{"id":857156,"date":"2026-08-16T09:46:09","date_gmt":"2026-08-16T09:46:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/857156\/"},"modified":"2026-08-16T09:46:09","modified_gmt":"2026-08-16T09:46:09","slug":"worst-time-on-record-for-first-home-buyers-new-study-reveals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/857156\/","title":{"rendered":"Worst time on record for first-home buyers, new study reveals"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">It\u2019s officially the worst time to be a first-home buyer in at least 56 years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">New figures have revealed first-home buyers face the most challenging buying conditions since price records began in 1970 due to soaring debt, high interest and minimal growth in wages.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">And recent falls in prices in many suburbs and generous government support have done little to help, the FoundIt research noted.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">The study flies in the face of recent claims by Labor frontbencher Tanya Plibersek that: \u201cIt\u2019s never been a better time to be a first-home buyer\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">It also throws in doubt Prime Minister Anthony Albanese\u2019s claim his budget would help first-home buyers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Back in May, he claimed his changes would \u201cmake our tax system fairer to help more Australians into homeownership \u2026 this is about giving younger Australians a leg-up in the housing market\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1154959 wp-image-1154945\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1154945\" data-capiid=\"209a497566a84e8b15262b199b86ef5d\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"Curl Curl auction and inspection\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1154945\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The current downturn has seldom helped first-home buyers as most of the falls are at the top-end, while prices for cheaper homes have grown in some suburbs. Picture: Tim Hunter.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">The study by analytics group FoundIt \u2013 authored by Kent Lardner, a pioneer in Australian valuations data \u2013 measured interest rates, the average gap between wages and prices and deposit requirements.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">It found that an average income earner purchasing a median-priced capital city home needed to spend 10.2 times their wages to get into the market, the highest since 1970.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">2026 was found to be the first year on record where saving a 10 per cent deposit required more than a year of the average wage.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Recent price decreases were also deemed to have been little benefit for first-home buyers because interest rate hikes had reduced their borrowing power by more than the discounts they could get on homes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Meanwhile, wages had failed to keep up with the cost of living, meaning homeowners had to divert much larger proportions of their income into servicing their mortgage repayments than in previous years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">MORE: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/calls-to-means-test-first-home-buyer-scheme-as-couples-on-675k-get-grant\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=daily_telegraph&amp;campaignPlacement=article\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Fury as $675k earner gets govt aid<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1154959 wp-image-1154947\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1154947\" data-capiid=\"ff356377b016f4855102cf8e2c89e3e5\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"BILL CREWS XMAS LUNCH\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1154947\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">MP Tanya Plibersek said on a Channel 7 appearance that there\u2019s \u201cnever been a better time to be first home buyer\u201d. Picture: Monique Harmer<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Mr Lardner said it was a \u201chorrible\u201d time to be a first-home buyer because getting into the market required record levels of debt that was becoming more expensive to service.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">It was also noted that current conditions presented more of a challenge than even the 1989 market, when interest rates were 17 per cent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Part of the reason was because the debt required to buy in the current market far exceeded levels in 1989 \u2013 prices then were four times the typical income, today they\u2019re 10 times higher.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">First-home buyers have been slammed with an additional level of risk: prices in the bottom end of the market have yet to fall by anything close to the margins in the top-end of the market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Some popular first-home buyer markets have actually recorded price rises, even as the rest of the market has fallen.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">MORE: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/prime-ministers-cliffside-home-now-valued-350k-below-purchase-price\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=daily_telegraph&amp;campaignPlacement=article\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Albo\u2019s humiliating $10bn \u2018own goal\u2019<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1154959 wp-image-1154949\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1154949\" data-capiid=\"b7691a43d647d1eeaecfe3b5122093ec\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1154949\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">FoundIt head of research Kent Lardner.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Ray White economist Nerida Conisbee said this situation wouldn\u2019t last and price falls would eventually spread to the bottom-end, meaning first-home buyers in cheaper suburbs risked buying at a price peak and then watching the value of their home get eroded.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">This would be problematic for first-time buyers who accessed the government\u2019s 5 per cent deposit scheme as they risked falling into negative equity, Ms Conisbee said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Mr Lardner said the scheme was \u201cflawed\u201d because it was one of the driving forces behind price growth in the bottom end of the market, but was also exposing first-home buyers to risk in the form of higher debt.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Mr Lardner said getting helped with a deposit did not make housing more affordable for first-home buyers, it made it less affordable.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cThe scheme (reduces) the deposit and hands the buyer the heaviest repayment schedule on record in exchange,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1154959 wp-image-1154951\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1154951\" data-capiid=\"edcf48191ce7b8380ffec070436d01b4\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1154951\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Ray White Chief Economist Nerida Conisbee said home prices on cheaper homes, the types that attract first-home buyers, have stayed high, but may fall.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cIt relocates the burden \u2014 it doesn\u2019t remove it. On no reading does it make 2026 the best time in history to buy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">PropTrack figures recently showed the top growth suburbs over the June quarter were mainly suburbs priced within the price caps for the 5 per cent deposit scheme.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">In Sydney, prices among the bottom 25 per cent of sales dropped by an average of just 0.7 per cent, while at the top-end they dropped by more than 3 per cent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">First-home buyer Justine Orford, 58, accessed the 5 per cent deposit scheme to purchase her Gladesville home in December and said she was aware of the negative equity risk.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">She said she tried to calm her anxieties about the scheme by keeping the big picture in mind.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1154959 wp-image-1154953\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1154953\" data-capiid=\"2d4e8f884b5ad5cff4e62dce5b181c98\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"First-home buyer Justine\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1154953\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Justine Orford, 58, recently bought her first home with the government 5% deposit scheme. Picture: Justin Lloyd<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cIf the value goes down I will have to bear it, but I am planning to hold onto the property for the long-term and in the long-term the value will go up,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Navigating the Sydney market as a first-home buyer was \u201can emotional rollercoaster\u201d, she said. \u201cIt was very draining, but in the end it was worth every high and low.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Amit Shankarikoppa and Ankita Kaddipudi also recently used the government 5 per cent scheme, but Mr Shankarikoppa said it was \u201cuseless\u201d for most of the properties they looked at.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cIt\u2019s a proper joke,\u201d he said, adding that simply finding a home they liked was a challenge.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cIt was quite tricky to try and find a place that we could actually move in without having to do a lot of works soon after moving in which obviously that\u2019s a whole other cost.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Loan Market broker <a href=\"https:\/\/broker.loanmarket.com.au\/julian-choo\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Julian Choo <\/a>said most first-home buyers were yet to benefit from recent falls in prices as they weren\u2019t for the kinds of properties they would be buying.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cYou\u2019re not getting much discount, but you\u2019re trying to catch a falling knife because prices may fall down the track,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1154959 wp-image-1154955\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1154955\" data-capiid=\"59395255c641436c2c067f0e228e51fa\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"Mortgage holder\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1154955\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Amit Shankarikoppa with wife Ankita Kaddipudi at home in Toongabbie. Picture: Jonathan Ng<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">LJ Hooker head of research Mat Tiller said one of the challenges for first-home buyers was that recent negative gearing reforms in the May budget were starving the bottom-end of listings.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cMost of the owners of cheaper homes, the kinds that first-home buyers would buy, are investors. They are rarely selling because that would mean giving up (grandfathered) negative gearing benefits.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Ms Plibersek\u2019s office was approached for comment.<\/p>\n<p>BEST YEARS TO BUY A FIRST HOME<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">1972: the median house back then cost three and a half years of one wage<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">1983: interest rates were 12.5%, but houses relative to wages cost a third as much as now<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">1997: a house was four-times-earnings, average deposit saved in five months<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">2020: record-low interest rates<\/p>\n<p>WORST YEARS TO BUY A FIRST HOME<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">1989: rates were 17%, but the average house cost 4.5 years\u2019 pay, not 10.2, and wages were growing faster<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">1990: rates were 16.4%, but houses were still cheaper than today on every measure<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">2007: repaying the loan chewed up 62.1% of a wage in year one but that\u2019s still below today<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">2025: conditions similar to today but not as bad<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">*2026: outright worst year in 56 years. Gap between prices and wages is at record high, repayment burden is record high<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Source: FoundIt\/SuburbTrends<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"It\u2019s officially the worst time to be a first-home buyer in at least 56 years. New figures have&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":857157,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[64,63,99],"class_list":["post-857156","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-business"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/857156","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=857156"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/857156\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/857157"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=857156"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=857156"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=857156"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}