{"id":913829,"date":"2026-10-02T20:04:12","date_gmt":"2026-10-02T20:04:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/913829\/"},"modified":"2026-10-02T20:04:12","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T20:04:12","slug":"these-guys-are-just-coming-from-nothing-questions-over-multibillion-dollar-firmus-float-amid-datacentre-backlash-datacentres-australia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/913829\/","title":{"rendered":"\u2018These guys are just coming from nothing\u2019: questions over multibillion-dollar Firmus float amid datacentre backlash | Datacentres &#8211; Australia"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">From her balcony in Launceston, Kayla Thompson can see the buzz of construction at what will soon be one of Australia\u2019s first AI factories. Her teenage stepchildren get an even clearer view from their classroom window.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Like many of her neighbours, Thompson didn\u2019t realise Firmus Technologies had an ambitious plan to build datacentres in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/tasmania\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Tasmania<\/a> until after construction began. The Australian company was on a mission, and preparing to list on the ASX later this month after an anticipated initial public offering designed to raise $7bn from investors.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">It is on track to be the second-largest IPO on record behind Telstra\u2019s $14bn share sale in 1997, and one of the top five in the world this year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Its massive 104-megawatt datacentre at St Leonards, worth an estimated $2.1bn, was given fast-tracked approval by the city of Launceston in September last year without a public hearing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Thompson was furious. She joined a protest group that believes Tasmanians were kept in the dark by the company.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cTheir consultation was nonexistent until they had it shoved in their face that they made a mistake,\u201d says Thompson. \u201cBy then, it was too late.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cThe more we researched this company, the less appropriate it seemed that size of facility should be voted on by a local council with limited community awareness.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">In June, Firmus realised it had a problem. Community backlash was threatening two <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/2026\/aug\/27\/tasmania-datacentre-ai-standards-national-cabinet-albanese-government\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">other proposed datacentres in the state\u2019s north-east<\/a>. With an IPO months away, it organised dozens of public consultation sessions with a pre-prepared message.<\/p>\n<p>The $2.1bn Firmus AI datacentre being built at St Leonards in Launceston. Photograph: Sarah Rhodes\/The Guardian<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cThey did a bit of a mea culpa and said we handled that badly and we should have done something more,\u201d says Joe Zadravec, who lives close to another proposed Firmus datacentre.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cBut they only did that after they were caught.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">A Firmus spokesperson confirms the company overhauled its community engagement program after receiving strong feedback from Launceston locals.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cThe feedback we receive will continue to help shape our approach,\u201d they say.<\/p>\n<p>Soaring valuation<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">As Firmus prepares to ask prospective shareholders for billions of dollars in the heat of a global AI boom, its Tasmanian missteps offer an unfiltered look at the operational risks behind the pitch.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">A year ago, as local councillors approved the five-hectare AI factory in Launceston, Firmus was worth just under $2bn in a private funding round.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">As plans emerged to build liquid-cooled datacentres across the Asia-Pacific alongside AI chip maker Nvidia, which acts as both an investor and hardware supplier, that valuation surged.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">In less than 12 months, the implied valuation leaped from $2bn toward a targeted $40bn-plus ASX debut. Now, investment analysts <a href=\"https:\/\/www.afr.com\/technology\/morgan-stanley-says-firmus-could-be-worth-as-much-as-128b-20260924-p6106d\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">are dangling figures as high as $100bn<\/a>, a price tag that would make Firmus twice the size of Telstra.<\/p>\n<p><a data-link-name=\"standard link button Primary\" data-spacefinder-role=\"inline\" data-ignore=\"global-link-styling\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/email-newsletters?CMP=copyembed&amp;CMP=emailbutton\" class=\"dcr-rh233e\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sign up for the Breaking News Australia email<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">One investment manager who viewed the company\u2019s draft prospectus tells Guardian Australia the valuation \u201ckeeps randomly compounding when nothing has really changed\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cI\u2019m not saying it\u2019s not worth anything, it\u2019s just not worth the valuation they\u2019re trying to get it away at,\u201d the investment manager says.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The majority of its ambitious pipeline is unbuilt, with the company now operating just two facilities, one in Melbourne and the other in Singapore.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The draft prospectus shows Firmus is forecasting $5bn in annual earnings once its development pipeline progresses, which would put it in the top tier of ASX earners.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cThis is a capital-hungry business that needs to keep raising debt and\/or equity to fund the losses, and meanwhile we\u2019re being told this will have $5bn of earnings within a few years \u2013 it\u2019s a little bit of a fairytale,\u201d the investment manager says.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">A Firmus spokesperson declined to comment when asked series of questions by Guardian Australia regarding the feasibility of its earnings forecast and valuation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The Firmus IPO is a pitch to investors that they can own a stake in the future, with echoes of the speculative allure of Elon Musk\u2019s SpaceX.<\/p>\n<p>Goodman Group has withdrawn plans for a datacentre near a school in Lane Cove, Sydney, amid local opposition. Photograph: Hollie Adams\/Reuters<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">But while Firmus relies on the prompt construction of datacentres to justify its valuation, the US, which is further along in the AI datacentre boom, offers a sobering look at the obstacles ahead.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">A comparable datacentre offering was recently delayed in the US after bankers struggled to find buyers willing to support a sought-after valuation of US$50bn or more, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/09\/21\/business\/ai-data-center-ipos.html?eafs_enabled=false\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the New York Times reports<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Part of the problem is that datacentres are hitting community resistance, with US cities Tulsa, New Orleans and Birmingham among those implementing temporary bans on permits and construction.<\/p>\n<p><a data-ignore=\"global-link-styling\" href=\"#EmailSignup-skip-link-31\" class=\"dcr-76akua\">skip past newsletter promotion<\/a>Free newsletter |When needed<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-vf9hps\">Sign up to Breaking News Australia<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-djbwnz\">Get the most important news as it breaks<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1790971452_695_2998.jpg\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"dcr-gx9601\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"EmailSignup-skip-link-31\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"after newsletter promotion\" role=\"note\" class=\"dcr-76akua\">after newsletter promotion<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">In Sydney, infrastructure company Goodman Group has just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/2026\/sep\/28\/plan-for-controversial-12bn-datacentre-in-sydney-scrapped-due-to-emerging-regulations\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">withdrawn its plans for a datacentre near a public school<\/a> amid fierce local opposition, in a clear warning to the industry they must win over local communities.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Community anger typically stems from the scale of the datacentres, their strain on power grids and water supplies, heavy use of diesel backup generators, and the speed of approvals that have left residents feeling shut out.<\/p>\n<p>Just hype?<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Firmus is racing to get its multibillion-dollar float away amid opposition to fast-track datacentre approvals, leaving new investors at risk of holding the bag if the excitement proves to be mostly hype.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Rob Talevski, the chief executive of Webull Securities Australia, says there\u2019s a danger retail investors become the \u201cexit strategy\u201d for Firmus\u2019s institutional investors.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">New York trading houses Blackstone and Jane Street are among the early backers who may look to the public float to offload their stakes at high prices.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Firmus is offering what is known as a small free float, whereby the company\u2019s founders and early investors initially retain most of the company\u2019s shares.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">This can create a temporary scarcity of stock that initially drives the share price higher, giving those backers the ability to offload their holdings at inflated prices before their stock floods the market.<\/p>\n<p>An entrance to the St Leonards datacentre. Photograph: Sarah Rhodes\/The Guardian<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cThe question retail might have to ask is, are they basically the liquidity exit strategy for some of the early investors?\u201d says Talevski.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cThat\u2019s the bit that probably is not spoken about enough, and that\u2019s where the question marks are for a retail investor.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">There are no escrow arrangements in place for major backers like Blackstone, leaving institutional investors free to sell down their stakes immediately after it lists.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The founders \u2013 Oliver Curtis, who has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/2016\/jun\/25\/oliver-curtis-spends-first-night-in-prison-after-being-sentenced-for-insider-trading\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">spent time in prison for insider trading<\/a>, his cousin Tim Rosenfield, and Curtis\u2019s former brother-in-law Jonathan Levee \u2013 can begin selling some of their holdings as early as six months after listing if the stock price rallies.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Richard Hemming, the editor at Under The Radar Report, says there are so many interested parties pushing for a successful IPO, including brokers, investment banks and early institutional investors, that the risks to retail investors have been understated.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cTelstra is one of the biggest companies in Australia and these guys are just coming from nothing and saying that they\u2019re going to be bigger than Telstra \u2013 it\u2019s gobsmacking,\u201d says Hemming.<\/p>\n<p>Critics of the St Leonards datacentre gather to observe building work. Photograph: Sarah Rhodes\/The Guardian<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Back in Tasmania, Firmus has turned to a tested method of countering bad press: sponsoring major sporting teams.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The company\u2019s name will now be carried by the Tasmanian Devils AFL team, Cricket Tasmania, and the JackJumpers and Jewels basketball teams, in what Emma Sherry, the dean of RMIT\u2019s school of management, says is a classic case of \u201csportswashing\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cThis works until it doesn\u2019t. The goodwill relies on a bet that the community loves the sport enough to forgive the potentially problematic relationship,\u201d she says.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Firmus believes that\u2019s unfair. They say the company was founded in Tasmania, which is home to its staff who are passionate about sport.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cOur sporting partnerships are not a substitute for genuine and thoughtful community engagement,\u201d the spokesperson says.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">So far, the deals have done little to ease concerns of vocal critics.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cWe are already distrusting of AI in a general sense,\u201d Thompson says. \u201cWhy would we trust this company?\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\"> Do you know more? Email jonathan.barrett@theguardian.com and henry.belot@theguardian.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"From her balcony in Launceston, Kayla Thompson can see the buzz of construction at what will soon be&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":913830,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[64,63,99],"class_list":["post-913829","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-business"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/913829","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=913829"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/913829\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/913830"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=913829"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=913829"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=913829"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}