{"id":845070,"date":"2026-08-06T02:04:11","date_gmt":"2026-08-06T02:04:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/845070\/"},"modified":"2026-08-06T02:04:11","modified_gmt":"2026-08-06T02:04:11","slug":"ufc-vegas-120-betting-picks-today-advice-analysis-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/845070\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Vegas 120 Betting Picks Today: Advice, Analysis &#038; Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>UFC betting picks for UFC Vegas 120 are live on RotoWire today. Evaluate predictions for a favorite, an underdog, a prop and a parlay for bettors to consider Saturday.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"lozad \" style=\"aspect-ratio:16 \/ 7\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/ogiloj75f0fep2qqmc15.jpg\" alt=\"UFC Best Bets Today: Picks, Odds &amp; Predictions for UFC Vegas 120\" fetchpriority=\"high\" loading=\"eager\" width=\"1500\" data-credit=\"Sam Navarro-Imagn Images\"\/><\/p>\n<p>The UFC returns to the Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Saturday, August 8, for UFC Vegas 120. The main event sees lightweight contenders throw down, as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/mateusz-gamrot-2112\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Mateusz Gamrot<\/a> takes on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/quillan-salkilld-2594\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Quillan Salkilld<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Below, I&#8217;ll share my UFC Vegas 120 predictions, including my favorite pick, an underdog, a prop and a two-fighter parlay. All <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/mma\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">UFC odds<\/a> are via the DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the post date of this article.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 120 Betting Favorite<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/diyar-nurgozhay-2620\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Diyar Nurgozhay<\/a> (11-2) vs. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/bruno-lopes-2577\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bruno Lopes<\/a> (14-3) &#8211; Light Heavyweight<\/p>\n<p>On the prelims of UFC Vegas 120, a light heavyweight bout goes down, as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/diyar-nurgozhay-2620\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Diyar Nurgozhay<\/a> takes on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/bruno-lopes-2577\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bruno Lopes<\/a>. I like Nurgozhay to get his hand raised.<\/p>\n<p>Nurgozhay and Lopes are both 1-2 in the UFC, but I have been more impressed with Nurgozhay. He&#8217;s coming off his first UFC win and has plenty of power, as he got a first-round knockout win over <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/emiliano-sordi-1008\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Emiliano Sordi<\/a> on the regional scene before the UFC, which is a good win.<\/p>\n<p>Lopes is there to be hit, and I like Nurgozhay to be able to land the better shots and get a TKO win in the first or second round.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 120 Bet: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/diyar-nurgozhay-2620\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Diyar Nurgozhay<\/a> (-148)<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 120 Underdog<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/mateusz-gamrot-2112\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Mateusz Gamrot<\/a> (26-4) vs. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/quillan-salkilld-2594\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Quillan Salkilld<\/a> (12-1) &#8211; Lightweight<\/p>\n<p>For my underdog pick at UFC Vegas 120, I&#8217;m taking <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/mateusz-gamrot-2112\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Mateusz Gamrot<\/a> to beat <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/quillan-salkilld-2594\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Quillan Salkilld<\/a> in the main event.<\/p>\n<p>Salkilld has been impressive, as he&#8217;s 5-0 in the UFC and is coming off some quick knockouts. However, I worry about his wrestling defense, as Gamrot is a tough out and has proven to have a good chin.<\/p>\n<p>I like Gamrot to avoid the power shots and use his wrestling to control Salkilld and drag this fight into the later rounds, where he will take over. The first two rounds could be difficult for Gamrot, but I trust him to stay in the fight and use his wrestling and cardio to eventually grind out a decision win here.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 120 Bet: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/mateusz-gamrot-2112\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Mateusz Gamrot<\/a> (+114)<\/p>\n<p>Check out DraftKings to bet on<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/college-basketball\/tourney-futures.php\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> <\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/mma\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MMA Odds<\/a> and use the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/fanatics\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> <\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/draftkings\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings promo code<\/a> for a great welcome offer.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 120 Prop Bet<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/alexia-thainara-2610\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Alexia Thainara<\/a> (14-1) vs. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/amanda-lemos-1239\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Amanda Lemos<\/a> (15-6-1) &#8211; Strawweight<\/p>\n<p>For my prop bet at UFC Vegas 120, I&#8217;m taking <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/alexia-thainara-2610\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Alexia Thainara<\/a> to defeat <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/amanda-lemos-1239\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Amanda Lemos<\/a> by decision on the main card.<\/p>\n<p>Thainara has been impressive in the UFC and takes on Lemos, who has been struggling and appears to have lost a step. Lemos has lost back-to-back fights to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/gillian-robertson-1475\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Gillian Robertson<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/tatiana-suarez-1316\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Tatiana Suarez<\/a>, though she was at least able to avoid getting finished.<\/p>\n<p>Lemos does well on the ground, as Robertson and Suarez were able to control her, but weren&#8217;t able to finish her. I expect Thainara to follow a similar game plan and control Lemos on the ground and get a decision win, similar to her wins against <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/loma-lookboonmee-1494\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Loma Lookboonmee<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/bruna-brasil-2353\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bruna Brasil<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 120 Bet: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/alexia-thainara-2610\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Alexia Thainara<\/a> by decision (+100)<\/p>\n<p>Check out one of the top<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/apps\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> sports betting apps<\/a> when you sign up with the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/fanduel\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">FanDuel promo code<\/a> for all of your MMA betting.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 120 Parlay<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/manoel-sousa-2693\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Manoel Sousa<\/a> (14-1) vs. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/richie-miranda-2808\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Richie Miranda<\/a> (13-1) &#8211; Lightweight<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/steven-asplund-2706\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Steven Asplund<\/a> (7-2) vs. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/guilherme-pat-2707\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Guilherme Pat<\/a> (6-2) &#8211; Heavyweight<\/p>\n<p>For my parlay at UFC Vegas 120, I&#8217;m taking <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/manoel-sousa-2693\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Manoel Sousa<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/steven-asplund-2706\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Steven Asplund<\/a> to get their hands raised Saturday.<\/p>\n<p>Sousa is 1-0 in the UFC and coming off a KO win over <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/bolaji-oki-2480\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bolaji Oki<\/a>, which was a good performance. Miranda, meanwhile, is making his UFC debut and is someone I thought should have been in the UFC for a while. Sousa is a great striker and should be able to land the more damaging shots and get a late TKO win here.<\/p>\n<p>To close out the parlay, I&#8217;m taking Asplund to beat <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/guilherme-pat-2707\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Guilherme Pat<\/a>. Both Asplund and Pat are 1-1 in the UFC and are on the lower level of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/rankings.php?type=MHW\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">heavyweight rankings<\/a>. Yet, I&#8217;ve been more impressed with Asplund&#8217;s striking and durability. I like him to land the more damaging shots and get a TKO win here to close out the parlay.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 120 Bet: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/manoel-sousa-2693\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Manoel Sousa<\/a> &amp; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/steven-asplund-2706\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Steven Asplund<\/a> parlay (-116)<\/p>\n<p>Cash in on the best<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/promos\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> sportsbook promos<\/a> available for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/mma\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MMA betting<\/a>. The<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/betmgm\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> BetMGM bonus code<\/a> gets new players one of the best welcome bonuses in the industry.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0UFC Best Bets<\/p>\n<p>Here is a recap of my best UFC picks for this weekend&#8217;s UFC Vegas 120 card.<\/p>\n<p>If you prefer to deposit at a sportsbook via PayPal, RotoWire has an up-to-date list of all the top-rated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/paypal-betting-sites\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">PayPal betting sites<\/a> in one place. We also list all major <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/credit-card-betting-sites\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbooks accepting credit card<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"UFC betting picks for UFC Vegas 120 are live on RotoWire today. Evaluate predictions for a favorite, an&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":845071,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[570],"tags":[64,63,786,244002,785,85],"class_list":["post-845070","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mma","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-fighting","tag-minor-league-stats","tag-mma","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/845070","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=845070"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/845070\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/845071"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=845070"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=845070"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=845070"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}