{"id":899411,"date":"2026-09-20T23:06:14","date_gmt":"2026-09-20T23:06:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/899411\/"},"modified":"2026-09-20T23:06:14","modified_gmt":"2026-09-20T23:06:14","slug":"mclaren-reckons-norris-can-still-be-world-champ-that-doesnt-mean-what-you-think-for-piastri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/899411\/","title":{"rendered":"McLaren reckons Norris can still be world champ. That doesn\u2019t mean what you think for Piastri"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Andrea Kimi Antonelli wasn\u2019t the fastest driver on track in Spain last weekend, but his fortuitous victory was no less of a hammer blow to his would-be title contenders.<\/p>\n<p>His teammate, George Russell, consolidated second place but dropped to 81 points adrift of the lead. More than three clear race victories behind a driver in identical machinery, he said what everyone was already thinking.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019m not going to say it\u2019s over, but it\u2019s exceptionally unlikely that I\u2019m in this fight,\u201d he said, per ESPN. \u201cI\u2019m not even thinking about being in the fight, because I don\u2019t think I am in the fight.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"i-amphtml-fill-content i-amphtml-replaced-content\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1789945574_807_poster-fallback.png\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Fox Sports, available on Kayo Sports, is the only place to watch every practice, qualifying session and race in the 2026 FIA Formula One World Championship\u2122 LIVE in 4K. <a href=\"https:\/\/kayosports.com.au\/en-AU\/welcome\/f1?extcamp=fsaeditoriallinkmotorsport-edt-fsp-lnk-awr-grc-mtr-kyo&amp;channel=fsa&amp;campaign=fsacontra\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">New to Kayo? Join now and get your first month for just $1.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Lewis Hamilton, who for a time looked like a more likely title challenger in a momentarily resurgent Ferrari, was similarly resigned after retiring from the race and dropping to 101 points behind Antonelli.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere\u2019s no stopping him and Mercedes this year,\u201d he told Sky Sports. \u201cThey\u2019ve done a phenomenal job, and they deserve it.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But hope springs eternal at McLaren.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re going to try and win it,\u201d a buoyed Zak Brown told Sky Sports after the race, reflecting on Lando Norris missing out on what would have been a richly deserved third win in four grands prix and dropping to 106 points behind Antonelli.<\/p>\n<p>The CEO\u2019s optimism was boosted by Norris\u2019s sensational pole a day earlier, the McLaren driver pipping Antonelli to top spot at a circuit the team hadn\u2019t expected to fully suit its car.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cObviously you have to be realistic, but anything can happen,\u201d Brown told F1 TV. \u201cToday\u2019s F1 at the moment with reliability, the new power units are a little less predictable than the last generation \u2014 anything can happen.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Brown is as much a marketing man as he a racing enthusiast, and you can\u2019t fault him for keeping his chin up.<\/p>\n<p>But he also knows from experience how massive gaps can be vaporised.<\/p>\n<p>Norris\u2019s 106-point deficit is only one more than Max Verstappen\u2019s peak 105-point margin to Oscar Piastri last year.<\/p>\n<p>Like Verstappen, Norris has nine grands prix \u2014 at least officially, Middle Eastern rounds pending \u2014 to close it.<\/p>\n<p>Verstappen missed the title by two points, but the Dutchman finished ahead of Piastri by 11 points. The turnaround, then, was 116 points.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAll we can do is go for the wins every weekend and see if we can close the gap.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But of course it\u2019s not as simple as copying last year\u2019s results and dumping them onto this season.<\/p>\n<p>Verstappen has and does enjoy a position at the very centre of Red Bull Racing. The team exists to support his ambitions.<\/p>\n<p>The same hasn\u2019t been true at McLaren, which said last year that it would rather lose the drivers championship to Verstappen than pick a winner \u2014 something it came within two points of doing.<\/p>\n<p>But if McLaren really believes Norris has a title chance, the question must be whether it can really stick by its equality principle.<\/p>\n<p>After another difficult weekend in Spain, Oscar Piastri is making that decision easier to make.<\/p>\n<p>2027 Aussie Grand Prix gets sprint race | 01:29<\/p>\n<p>WHERE DID IT GO WRONG FOR PIASTRI?<\/p>\n<p>The Spanish Grand Prix was not an enjoyable weekend for Piastri.<\/p>\n<p>He was comprehensively outqualified by Norris, who blew up what had been a fine-margins difference between the two with that sizzling pole time while Piastri fumbled through a messy session.<\/p>\n<p>The margin was a difficult-to-swallow 0.470s, his second-largest of the year.<\/p>\n<p>His race was similarly anonymous, though circumstances played a role \u2014 first-lap damage cost him places and pace, though he did manage to make one of the only six post-first-lap overtakes nonetheless.<\/p>\n<p>The damage and the tedious circuit meant it was hard to gauge just how much slower Piastri was relative to Norris, but there\u2019s no doubting that he was \u2014 then again, everyone was.<\/p>\n<p>The problem isn\u2019t the scrappy weekend in isolation; the problem is that it exacerbated an already low run of form.<\/p>\n<p>On average this season he\u2019s qualifying only 0.078s behind Norris, but it\u2019s been 0.241s over the last five rounds. He\u2019s running at a 5-9 head-to-head qualifying deficit, but that\u2019s a more brutal 1-4 over the last five grands prix.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s much the same in race trim \u2014 he\u2019s 3-6 for the season but 1-4 in the last five grands prix both have finished. While on average he\u2019s finishing 17.8s behind Norris at the flag, that balloons to 24.2s over their last five races.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxsports.com.au\/motorsport\/formula-one\/not-super-easy-but-piastri-says-hes-finding-form-in-2026-and-rebuffs-claims-of-norris-tension\/news-story\/5839f1787b3257453b8747e8cf9d94c4\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Piastri has been open about having \u201cnot gelled\u201d with this year\u2019s car<\/a>, though he says describing it as a driving style mismatch is simplistic given the dominance of the heavily hybridised 2026 engine on overall performance.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDefinitely this year\u2019s been a bit tricky in trying to get through a few things,\u201d he said earlier this month. \u201cWe\u2019ve tried a few different directions, and sometimes you just need time to find the right one.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>It also wouldn\u2019t be right to say Piastri\u2019s been absolutely nowhere. Only a race ago, in Monza, he comfortably outqualified Norris and slipped behind him only on the last lap in a race heavily influenced by the pressing of the battery boost button. <\/p>\n<p>But that hasn\u2019t been enough to arrest the negative trend at what could be a critical inflection in the championship \u2014 but not a championship he\u2019s playing a role in.<\/p>\n<p>CARNAGE as Max takes on 100 drivers | 02:04<\/p>\n<p>WILL McLAREN REALLY MAKE THE CALL?<\/p>\n<p>The last time McLaren contemplated giving Norris title preference was around two years ago, at the end of the European season in 2024.<\/p>\n<p>The team was surging towards the constructors championship, and Norris, as the senior driver, was leading the charge.<\/p>\n<p>Piastri had made great progress in only his second season but was still far from the complete package. Even so, the team struggled to make the decision to favour Norris, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxsports.com.au\/motorsport\/formula-one\/mclaren-is-stuck-in-a-title-mess-of-its-own-making-piastri-is-the-problem-and-the-solution\/news-story\/24e5c00d4d3922ed72872d5384640c27\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">memorably being criticised for allowing its drivers to battle in Italy<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>It was after that race, ahead of the Azerbaijan Grand Prix, that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxsports.com.au\/motorsport\/formula-one\/well-bias-our-support-to-lando-aussie-agrees-to-back-teammates-f1-title-charge-in-major-shift\/news-story\/9bd84872d0452cb30e243434c8d8ba19\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">McLaren bit the bullet and asked Piastri to support Norris\u2019s title campaign<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The maths made sense.<\/p>\n<p>Norris was 62 points off the lead with eight remaining, requiring a turnaround of 7.8 points per round. Piastri was another 44 points adrift. Both were mathematically in it, but only Norris\u2019s shot was believable.<\/p>\n<p>With impeccable irony, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxsports.com.au\/motorsport\/formula-one\/most-stressful-afternoon-of-my-life-piastris-win-dissected-as-new-mclaren-era-dawns\/news-story\/e9ae2b8f9949ec4b5110063b8aea19e0\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Piastri won the race in Baku with Norris\u2019s help<\/a>, the Englishman holding up victory threat Sergio P\u00e9rez around the pit stop window to give his teammate a clear shot at passing Leclerc.<\/p>\n<p>Piastri was only once called to give up a place to help Norris \u2014 in the sprint in Brazil \u2014 but a wet-weather masterclass from Verstappen the next day snuffed out Norris\u2019s long-shot title dream.<\/p>\n<p>The maths is more difficult for Norris this year.<\/p>\n<p>Norris is 105 points off with nine or eight rounds remaining, requiring a turnaround of 11.6 or 13.1 points per weekend.<\/p>\n<p>But they\u2019re even more acute for Piastri.<\/p>\n<p>Piastri is 172 points off the lead \u2014 66 points behind Norris. If the season is to last only eight rounds, he\u2019ll be eliminated from mathematical contention in Baku if Antonelli outscores him by 11 points.<\/p>\n<p>Given Azerbaijan is more or less when Piastri\u2019s 2025 title campaign began to falter, it\u2019s a grim moment of reflection on his last 12 months.<\/p>\n<p>F1 backs Middle East return in 2027 | 00:54<\/p>\n<p>BUT IS NORRIS REALLY IN IT?<\/p>\n<p>From McLaren\u2019s point of view, though, it takes the decision out of its hands.<\/p>\n<p>The combination of the team\u2019s slow start to the season and Norris\u2019s sizzling form lately has created a situation in which, if it\u2019s taking the reigning world champion\u2019s title defence seriously, it really has only one course of action.<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately for Piastri, that will surely see him relegated formally to a supporting role.<\/p>\n<p>The significance of such a decision shouldn\u2019t be overstated, however.<\/p>\n<p>The biggest factor in the decision is whether McLaren can take the fight to Mercedes with enough force to outweigh the improbability of Norris\u2019s massive points deficit.<\/p>\n<p>The evidence is limited.<\/p>\n<p>Development rate, season to date<\/p>\n<p>1. Red Bull Racing: improving by 0.047s per race<\/p>\n<p>2. McLaren: improving 0.040s per race<\/p>\n<p>3. Ferrari: improving 0.033s per race<\/p>\n<p>4. Mercedes: improving 0.008s per race<\/p>\n<p>The development rate measures how much closer or further each team is getting to the fastest time set each weekend. Unsurprisingly it\u2019s showing Mercedes\u2019s advantage is shrinking to all its rival frontrunners.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s look at the state of play since McLaren brought its game-changing Hungary upgrade.<\/p>\n<p>Average gap to fastest, last four rounds<\/p>\n<p>1. McLaren: +0.045s<\/p>\n<p>2. Mercedes: +0.111s<\/p>\n<p>3. Ferrari: +0.188s<\/p>\n<p>4. Red Bull Racing: +0.349s<\/p>\n<p>With three of the last four pole positions, there\u2019s reason to believe the McLaren really is a match for the Mercedes right now.<\/p>\n<p>While Budapest and Zandvoort were similar circuits, the Madring was more varied and therefore more heartening. McLaren was also only 0.12s slower than Mercedes in qualifying in Monza, a track that should have punished its draggy car, its waywardness in slow corners and its locked-in short gears.<\/p>\n<p>Azerbaijan next weekend on paper should be a nadir circuit, but if it can perform well there \u2014 and it does believe it unlocked something in Madrid \u2014 then it can believe it\u2019ll go well everywhere.<\/p>\n<p>Race pace, last four rounds<\/p>\n<p>1. Mercedes: +0.19s<\/p>\n<p>2. McLaren: +0.20s<\/p>\n<p>3. Red Bull Racing: +0.43s<\/p>\n<p>4. Ferrari: +0.52s<\/p>\n<p>In race trim the Mercedes and McLaren cars are evenly matched \u2014 and McLaren\u2019s average is weighed down heavily in Italy, where in the race it was well off the blistering pace set by Antonelli on his back-to-front charge.<\/p>\n<p>Norris score, last four rounds<\/p>\n<p>1. Andrea Kimi Antonelli: 88 points<\/p>\n<p>2. Lando Norris: 83 points<\/p>\n<p>3. George Russell: 57 points<\/p>\n<p>4. Lewis Hamilton: 32 points<\/p>\n<p>Though this puts Norris only just in the mix, if you take the positions of the Spanish Grand Prix from before the virtual safety car, you\u2019d end up with Norris ahead of Antonelli 93-81.<\/p>\n<p>None of these figures alone are enough to believe that Norris can overhaul Antonelli in the remaining time even if he were the team\u2019s sole focus. He could certainly win many more races, but the mountain is steep.<\/p>\n<p>It also doesn\u2019t take into account Mercedes holding back one major upgrade package \u2014 though McLaren says it\u2019s also pushing development to the end of the season.<\/p>\n<p>But as Brown insists, there\u2019s some hope. McLaren\u2019s trajectory is clearly positive, and it\u2019s not over until the points say so.<\/p>\n<p>Kimi Antonelli claims Spanish Grand Prix | 01:32<\/p>\n<p>WHAT DOES THAT MEAN FOR PIASTRI?<\/p>\n<p>None of this has to change anything for Piastri\u2019s season.<\/p>\n<p>McLaren hasn\u2019t signalled that it will enforce team orders; some part of it must understand the long odds.<\/p>\n<p>Quite apart from that, the downsides to casting Piastri in an exclusive number two role are massive.<\/p>\n<p>The team has repeatedly said that it intends to help Piastri rediscover his form in much the same way it helped Norris in the middle of last season.<\/p>\n<p>McLaren knows how formidable Piastri is when he\u2019s on song, which until this year was more often than not. He\u2019s a title-calibre driver, and the team needs him performing at a high level for the constructors championship, where it\u2019s now only 52 points behind the hapless Ferrari and in much better form.<\/p>\n<p>The constructors championship is what decides the prize money \u2014 and, if you work for McLaren, what decides the bonuses. Risking a bump in pay and prizes for an extremely long shot at the drivers title makes little sense \u2014 especially if the demoralising effect it might have on Piastri knocks into next season.<\/p>\n<p>There are also realistically few ways Piastri will be able to help Norris without getting back to his best.<\/p>\n<p>Apart from perhaps slipstreaming Norris to a better grid spot at the few tracks where that might be valuable, Piastri would need to be lapping exactly one place ahead of Norris to be able to give up a position. He\u2019s finished ahead of Norris only once in the last five races both finished.<\/p>\n<p>McLaren is also desperately unlikely to deploy Piastri to play interference against Antonelli \u2014 the odds of Norris\u2019s comeback are far too long to play those sorts of games, and the team has never appeared inclined to do so anyway.<\/p>\n<p>In short, team orders \u2014 papaya rules, if you will \u2014 are not the title panacea some think they are.<\/p>\n<p>But that doesn\u2019t make the conversation any easier.<\/p>\n<p>And it doesn\u2019t make Piastri\u2019s form any less of a problem as the Australian targets a recovery in time for 2027 \u2014 because if the competitive picture hasn\u2019t changed by next year, the conversation could be much, much harder.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Andrea Kimi Antonelli wasn\u2019t the fastest driver on track in Spain last weekend, but his fortuitous victory was&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":899412,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[573],"tags":[64,63,817,813,816,85],"class_list":["post-899411","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-formula-1","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-f1","tag-formula-1","tag-formula1","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/899411","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=899411"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/899411\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/899412"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=899411"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=899411"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=899411"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}