{"id":89625,"date":"2025-08-23T09:03:21","date_gmt":"2025-08-23T09:03:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/89625\/"},"modified":"2025-08-23T09:03:21","modified_gmt":"2025-08-23T09:03:21","slug":"colombia-against-the-fossil-fuel-age","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/89625\/","title":{"rendered":"Colombia Against the Fossil Fuel Age"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Our taxi stops as close to the presidential palace as possible. We get out and join the queue. We hand our passports to the guards at the first check point. We then have to pass through several security stations, the gravity and solemnity rising with each. At long last, we are inside the halls, close to the innermost sanctum of state power, but we must wait for another hour or two until the time has come \u2014 now we also have to give away our phones \u2014 and the door to the office is opened and there he is: the president of Colombia.<\/p>\n<p>He is reclining in his chair. Piles of books rise from his desk; one topped by Enzo Traverso\u2019s Revolution. A keffiyeh is draped around a wooden bird. Bolivarian paraphernalia jostles with family photos, but above all, there is a chaos of books, and as soon as the polite greetings conclude, this head of state begins talking about the book he is himself writing: a Marxist analysis of the climate crisis.<\/p>\n<p>During COVID, I started reading Capital for the third time in my life, through the lens of the climate crisis, because you can read it from many perspectives. I got sick with COVID, but I didn\u2019t stop reading, I finished all three volumes and extracted the relevant material for my book. Climate change is just the atmospheric mirror of capital accumulation on Earth. The hurricane of accumulation produces a hurricane of energy flow. And this can lead to the end of humanity. There is an antagonistic contradiction between capital and life itself.<\/p>\n<p>It is rare, to say the least, to hear a head of state speak in such terms. But then, Gustavo Petro is no ordinary president. He comes across as more of an eccentric professor, or a cadre activist unfolding an extended analysis of the world situation before his comrades. He springs up from his chair and grabs it from behind, then settles back into it for another long digression. He peppers his mini-lectures with references to Kohei Saito and Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen \u2014 hardly household names among policymakers in the year 2025. But more than anything, his idiosyncrasy is marked by one outstanding feature: he takes the climate crisis deadly seriously.<\/p>\n<p>Right now, we are dealing with an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/cj68x4p412eo\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">outbreak<\/a> of yellow fever in Colombia. It is directly caused by the rise in temperatures. This virus used to be limited to the lowlands, but when it becomes hotter it climbs to higher altitudes, to the coffee-producing areas, where forty people have died so far. Here in Bogot\u00e1, even though the city is surrounded by lush nature, we suffer from a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/global-development\/2025\/feb\/13\/water-colombia-bogota-bring-its-wetlands-back-from-the-brink-urban-development\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">shortage<\/a> of water. If you look at the Amazon, it was entirely <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/pictures\/pictures-historic-drought-marks-amazons-parched-landscape-2024-10-30\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">without<\/a> water last year. Pink dolphins <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2023\/10\/3\/deaths-of-120-amazon-dolphins-linked-to-severe-drought-high-temperatures\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">died<\/a> in their hundreds in the river, their carcasses strewn on the banks. This is the alarm bell warning of the end. If the Amazon rainforest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/02\/14\/climate\/amazon-rain-forest-tipping-point.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">disappears<\/a>, we reach a point of no return. COP30 will be held later this year in Bel\u00e9m \u2014 where the river meets the ocean, where nature is at its most amazing \u2014 and this really might be the last chance. Trump is not going to come, but all humanity needs to be there.<\/p>\n<p>When Petro won the presidential election in 2022, he placed climate at the very top of his agenda \u2014 and he hasn\u2019t deviated from that priority. If anything, his personal commitment to this one cause above all others seems only to have hardened. He has worked more assiduously than most to address the problem at its roots. Getting deforestation in the Amazon under <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/colombia-deforestation-amazon-petro-muhamad-e25c42cfb5607be9057382ac828d6568\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">control<\/a> is, in his own account, a singular achievement. (One of his longest disquisitions during our time in his office concerns the nature of the hydrological cycle in the rainforest.)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-1.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232313\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-1.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\"\/><\/a>Colombian president Gustavo Petro. (Maxy Guez \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>But the progress is precarious. Deforestation rates still depend heavily on the power of narco-traffickers and armed gangs in the Amazon \u2014 forces his government has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2024\/apr\/11\/colombian-amazon-deforestation-surges-armed-groups\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">failed<\/a> to rein in. Given the global distribution of emissions \u2014\u00a0deforestation accounting for about <a href=\"https:\/\/essd.copernicus.org\/articles\/17\/965\/2025\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">one tenth<\/a> of carbon dioxide, fossil fuel combustion for the rest \u2014\u00a0perhaps Petro\u2019s most extraordinary accomplishment might lie elsewhere.<\/p>\n<p>When Petro was on the campaign trail in 2022, he pledged to wean Colombia off fossil fuel production. He would terminate the licensing of extraction projects. There would be no more new contracts for coal mining or drilling for oil and gas. There would be no fracking. Presidents and prime ministers who renege on their vows are legion, of course, but in this case, the election promises have been held to the letter: not a single permit for the extraction of fossil fuels has been issued under Petro\u2019s guard. As he puts it: \u201cMost important is to stop the export of oil and coal, even though they form 60 per cent of our export revenues. And the production of oil and coal is now falling rapidly. I told the country this is going to happen and we need to replace it with other things.\u201d If there were more than one president like Petro, one might reasonably surmise, the world would look different from the way it does today.<\/p>\n<p>Fossil fuels are not tangential to Colombia\u2019s social formation. Oil and coal have long been the main tracks of capital accumulation running through its soil. Oil has been extracted here since the 1920s, coal since the 1980s; around the turn of the millennium, successive right-wing governments sought to outdo each other in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/full\/10.1080\/14693062.2020.1719810?casa_token=u2YKssErS7sAAAAA%3AZvS16kCsjY-aH5YHyXltg3xShmr36p_BnM-f3eIhXMjiOOqyvx_oaUGX_b772eFjT3W0Q8UgH_naoQ\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">accelerating<\/a> the production of both. They <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2014-08-14\/colombia-s-oil-and-mining-boom-is-over-says-central-banker\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">singled<\/a> out this particular industry as the \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/40912456-89c6-11df-9ea6-00144feab49a\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">locomotive<\/a> of growth.\u201d They greased its wheels with licenses for every discernible deposit, opened up virgin terrain, and prepared for the next frontier: fracking \u2014 which, according to the energy minister in the cabinet before Petro\u2019s, would <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-colombia-energy-idUSKCN1QP1OO\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">triple<\/a> the country\u2019s oil and gas reserves. They behaved, in short, like every government in any major fossil-fuel-producing state. Before 2022, the Colombian state acted as expected by any committee for managing the affairs of the bourgeoisie: rushing fuel to the fire at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.versobooks.com\/products\/3131-overshoot?srsltid=AfmBOopApTdr-sjAgyIylGJ-B8w1H9ZjT-GVOQzvDEIXh_ugJ99LJC6H\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">maximum speed<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>But the country was unusual in its extreme export orientation. The goal was not so much to consume fossil fuels as to sell them on the world market. The locomotive was headed north, where the oil and coal would be burned and \u2014\u00a0particularly in the latter case \u2014\u00a0the profits amassed. Coal seams were handed over to foreign companies for mining and transportation to faraway fireplaces. By the time Petro took over, Colombia exported more than <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/countries\/colombia\/coal\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">nine-tenths<\/a> of its coal \u2014 a share eclipsed only by Mozambique \u2014\u00a0and more than <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/countries\/colombia\/oil\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">half<\/a> of its oil.<\/p>\n<p>Gustavo Petro is no ordinary president. He comes across as more of an eccentric professor, or a cadre activist unfolding an extended analysis of the world situation before his comrades.<\/p>\n<p>It ranked sixth among the world\u2019s coal exporters, unrivaled in Latin America; for oil, it placed twenty-fourth globally, third in the region. Fossil fuels <a href=\"https:\/\/www.taylorfrancis.com\/chapters\/oa-edit\/10.4324\/9781003044543-18\/political-economy-coal-light-climate-mineral-energy-policies-lina-mar%C3%ADa-puerto-chaves-felipe-corral-montoya\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">accounted<\/a> for more than half of the exports flowing out from Colombia and nearly half of all incoming investment. In <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S2214629621004655\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">biophysical<\/a> terms \u2014\u00a0measured, for example, in tonnage \u2014\u00a0no other goods came close. Colombia has long <a href=\"https:\/\/jacobin.com\/2025\/08\/blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">exemplified<\/a> ecologically unequal exchange: an archetypal periphery drained of resources by the affluent core \u2014 and fossil fuels have made up the bulk of the dissipated matter. At the same time, Colombia has developed an inordinate <a href=\"https:\/\/api-depositonce.tu-berlin.de\/server\/api\/core\/bitstreams\/b24b95ea-35e2-492e-b221-4c3656a34641\/content\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">dependence<\/a> on exported oil and coal for royalties, taxes, and other kinds of revenues. Other countries may have produced far larger quantities of either \u2014\u00a0say, the United States or China \u2014\u00a0without being so utterly at their mercy. Large, diversified economies would have an <a href=\"https:\/\/pure.manchester.ac.uk\/ws\/portalfiles\/portal\/213256008\/Tyndall_Production_Phaseout_Report_final_text_3_.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">easier time<\/a> shaking off these fuels.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-30-scaled.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232315\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-30-scaled.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1920\"\/><\/a>The oil refinery in Barrancabermeja. (Maxy Guez \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>Yet all of this changed in 2022 \u2014 or, rather, between 2018 and 2021, when popular fury at the neoliberal form of capitalist development <a href=\"https:\/\/newleftreview.org\/issues\/ii137\/articles\/forrest-hylton-aaron-tauss-colombia-at-the-crossroads\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">exploded<\/a> in one revolt after another, rolling out mass rallies and local assemblies, general strikes and communal kitchens, property destruction and pitched battles with the police across Colombia. It was this groundswell that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ingentaconnect.com\/content\/cuny\/cp\/2025\/00000057\/00000003\/art00006\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">crystalized<\/a> in Petro\u2019s election victory. The sequence of extraparliamentary struggle converted into electoral success matched an ideal type, which similar recent attempts in the North \u2014\u00a0notably the Bernie Sanders and Jeremy Corbyn projects \u2014\u00a0never reached.<\/p>\n<p>Petro rode a wave of revulsion at the right that had ruled Colombia for two centuries. He made it a plank of his platform to strike at the base of the status quo: fossil fuel extractivism, by then widely detested. It had garnered a reputation as the locomotive of destruction of nature and people alike. Much of the brutal violence during the civil war\u2019s later decades cleared land for oil fields and coal mines; capital <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/full\/10.1080\/21624887.2024.2416850\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">streamed into<\/a> lands emptied by massacres, only to devastate them further with pipelines and pits.<\/p>\n<p>The climate crisis as such was probably not a preoccupation of voters. Yet Petro folded the extractive economy into the broader climate narrative, always linking the internal problems to the global predicament. He attached radical climate policies to the desire for a Colombia that doesn\u2019t destroy itself. He framed it as a\u00a0\u201ca politics of life\u201d: a rejection of self-destruction in favor of planetary and national survival. Once in the presidential palace, he launched what is arguably the world\u2019s most advanced project for a transition away from fossil fuels. Consequently, it has come up against formidable obstacles.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-52.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232316\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-52.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1600\" height=\"720\"\/><\/a>Oil installations at La Cira Infanta. (Maxy Guez \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>Coal is a vector of destruction in northern Colombia: fertile land turned into a lunar landscape of barren craters; water sources contaminated or vanished; air so thick with toxic particles as to make entire villages unlivable; extreme poverty entrenched around the mines. The gains from the \u201cblack stone\u201d have been meager. Two foreign companies dominate the sector: Glencore, the world\u2019s largest commodity trader and private coal exporter, and Drummond, a company from Alabama specializing in Colombian coal. Neither has welcomed the Petro government\u2019s refusal to approve new mines. There is enough coal to keep production going for at least another <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0306261918306548?casa_token=_s2uj83OBHoAAAAA:WL2MxFYgNLnrJYr-q1MopmEFGMooOj5ER1Q17ClkDv7NPWZ1WrVAbv_Med0sZ8Nsm8vsorQTSrA\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">century<\/a> at pre-Petro rates \u2014 but the goal of this administration is to leave it in the ground.<\/p>\n<p>Ironically, some market factors might here lend a helping hand. Colombian coal used to be exported primarily to Europe \u2014\u00a0notably the Netherlands \u2014 but demand on the continent is <a href=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/latest-updates\/solar-overtakes-coal-in-eu-power-sector-as-gas-declines-for-the-fifth-year-in-a-row\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">plummeting<\/a>, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/coal-mid-year-update-july-2024\/demand\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">rising<\/a> in Asia. However, ferrying millions of tons across oceans to Asian power plants requires long voyages. As the market tilts toward the East, the country\u2019s coal is priced out: a company like Glencore will secure better profit margins by ramping up extraction in South Africa or Australia. For this reason, Colombian output has been <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/coal-information-overview\/exports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">falling<\/a> from a peak of 100 million tons in 2017 to around 60 million last year.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-37.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232318\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-37.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\"\/><\/a>Coal mines in Cesar. (Maxy Guez \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>When we travel through the northern mining regions, Drummond has just announced an imminent halving of its production. \u201cThis is happening much faster than we expected,\u201d says Felipe Corral-Montoya, an activist and critical scholar of coal who until recently served in the energy ministry. His opposition is anchored in a commitment to climate justice but bolstered by economic reasoning:<\/p>\n<p>Our coal industry is on a trajectory of collapse. This ship is sinking. There is a time window of perhaps twelve to fifteen years, then it will be over. We were told that we were prophets of doom, but now even the companies admit that it doesn\u2019t make sense to produce the coal here.<\/p>\n<p>On a global scale, this amounts to a mere reshuffling of extraction sites \u2014\u00a0no gain for the climate \u2014\u00a0but paradoxically, it opens political space for transition advocates in Colombia.<\/p>\n<p>There is already a fresh experience of unplanned collapse. In 2021, a subsidiary of Glencore suddenly closed its mines near La Loma in the province of Cesar, leaving eight thousand workers and their families high and dry. The result is a working population adrift and pollutants seeping into local streams. Trade unions have joined forces with rural and indigenous communities to hold the company responsible.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, there are worries about further closures to come: \u201cWe as coal workers are concerned because we have given our lives, our youth, our strength to these companies, and now Drummond is winding down. . . . They must leave us with something, some compensation when they go,\u201d says Jenis Hern\u00e1ndez, a member of Sintracarb\u00f3n, the union of coal workers. For Corral-Montoya and other transition activists working with the Petro government, the argument is simple: plan and coordinate the inescapable end of coal \u00a0\u2014 \u201cbetter by design than by disaster.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The mining industry and its friends on the Right do, however, have an objection: European demand for coal might well rebound. It did so in 2022, after the invasion of Ukraine. Donald Trump is doing his best to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2025\/apr\/08\/trump-executiver-order-coal-power-plants\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">kindle<\/a> a coal renaissance. More geopolitical turmoil is in store. And in one corner of Cesar, the concern is not about a chaotic withdrawal of the companies but a renewed incursion.<\/p>\n<p>Ca\u00f1averales is a town wedged between verdant tropical forests and crystal blue springs. Visitors come to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.elinformador.com.co\/index.php\/revistas\/167-guia-turistica\/275486-manantial-canaverales-un-oasis-en-el-desierto\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">swim<\/a> in its pristine waters. The two thousand residents identify as Afro-campesino and take pride in their self-managed irrigation canals and productive farmland \u2014 a regional breadbasket. \u201cWe are surrounded by water,\u201d says Oscar G\u00f3mez, who sits on the board of the Community Council of the Blacks of Ca\u00f1averales. \u201cWe produce cotton, cassava, maize, and dairy products, but we know nothing about digging coal. With the stories I have been told, coal terrifies me.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-50.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232319\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-50.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\"\/><\/a>A mural in Ca\u00f1averales. (Maxy Guez \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>Seventeen years ago, a Brazilian company acquired a license to open a mine that would swallow most of the town\u2019s land. As of 2025, the license is in the possession of a Turkish enterprise called Best Coal Company. Extraction has yet to begun, but residents fear that bulldozers could appear any day. Another member of the board, Geania G\u00f3mez Moscote, describes what is at stake:<\/p>\n<p>In spite of the heat, we have a magical territory. We want to preserve it \u2014 the tranquility, the feeling of community; knowing that your neighbor can help you at any moment. There is a particularly crystalline spring in the forest that \u2014 for us \u2014 represents the heart of this land. But the heart is beating weakly now. The mine would destroy it. We don\u2019t understand why this Turkish company wants to hurt us so much.<\/p>\n<p>Why, then, does Petro not stop this mine project once and for all? Because the license is old, and the government won\u2019t rip up contracts signed before it came into power. The Afro-campesinos of Ca\u00f1averales have fought a legal battle for years, supported by Rosa Mar\u00eda Mateus from a lawyers\u2019 collective in Bogot\u00e1. She is upset:<\/p>\n<p>How can you allow a new mine to be opened, in the midst of this climate crisis, when the president has said there will be no more coal? The reason is the threat of a lawsuit from the company, within the frame of these perverse international treaties for investment protection. And so, we have to convince the government to exit them. Until that happens, go ahead, let them sue. In the end, it will be worth it to protect this ecosystem.<\/p>\n<p>Right now, the state is turning a deaf ear to this community. The government is squeezed between international bodies and regional authorities that will let companies do what they want. Even Petro is not being listened to. It\u2019s like a machinery that just runs on and on.<\/p>\n<p>Preparations are now underway to escalate from legal to direct action, should the bulldozers show up. \u201cWe have to resist any onslaught,\u201d says Hugu\u00e9 Martinez, also from the council board. \u201cWe are always told that the mining title was sold a long time ago, and so nothing can be done about it. But what if the contract is fundamentally flawed? We know that we are fighting a monster with a thousand heads, but we will continue, because for us it is a matter of life or death.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The issue of preexisting contracts cuts to the heart of Marxist state theory and the contradictions of reformist socialism: an elected left will inherit an apparatus that is bourgeois through and through. It cannot simply \u201center into full possession of the state, as if it were a new home: the rooms may be booby-trapped, the stairs barricaded; there may be snipers in the kitchen,\u201d as Juan Carlos Monedero has <a href=\"https:\/\/newleftreview.org\/issues\/ii120\/articles\/snipers-in-the-kitchen\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">put it<\/a>. After electoral defeat, the class enemy can remain entrenched in ministries, in the judiciary, the police, opposition parties \u2014 and can deploy the media to whip up scandals and harass the cadres of change.<\/p>\n<p>\u2018We know that we are fighting a monster with a thousand heads, but we will continue, because for us it is a matter of life or death.\u2019<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-28.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232321\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-28.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\"\/><\/a>Cristo Petrolero and the Barrancabermeja refinery. (Maxy Guez \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>Few have experienced the contradictions of state power more acutely than Irene Vel\u00e9z-Torres. She took over the ministry of energy in 2022. A charismatic young <a href=\"https:\/\/scholar.google.com\/citations?user=sPlnAbwAAAAJ&amp;hl=en&amp;oi=ao\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">professor<\/a> of geography, with an anarchist past and a later turn toward Marxism, she was inspired by Joan Martinez-Alier\u2019s \u201cenvironmentalism of the poor\u201d and Paolo Freire\u2019s \u201cpedagogy of the oppressed.\u201d Her research focused on the political ecology of extractivism and agribusiness in Colombia. It was she whom Petro appointed to seize the bastion of the fossil fuel industry within the state apparatus and execute the moratorium on licenses.<\/p>\n<p>When I first arrived at the building of the ministry of energy, I walked the stairs up to the top of the pyramid \u2014 the sixth floor \u2014 to enter my office as minister. I found a room filled with insignias and logos and awards from all sorts of mining and hydrocarbon companies \u2014 Glencore, Shell, Occidental, small and big, everyone was there. It was like a temple for companies, like they had their eyes on me. This was a ministry meant to serve companies, not people. The first thing I did was to remove those signs, starting with the ones on my desk.<\/p>\n<p>She initiated a dialogue with trade unions about how to organize the transition. \u201cFrom one day to another, a ministry that was always going in one direction turned the opposite way, to the left.\u201d Irene Vel\u00e9z-Torres quickly became the b\u00eate noire of the Right, the most reviled member of Petro\u2019s government. \u201cI was the face of this policy, and it was just too much for the elites.\u201d Vocal, eloquent, without a noble family lineage, she was an affront to bourgeois senses. When she had the temerity to suggest that rich countries \u2014\u00a0but not poor ones, like Colombia \u2014 should undergo \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/elpais.com\/america-futura\/2022-10-17\/seria-util-para-america-latina-dejar-de-crecer-o-solo-deben-consumir-menos-los-paises-mas-ricos.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">degrowth<\/a>\u201d and the Global South detach from \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/IreneVelezT\/status\/1890355874260009286\" rel=\"nofollow\">fossil capitalism<\/a>,\u201d she became the recipient of a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/america\/colombia\/2022\/10\/24\/ministra-de-minas-no-se-arrepiente-de-afirmar-que-los-paises-desarrollados-tienen-que-decrecer\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">torrent<\/a> of abuse.<\/p>\n<p>She was the subject of two impeachment attempts, endless X storms, and random physical attacks by enraged citizens \u2014 much of it shot through with sexist overtones: how dare this minister wear sneakers and such big earrings, and so on. After just one year, when threats extended to her children, she resigned. The energy ministry \u2014\u00a0formally, the Ministry of Mines and Energy \u2014\u00a0continued to pursue the phaseout of fossil fuels but without the magnetic leadership of Irene Vel\u00e9z-Torres. She was brought down by well-placed shots from the bourgeois machine.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-4.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232322\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-4.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\"\/><\/a>The solar park at La Cira Infanta, run by Ecopetrol. (Maxy Guez \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>Two years later, however, in early August 2025, she was back: Petro <a href=\"https:\/\/elpais.com\/america-colombia\/2025-08-06\/gustavo-petro-encarga-a-irene-velez-ministra-de-ambiente-en-reemplazo-de-lena-estrada.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">appointed<\/a> Vel\u00e9z-Torres as his new minister of the environment. It was a sign of commitment to the transition and appreciation of his most controversial comrade-in-arms \u2014\u00a0and a signal that the last year of his presidency will see no scaling back of ambitions. The struggle to secure the power of the state is ongoing.<\/p>\n<p>More important for the state than the black stone is the black gold. About two-thirds of Colombia\u2019s oil is produced by a company still owned mostly by the state: Ecopetrol (the ecological-sounding name is purely accidental, the name an abbreviation of \u201cEmpresa Colombiana de Petrol\u00e9o\u201d). The end of coal would mean the end of profits for Glencore and Drummond. But the end of oil would deprive the state of a significant source of income \u2014\u00a0making the moratorium all the more daring.<\/p>\n<p>An oil industry will hit rock bottom if reserves are not replenished. Continuous exploration is the sine qua non of a thriving petroleum business; without drilling, there will be no new fields to replace those depleted. The moratorium, in other words, is a death sentence. By several <a href=\"https:\/\/resourcegovernance.org\/publications\/national-oil-company-profile-ecopetrol\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">estimates<\/a>, it will take effect by <a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Crude-Oil\/Colombias-Oil-Industry-Stuck-in-Death-Spiral.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2031<\/a>: if the ban stays in place, Ecopetrol will have no more oil to pump by that year. Even a slightly more optimistic <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/commodity-insights\/en\/research-analytics\/colombia-onshore-production-seems-stuck-in-a-decline-spiral\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">forecast<\/a> suggests that the next decade will be its last. \u201cCan Colombia\u2019s Oil Industry Survive Petro\u2019s Revolutionary Reforms?\u201d read one glum <a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Crude-Oil\/Can-Colombias-Oil-Industry-Survive-Petros-Revolutionary-Reforms.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">headline<\/a> in the business press. After he took office, drilling activity <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/commodity-insights\/en\/research-analytics\/colombia-onshore-production-seems-stuck-in-a-decline-spiral\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">nosedived<\/a>, contracts were suspended en masse, and Exxon <a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Crude-Oil\/Colombias-Embattled-Oil-Industry-Hit-Hard-By-Exxon-Exit.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">departed<\/a> the country, the expansion of this circuit of accumulation screeching to a halt. Total investment in oil production may have declined by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/commodities\/investment-colombia-oil-gas-production-fall-7-2024-industry-group-2024-08-01\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">7<\/a> percent in 2024, and foreign direct investment in the sector by as much as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.riotimesonline.com\/colombian-oil-sector-faces-challenges-as-foreign-investment-declines\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">30<\/a> percent. A <a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Energy\/Crude-Oil\/Colombias-Oil-Industry-Stuck-in-Death-Spiral.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">death spiral<\/a> had been set in motion \u2014 by decree from the Left. \u201cWe face strong resistance in the financial system,\u201d says Tatiana Roa Avenda\u00f1o, vice minister of the environment, who spent many years as a grassroots activist and researcher before entering the cabinet. \u201cBut we did not get into government to manage the status quo. We did it, from a position in a deeply unequal balance of power, to open a crack in the fossil wall.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>It is difficult to exaggerate just how dramatically Colombia has here deviated from global trends. The year when Petro won, 2022, was also the year of an unprecedented profit <a href=\"https:\/\/www.versobooks.com\/products\/3131-overshoot?srsltid=AfmBOorknMgZuueqDjL8Z3pfhppv5NqZGro8w_mQdSNmn8FayQy5s4Ur\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bonanza<\/a> in the global oil industry, prompting a frenzy of investment. Total spending on upstream production <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/world-energy-investment-2024\/overview-and-key-findings\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">rose<\/a> by 9 percent in 2023 and likely by another 7 percent the following year. That\u2019s\u00a0roughly equivalent to the decline in Colombia. Just as the rest of the world doubled down on fossil fuels, this nation started backing out of them.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-21.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232324\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-21.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\"\/><\/a>Fishermen preparing a net next to a pipeline outside of Barrancabermeja. (Maxy Guez \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>That does not mean, however, that all exploration has ceased. On the contrary, Petro and Vel\u00e9z-Torres made it clear from the beginning that the more than three hundred existing licenses would be <a href=\"https:\/\/www.minenergia.gov.co\/es\/sala-de-prensa\/noticias-index\/gobierno-reitera-que-respetar%C3%A1-los-m%C3%A1s-de-330-contratos-vigentes-de-exploraci%C3%B3n-y-explotaci%C3%B3n-de-hidrocarburos\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">respected<\/a>. More reformist than revolutionary, they sought a gradual strangulation of primitive fossil capital.<\/p>\n<p>Visitors mill in front of the Petroleum Christ and take selfies. In Barrancabermeja, employment, education, even religion revolves around the refinery and the rigs of Ecopetrol.<\/p>\n<p>But that timeline may give it time to fight back. The entrenchment of oil in Colombian capitalism is nowhere more visible than in Barrancabermeja, the industry\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/read.dukeupress.edu\/environmental-humanities\/article\/16\/2\/385\/389143\/A-Rough-Guide-to-the-Oil-ArchiveExploring-Colombia\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">capital<\/a>, an infamously hot and humid city on the shores of the Magdalena River. It is dominated by an enormous refinery complex. In front of it stands a wireframe monument of Jesus, stretching his hands toward the sky, known as \u201cCristo Petrolero.\u201d Visitors mill in front of the Petroleum Christ and take selfies. In Barrancabermeja, employment, education, even religion revolves around the refinery and the rigs of Ecopetrol. Pipelines endlessly cross through the vegetation. Kids\u2019 drawings on school walls depict oil installations and playgrounds feature wells.<\/p>\n<p>But travel downriver, and you meet fisherfolk who have had their livelihoods laid to waste by the constant influx of contaminants. Yuli Vel\u00e1zquez is the president of Fedepesan, the regional fishers\u2019 federation: she has documented the decline of species in the river and its tributaries for more than a decade. Endangered manatees have been found floating <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/crewlj11jljo\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">dead<\/a> on the surface, alongside caymans, turtles, birds, and \u2014 most troubling for Fedepesan \u2014 thousands of fish. Vel\u00e1zquez takes us on a boat to show us oil spilling into wetlands next to an Ecopetrol pipeline. \u201cThere is a massacre of the fauna here,\u201d she says. Fisherfolk say they suffer from ailments such as dermatitis and fungal infections. Vel\u00e1zquez would welcome an end to the oil industry; she fondly remembers how, during the COVID-19 shutdowns, the river returned as the refinery dialed down its activities. Across the country \u2014 from the Amazon in the south to the Pacific and Caribbean coasts in the north \u2014 ecosystems would indeed have a chance to <a href=\"https:\/\/earth-insight.org\/insight\/colombia-fossil-fuel\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">survive<\/a> if this industry were to expire.<\/p>\n<p>But drive back into town, and most residents you meet will pray for Ecopetrol and other companies to stay. An intellectual hub of the industry is Universidad Industrial de Santander (UIS), the technical university of Barrancabermeja; Andres Mauricio Montes is the director of its campus. He wants oil production to continue for another century.<\/p>\n<p>Oil is important, because we have a lot of people depending on it here. Colombia is not a country with specialized manufacturing or advanced technology \u2014 we export raw materials. We need access to our hydrocarbon resources, but the ban on exploration prevents us from finding them. It\u2019s not convenient; it\u2019s not the right way to do it.<\/p>\n<p>UIS has a petroleum engineering program. It used to attract around five hundred applicants per year. After Petro came to power, that number fell to zero. Montes blames \u201cbad propaganda from the government,\u201d deterring \u201cthe boys\u201d from the pursuit of oil. He is now working to convince students that petroleum has a future \u2014 citing carbon capture and storage that make it sustainable and facilitate enhanced oil recovery, already <a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/Latest-Energy-News\/World-News\/Colombia-Aims-to-Boost-Oil-Production-to-1-Million-Bpd.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">practiced<\/a> by Ecopetrol.<\/p>\n<p>Such a position is shared by the Right of the political spectrum. \u201cThey never tire of promoting the destruction of the mining and energy sector,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.semana.com\/politica\/articulo\/desde-distintos-sectores-le-caen-encima-a-la-ministra-irene-velez-por-insistir-en-idea-de-no-firmar-contratos-de-exploracion-de-petroleo-y-gas\/202311\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">complained<\/a> one congresswoman from Centro Democratico; former president Iv\u00e1n Duque, who stuck to a standard accelerationist approach while in office, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.semana.com\/nacion\/articulo\/como-dice-una-cosa-dice-otra-ministra-irene-velez-asegura-que-no-se-acabaran-los-contratos-de-exploracion-de-petroleo\/202318\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">denounced<\/a> Petro\u2019s policies as \u201csocial and economic suicide\u201d (both comments came during the tenure of Irene Vel\u00e9z-Torres, when rhetoric reached its highest pitch).<\/p>\n<p>The pressure to revoke the moratorium has been immense. Adrian Correa \u2014 a Communist activist in his youth, now one of the cadres of the transition, until recently the director of a planning unit in the energy ministry \u2014 describes the narrative pumped out by the Right:<\/p>\n<p>They say that stopping exploration will force us to import gasoline. We are risking our energy security \u2014 \u2018Be ready, Colombians, you will soon run out of gas in your houses, you will not be able to cook, you will have to use woodstoves and go back to the Middle Ages.\u2019 And unfortunately, they have been successful. It strikes a chord with ordinary people \u2014 this fear for survival.<\/p>\n<p>The industry is organized into two business federations: Naturgas, for companies producing gas; the Association of Colombian Petroleum, for those producing oil \u2013\u00a0including BP, Shell, Petrobras, and other foreign giants. Both have funded think tanks and supported journalists and generously bankrolled a culture war against Petro and the Left.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-27.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232325\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-27.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\"\/><\/a>Yuli Vel\u00e1zquez, the president of Fedepesan, the regional fishers\u2019 federation. (Maxy Guez \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>But Petro\u2019s camp has countered with a strictly economic argument: the future of oil in Colombia is as bleak as coal\u2019s. The crude is old, heavy, and expensive to extract. As soon as prices fall to $60 per barrel, profit margins are obliterated and fields shuttered. Even <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/countries\/colombia\/oil\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">before<\/a> Petro, production and export were declining. Colombian transition advocates argue that this country needs a safer foundation of development; it might as well give up on shaky oil and let others with more lucrative reserves continue.<\/p>\n<p>The Right, of course, counters that oil prices could spike at any time \u2014 as they did in 2022. And Colombia, they insist, still has one humongous untapped resource: fracking.<\/p>\n<p>Ecopetrol as well as foreign companies \u2014\u00a0Exxon included \u2014\u00a0have long salivated over the reserves that could be unlocked if only fracking were given a green light. The greatest deposits lie in the area around Barrancabermeja, on the Magdalena River. An hour\u2019s drive to the north is the Afro-Colombian village of Puerto Wilches. Here lives Yuvalis Morales, the young daughter of a fisherwoman, for several years leading campaigns against fracking: she saw \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bnamericas.com\/en\/news\/ecopetrol-exxon-receive-permit-for-colombias-first-fracking-pilot\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">pilot projects<\/a>\u201d by Ecopetrol and Exxon approved by the previous government. A ferocious popular struggle was put up against them. The people of Puerto Wilches had particular reasons to resist:<\/p>\n<p>Fracking would destroy the swamps and marshes we rely on for fish and freshwater. There is a lot of nationalist propaganda around Ecopetrol, as a state-owned company that can bring in revenues for us Colombians. Some people in this country will say, \u201cWhy not? Bring it on, let them do fracking.\u201d But here in this region, the average person is against it. And not only those who depend on water resources for their work \u2014 even middle-class people want to be able to brush their teeth! So we have had broad support and managed to win all the political and legal and economic battles here in Puerto Wilches. And then this government came into power and <a href=\"https:\/\/news.mongabay.com\/2022\/10\/with-fracking-promising-a-quick-energy-boost-can-colombia-say-no\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">called off<\/a> the pilot projects. The machines were removed.<\/p>\n<p>That decision was the reason Exxon exited Colombia.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-25.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232327\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-25.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\"\/><\/a>Yuvalis Morales, the young daughter of a fisherwoman, who has been leading campaigns against fracking for several years. (Maxy Guez \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>All the more intense the frustration and ire, from both domestic and foreign companies at the idea that a government could put such gold off limits. Andr\u00e9s G\u00f3mez, who previously worked as a petroleum engineer for both Ecopetrol and Halliburton, became fed up with the industry\u2019s destruction. He decamped to join the popular resistance and now works as the Latin American coordinator for the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative. In yet another move aligning the state apparatus with the social movements, Colombia became the first fossil fuel\u2013producing country to <a href=\"https:\/\/fossilfueltreaty.org\/colombia\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">endorse<\/a> this initiative \u2014 for treating fossil fuel reserves as akin to nuclear bombs \u2014 during the COP negotiations in late 2023. But G\u00f3mez frets over the lingering danger.<\/p>\n<p>According to the plans of Ecopetrol, 12,000 wells would be drilled for fracking in just ten years. . . . And Ecopetrol intends to spend at least 50 million liters of water on every single well.<\/p>\n<p>The only opportunity for Colombia to open up truly extensive reserves of light oil and gas sits in a shale formation along the Magdalena, known as La Luna. It might be the fourth largest of its kind in the Western hemisphere. The United States has the Permian Basin, Argentina the Vaca Muerte \u2014 in both, it\u2019s \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/argentinas-vaca-muerta-shale-lands-its-drill-baby-drill-2024-10-23\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Drill, Baby, Drill<\/a>,\u201d courtesy of presidents of the far right \u2014\u00a0and Mexico the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/todayinenergy\/detail.php?id=32592\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Burgos Basin<\/a>. Only La Luna has remained untapped until this day:<\/p>\n<p>If fracking were to begin here, there would be a new export boom. And it would ravage the region. During the 105 years that we have had an oil industry in this country, 25,000 wells have been drilled. According to the plans of Ecopetrol, 12,000 wells would be drilled for fracking in just ten years \u2014 half the previous total. This is because a well is depleted by this technology after only about three years; it can\u2019t be used for eighty or ninety years as with some of the conventional fields, so you have to drill and drill and drill \u2014 as they have been doing in the United States. And Ecopetrol intends to spend at least 50 million liters of water on every single well.<\/p>\n<p>Where will this water come from? From the Magdalena River, of course. And once the water has been injected into the ground, it comes back to the surface heavily polluted. We will have more environmental destruction in one decade than we have had in one century.<\/p>\n<p>So far, Colombia\u2019s resistance to fracking has been the most effective in the Western hemisphere, and the Petro government has sought to codify its gains in law. It has failed. Five times, a bill for prohibiting fracking was put before Congress; five times the parties of the Right <a href=\"https:\/\/www.americaeconomia.com\/en\/node\/287436\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">blocked<\/a> it. The Association of Colombian Petroleum spearheaded the obstruction. As a result, the pause on fracking remains just that, entirely contingent on the current government\u2019s determination to withhold licenses. With another president in the palace, the floodgates to La Luna could be opened.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-23.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232328\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-23.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\"\/><\/a>Polluted fishing waters on the tributaries of the Magdalena River. (Maxy Guez \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>What, then, is the alternative to fossil fuels in Colombia? Like most countries in the Global South, it has immense potential for generating power from solar and wind. At the smallest scale, this might mean putting up a photovoltaic panel (PV) on a rooftop. The Petro government has promoted the concept of \u201cenergy communities\u201d: installing panels in poor, rural settlements unconnected to the grid, enabling them to become self-sufficient in electricity and boost their agriculture. This initiative has proved hugely <a href=\"https:\/\/www.phenomenalworld.org\/interviews\/closing-the-extractive-frontier\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">popular<\/a>. At least 300 energy communities have been established with support from the ministry, with another 1,000 under construction. Because a PV on a hut does not threaten any powerful interests, it is, in one sense, the lowest-hanging fruit of the transition; in another, its most utopian vision. As President Petro argues:<\/p>\n<p>Oil and gas and coal must constantly be expanded, because they represent capital, fossil capital. But we are a country of the sun, and solar changes the geography of power. The greatest potentials are in the Caribbean zone, where indigenous people live. And the capacity for auto-generation is very high; we have done all we can to incentivize it. Every family can supply itself with the electricity it needs, rather than buying it from the market. The big multinationals extract wealth through differential rent, as described in the third volume of Capital, but solar power removes this element. Energy communities free themselves from the tyranny of company and price.<\/p>\n<p>His minister of education, Daniel Rojas \u2014 another Marxist intellectual \u2014 elaborates on this vision. It is not, he says, one of \u201cecological war communism\u201d but rather about<\/p>\n<p>democratizing private property as much as possible. We are not trying to have a completely state-owned energy sector, but a decentralized structure where every household can fund and generate its own electricity and sell it to others, where every school, every community can meet its own needs.<\/p>\n<p>Subaltern communities have been queueing up for the formation of energy communities. One of them is called Pondores. Located within easy reach of a police station on the plains of La Guajira \u2014 one of the two northern provinces pillaged by the coal industry \u2014 it is a clutter of barracks, erected in 2017 for former Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) guerilla fighters. After signing the peace agreement, a brigade of combatants came down from the mountains and moved into this camp, awaiting a more permanent settlement. Eight years later, their life in limbo is finally nearing its end. In Pondores, these politically highly conscious veterans of the armed struggle have improvised and experimented with forms of communal living: a cooperative shop, a newspaper, an energy community.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-45.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232331\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-45.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\"\/><\/a>Ex-combatants in Pondores. (Maxy Guez\/ Jacobin)<br \/>\n\u2018The big multinationals extract wealth through differential rent, as described in the third volume of Capital, but solar power removes this element.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>But they have not had a stable supply of energy, nor a steady source of subsistence. That is about to change. A stone\u2019s throw away from Pondores, decent houses, agricultural plots and a solar park equipped with storage batteries is under construction \u2014 a new communal home for the ex-combatants, to be inaugurated before the end of 2025. Mary Luz, a demobilized fighter now forty-eight years old and a mother of two, is looking forward to the move:<\/p>\n<p>I was with the guerillas for twenty-two years. It was nice to live in the mountains. We each carried our carpets and made our own little houses and lived well in the protection of the mother-forest. Down here on the plains, there is a lot of pollution from the coal mines \u2014 all the dust that gets into the air and makes you sick. But this solar project is an opportunity. It gives us autonomy, and it comes from the sun \u2014 not from other sources. There is too much heat these days, too much burning; we no longer know when it\u2019s summer and when it\u2019s winter. But we are grateful; maybe next year we can have a little house with more comfort and plant cassava and bananas. You have to survive on whatever you can find. That\u2019s how you live.<\/p>\n<p>In another corner of La Guajira, in the high, green hills of the Sierra Nevada, the indigenous people of the Kankuamo have likewise adopted solar power with zest. \u201cThe energy supplied by private companies here is very unstable,\u201d explains Daniel Maestre Villaz\u00f3n. \u201cIt does not reach the required voltage to operate the equipment for our productive projects, our aquaculture, chicken farming, fruit pulping. This is why we want solar energy.\u201d So far, only a handful of panels have been installed, but the hope is for more. \u201cWe want to create our own company to manage our own energy resources \u2014\u00a0we want to learn and develop and maintain this ourselves.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>An ethos of self-managed solar power has taken hold among some of the most disadvantaged communities in Petro\u2019s Colombia. In only three years, the government has presided over an increase in solar-power capacity by a factor of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.phenomenalworld.org\/interviews\/closing-the-extractive-frontier\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ten<\/a>. Such a build-out is not unique in itself, of course \u2014 but what is unique is its pairing with a shutdown of fossil fuels: a real transition, not just an energy <a href=\"https:\/\/www.penguin.co.uk\/books\/464145\/more-and-more-and-more-by-fressoz-jean-baptiste\/9780241718896\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">addition<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Solar has been promoted far more consistently by this government than wind, despite strong coastal currents. Solar is cheaper. But wind will be required for a full transition, and a few turbines \u2014\u00a0remarkably few, from a European perspective \u2014 have been erected in La Guajira. Next to them live Luis Carlos Iguaran and his mother Maria Dolores, the traditional matriarchal authority of a Wayuu indigenous community. Long traumatized by the effects of the coal industry, they welcome the nearby wind farm. Solar panels have also been installed, bringing free Wi-Fi and basic services to the community. \u201cThis is good for us, good for the country, but too many projects are stalled and stopped.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-6.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232332\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-6.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\"\/><\/a>Solar panels at the solar park run by Ecopetrol at La Cira Infanta. (Maxy Guez \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>The rollout of wind power has been left to the private sector, and companies have pulled out of the region. One reason has been <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/global-development\/2024\/apr\/05\/new-colonialism-colombia-green-energy-windfarms-resistance-indigenous-wayuu\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">opposition<\/a> from Wayuu people elsewhere, who have resisted the idea of yet another energy infrastructure on top of the hated coal. They cite unfair distribution of revenues, lack of consultation, and disregard for the spiritual significance of the landscape. As a result, the winds of La Guajira remain nearly as unexploited as the shales of La Luna.<\/p>\n<p>At the largest scale, solar and wind could replace oil and coal as export products. Petro has floated the idea of a transcontinental grid for renewable electricity, running all the way from Alaska in the north to Patagonia in the south. Colombia would feed its surpluses into the system and receive those of other countries in return. Two friendly governments \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/en.mercopress.com\/2025\/04\/10\/petro-and-orsi-discuss-ambitious-projects-for-latin-america\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Uruguay<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bnamericas.com\/en\/news\/panama-and-colombia-connect-their-energy-vision-electrical-interconnection-as-a-presidential-priority-and-regional-commitment#:~:text=The%20ICP%20project%2C%20developed%20by,%2C%20clean%2C%20and%20resilient%20grid\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Panama<\/a> \u2014 have recently bought into the wildly ambitious idea, the latter neighbor signing up for interconnection of high-voltage cables. Petro even <a href=\"https:\/\/latinoamerica21.com\/en\/petro-biden-and-the-latin-american-energy-transition\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">took<\/a> the proposal to Joe Biden. As he explained to us:<\/p>\n<p>The hatred of Latin Americans in white society is so strong, they want to stop all immigration to the US. I suggested to Biden that we can do it by building this grid, generating economic development in our countries so people don\u2019t have to migrate. He understood but did nothing. I haven\u2019t been able to speak to Trump \u2014 I wrote him a letter but he did not respond. Trump is pure nationalism; he just wants to extract more oil and gas. He doesn\u2019t even believe in climate change.<\/p>\n<p>If this curious offer to keep the Latinos away from the United States were ever realized, it would probably never generate profits on the scale of oil and coal. A transcontinental grid of renewable abundance would push electricity prices toward zero. And therein lies a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.versobooks.com\/products\/3069-the-price-is-wrong?srsltid=AfmBOorfbrZJ22XPr0Uku-FbQI3mFYxxbZ6laMeD3673ZfycAZBIxdh6\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">familiar<\/a>, structural obstacle to the transitional program of Petro and his comrades: solar and wind cannot generate profits like fossil fuels.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-3.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232338\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-3.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\"\/><\/a>A sign for the solar park at La Cira Infanta. (Maxy Guez \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>Ecopetrol knows this. Next to its oldest oil fields outside Barrancabermeja, known as La Cira Infanta, it has built the region\u2019s largest park of solar panels \u2014\u00a0not to sell the electricity as a commodity (which would make no one rich) but to power the oil rigs as cheaply as possible. Ecopetrol is the single largest consumer of electricity in Colombia. It is expanding solar power capacity in order to raise profit margins in its core business: hydrocarbon extraction. Much of the electricity from the solar park is fed into a plant that injects tens of thousands of cubic meters of water per day into the ground to push out the remaining oil. Petro has not objected; in fact, he attended the inauguration of the park and signed one of the panels. (He has, however, objected to another source of Ecopetrol\u2019s profit: its fracking operations in the Permian Basin. But when he tried to get the company to sell the assets, its stocks fell, and he backed off.) A considerable portion of Colombia\u2019s current solar power generation is thereby used to prop up the profitability and prolong the life of its main oil company.<\/p>\n<p>Petro has floated the idea of a transcontinental grid for renewable electricity, running all the way from Alaska in the north to Patagonia in the south.<\/p>\n<p>The unprofitability of solar and wind comes down to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.versobooks.com\/products\/3131-overshoot?srsltid=AfmBOor-oyeZHAL7dbh7Ge0YVQAE8PJfore9FN4B_ZvHNaV3BKgEfb4I\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">absence of labor<\/a> in their production. And for that very reason, some segments of labor have rallied on the side of fossil fuels. C\u00e9sar Loza, the current president of the oil workers\u2019 union, Uni\u00f3n Sindical Obrera de la Industria del Petr\u00f3leo (USO), has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.phenomenalworld.org\/interviews\/cesar-loza\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">pushed back<\/a> against Petro\u2019s policies: \u201cThe jobs generated by the oil and gas industry in Colombia are high quality jobs, thanks to the efforts of USO and its workers. By contrast, jobs generated by alternative energy sources, like solar energy, tend to offer low wages and don\u2019t require as much labor.\u201d No one digs sunlight or drills wind. Hence, he concludes, \u201cwe need further oil and gas exploration, no matter what.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>This could be seen as the position of a fossil labor aristocracy, defending its island of <a href=\"https:\/\/journals.openedition.org\/rdctss\/6747\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">privileges<\/a> in a sea of precarity and poverty \u2014 \u201cprivileges\u201d here in a very relative sense. Oil still appears as an opportunity for a good life for people in Barrancabermeja and its surroundings. One Ecopetrol worker, who prefers to be anonymous, tells us how he found employment in the company at age nineteen:<\/p>\n<p>I come from a poor family. I needed money. It was a miracle for me to be hired in this sector with no experience. I didn\u2019t want to live in poverty and still don\u2019t want to \u2014 I want to live well. I want my family, my children to live well, because I experienced a lot of need in my childhood. When I started at Ecopetrol, I saw that it was a way to earn good money. It is, let\u2019s say, one of the best jobs in Colombia \u2014 it\u2019s at the top, to be able to work in Ecopetrol; I earn six times more than the average person. And my bosses earn much more than a minister in the government.<\/p>\n<p>Showing us around in La Cira Infanta, this man points out the company estates where workers live in buildings provided by Ecopetrol that are supplied with electricity from its generators. \u201cThere are big and nice houses here, with air conditioning.\u201d But he is aware that not all people in the region reap the benefits. There are frequent demonstrations around Ecopetrol facilities \u2014\u00a0\u201cIt happens every second week or so, people put up blockades on the roads to ask Ecopetrol to invest more in the region and give them jobs.\u201d This individual worker has now ended up in the solar park. He is one of the few retained for its operation and maintenance. Some two hundred workers were hired for the construction of the park, a mere thirty staying on site after its inauguration \u2014 a tiny fragment of the workforce engaged in actual extraction.<\/p>\n<p>Similarly, a handful of the workers who lost their jobs when Glencore shut its mine at La Loma retrained as engineers skilled in installing solar panels. But once the panels are up, they are up; the sunlight comes for free, unlike coal. Inside La Loma, many working families would be happy to see the mine reopened, as it could provide jobs in numbers that solar seemingly cannot. The town is surrounded by three Drummond open-pit mines, on which the population depends for jobs and incomes. The privilege \u2014 if indeed that is the right term \u2014 of working in the mines has been carefully rationed by this company: only one member of each family can be hired. This structural dependency on fossil fuels, this magnetic pull into mines and fields as the best sources of a decent wage, would seem to predispose organized labor to defend extraction. And without labor firmly on its side, how could a government ever defeat fossil capital?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-59.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232340\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-59.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1600\" height=\"720\"\/><\/a>A mural at the Aury Sar\u00e1 center. (Maxy Guez \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>But in Colombia\u2019s trade unions \u2014\u00a0highly politicized, after a century of militant agitation and rounds of civil war \u2014 more progressive currents run strong. The leadership of USO has not gone unchallenged in its support for fracking. A powerful opposition has aligned itself with Petro\u2019s agenda. At the Aury Sar\u00e1 center in Bogot\u00e1, named after a USO leader martyred in 2001, a mural depicts an outstretched hand, out of which grows trees and solar panels and wind turbines. This branch of USO has just sponsored a seminar on ecofeminism. We speak to Juan Carlos Aguilar, a member of the USO national commission for the human rights of workers. Having worked at the refinery in Barrancabermeja for twenty-six years, he has no love lost for the oil business. \u201cThe energy transition is necessary, simply because we are exceeding the limits of balance in this world. Oil exploitation might have brought great wealth to some sectors of society, but it has also brought great poverty, violence and pollution, and none of this has been compensated for by the industry,\u201d he says.<\/p>\n<p>In recent months, the USO appears to have moved closer to Petro\u2019s priorities. Edwin Palma, the current minister of energy \u2014 in a cabinet infamous for its high turnover \u2014 is a former leader of the union, who, in his new role, has accepted the official rejection of fracking. A series of energy communities is being planned for the region of Barrancabermeja, on whose oil fields he used to work. This development speaks, again, to the unique experiment in Colombia: the organization of oil workers is directly involved in the planning of a transition. But the capacity of renewables to replace all those jobs remains unclear. Juan Carlos Aguilar acknowledges that \u201cthere is still no real, material proposal from the government\u201d about alternative sources of income for his colleagues. How can this nut be cracked?<\/p>\n<p>One solution might be to rethink the energy transition as a break from the logic of resource dependency. In the eyes of Felipe Corral-Montoya and Catalina Combariza Diaz, who both work for the radical think tank <a href=\"https:\/\/polentj.org\/en\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Polen<\/a>, the task is nothing less than to end Colombia\u2019s status as an enclave of extractivism. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S2214629621004655\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Anything short<\/a> of a complete shift in the national economic model will only scratch the surface.\u201d The notion that the future lies in the export of any energy or primary material at all would then be abandoned, the fortunes of the people delinked \u2014\u00a0in the classical sense \u2013 from that of the rich core. As Corral-Montoya explains:<\/p>\n<p>We should use our abundant renewable energy resources to process and produce stuff here. We need to build local, internal linkages. Solar power could animate our food processing industry. When we roll out electrical buses here in Bogot\u00e1, we should also manufacture them. We were retrofitting my mother\u2019s old car to be electric \u2014 and one can envision a general retrofitting of the Colombian car fleet in workshops around the country. And the components needed could be built in factories here.<\/p>\n<p>We now have a project on the Caribbean coast for making motorbikes electrical, and they even work better than the old gasoline models because they have more torque. We should think of our renewables as a foundation for the industrialization of Colombia.<\/p>\n<p>This would, the argument runs, rebut the right-wing fearmongering around \u201cenergy security\u201d: rather than continuing to rely on gasoline, electrify everything and plug it into domestic systems.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-19.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232342\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-19.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\"\/><\/a>An oil installation at La Cira Infanta. (Maxy Guez \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>It could also bring labor fully into the fold. Workers in the coal and oil sector could be offered skilled industrial employment. Corral-Montoya continues:<\/p>\n<p>The thing with solar plants is that you don\u2019t need so many workers after construction \u2014 just some for cleaning and maintaining and guarding. So workers cannot be shifted into electricity production as such, but they can go into electricity-intense industries. Everything else will be seen as a declassing. They will say \u201cI don\u2019t want to be farmer, I don\u2019t want to be a freelancing entrepreneur installing solar panels \u2014 I have my status as a coal miner or oil worker.\u201d And that\u2019s why unions haven\u2019t necessarily supported the transition, because so far it has mostly benefited the poorest people. They want other stable jobs with a high income. One could imagine them forming cooperatives that will be the industries of the future.<\/p>\n<p>Corral-Montoya doesn\u2019t see himself as an ecological John Maynard Keynes or Vladimir Lenin but an \u201cecological <a href=\"https:\/\/www.britannica.com\/money\/development-theory\/The-neoclassical-counterrevolution\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Raul Prebisch<\/a>. The international division of labor between colonial and colonialized countries is, for me, the DNA of our situation.\u201d From this perspective, the one-sided dependence on export of fossil fuels is not a reason to desist from a phase-out. It is, rather, its economic raison d\u2019\u00eatre.<\/p>\n<p>Catalina Combariza Diaz takes a similar view and has applied this homegrown eco-structuralism to the case of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/full\/10.1080\/21582041.2024.2349547?casa_token=gJpk_aXuOhgAAAAA%3A9bhG3ZH4Jh9ZEffMAwkzkhflUhVbFWxkAIfRtz9MIwh9fuUdcOpwCnm0GW3bngOp8h0A_keXg7XmsQ\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">hydrogen<\/a>. Unlike solar or wind, green hydrogen can be exported as a commodity to any destination on the world market. Germany is a likely customer. Both the previous and the present government have invested hopes in this scenario. But why reproduce the constant drainage and leakage of resources out from this nation? Better to keep the green hydrogen at home and use it to produce cement and steel \u2014\u00a0both in urgent need of decarbonization \u2014\u00a0under the control of state-owned enterprises. Even domestic aviation, on which Colombia has become excessively dependent, could be fed with hydrogen-based fuels. Or the country could begin manufacturing trains with renewable electricity. The refinery in Barrancabermeja could become a green hydrogen hub and so on \u2014 there is no limit to the Colombian imagination.<\/p>\n<p>In this context, the specter of a new mining boom for critical minerals inevitably arises. Will Colombia mark its ground with a new generation of ugly scars? Corral-Montoya, Combariza Diaz, Petro, and many others do not oppose extraction as such \u2014\u00a0materials will be needed to develop an independent, fossil-free Colombia \u2014\u00a0but they do reject extractivism: the model of churning out unprocessed goods for disposal elsewhere. And luckily, perhaps, Colombia does not have the lithium and copper mountains of Bolivia or Chile. But as with coal in Ca\u00f1averales, copper is advancing into some frontiers in the <a href=\"https:\/\/news.mongabay.com\/2023\/03\/plan-to-mine-clean-energy-metals-in-colombian-amazon-splits-communities\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Amazon<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/news.mongabay.com\/2024\/05\/in-a-village-divided-farmers-stall-massive-copper-mine-in-colombian-andes\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Antioquia<\/a> and, predictably, provoking similar resistance from indigenous and peasant communities, fearing that they will once again be victims of dispossession and destruction, but now in the name of \u201ctransition\u201d. Petro personally opposes the mines in both regions. These battles remain unresolved, as powerful interests \u2014 foreign and domestic \u2014 strain at the leash.<\/p>\n<p>Other ideas have been tabled in an anti-colonial vein. Advanced capitalist countries like Germany could give Colombia fiscal space for phasing out oil by writing off some of its debt. But as always, when rich countries are asked to pay, <a href=\"https:\/\/jacobin.com\/2025\/03\/colombia-petro-green-transition-debt\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">this idea<\/a> has not sat well with them. In 2024, Petro\u2019s government unveiled a plan for public <a href=\"https:\/\/www.energyconnects.com\/news\/renewables\/2024\/september\/colombia-looks-to-future-without-oil-in-40-billion-transition-plan\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">mega-investment<\/a> in the phase-out, but its fate remains uncertain as of this writing. The Colombian state is not an apparatus accustomed to steering the economy by mobilizing resources under its own direct command.<\/p>\n<p>Nowhere else are as many environmental defenders killed as in Colombia; indeed, even under the rule of Petro, this single country has accounted for just short of half of the global total.<\/p>\n<p>And then there is tourism, more particularly eco-tourism \u2014 easy to scoff at as neither carbon-free nor decolonial. The influx of tourists to Colombia has shot up recently. With a touch of presidential vanity, Petro takes personal credit for it: \u201cI believe it\u2019s because I make a lot of noise internationally; I speak about how beautiful the country is, therefore so many people are coming.\u201d Whatever the merits of that claim, revenues from tourism <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lafm.com.co\/colombia\/ingresos-por-turismo-en-colombia-ya-superan-a-los-del-carbon-y-el-cafe\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">exceeded<\/a> those from coal in 2024. And that too counts as an achievement of sorts.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-54.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232343\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-54.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1600\" height=\"720\"\/><\/a>A Fedesepan activist showing polluted water. (Andreas Malm \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>But in the end, the contradictions of the Colombian transition boil down to a single impasse: it cannot do this alone. The Petro government has been a lighthouse in extreme isolation. Even in the immediate neighborhood of Latin America, every other fossil fuel\u2013producing country has been putting the pedal to the metal \u2014\u00a0from the Left or the Right, Venezuela to Argentina, a pack of committees for managing the affairs of the bourgeoisie keeps going for more. Lula\u2019s government is one. Later this year, just before it hosts COP30, Brazil will <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2025\/jun\/13\/brazil-to-auction-oil-exploration-rights-months-before-hosting-cop30\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">auction<\/a> licenses to 172 oil and gas blocks \u2014 forty-seven of them are in the Amazon.<\/p>\n<p>This is the way of the world, the modus operandi of the bourgeois state: business as usual in all its dreariness. A break with it in one nation is as unlikely to succeed as socialism in only one. Petro refers to himself as \u201cthe last Mohican.\u201d \u201cThe richest people in the world are betting on death. They fear losing power, and that\u2019s why we are not heading toward a transition, but rather toward global war.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-31.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-232345\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/jac-pic-31.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\"\/><\/a>A monument in front of the Barrancabermeja refinery. (Maxy Guez \/ Jacobin)<\/p>\n<p>There is something tragic, then, to the spectacle of Petro in the presidential palace. Without the export of the Colombian experiment, it seems doomed to fall in on itself. During our time in the country in the spring and early summer of 2025, no one expressed confidence that the Left will win next year\u2019s elections. More common is resignation at the prospect of defeat. The constitution nowadays bars a president from serving for more than one period; whoever tries to carry Petro\u2019s mantle will face an uphill <a href=\"https:\/\/jacobin.com\/2025\/04\/colombia-petro-election-pacto-historico\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">battle<\/a>. The state seems likely to revert to its original owners.<\/p>\n<p>If that happens, what will survive of the transitional project? A right-wing government is almost certain to remove the restraints and flood the fossil fuel industry with new licenses. \u201cEvery presidential candidate on the right promises to do this. Our achievements are temporary,\u201d predicts Vel\u00e9z-Torres. \u201cFracking on the Magdalena River could commence on 9 August 2026,\u201d the day after the installation of the next president, anticipates Andr\u00e9s Gom\u00e9z. In the worst-case, a revanchist right could unleash mass violence against social movements standing in its way. Activists like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amnestyusa.org\/urgent-actions\/urgent-action-update-protect-environmental-defender-at-risk-colombia-ua-50-22\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Yuli Vel\u00e1zquez<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/2022\/03\/04\/they-put-a-gun-to-my-head-colombian-anti-fracking-activist-tells-of-ordeal\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Yuvalis Morales<\/a> have already had near brushes with death squads.<\/p>\n<p>Nowhere else are as many environmental <a href=\"https:\/\/ecologyandsociety.org\/vol30\/iss1\/art21\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">defenders<\/a> killed as in Colombia; indeed, even under the rule of Petro, this single country has <a href=\"https:\/\/crd.org\/2024\/09\/13\/colombia-the-deadliest-country-for-environmental-defenders\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">accounted<\/a> for just short of half of the global total. Under a president of the Right \u2014\u00a0a Colombian Jair Bolsonaro or Javier Milei \u2014\u00a0backsliding into the patterns of the civil war is not unthinkable. The first nationwide attempt to leave fossil fuels in the ground might be drowned in blood.<\/p>\n<p>In a better-case scenario, a less aggressive right might allow parts of the project to live on \u2014 energy communities, solar parks, a coal sector left to wither. Better still, extraparliamentary movements might rise to defend the achievements and block fracking and push the transition further. Best of all, naturally, would be a revived alliance between those movements and the state, through a mixture of renewed mass mobilizations and electoral victories \u2014 the kind of miracle that still happens every now and then, on this continent.<\/p>\n<p>But even if the worst should come to pass, some light may still be passed down the generations. Even on a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.1810141115\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">hothouse<\/a> Earth, the last historians could look back on the critical decade of the 2020s and conclude that the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/abs\/10.1073\/pnas.2108146119\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">endgame<\/a> was not predetermined. There was one country that showed what could have been done.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Our taxi stops as close to the presidential palace as possible. We get out and join the queue.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":89626,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[64,63,75,128],"class_list":["post-89625","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-environment","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-environment","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89625","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=89625"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89625\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/89626"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=89625"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=89625"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=89625"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}