{"id":919905,"date":"2026-10-07T22:34:12","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T22:34:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/919905\/"},"modified":"2026-10-07T22:34:12","modified_gmt":"2026-10-07T22:34:12","slug":"ufc-vegas-122-betting-picks-today-advice-analysis-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/919905\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Vegas 122 Betting Picks Today: Advice, Analysis &#038; Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>UFC betting picks for UFC Vegas 122: Allen vs. Duncan are live on RotoWire today. Evaluate predictions for a favorite, an underdog, a prop and a parlay for bettors to consider Saturday.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"lozad \" style=\"aspect-ratio:16 \/ 7\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/leeyxdnk1ejmi7c1s6fa.jpg\" alt=\"UFC Best Bets Today: Picks, Odds &amp; Predictions for UFC Vegas 122\" fetchpriority=\"high\" loading=\"eager\" width=\"1500\" data-credit=\"Corey Perrine\/Florida Times-Union-USA TODAY NETWORK\"\/><\/p>\n<p>The UFC is back at the Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Saturday, October 10, for UFC Vegas 122. In the main event, middleweight contenders throw down, as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/brendan-allen-1925\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Brendan Allen<\/a> takes on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/christian-leroy-duncan-2392\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Christian Leroy Duncan<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Below, I&#8217;ll share my UFC Vegas 122 predictions, including my favorite pick, an underdog, a prop and a two-fighter parlay. All <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/mma\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">UFC odds<\/a> are via the DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the post date of this article.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 122 Betting Favorite<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/brendan-allen-1925\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Brendan Allen<\/a> (27-7) vs. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/christian-leroy-duncan-2392\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Christian Leroy Duncan<\/a> (15-2) &#8211; Middleweight<\/p>\n<p>In the main event, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/brendan-allen-1925\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Brendan Allen<\/a> is fighting down in the rankings again against <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/christian-leroy-duncan-2392\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Christian Leroy Duncan<\/a>, and I like Allen to get his hand raised.<\/p>\n<p>Allen has won three straight fights and is super underrated. During the win streak, he beat <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/marvin-vettori-882\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Marvin Vettori<\/a>, finished <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/reinier-de-ridder-2609\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Reinier de Ridder<\/a> and beat <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/edmen-shahbazyan-1682\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Edmen Shahbazyan<\/a>. Allen seemingly gets one fight up in the rankings and then fights down again, as he wants to stay active. Duncan is another step down.<\/p>\n<p>Duncan does pose some problems with his hands, as he posesses some power and has won five straight fights. However, Duncan&#8217;s grappling is a concern, as Allen is an elite grappler. Allen&#8217;s cardio is also solid, so expect him to push a heavy pace for five rounds.<\/p>\n<p>I like Allen to use his wrestling early and often to grind on Duncan and get a late submission win, which will cement himself as a true title contender.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 122 Bet: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/brendan-allen-1925\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Brendan Allen<\/a> (-148)<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 122 Underdog Play<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/gerald-meerschaert-1023\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Gerald Meerschaert<\/a> (37-22) vs. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/julius-walker-2647\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Julius Walker<\/a> (7-3) &#8211; Light Heavyweight<\/p>\n<p>For my underdog bet at UFC Vegas 122, I&#8217;m taking <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/gerald-meerschaert-1023\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Gerald Meerschaert<\/a> to get his hand raised against <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/julius-walker-2647\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Julius Walker<\/a> at light heavyweight.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>To me, these odds are way too high, as Walker is -285 and the third biggest favorite on the card. Still, he&#8217;s someone I wouldn&#8217;t trust with my money. Walker is coming off an eight-second KO loss just 3.5 months ago, so this is a quick turnaround, and I worry about his chin after back-to-back knockout losses with little time to recover.<\/p>\n<p>Meerschaert isn&#8217;t a KO artist, but he is a veteran who has fought the who&#8217;s-who at middleweight and is moving up in weight. There is a chance he gets knocked out in the first round, but if he doesn&#8217;t, I think Meerschaert can get Walker down and get another late stoppage win.<\/p>\n<p>To me, Walker should be around -150 to -175, so getting Meerschaert at +230 makes it a must-play.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 122 Bet: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/gerald-meerschaert-1023\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Gerald Meerschaert<\/a> (+230)<\/p>\n<p>Check out DraftKings to bet on<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/college-basketball\/tourney-futures.php\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> <\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/mma\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MMA Odds<\/a> and use the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/fanatics\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> <\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/draftkings\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings promo code<\/a> for a great welcome offer.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 122 Prop Bet<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/matheus-camilo-2640\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Matheus Camilo<\/a> (11-3) vs. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/jai-herbert-1998\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jai Herbert<\/a> (14-6-1) &#8211; Lightweight<\/p>\n<p>For my prop bet at UFC Vegas 122, I&#8217;m taking <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/matheus-camilo-2640\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Matheus Camilo<\/a> to beat <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/jai-herbert-1998\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jai Herbert<\/a> by KO\/TKO\/DQ.<\/p>\n<p>Camilo takes on Herbert in the co-main event, which should be a fan-friendly fight at lightweight for however long it lasts. Both are known for their striking, but I trust Camilo more. To me, he&#8217;s more technical and has more power.<\/p>\n<p>Camilo ran through <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/nazim-sadykhov-2330\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nazim Sadykhov<\/a> last time out, which is an impressive win. Herbert did pull off a comeback win over <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/mandel-nallo-1741\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Mandel Nallo<\/a> in his last bout, but he got hurt multiple times, and Camilo hits harder than Nallo.<\/p>\n<p>I expect Camilo to come out aggressive and land power shots to get a knockout win in the first round.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 122 Bet: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/matheus-camilo-2640\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Matheus Camilo<\/a> by KO\/TKO\/DQ (+130)<\/p>\n<p>Check out one of the top<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/apps\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> sports betting apps<\/a> when you sign up with the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/fanduel\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">FanDuel promo code<\/a> for all of your MMA betting.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 122 Parlay<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/rj-harris-2793\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">RJ Harris<\/a> (6-0) vs. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/allen-frye-2708\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Allen Frye<\/a> Jr. (6-1) &#8211; Heavyweight<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/lupita-godinez-2174\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Lupita Godinez<\/a> (14-6) vs. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/ketlen-souza-2424\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ketlen Souza<\/a> (17-6) &#8211; Strawweight<\/p>\n<p>For my parlay at UFC Vegas 122, I&#8217;m taking <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/rj-harris-2793\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">RJ Harris<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/lupita-godinez-2174\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Lupita Godinez<\/a> to get their hands raised at the Apex on Saturday.<\/p>\n<p>Harris takes on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/allen-frye-2708\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Allen Frye<\/a> on the prelims in a heavyweight bout that won&#8217;t need the judges. Harris is 1-0 in the UFC and had an impressive KO win over <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/alvin-hines-2657\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Alvin Hines<\/a>. Frye, meanwhile, lost his debut and isn&#8217;t someone I&#8217;m too high on. Frye&#8217;s striking defense is a major concern, as he is there to be hit. Harris also hits hard, and I expect him to land damaging shots and get a TKO win here.<\/p>\n<p>To close out the parlay, I&#8217;m taking Godinez to beat <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/ketlen-souza-2424\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ketlen Souza<\/a> on the main card. Godinez is one of the top strawweights, as her losses have been to the very best: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/mackenzie-dern-1452\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Mackenzie Dern<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/virna-jandiroba-1193\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Virna Jandiroba<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/tatiana-suarez-1316\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Tatiana Suarez<\/a>. I like Godinez to use her wrestling to control Souza and cruise to a decision win, as Souza isn&#8217;t on the level of the fighters Godinez loses to.<\/p>\n<p>UFC Vegas 122 Bet: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/rj-harris-2793\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">RJ Harris<\/a> &amp; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/mma\/player\/lupita-godinez-2174\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Lupita Godinez<\/a> parlay (-115)<\/p>\n<p>Cash in on the best<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/promos\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> sportsbook promos<\/a> available for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/mma\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MMA betting<\/a>. The<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/betmgm\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> BetMGM bonus code<\/a> gets new players one of the best welcome bonuses in the industry.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0UFC Best Bets<\/p>\n<p>Here is a recap of my best UFC picks for this weekend&#8217;s UFC Vegas 122 card.<\/p>\n<p>If you prefer to deposit at a sportsbook via PayPal, RotoWire has an up-to-date list of all the top-rated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/paypal-betting-sites\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">PayPal betting sites<\/a> in one place. We also list all major <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotowire.com\/betting\/credit-card-betting-sites\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbooks accepting credit card<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"UFC betting picks for UFC Vegas 122: Allen vs. Duncan are live on RotoWire today. Evaluate predictions for&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":919906,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[570],"tags":[64,63,786,244002,785,85],"class_list":["post-919905","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-mma","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-fighting","tag-minor-league-stats","tag-mma","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/919905","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=919905"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/919905\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/919906"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=919905"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=919905"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=919905"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}