{"id":904712,"date":"2026-09-25T07:38:09","date_gmt":"2026-09-25T07:38:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/904712\/"},"modified":"2026-09-25T07:38:09","modified_gmt":"2026-09-25T07:38:09","slug":"rates-nightmare-experts-tip-double-rba-hike-before-christmas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/904712\/","title":{"rendered":"Rates nightmare: Experts tip double RBA hike before Christmas"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post- wp-image-1168738\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1168738\" data-capiid=\"92eb6af91c759a9822e6852bb32ae5d6\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"RBA PRESS CONFERENCE\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1168738\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">RBA governor Michele Bullock runs the risk of losing credibility if they do not act on inflation. Picture: NewsWire \/ Nikki Short<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">A bombshell survey reveals nearly half of the nation\u2019s leading economists warn a brutal double rate hike will smash households before Christmas. <\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Fresh figures released Friday by comparison site Finder show a crushing 90 per cent of finance experts and economists predict the Reserve Bank will vote to lift the official cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.6 per cent at its crucial board meeting that\u2019s now under than 90 hours away.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Shockingly, nearly half of the expert panel now tip a second follow-up rate hike before the end of the year, which would drive the cash rate to a punishing 4.85 per cent \u2013<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/days-left-to-act-aussies-face-highest-interest-rates-since-gfc\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=the_courier_mail&amp;campaignPlacement=socref\" title=\"www.realestate.com.au\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> the highest level since the peak of the 2008 global financial crisis<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post- wp-image-1168733\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1168733\" data-capiid=\"7a49a83f4a501c0fed0e94b4a5146411\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1168733\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">18 lenders have already hiked interest rates so far this month. Picture: Brendan Radke<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">The last RBA board meeting left the cash rate unchanged in August, but things have escalated dramatically since then, with the market now pricing in a double rate hike by early next year too \u2013 with a 90 per cent expectation of an increase to 4.6 per cent come Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">This comes as Canstar warned <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/top-6-banks-panic-aus-biggest-lenders-hike-rates-before-rba-can\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=the_courier_mail&amp;campaignPlacement=article\" title=\"www.realestate.com.au\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">18 lenders have quietly jacked up home loan rates already <\/a>in September, with Macquarie Bank dropping the latest bombshell on Thursday, lifting fixed rates for the second time in three weeks \u2013 following similar rate increases from sixth-placed ING as well as the big four CBA, Westpac, NAB and ANZ.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">The next RBA Board meeting and official cash rate announcement will be on the 29th September 2026.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Finder\u2019s analysis warned that an average Aussie home loan of $736,259 would see monthly repayments jump by $427 a month compared to January if the RBA hikes on Tuesday \u2013 and if experts are right about two hikes by Christmas, average borrowers will kick off 2027 paying an astonishing $542 extra every single month compared to the same time this year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">That\u2019s a massive $6,509 annual hit to average homeowner household budgets compared to 12 months prior.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post- wp-image-1168735\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1168735\" data-capiid=\"ec513c23e2d0c30ca2dfbf30b9314fd8\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1168735\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Mortgage repayment increases on average home loan of $736,259. Source: Finder<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">AMP chief economist Dr Shane Oliver warned the RBA\u2019s credibility is on the line if it fails to act now.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cWhile the RBA is meeting its full employment objective, this is not the case for its inflation objective, with underlying inflation running well above target,\u201d Dr Oliver said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cAfter more than five years of having inflation above target, the RBA risks further losing its credibility if it decides to extend its wait-and-see approach.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Pathfinder Consulting\u2019s Peter Boehm warned the Reserve Bank\u2019s hand is being forced into pushing the nation closer to economic fallout.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cThere is no alternative but to increase rates at the expense of pushing up the unemployment rate and possibly pushing the economy into recession,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post- wp-image-1168736\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1168736\" data-capiid=\"75ebe934565a998ceb21355e2b566955\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"COST INQUIRY\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1168736\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">AMP chief economist Dr Shane Oliver. Picture: NewsWire \/ John Appleyard<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">QUT adjunct professor Noel Whittaker slammed the expected RBA move, warning mortgage holders were being unfairly punished for global cost drivers beyond their control.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cIt will be a fairly pointless exercise,\u201d Mr Whittaker warned. \u201cHigher rates will hit people with mortgages hard, while doing little to address the global forces now driving inflation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">Finder home loans expert Richard Whitten urged desperate borrowers to take action immediately before Tuesday\u2019s decision.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cHouseholds got a short break over winter, but the data has turned and the experts think the RBA has no choice but to move again,\u201d Mr Whitten said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cIf your rate already starts with a \u20186\u2019 or a \u20187\u2019, it\u2019s worth picking up the phone. A quick call to your lender, or a switch to a more competitive loan, could save you more than the RBA is about to cost you.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post- wp-image-1168737\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1168737\" data-capiid=\"a5bd8bdb48379935bd0d51f913102fa2\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1168737\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Finder home loans expert Richard Whitten.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"RBA governor Michele Bullock runs the risk of losing credibility if they do not act on inflation. Picture:&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":904713,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[43,44,41,39,42,40],"class_list":["post-904712","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-headlines","tag-headlines","tag-news","tag-top-news","tag-top-stories","tag-topnews","tag-topstories"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/904712","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=904712"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/904712\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/904713"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=904712"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=904712"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=904712"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}