{"id":846179,"date":"2026-08-07T00:34:09","date_gmt":"2026-08-07T00:34:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/846179\/"},"modified":"2026-08-07T00:34:09","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T00:34:09","slug":"live-markets-updates-poll-of-economists-expects-rba-to-leave-cash-rate-unchanged","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/846179\/","title":{"rendered":"Live markets updates: Poll of economists expects RBA to leave cash rate unchanged"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">The US dollar has climbed against the Japanese yen as investors await US jobs data. Here are the top lines of what&#8217;s happening in the world of forex.<\/p>\n<p>Yen surrenders some intervention gainsBrent crude settles above $80 a barrel Traders await US payrolls data for clues on Fed rate pathDollar index stuck near six-week lows.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">The US dollar rose against the Japanese yen overnight, helped by safe-haven positioning from investors awaiting details on a proposed deal to end the Iran conflict\u00a0and ahead of tomorrow&#8217;s monthly US jobs report.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">The dollar has clawed back some intervention-driven losses that had pushed it to a 13-week low against the yen following joint action by Japanese and US Treasury authorities to prop up the Japanese currency.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">The US dollar was last up 0.44% against the yen at 158.45, for its third straight session of gains after falling to 155.20 on Monday, the lowest since early May.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Here&#8217;s\u00a0John Velis, FX and macro strategist at BNY:<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;The idea that maybe there&#8217;s some good news on a ceasefire or a deal in the Persian Gulf has taken some of the dollar premium off with lower oil prices and so forth. It&#8217;s very quiet today because I think the markets are waiting for what happens with non-farm payrolls on Friday.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">The euro was down about 0.28% at $1.1521, and sterling fell 0.15% at $1.34485.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">The dollar index, which tracks the US currency against six major peers, was up 0.31% at 99.97 after a six-week low on Monday.<\/p>\n<p>Eyes on Gulf tensions<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Tensions continued to play out in the Gulf after Reuters reported a proposed deal\u00a0between Iran and Oman to help end the US-Iran conflict could give Tehran control over inbound traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">The US did not immediately comment on the proposal. President Donald Trump\u00a0has said that a deal to reopen the strait was imminent, but officials have repeatedly insisted that they would never agree to Iranian\u00a0control of access to the world&#8217;s most important trade route for energy supplies.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Brent crude rose 3.8% to settle at $82.49 a barrel, although prices remain well below the almost $100-per-barrel level hit in July when attacks resumed following a brief d\u00e9tente.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Speculators have amassed a near-record net dollar long position in aggregate compared with other major currencies, &#8220;leaving positioning prone to a squeeze in the event of dollar-negative developments,&#8221; Scotiabank&#8217;s Shaun Osborne said in a note, citing US Commodity Futures Trading Commission data.<\/p>\n<p>Fed direction may depend on payrolls<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Friday&#8217;s US employment report for July could provide more clues on the Federal Reserve&#8217;s interest-rate path. The US service sector remained strong in July while services-sector employment slowed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">A divided US central bank\u00a0left rates unchanged last month, but Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh said he was committed to bringing inflation down, leaving the door open to a possible rate hike in September.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;Any data release after the Fed meeting in July is just very important,&#8221; said Francesco Pesole, an FX strategist at ING.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;Tomorrow&#8217;s payrolls could be pretty big for dollar-yen. If it&#8217;s a hot print then you would probably start to see a new build up of speculative longs on dollar-yen.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">US nonfarm payrolls are forecast to have risen by 80,000 last month after an increase of 57,000 in June, according to a Reuters survey of economists. The unemployment rate\u00a0is expected to hold steady at 4.2%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Fed Governor Lisa Cook\u00a0said on Wednesday that she was open to raising short-term interest rates to deal with levels of inflation that are &#8220;too high.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">San Francisco Fed president Mary Daly\u00a0said she was &#8220;completely supportive&#8221; of last week&#8217;s decision to hold rates steady, saying more data is needed before the central bank&#8217;s September 15-16 meeting.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8211; Reuters<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The US dollar has climbed against the Japanese yen as investors await US jobs data. Here are the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":805048,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[2001,64,63,166,2009,99,2005,164,160,2010,2006,2002,1491],"class_list":["post-846179","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-asx","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-australian-dollar","tag-bitcoin","tag-business","tag-dow-jones","tag-economy","tag-live-blog","tag-live-update","tag-nyse","tag-share-market","tag-wall-street"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/846179","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=846179"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/846179\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/805048"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=846179"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=846179"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=846179"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}