 8th<\/p>\n
Bevo: “They’ve got too many threats” | 13:44<\/p>\n
9. COLLINGWOOD (11-8-1, 105.6%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: West Coast at Optus Stadium, Sunday 4:10pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: Hawthorn at the MCG, Saturday 7:40pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: Brisbane at the MCG, Friday 7:40pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: 9th-easiest<\/p>\n
The Adelaide win looks even more valuable now, giving the Magpies a bit of breathing room which they may need. Carlton\u2019s win over Brisbane does open up the possibility the Pies could be knocked out of the top 10, though it\u2019s slim, because they\u2019d need to go winless while two of the Blues, Saints and Giants reach 12 wins. With one more win, the Pies will be fine, and that should come against West Coast before they get two free throws at the stumps. They probably need to hit them twice, and reach 14 and a half wins, to escape the wildcard. If the Pies go 2-1 or 1-2 they should be in the 8 vs 9 wildcard game, almost certainly at the MCG, and very likely playing the Bulldogs.<\/p>\n
Realistic best-case finish: 7th<\/p>\n
Realistic worst-case finish: 11th<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 12.95 wins, finishing 9th<\/p>\n
McRae laments costly slow start | 09:58<\/p>\n
10. CARLTON (10-10, 97%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: St Kilda at Marvel Stadium, Sunday 7:20pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium, Sunday 3:15pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: Fremantle at Marvel Stadium, Saturday 1:15pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: Hardest<\/p>\n
The most \u2018it\u2019s so over, we\u2019re so back, it\u2019s so over, we\u2019re so back\u2019 season in footy history continues. The Blues completely control their finals fate, and if they beat St Kilda next Sunday night, they will be hard to keep out. Shockingly they actually improved their percentage against Brisbane – which may really matter if they end up tied on wins with GWS; though they would need to really pump the Saints to catch them. It\u2019s still likely the Blues would miss finals if they get stuck on 11 wins, so they need to beat the Saints and win at least one of their last two. But that is completely plausible! (There\u2019s even a very slim chance Carlton catches the Bulldogs or Magpies and finishes 9th… Blues-Pies wildcard final still a chance?)<\/p>\n
Realistic best-case finish: 9th<\/p>\n
Realistic worst-case finish: 12th<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 11.2 wins, finishing 10th<\/p>\n
Fraser: “Decision is getting closer” | 10:20<\/p>\n
11. ST KILDA (9-11, 104.3%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: Carlton at Marvel Stadium, Sunday 7:20pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: Richmond at the MCG, Saturday 12:35pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: Gold Coast at Marvel Stadium, Thursday 7:30pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: 3rd-easiest<\/p>\n
Things were looking pretty incredible for the Saints at around 3pm on Saturday. Eight hours later, a run of injuries had seem them collapse against Sydney, and Carlton and GWS had both won – turning what could\u2019ve been a limp race for 10th into a genuine three-way fight. The Saints still control their destiny because if they beat Carlton next Sunday night, and win their last two games as they should, they\u2019d be extremely likely to qualify (their percentage is saving them here; GWS is about 15 goals of margin behind). They could even catch the Bulldogs if Bevo\u2019s boys fall apart. But now if the Saints lose to the Blues, they would need Josh Fraser\u2019s men to lose twice to play finals. That\u2019s still possible, because the Blues finish against the Dogs and Freo, but two games out with two games left is a terrible place to be. Our projection below is almost irrelevant because it\u2019s all about the Carlton game.<\/p>\n
Realistic best-case finish: 9th<\/p>\n
Realistic worst-case finish: 12th<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 11.05 wins, finishing 11th<\/p>\n
Lyon clashes with media after Swans loss | 09:48<\/p>\n
12. GWS GIANTS (9-11, 99%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: Gold Coast at Manuka Oval, Sunday 1:10pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: West Coast at ENGIE Stadium, Sunday 1:40pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: Adelaide at Adelaide Oval, Saturday 8:10pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: 4th-easiest<\/p>\n
Saturday night was pretty good for the Giants, with the whole \u2018beating Port Adelaide with their season on the line\u2019 thing, but then Carlton beating Brisbane ruined it. The problem is the Carlton vs St Kilda game next Sunday night; it basically guarantees at least one of those teams reaches 11 wins (because the Saints still have a game against Richmond). The Giants can definitely get to 11 wins, but probably not with enough percentage to catch St Kilda. That means they want Carlton to beat the Saints… but then Carlton would be on 11 wins with two chances to get a 12th. If the Giants win out, they\u2019re a good chance of playing finals, but even then it\u2019s tricky because of those Blues-Saints scenarios. All they can do is keep winning, and hope things work out.<\/p>\n
Realistic best-case finish: 9th<\/p>\n
Realistic worst-case finish: 12th<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 10.9 wins, finishing 12th<\/p>\n
Kingsley happy after ‘strong game’ | 05:34<\/p>\n
OUT OF CONTENTION<\/p>\n
13. NORTH MELBOURNE (8-12, 89.3%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium, Thursday 7:30pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: Geelong at Marvel Stadium, Saturday 3:45pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: Sydney at the SCG, Sunday 3:20pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: 3rd-hardest<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 8.85 wins, finishing 13th<\/p>\n
Clarko Sees Progress Despite Loss | 05:45<\/p>\n
14. GOLD COAST SUNS (7-13, 94.7%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: GWS at Manuka Oval, Sunday 1:10pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: Brisbane at the Gabba, Saturday 4:15pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: St Kilda at Marvel Stadium, Thursday 7:30pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: 9th-hardest<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 7.95 wins, finishing 14th<\/p>\n
15. PORT ADELAIDE (6-14, 95.1%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: Sydney at the SCG, Saturday 4:15pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: Melbourne at Adelaide Oval, Saturday 8:10pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: Essendon at Marvel Stadium, Sunday 12:20pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: 7th-easiest<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 7.4 wins, finishing 15th<\/p>\n
Carr: “Lacking that bit of class” | 06:37<\/p>\n
16. WEST COAST EAGLES (4-16, 70.8%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: Collingwood at Optus Stadium, Sunday 4:10pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: GWS at ENGIE Stadium, Sunday 1:40pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: Hawthorn at Optus Stadium, Sunday 7:20pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: 6th-hardest<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 4.65 wins, finishing 16th<\/p>\n
McQualter laments Eagles errors | 04:35<\/p>\n
17. RICHMOND (3-17, 62.8%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: Adelaide at Adelaide Oval, Saturday 7:35pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: St Kilda at the MCG, Saturday 12:35pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: Geelong at GMHBA Stadium, Saturday 7:45pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: 4th-hardest<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 3.3 wins, finishing 17th<\/p>\n
Yze proud of young Tigers in tight win | 09:10<\/p>\n
18. ESSENDON (2-18, 64.4%)<\/p>\n
Remaining games<\/p>\n
Round 22: Geelong at GMHBA Stadium, Saturday 4:35pm<\/p>\n
Round 23: Sydney at the MCG, Sunday 4:40pm<\/p>\n
Round 24: Port Adelaide at Marvel Stadium, Sunday 12:20pm<\/p>\n
Remaining fixture difficulty: 2nd-hardest<\/p>\n
Fox Footy\u2019s projection: 2.4 wins, finishing 18th<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"One wild night at Marvel Stadium dramatically changed the top-four race AND the battle for the final wildcard.…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":839685,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[560],"tags":[638,64,63,55,639,85],"class_list":["post-839684","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-afl","tag-afl","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-australian-football-league","tag-australianfootballleague","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/839684","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=839684"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/839684\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/839685"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=839684"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=839684"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=839684"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}